Severe Thunderstorm Warning 170, NWS Springfield, MO

734 
WWUS53 KSGF 091143
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
643 AM CDT SAT JUN 9 2018

MOC065-091151-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0170.000000T0000Z-180609T1145Z/
Dent MO-
643 AM CDT SAT JUN 9 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN DENT COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 645 AM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However...small 
hail up to dime size and gusty winds up to 40 mph are still possible 
with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3759 9131 3751 9131 3750 9121 3741 9122
      3742 9146 3749 9153 3761 9145 3763 9115
      3759 9116
TIME...MOT...LOC 1141Z 260DEG 11KT 3755 9129 

$$

Gaede

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
512 AM CDT Sat Jun 9 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 157 AM CDT Sat Jun 9 2018

Isolated showers and storms will be possible today mainly across
the eastern Ozarks generally east of Highway 65. A weakening upper
level ridge will push eastward through the day with a few weak
short waves moving through the upper level flow. The combination
of the shortwaves, the moist airmass in place and daytime heating
will be the fuel for any storms that can develop. Afternoon
temperatures will again climb into the upper 80s to lower 90s.

No organized storms are expected but a strong storm would be
possible. One limiting factor will be the southwesterly surface
flow that will begin to bring some slightly drier air originating
from west Texas. This is the primary reason storm chances are much
smaller across the Western Ozarks and southeast Kansas.

The drier air will continue to filter into the region tonight and
push rain chances eastward as it does. The ridge will also help
with shifting the rainfall east.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 157 AM CDT Sat Jun 9 2018

Sunday into Monday morning looks dry as the upper ridge and dry
airmass remain over the area. This may be the only period for next
week that does have near zero chances for rain however.

A cold front will move across the plains and through the Ozarks
Monday evening into Tuesday morning. This will bring chances for
showers and storms to the area. The front lift will be weak
however and strong to severe storm development will be limited at
best. The good part is that most of the area could see some rain.

As the front sags south, it will stall and hang up along the
Missouri/Arkansas line. The upper level flow is also expected to
become zonal or west to east once the front begins to stall. This
combination will allow for a period of wet weather across the
region through the end of next week as any short waves moving
through the upper level flow would help to develop showers and
storms.

There appears to be several shortwaves in the models through the
week with a least slight chances for rain every day. The later in
the week the chances are less confident as models do begin to have
diverging solutions, but the general trend for rainfall remains.

Temperatures will remains in the upper 80s to lower 90s each day
for highs Through this weekend and into next weekend as the
overall flow, both surface and upper level keep the region summer
like despite the chancing upper level flow and a more southerly
vs southwesterly surface flow.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning)
Issued at 507 AM CDT Sat Jun 9 2018

KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: VFR. A weak upper level disturbance will help
trigger a few showers/tstms once again with the best chances
northeast and east of the taf sites, so have not included in the
tafs attm. Will monitor convective trends and possible outflow
boundaries. Otherwise winds will generally be light from the ssw
with afternoon cumulus.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Hatch
LONG TERM...Hatch
AVIATION...DSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
529 AM CDT Sat Jun 9 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-101030-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
529 AM CDT Sat Jun 9 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited lightning risk.
  Limited excessive heat risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Isolated thunderstorms will remain possible agaiin today along
  and east of the Highway 65 corridor. Hail up to the size of
  quarters will be possible from a few of these storms along
  with frequent lightning, brief heavy rainfall, and locally
  gusty winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

  Above normal temperatures are expected to continue through the
  weekend into next week. Afternoon heat index values in the
  middle 90s to around 100 degrees will occur on a daily
  afternoon basis into next week.

  Scattered thunderstorms will impact the outlook area at times
  on a daily basis. A limited risk for a strong to severe storm
  will be possible but widespread organized severe weather is not
  expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Hatch

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
553 AM CDT SAT JUN 9 2018

MOZ083-091145-
Dent MO-
553 AM CDT SAT JUN 9 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN DENT COUNTY UNTIL
645 AM CDT...

At 553 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles southeast of Salem, moving east at 15 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Bunker...                         Turtle...
Boss...                           Jadwin...
Howes Mill...                     Darien...
Stone Hill...                     Gladden...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3759 9131 3751 9131 3750 9121 3742 9121
      3743 9159 3760 9161 3770 9119 3769 9115
      3759 9116
TIME...MOT...LOC 1053Z 260DEG 11KT 3752 9147

Hatch