Flash Flood Warning 22, NWS Springfield, MO

749 
WGUS73 KSGF 090208 RRA
FFSSGF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
908 PM CDT FRI JUN 8 2018

MOC091-090218-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FF.W.0022.000000T0000Z-180609T0315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Howell MO-
908 PM CDT FRI JUN 8 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN HOWELL COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The threat for rapid rises in water levels has diminished. Flash
flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat to life or property.
Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3700 9176 3688 9169 3690 9183 3697 9189

$$

Terry

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
628 PM CDT Fri Jun 8 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 320 PM CDT Fri Jun 8 2018

An upper level ridge remains over the Plains this afternoon. An
above normal air mass is also in place across the area as
temperatures are currently in the upper 80s to lower 90s with heat
index values in the middle to upper 90s this afternoon.

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon into this
evening. A strong storm or two may be possible with winds in
excess of 45mph, but widespread severe weather is not expected.

An upper level disturbance will track south across northern and
eastern Missouri tonight into Saturday. The better chances for
storms will be north and east of the area, but some storms may
clip the northern and eastern portions of the forecast area
tonight into Saturday morning.

Highs on Saturday will once again top out in the upper 80s to the
lower 90s, with heat index values in the middle 90s to around
100.

Drier air will start to work into the area in the mid levels on
Saturday. An isolated storm or two will be possible but the drier
air will limit coverage and most locations should remain dry after
any morning convection pushes out of the area.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 320 PM CDT Fri Jun 8 2018

The upper level ridge will nudge east across the region by Sunday
and again allow temperatures to warm into the lower 90s. Heat
index values in the upper 90s to around 100 degrees will again
occur. Drier air in the mid level will remain in place across the
area on Sunday. This will help to limit thunderstorm develop
potential. An isolated thunderstorm or two will still be possible
though given the increase in instability with the heating of the
day Sunday afternoon.

An upper level trough will track east into the Plains early next
week. This will flatten the ridge and allow slightly cooler
temperatures next week, with highs generally warming into the
middle 80s each afternoon. A front will also move through the
area and could generate some thunderstorms. The area will remain
in a more zonal type flow pattern next week and some periodic
storm chances will be possible at times next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 611 PM CDT Fri Jun 8 2018

Widely scattered thunderstorms will slowly dissipate this evening
across south-central Missouri. We have covered this threat with a
VCTS group in the Branson TAF through 02Z. Brief IFR conditions
and gusty winds can be expected around storms.

Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected through Saturday. Surface
winds will remain out of the south to southwest (outside of
thunderstorms). Gusts around 20 knots are expected from later
Saturday morning into Saturday afternoon.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Wise
LONG TERM...Wise
AVIATION...Schaumann

Hazardous Weather Outlook...Corrected
National Weather Service Springfield MO
336 PM CDT Fri Jun 8 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-092045-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
336 PM CDT Fri Jun 8 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited lightning risk.
  Limited excessive heat risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Isolated thunderstorms will develop across portions of the
  Missouri Ozarks late this afternoon into this evening. Wind
  gusts to 60 mph and dime size hail will be possible in a few of
  the strongest storms. Localized brief heavy rainfall and
  occasional cloud ground lightning strikes will occur with any
  storm this afternoon and evening.

  Heat index values in the middle to upper 90s will continue late
  this afternoon into early this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

  Above normal temperatures are expected to continue through the
  weekend into next week. Afternoon heat index values in the
  middle 90s to around 100 degrees will occur on a daily
  afternoon basis into next week.

  Scattered thunderstorms will impact the outlook area at times
  on a daily basis. A limited risk for a strong to severe storm
  will be possible but widespread organized severe weather is not
  expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Wise