Alert archive / Virginia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 1172

July 27, 20186 counties in Maryland; 44 counties in Virginia; 27 counties in West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 27, 2018, 1:28 PM EDT for 6 counties in Maryland; 44 counties in Virginia; 27 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 62 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 27, 2018, 1:28 PM EDT (17:28 UTC)
Expired
Jul 27, 2018, 2:30 PM EDT
In force
62 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%
All 77 counties

Anne Arundel County, MD, Charles County, MD, Frederick County, MD, Howard County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Albemarle County, VA, Alleghany County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Augusta County, VA, Bath County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Greene County, VA, Highland County, VA, King George County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Madison County, VA, Nelson County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Warren County, VA, Barbour County, WV, Berkeley County, WV, Boone County, WV, Braxton County, WV, Clay County, WV, Fayette County, WV, Gilmer County, WV, Grant County, WV, Greenbrier County, WV, Hampshire County, WV, Hardy County, WV, Jefferson County, WV, Kanawha County, WV, Lewis County, WV, Lincoln County, WV, Logan County, WV, Mineral County, WV, Morgan County, WV, Nicholas County, WV, Pendleton County, WV, Pocahontas County, WV, Raleigh County, WV, Randolph County, WV, Summers County, WV, Tucker County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Webster County, WV

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 161 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 156 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2018-07-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 83 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2018-07-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 17 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
83 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-55 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1029 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
17 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
72 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 27, 1:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCaroline, Cecil, Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot9 hr
Jul 27, 1:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegany, Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Carroll, Charles and 12 more7 hr
Jul 27, 4:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Caroline, Carroll, Cecil and 13 more55 min
Jul 27, 7:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Caroline, Cecil, Charles and 13 more54 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in West Virginia, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.