Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 1601

October 31, 2018Beauregard Parish, Calcasieu Parish, Louisiana; 56 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Oct 31, 2018, 2:14 PM CDT for Beauregard Parish, Calcasieu Parish, Louisiana; 56 counties in Texas. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 31, 2018, 2:14 PM CDT (19:14 UTC)
Expired
Oct 31, 2018, 4:45 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
60%
All 58 counties

Beauregard Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Anderson County, TX, Angelina County, TX, Aransas County, TX, Austin County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Brazoria County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Calhoun County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Colorado County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Goliad County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Harris County, TX, Houston County, TX, Jackson County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Leon County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Madison County, TX, Matagorda County, TX, Milam County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX, Panola County, TX, Polk County, TX, Refugio County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Travis County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Tyler County, TX, Victoria County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX, Washington County, TX, Wharton County, TX, Williamson County, TX

The radar

The Houston radar (KHGX), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 245 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2018-10-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 649 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2018-10-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 148 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
649 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-11 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
840 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
148 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
51 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
5.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 31, 3:02 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBossier, Caddo, De Soto, Sabine, Webster9 hr
Oct 31, 6:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBossier, Caddo, De Soto, Webster61 min
Oct 31, 7:20 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Brown, Burnet, Callahan, Coke, Coleman and 34 more2 hr
Oct 31, 1:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrewster, Culberson, El Paso, Hudspeth, Jeff Davis, Pecos and 4 more114 min
Oct 31, 5:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Dimmit, Edwards, Frio and 13 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Louisiana, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.