Alert archive / Virginia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 374

May 10, 20184 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 10, 2018, 12:36 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 114 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2018, 12:36 PM EDT (16:36 UTC)
Expired
May 10, 2018, 2:30 PM EDT
In force
114 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
60%
All 111 counties

Anne Arundel County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Caswell County, NC, Granville County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Person County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Vance County, NC, Warren County, NC, Albemarle County, VA, Alleghany County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Augusta County, VA, Bath County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Radford, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Craig County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Floyd County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greene County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, Henry County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King George County, VA, King William County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Madison County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Montgomery County, VA, Nelson County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Pulaski County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Warren County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA, Hardy County, WV, Jefferson County, WV

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 154 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 4.6 hours before the alert went out and 84 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2018-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2018-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 206 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1342 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
206 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
190 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 1:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Charles, Dorchester and 8 more8 hr
May 10, 4:53 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Charles, Frederick and 7 more67 min
May 10, 3:35 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Cabarrus, Caswell, Catawba, Chatham, Davidson and 23 more115 min
May 10, 4:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlamance, Alexander, Anson, Cabarrus, Catawba, Chatham and 32 more6 hr
May 10, 7:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Cabarrus, Chatham, Cleveland, Davidson and 25 more55 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.