Alert archive / Michigan / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 1242

August 6, 20184 counties in Indiana; 15 counties in Michigan; 8 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 6, 2018, 1:26 PM EDT for 4 counties in Indiana; 15 counties in Michigan; 8 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 6, 2018, 1:26 PM EDT (17:26 UTC)
Expired
Aug 6, 2018, 4:00 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
60%
All 27 counties

DeKalb County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, Noble County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Branch County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Lenawee County, MI, Livingston County, MI, Macomb County, MI, Monroe County, MI, Oakland County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Washtenaw County, MI, Wayne County, MI, Defiance County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Henry County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Williams County, OH, Wood County, OH

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 5.4 hours before the alert went out and 88 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2018-08-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2085 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2018-08-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 28 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2085 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-26 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
834 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
28 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
18 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 6, 1:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDeKalb, LaGrange, Noble, Steuben5 hr
Aug 6, 4:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGibson, Knox, Pike, Posey, Vanderburgh, Warrick2 hr
Aug 6, 6:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Jasper, Lake, LaPorte, Newton, Porter and 2 more114 min
Aug 6, 3:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshtabula, Cuyahoga, Erie, Geauga, Lake, Lorain3 hr
Aug 6, 4:44 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Crawford, Defiance, Erie, Fulton, Hancock and 13 more61 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Michigan, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.