Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 586

May 31, 201810 counties in Arkansas; 33 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 31, 2018, 12:24 PM CDT for 10 counties in Arkansas; 33 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 96 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 31, 2018, 12:24 PM CDT (17:24 UTC)
Expired
May 31, 2018, 2:00 PM CDT
In force
96 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
95%
All 43 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Clay County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Izard County, AR, Marion County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Barry County, MO, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Carter County, MO, Christian County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 130 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 5.4 hours before the alert went out and 165 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2018-05-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 133 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2018-05-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -216 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
133 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-299 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
880 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-216 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-160 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 31, 2:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson and 3 more61 min
May 31, 1:57 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCClay, Greene, Lawrence, Randolph6 hr
May 31, 4:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Randolph2 hr
May 31, 5:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cleburne, Craighead, Fulton, Greene, Independence and 8 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.