Alert archive / New York / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 1244

August 6, 201818 counties in New York; 6 counties in Ohio; Crawford County, Erie County, Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 6, 2018, 3:12 PM EDT for 18 counties in New York; 6 counties in Ohio; Crawford County, Erie County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 6, 2018, 3:12 PM EDT (19:12 UTC)
Expired
Aug 6, 2018, 5:45 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
5%
All 26 counties

Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Seneca County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY, Yates County, NY, Ashtabula County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Erie County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Lake County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Crawford County, PA, Erie County, PA

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-08-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 570 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-08-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 32 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
570 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-74 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1257 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
9 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 6, 1:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDefiance, Fulton, Henry, Lucas, Ottawa, Paulding and 2 more3 hr
Aug 6, 1:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFulton, Williams5 hr
Aug 6, 4:44 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Crawford, Defiance, Erie, Fulton, Hancock and 13 more61 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.