Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 272

July 12, 20188 counties in Minnesota; 5 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 12, 2018, 12:57 AM CDT for 8 counties in Minnesota; 5 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 12, 2018, 12:57 AM CDT (05:57 UTC)
Expired
Jul 12, 2018, 7:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Aitkin County, MN, Carlton County, MN, Cass County, MN, Crow Wing County, MN, Itasca County, MN, Lake County, MN, Pine County, MN, Saint Louis County, MN, Bayfield County, WI, Burnett County, WI, Douglas County, WI, Sawyer County, WI, Washburn County, WI

The radar

The Duluth radar (KDLH), 40 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 12, 1:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCass, Crow Wing29 min
Jul 12, 1:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Carlton, Itasca, Saint Louis48 min
Jul 12, 1:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Cass, Crow Wing49 min
Jul 12, 2:19 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningDLHAitkin, Cass, Crow Wing, Itasca4 hr
Jul 12, 2:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHSaint Louis38 min
Jul 12, 2:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Carlton, Cass, Crow Wing49 min
Jul 12, 3:00 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningDLHAitkin, Carlton, Cass, Crow Wing, Pine, Saint Louis3 hr
Jul 12, 4:20 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningDLHPine5 hr
Jul 12, 5:57 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningDLHAitkin, Crow Wing, Pine4 hr
Jul 12, 6:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHPine13 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 11, 8:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Becker, Beltrami, Cass, Clay, Clearwater and 12 more2 hr
Jul 11, 11:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Becker, Carlton, Cass, Crow Wing, Hubbard and 10 more2 hr
Jul 12, 4:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Cottonwood, Dakota and 31 more88 min
Jul 12, 5:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnoka, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Chisago, Cottonwood and 30 more7 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.