Alert archive / Missouri / Areal Flood Warnings in 2018

Areal Flood Warning 13, NWS Springfield, MO

March 27, 201810 counties in Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this areal flood warning at Mar 27, 2018, 9:21 AM CDT for 10 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 31 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 27, 2018, 9:21 AM CDT (14:21 UTC)
Expired
Mar 28, 2018, 4:01 PM CDT
In force
31 hr
Issued by
NWS Springfield, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Barry County, MO, Christian County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 41 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 2.4 hours before the alert went out and 16 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2018-03-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2018-03-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -16 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
617 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-58 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood warning went out at Mar 27, 7:10 AM CDT, 2 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 27, 7:10 AM CDT, 2 hours 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
710 AM CDT Tue Mar 27 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)

Moderate to heavy rain was ongoing across portions of the Missouri
Ozarks this morning within a deep southwest flow regime. A long
wave trough axis was aligned across the Rockies, helping to force
Gulf moisture into the Ozarks.

Intermittent rain is expected to persist through much of the day,
with a few showers lingering this evening and through the night
for portions of far southern Missouri. We could observe some
rainfall amounts ranging from two to three and a half inches in
the heaviest band of precip. The Flood Watch will continue through
00z this evening, and through midnight for Howell, Oregon, and
Shannon counties.

For the most part, tomorrow will be dry and cool with highs
ranging from the upper 40s in the Osage Plains, to the lower 60s
in south central Missouri.

Mostly dry conditions will continue into tonight, with lows
falling in the upper 30s and lower 40s.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)

By late afternoon Wednesday, the upper low will approach the
Ozarks from the west. This feature will force additional showers
through Wednesday night and into Thursday morning. Wednesday night
and Thursday's showers will likely produce another quarter to half
inch for most locations.

Cooler temperatures will follow as a Canadian airmass spreads
across the area. Look for lows to fall into the 30s Thursday
night into Friday morning, with highs only reaching the upper 50s
and lower 60s.

By Saturday, another reinforcing shot of Canadian air approaches
from the north. This system could also bring a quick shot of
showers and isolated thunderstorms through Saturday evening.
Overnight lows Sunday night into Monday could approach freezing.
As of now we do not have a hard freeze forecasted, however we do
have temps in the low 30s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday morning)
Issued at 703 AM CDT Tue Mar 27 2018

The region was under the influence of a deep area of southwesterly
flow aloft and moisture from the Gulf of Mexico. A cold front over
the region was also helping to focus the rain across the region.
This combination will bring MVFR to IFR ceilings and visibilities
to the regions terminals through today and into tonight. Periods
of isolated thunderstorms may also occur.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flood Watch through late tonight for MOZ097-098-106.

     Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for MOZ057-058-068>071-
     077>083-088>096-101>105.

KS...Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for KSZ101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Hatch
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 27, 9:06 AM CDT, 15 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Springfield MO
906 AM CDT Tue Mar 27 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-281415-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
906 AM CDT Tue Mar 27 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated flooding risk.
  Limited lightning risk.
  Limited fog risk.

DISCUSSION...

 A batch of moderate to occasionally heavy rainfall will continue
to move through the area through the morning and afternoon hours,
with the heaviest rainfall along and south of Interstate 44.
Several locations have received between one to two inches
Overnight with an additional one to two inches likely through
today. A few rumbles of thunder are possible across far southern
Missouri this morning into early afternoon.

This rainfall will cause flooding of some low water crossings. A
few rivers are now forecasted to approach minor flood stage due to
the rainfall.

Patchy fog with visibilities less than 1 mile are possible at
times, especially in areas of heavier rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

A few thunderstorms are possible on Friday and Saturday across
parts of the area.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Burchfield

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 27, 7:59 AM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
759 AM CDT TUE MAR 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 AM     FLOOD            5 NE TWIN BRIDGES       37.60N 92.54W
03/27/2018                   LACLEDE            MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROAD CLOSED FROM .026 MILE CRD CREEK RD E TO
            .628 MILE AFTER CRD RUSH DR S. MODOT REPORT.

0752 AM     FLOOD            6 SSW DRY KNOB          37.56N 92.48W
03/27/2018                   LACLEDE            MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROAD CLOSED FROM .03 MILES BEFORE CRD BERRY
            RD E TO .005 MILE BEFORE CRD SCENIC DR E.
            MODOT REPORTED.

&&
Local storm report, Mar 27, 8:08 AM CDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
808 AM CDT TUE MAR 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0807 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NW VERONA             36.98N 93.81W
03/27/2018  M2.08 INCH       LAWRENCE           MO   PUBLIC

            CURRENTLY FALLING AT A 0.16" PER HOUR RATE.

&&

TEO
Local storm report, Mar 27, 9:03 AM CDT, 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
903 AM CDT TUE MAR 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0902 AM     FLOOD            2 SSW COMPETITION       37.45N 92.45W
03/27/2018                   WRIGHT             MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROAD CLOSED AT ALPINE LN E AND RT H E. MODOT
            REPORTED.

&&

TEO
Local storm report, Mar 27, 9:05 AM CDT, 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
905 AM CDT TUE MAR 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0904 AM     FLOOD            5 NNE MANSFIELD         37.17N 92.54W
03/27/2018                   WRIGHT             MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING HUNT RD S TO
            PRIVATE RD S. MODOT REPORTED.

&&

TEO
Local storm report, Mar 27, 9:09 AM CDT, 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
909 AM CDT TUE MAR 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0907 AM     FLOOD            4 SSE FORDLAND          37.10N 92.92W
03/27/2018                   WEBSTER            MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROAD CLOSED ROUTE Z IS CLOSED NORTH AND
            SOUTHBOUND. MODOT REPORTED.
            HTTP://TRAVELER.MODOT.ORG/MAP/.

&&

TEO

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 7:50 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySGFLaclede, Wright6 hr
Mar 27, 9:16 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningSGFDallas, Dent, Laclede, Phelps, Pulaski, Texas and 2 more31 hr
Mar 27, 9:25 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFPhelps4 days
Mar 27, 9:56 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningSGFDouglas, Ozark, Taney, Wright23 hr
Mar 27, 12:23 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningSGFDent, Douglas, Howell, Ozark, Phelps, Shannon and 1 more28 hr
Mar 27, 1:30 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFPulaski32 hr

Nearby

Areal Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2018Every areal flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.