Alert archive / Louisiana / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 80

February 21, 201818 parishes in Louisiana; Newton County, Orange County, Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 21, 2018, 9:07 AM CST for 18 parishes in Louisiana; Newton County, Orange County, Texas. It was in force for 113 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 21, 2018, 9:07 AM CST (15:07 UTC)
Expired
Feb 21, 2018, 11:00 AM CST
In force
113 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%

Counties Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX

The radar

The Ft Polk radar (KPOE), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 3.1 hours before the alert went out and 99 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2018-02-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1458 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2018-02-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 203 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1458 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
474 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
203 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
188 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.3
Supercell composite
10.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 21, 9:48 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Caldwell and 17 more7 hr
Feb 21, 12:28 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Caldwell and 17 more92 min
Feb 21, 3:03 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Caldwell and 20 more117 min
Feb 21, 7:57 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Borden, Callahan, Childress, Clay and 35 more4 hr
Feb 21, 12:44 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cooke, Denton, Jack, Montague, Palo Pinto and 1 more4 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Louisiana, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.