Alert archive / Ohio / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 1491

September 21, 201825 counties in Ohio; 5 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Sep 21, 2018, 3:37 PM EDT for 25 counties in Ohio; 5 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 83 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 21, 2018, 3:37 PM EDT (19:37 UTC)
Expired
Sep 21, 2018, 5:00 PM EDT
In force
83 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%
All 30 counties

Ashland County, OH, Ashtabula County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Coshocton County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Guernsey County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Knox County, OH, Lake County, OH, Licking County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Medina County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Muskingum County, OH, Perry County, OH, Portage County, OH, Richland County, OH, Stark County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Crawford County, PA, Erie County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Venango County, PA

The radar

The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KAGC), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 134 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2018-09-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 391 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2018-09-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 142 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
391 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-67 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
999 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
142 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
129 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 21, 4:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshtabula, Belmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Geauga and 14 more4 hr
Sep 21, 6:08 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Scioto97 min
Sep 21, 7:04 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBelmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Guernsey, Harrison and 5 more116 min
Sep 21, 4:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCameron, Clearfield, Elk, McKean, Potter, Warren6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.