Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 19, NWS Blacksburg, VA

September 15, 2018Rockingham County, North Carolina

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this river flood warning at Sep 15, 2018, 9:28 PM EDT for Rockingham County, North Carolina. It took effect at Sep 16, 2018, 11:53 PM EDT. It was in force for 59 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 15, 2018, 9:28 PM EDT (01:28 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 16, 2018, 11:53 PM EDT
Expired
Sep 19, 2018, 11:00 AM EDT
In force
59 hr
Issued by
NWS Blacksburg, VA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Moderate

County Rockingham County, NC

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Dan River near Wentworth (WENN7).

Action stage
17 ft
Minor stage
19 ft
Moderate stage
25 ft
Major stage
29 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 2071000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

355 
WGUS41 KRNK 160128
FLWRNK
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
928 PM EDT Sat Sep 15 2018

...The National Weather Service Blacksburg Va has issued
a Flood Warning for the following rivers in North Carolina...
Virginia...

  Dan River near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County

Moderate to Major flooding is forecast along much of the Dan River as a result of the rains expected to occur from now Tropical Storm Florence. Rainfall of 4 to 8 inches with isolated higher amounts is forecast over the next 48 hours across the basin with the highest amounts in the upper reaches within the Blue Ridge Mountains. The forecast for these flood levels is based almost entirely on forecast rainfall. Should the rain that occurs be lower, flood levels will also be less and conversely if the rainfall is higher then flood levels could exceed these forecasts. Updates will be made as necessary.

Although near record stages approaching the September 1996 flood are forecast at Danville it should be noted that the period of record at the current gage location is only since 1996. At the previous gage location in Danville the river had a considerably higher volume of discharge in the August 1940 flood than during the 1996 flood and likely much higher levels.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Listen to noaa weather radio or your favorite media outlet for later 
statements or warnings.

&&

NCC157-161327-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0019.180917T0353Z-180919T1500Z/
/WENN7.2.ER.180917T0353Z.180918T0000Z.180919T0900Z.NO/
928 PM EDT Sat Sep 15 2018

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Dan River near Wentworth
* from Sunday evening until Wednesday morning
* At 08PM Saturday the stage was 3.9 feet.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late evening and 
  continue to rise to near 27.4 feet by Monday evening.The river will
  fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water reaches top of the outside staff 
  gage on USGS well house.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-161327-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0020.180917T0510Z-180920T2345Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.180917T0510Z.180918T1200Z.180920T1145Z.NR/
928 PM EDT Sat Sep 15 2018

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Dan River near Danville
* from late Sunday night until Thursday evening
* At 07PM Saturday the stage was 7.8 feet.
* Flood Stage is 17.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast with a rapid rise above flood stage by tomorrow late evening and 
  continuing to rise to near 28 feet feet by Monday evening.
* Flood history...this crest compares to the record crest of 28.7 feet during Hurricane Fran in           1996.


&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-161327-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0021.180917T1510Z-000000T0000Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.180917T1510Z.180919T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
928 PM EDT Sat Sep 15 2018

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Dan River at Paces
* from Monday morning until further notice
* At 07PM Saturday the stage was 7.2 feet.
* Flood Stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Major flooding is forecast. 
* Impact...at 29.0 feet...Water reaches the underside of the Route 
  658 bridge over the Dan River.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 29.1 
  feet on Apr 26 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-161327-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0022.180917T1127Z-000000T0000Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.180917T1127Z.180920T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
928 PM EDT Sat Sep 15 2018

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Dan River at South Boston
* from Monday morning until further notice
* At 08PM Saturday the stage was 10.6 feet.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet. 
* Major flooding is forecast with a crest over 30 feet sometime Wednesday.
* Impact...at 29.5 feet...Route 501 begins to flood and number of 
  businesses in the Riverdale area are affected.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 30.2 
  feet on Apr 27 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

pc
12 follow-up statements
827 
WGUS81 KRNK 161147
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
747 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...Virginia..
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 
  Yadkin River At Wilkesboro affecting Wilkes County 
  Yadkin River At Elkin affecting Surry and Yadkin Counties 


Moderate to Major flooding is forecast on the upper Yadkin River 
and Dan River basins due to the rains expected from now Tropical
Depression Florence. Rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with isolated higher
amounts is forecast over the next 36 hours. The forecast for these flood 
levels is based almost entirely on forecast rainfall. Should the rain 
that occurs be lower, flood levels will also be less and conversely if
the rainfall is higher then flood levels could exceed these forecasts. 
Updates will be made as necessary. 


 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued by early this afternoon.

&&

NCC157-161947-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0019.180917T0353Z-180919T1500Z/
/WENN7.2.ER.180917T0353Z.180918T0000Z.180919T0900Z.NO/
747 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* from tonight until Wednesday morning
* at 06AM Sunday the stage was 3.1 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 27.4 feet by Monday evening. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water reaches top of the outside staff 
  gage on USGS well house.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-161947-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0020.180917T0510Z-180920T2345Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.180917T0510Z.180918T1200Z.180920T1145Z.NR/
747 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* from after midnight tomorrow until Thursday evening
* at 06AM Sunday the stage was 7.9 feet.

* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tonight and 
  continue to rise to near 28.2 feet by Tuesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-161947-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0021.180917T1510Z-000000T0000Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.180917T1510Z.180919T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
747 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* from tomorrow late morning until further notice
* at 06AM Sunday the stage was 8.8 feet.

* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late Monday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 28.4 feet by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 29.0 feet...Water reaches the underside of the Route 
  658 bridge over the Dan River.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 29.1 
  feet on Apr 26 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-161947-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0022.180917T1127Z-000000T0000Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.180917T1127Z.180920T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
747 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* from tomorrow morning until further notice
* at 07AM Sunday the stage was 13.2 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Monday morning and continue
  to rise to near 30.4 feet by early Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 29.5 feet...Route 501 begins to flood and number of 
  businesses in the Riverdale area are affected.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 30.2 
  feet on Apr 27 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

NCC193-161947-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0023.180916T2216Z-180918T0617Z/
/WKSN7.2.ER.180916T2216Z.180917T0600Z.180917T1817Z.NO/
747 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Yadkin River At Wilkesboro.
* from this evening until late Monday night
* at 06AM Sunday the stage was 2.0 feet.

* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 20.1 feet by after midnight tonight. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Monday afternoon.
* Impact...at 20.0 feet...A few cottages and recreational camps are 
  flooded

&&

LAT...LON 3611 8121 3617 8124 3624 8105 3617 8099
                                      

$$

NCC171-197-161947-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0024.180916T2340Z-180918T2301Z/
/ELKN7.3.ER.180916T2340Z.180917T1800Z.180918T1101Z.NO/
747 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Yadkin River At Elkin.
* from this evening until Tuesday evening
* at 07AM Sunday the stage was 1.6 feet.

* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 27.1 feet by Monday afternoon. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Flooding begins at True Textiles 
  Manufacturing Company main building.

&&

LAT...LON 3617 8099 3624 8105 3632 8075 3631 8045
          3622 8045 3622 8073         

$$
341 
WGUS81 KRNK 161457
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1057 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...Virginia...
 
  Dan River near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 
  Yadkin River At Wilkesboro affecting Wilkes County 
  Yadkin River At Elkin affecting Surry and Yadkin Counties 

Moderate to Major flooding is still being forecast on the Dan
and Yadkin rivers as a result of rainfall yet to come from 
Florence. The past 24 hours have seen amounts ranging from
0.50 to 2 inches across these river basins with the highest
amounts in the mountains. The next 24 hours of forecast 
rainfall will be critical in determining the severity of 
the flooding. Should the rain that occurs be lower, flood 
levels will also be less and conversely if the rainfall 
is higher then flood levels could exceed these forecasts. 
Updates will be made as necessary. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued ths afternoon.

&&

NCC157-162256-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0019.180917T0432Z-180919T1326Z/
/WENN7.2.ER.180917T0432Z.180918T0000Z.180919T0726Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Wentworth.
* from after midnight tomorrow until Wednesday morning
* at 09AM Sunday the stage was 3.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and 
  continue to rise to near 27.6 feet by tomorrow evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water reaches top of the outside staff 
  gage on USGS well house.
* Flood history...this crest compares to the crest of 26.9 feet 
   on March 21 2003.  
  

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-162256-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0020.180917T0621Z-180921T0300Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.180917T0621Z.180918T1200Z.180920T1500Z.NR/
1057 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* from after midnight tomorrow until Thursday evening
* at 09AM Sunday the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and 
  continue to rise to near 28.2 feet by Tuesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by late Thursday morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to the record crest at
  this location of 28.7 feet on September 7 1996.


&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-162256-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0021.180917T1610Z-180921T1603Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.180917T1610Z.180919T0600Z.180921T0403Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* from tomorrow early afternoon until Friday afternoon
* at 09AM Sunday the stage was 8.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 28.2 feet by early Wednesday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* Impact...at 29.0 feet...Water reaches the underside of the Route 
  658 bridge over the Dan River.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 29.1 
  feet on Apr 26 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-162256-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0022.180917T1424Z-000000T0000Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.180917T1424Z.180919T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* from tomorrow late morning until further notice
* at 10AM Sunday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and 
  continue to rise to near 30.2 feet by Wednesday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 29.5 feet...Route 501 begins to flood and number of 
  businesses in the Riverdale area are affected.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 30.2 
  feet on Apr 27 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

NCC193-162256-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0023.180917T0316Z-180918T0146Z/
/WKSN7.1.ER.180917T0316Z.180917T0600Z.180917T1346Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Yadkin River At Wilkesboro.
* from tonight until Monday evening
* at 09AM Sunday the stage was 2.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 16.0 feet by after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by tomorrow late morning.
* Impact...at 16.0 feet...Water continues to overflow the left bank 
  covering local agricultural land and reaching the end of wilkesboro
  avenue.
* Flood history...this crest compares to the crest of 16.2 feet on 
  april 10 1983.

&&

LAT...LON 3611 8121 3617 8124 3624 8105 3617 8099
                                      

$$

NCC171-197-162256-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0024.180917T0112Z-180918T1927Z/
/ELKN7.3.ER.180917T0112Z.180917T1200Z.180918T0727Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Yadkin River At Elkin.
* from tonight until Tuesday afternoon
* at 10AM Sunday the stage was 1.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 26.6 feet by tomorrow morning. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by Tuesday morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to the crest of 24.9 feet on
  April 10 1983.

&&

LAT...LON 3617 8099 3624 8105 3632 8075 3631 8045
          3622 8045 3622 8073         

$$

pc
881 
WGUS81 KRNK 162249
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
649 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...Virginia..
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 


Moderate to Major flooding is still being forecast on the Dan
River as a result of rainfall yet to come from 
Florence. The past 24 hours have seen amounts ranging from
1 to 4 inches across the Dan River basin with the highest
amounts in the mountains. The next 12 to 24 hours of forecast 
rainfall will be critical in determining the severity of 
the flooding. Should the rain that occurs be lower, flood 
levels will also be less and conversely if the rainfall 
is higher then flood levels could exceed these forecasts. 
Updates will be made as necessary. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued late thius evening.

&&

NCC157-170649-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0019.180917T0432Z-180919T1326Z/
/WENN7.2.ER.180917T0432Z.180918T0000Z.180919T0726Z.NO/
649 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* from after midnight tomorrow until Wednesday morning
* at 05PM Sunday the stage was 6.7 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and 
  continue to rise to near 27.6 feet by tomorrow evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water reaches top of the outside staff 
  gage on USGS well house.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-170649-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0020.180917T0621Z-180921T0300Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.180917T0621Z.180918T1200Z.180920T1500Z.NR/
649 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* from after midnight tomorrow until Thursday evening
* at 05PM Sunday the stage was 8.2 feet.

* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and 
  continue to rise to near 28.2 feet by Tuesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by late Thursday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-170649-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0021.180917T1610Z-180921T1603Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.180917T1610Z.180919T0600Z.180921T0403Z.NO/
649 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* from tomorrow early afternoon until Friday afternoon
* at 05PM Sunday the stage was 9.5 feet.

* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 28.2 feet by early Wednesday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* Impact...at 29.0 feet...Water reaches the underside of the Route 
  658 bridge over the Dan River.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 29.1 
  feet on Apr 26 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-170649-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0022.180917T1424Z-000000T0000Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.180917T1424Z.180919T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
649 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* from tomorrow late morning until further notice
* at 06PM Sunday the stage was 14.3 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and 
  continue to rise to near 30.2 feet by Wednesday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 29.5 feet...Route 501 begins to flood and number of 
  businesses in the Riverdale area are affected.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 30.2 
  feet on Apr 27 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$
043 
WGUS81 KRNK 170223
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1023 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...Virginia...
 
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

Heavy rainfall today and additonal rain forecast overnight 
will leave the river forecasts along the Dan River basically
unchanged with moderate to possibly major flooding. If the 
forecast rains tonight are less than current predictions 
then the crests along the Dan will be lower but this will
be assessed tomorrow morning.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
The next scheduled statement will be issued tomorrow morning.

&&

NCC157-171022-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0019.180917T0612Z-180919T1515Z/
/WENN7.2.ER.180917T0612Z.180918T0000Z.180919T0915Z.NO/
1023 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* from after midnight tomorrow until Wednesday morning
* at 09PM Sunday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and 
  continue to rise to near 27.7 feet by tomorrow evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water reaches top of the outside staff 
  gage on USGS well house.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-171022-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0020.180917T0747Z-180921T0038Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.180917T0747Z.180918T1200Z.180920T1238Z.NR/
1023 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* from early tomorrow until Thursday evening
* at 09PM Sunday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue 
  to rise to near 28.2 feet by Tuesday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.3 
  feet on Apr 25 2017.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-171022-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0021.180917T1924Z-180921T1610Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.180917T1924Z.180919T1200Z.180921T0410Z.NO/
1023 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* from tomorrow afternoon until Friday afternoon
* at 09PM Sunday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 28.5 feet by Wednesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* Impact...at 29.0 feet...Water reaches the underside of the Route 
  658 bridge over the Dan River.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 29.1 
  feet on Apr 26 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-171022-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0022.180917T1619Z-180922T0910Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.180917T1619Z.180920T0000Z.180921T2110Z.NO/
1023 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* from tomorrow early afternoon until late Friday night
* at 09PM Sunday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 30.3 feet by Wednesday evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Friday afternoon.
* Impact...at 29.5 feet...Route 501 begins to flood and number of 
  businesses in the Riverdale area are affected.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 30.2 
  feet on Apr 27 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

pc
951 
WGUS41 KRNK 170754
FLWRNK
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
354 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...Virginia...
 
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

Forecast stages remain unchanged from last evening along the New River.
Light rain continues across the area through early this morning
with parts of the basin receiving 2 to 4 inches
of rain the past 24 hours with an additional half of an inch possible
through the rest of the morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Listen to noaa weather radio or your favorite media outlet for later 
statements or warnings.

&&

NCC157-171953-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180919T1515Z/
/WENN7.2.ER.180917T0813Z.180918T0000Z.180919T0915Z.NO/
354 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* until Wednesday morning
* At 02AM Monday the stage was 16.8 feet.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 27.7 feet by this evening. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water reaches top of the outside staff 
  gage on USGS well house.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-171953-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0020.180917T0919Z-180921T0038Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.180917T0919Z.180918T1200Z.180920T1238Z.NR/
354 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until Thursday evening
* At 02AM Monday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood Stage is 17.0 feet. 
* Major flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 28.4 feet by tomorrow morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-171953-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0021.180917T1924Z-180921T1610Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.180917T1924Z.180919T1200Z.180921T0410Z.NO/
354 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Friday afternoon
* At 02AM Monday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood Stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Major flooding is forecast. 
* Impact...at 29.0 feet...Water reaches the underside of the Route 
  658 bridge over the Dan River.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 29.1 
  feet on Apr 26 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-171953-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0022.180917T1619Z-180922T0910Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.180917T1619Z.180920T0000Z.180921T2110Z.NO/
354 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until late Friday night
* At 03AM Monday the stage was 15.5 feet.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet. 
* Major flooding is forecast. 
* Impact...at 29.5 feet...Route 501 begins to flood and number of 
  businesses in the Riverdale area are affected.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 30.2 
  feet on Apr 27 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$
RCS
989 
WGUS81 KRNK 171142
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
742 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...West Virginia...North Carolina..
  New River Near Galax affecting Carroll...Grayson and City of Galax
  Counties 
  New River At Radford affecting Montgomery...Pulaski and City of 
  Radford Counties 
  New River At Glen Lyn affecting Giles...Mercer...Monroe and 
  Summers Counties 
  Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem Counties 
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 
  Yadkin River At Elkin affecting Surry and Yadkin Counties 


Rainfall of 2 to as much as 8 inches has occurred since Saturday over
the basins, with the highest amounts in the headwaters of the New, Dan and 
Roanoke River basins.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued by noon today.

&&

VAC035-077-640-171942-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0025.180917T1430Z-180918T1525Z/
/GAXV2.2.ER.180917T1430Z.180917T1800Z.180918T0325Z.UU/
742 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the New River Near Galax.
* from late this morning until Tuesday morning
* at 06AM Monday the stage was 8.7 feet and rising.

* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 11.1 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by tonight.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Route 634 (grinders mill road) on right 
  bank may become flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3658 8119 3693 8090 3692 8078 3665 8090
          3657 8095                   

$$

VAC121-155-750-171942-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0026.180917T1602Z-180919T0410Z/
/RDFV2.2.ER.180917T1602Z.180918T0600Z.180918T2210Z.NO/
742 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Radford.
* from this afternoon until late Tuesday night
* at 07AM Monday the stage was 4.4 feet.

* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue 
  to rise to near 19.6 feet by after midnight tomorrow. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by tomorrow evening.
* Impact...at 20.0 feet...Flooding along sections of Hazel Hollow 
  road (State Route 626) on Pulaski County side of the river.

&&

LAT...LON 3708 8062 3723 8065 3727 8053 3722 8049
          3710 8050                   

$$

VAC071-WVC055-063-089-171942-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0027.180918T0632Z-180919T1312Z/
/GLLV2.2.ER.180918T0632Z.180918T1800Z.180919T0112Z.NO/
742 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Glen Lyn.
* from after midnight tomorrow until Wednesday morning
* at 06AM Monday the stage was 4.5 feet.

* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tonight and 
  continue to rise to near 16.1 feet by tomorrow early afternoon. The
  river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...at 17.0 feet...Some campsites along the river are 
  affected.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 15.6 
  feet on Apr 25 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3723 8065 3733 8082 3746 8097 3754 8078
          3742 8072 3727 8053         

$$

VAC161-770-775-171942-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0028.180917T1550Z-180919T0000Z/
/RONV2.2.ER.180917T1550Z.180918T0000Z.180918T1200Z.NO/
742 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River At Roanoke.
* from late this morning until Tuesday evening
* at 07AM Monday the stage was 8.0 feet.

* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 14.0 feet by this evening. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 14.6 
  feet on Sep 30 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

NCC157-171942-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180919T1515Z/
/WENN7.2.ER.180917T0858Z.180918T0000Z.180919T0915Z.NO/
742 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* until Wednesday morning. 
* at 06AM Monday the stage was 20.1 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 27.7 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water reaches top of the outside staff 
  gage on USGS well house.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-171942-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-180921T0038Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.180917T1032Z.180918T1200Z.180920T1238Z.NR/
742 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until Thursday evening. 
* at 07AM Monday the stage was 18.3 feet.

* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 28.4 feet by tomorrow 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-171942-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0021.180917T1924Z-180921T1610Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.180917T1924Z.180919T1200Z.180921T0410Z.NO/
742 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* from late this afternoon until Friday afternoon
* at 06AM Monday the stage was 15.5 feet.

* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 28.5 feet by Wednesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* Impact...at 29.0 feet...Water reaches the underside of the Route 
  658 bridge over the Dan River.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 29.1 
  feet on Apr 26 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-171942-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0022.180917T1619Z-180922T0910Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.180917T1619Z.180920T0000Z.180921T2110Z.NO/
742 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* from this afternoon until late Friday night
* at 07AM Monday the stage was 18.2 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue 
  to rise to near 30.3 feet by Wednesday evening. The river will fall
  below flood stage by Friday afternoon.
* Impact...at 29.5 feet...Route 501 begins to flood and number of 
  businesses in the Riverdale area are affected.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 30.2 
  feet on Apr 27 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

NCC171-197-171942-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-180918T1414Z/
/ELKN7.2.ER.180917T1105Z.180917T1800Z.180918T0214Z.NO/
742 AM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Yadkin River At Elkin.
* from this morning until Tuesday morning
* at 07AM Monday the stage was 17.6 feet.

* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this morning and continue to 
  rise to near 23.2 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below
  flood stage by tonight.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Two to three blocks of Elkin are 
  inundated.

&&

LAT...LON 3617 8099 3624 8105 3632 8075 3631 8045
          3622 8045 3622 8073         

$$
761 
WGUS81 KRNK 171603
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1203 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...Virginia...
 
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

Forecasts on the Dan River in North Carolina and Virginia have 
undergone slight revisions from earlier but the flood categories
are the same, mainly Moderate to Major level.

Although the Dan River at Danville may yet approach the record 
set during Hurricane Fran in 1996 the gage has only been at
the current location since early 1996. Records on the Dan River
dating back to the 1930s indicate that much higher flooding 
has occurred in the past, notably in August 1940.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
The next scheduled statement will be issued by this evening.

&&

NCC157-180002-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180919T1920Z/
/WENN7.2.ER.180917T0858Z.180918T0600Z.180919T1320Z.NO/
1203 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* until Wednesday afternoon. 
* at 11AM Monday the stage was 22.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 27.3 feet by after midnight 
  tonight. The river will fall below flood stage late Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water reaches top of the outside staff 
  gage on USGS well house.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 26.9 
  feet on Mar 21 2003.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-180002-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-180920T2152Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.180917T1032Z.180918T1800Z.180920T0952Z.NR/
1203 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until Thursday afternoon. 
* at 11AM Monday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 28.5 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a record crest of 28.7 
  feet on Sep 7 1996.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-180002-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0021.180917T1858Z-180921T1816Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.180917T1858Z.180919T1800Z.180921T0616Z.NO/
1203 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* from this afternoon until Friday afternoon
* at 10AM Monday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue 
  to rise to near 28.5 feet by Wednesday early afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* Impact...at 29.0 feet...Water reaches the underside of the Route 
  658 bridge over the Dan River.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 29.1 
  feet on Apr 26 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-180002-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0022.180917T1551Z-180922T0900Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.180917T1213Z.180920T0000Z.180921T2100Z.NO/
1203 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until late Friday night. 
* at 11AM Monday the stage was 20.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 29.5 feet by Wednesday 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday afternoon.
* Impact...at 29.5 feet...Route 501 begins to flood and number of 
  businesses in the Riverdale area are affected.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 30.2 
  feet on Apr 27 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

pc
101 
WGUS81 KRNK 172012
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
412 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...North Carolina...
 
  Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem Counties 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax
  Counties 
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

Flood forecast levels on the Roanoke River are only slightly changed
from the previous issuance. The Roanoke will crest this evening
at Roanoke and well downstream at Randolph tomorrow. No flooding
is expected at Alta Vista or Brookneal although stages will be
quite high.

The forecast on the Dan River is lowered with this issuance at all
the forecast points, with mainly moderate flooding now expected.
Danville may briefly reach Major flood stage tomorrow but this 
will not last long.
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

The next scheduled statement will be issued later this evening.

&&

VAC161-770-775-180412-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-180918T1434Z/
/RONV2.1.ER.180917T1609Z.180918T0000Z.180918T0234Z.NO/
412 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River At Roanoke.
* until Tuesday morning. 
* at 03PM Monday the stage was 11.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 11.5 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Flooding occurs in portions of Wasena 
  Park.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 10.6 
  feet on Jan 23 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

VAC037-083-180412-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0029.180918T0900Z-180919T2040Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.180918T0900Z.180918T1800Z.180919T0840Z.NO/
412 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* from early tomorrow until Wednesday afternoon
* at 03PM Monday the stage was 20.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue 
  to rise to near 25.0 feet by tomorrow early afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Water is several feet deep on portions of 
  river road and black walnut road.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.9 
  feet on Apr 26 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC157-180412-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180919T1539Z/
/WENN7.2.ER.180917T0858Z.180918T0600Z.180919T0939Z.NO/
412 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* until Wednesday morning. 
* at 03PM Monday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.4 feet by after midnight 
  tonight. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Moderate flood stage. Water reaches base 
  of deck at nearby home.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 26.9 
  feet on Mar 21 2003.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-180412-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-180920T1731Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.180917T1032Z.180918T1800Z.180920T0531Z.NO/
412 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until Thursday afternoon. 
* at 03PM Monday the stage was 20.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage early Thursday 
  morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.3 
  feet on Apr 25 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-180412-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-180921T1208Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.180917T1653Z.180919T1200Z.180921T0008Z.NO/
412 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Friday morning. 
* at 03PM Monday the stage was 21.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.5 feet by Wednesday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday evening.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.6 
  feet on Jan 27 2010.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-180412-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-180922T0315Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.180917T1213Z.180920T0000Z.180921T1515Z.NO/
412 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Friday evening. 
* at 03PM Monday the stage was 22.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 27.7 feet by Wednesday 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage late Friday morning.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water approaches Route 501.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 27.5 
  feet on Nov 14 2009.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

pc
526 
WGUS81 KRNK 180212
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1012 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...Virginia...
 
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

The forecast on the Dan River is lowered with this issuance at all
the forecast points, with mainly moderate flooding now expected.
 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued by 9 AM Tuesday.

&&

NCC157-181012-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180919T0827Z/
/WENN7.2.ER.180917T0858Z.180918T0600Z.180919T0227Z.NO/
1012 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* until late Tuesday night. 
* at 08PM Monday the stage was 24.5 feet and rising.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet by early 
  Tuesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  late Tuesday night.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Moderate flood stage. Water reaches base 
  of deck at nearby home.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-181012-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-180920T0717Z/
/DVLV2.2.ER.180917T1032Z.180918T0600Z.180919T1917Z.NO/
1012 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until late Wednesday night. 
* at 09PM Monday the stage was 21.2 feet and rising.

* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 21.8 feet Tuesday morning.
  The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday afternoon.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 21.5 
  feet on Dec 25 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-181012-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-180920T2241Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.180917T1653Z.180919T0000Z.180920T1041Z.NO/
1012 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Thursday evening. 
* at 08PM Monday the stage was 22.4 feet and rising.

* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.1 feet by Tuesday 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Low spots along routes 658 and 671 begin 
  to flood.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.6 
  feet on Dec 26 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-181012-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-180921T1152Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.180917T1213Z.180919T0600Z.180920T2352Z.NO/
1012 PM EDT Mon Sep 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Friday morning. 
* at 09PM Monday the stage was 23.8 feet and rising.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.7 feet by early Wednesday
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday evening.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water approaches route 501.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.6 
  feet on May 19 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$
061 
WGUS81 KRNK 180749
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
349 AM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...Virginia...
 
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham 
   and Pittsylvania Counties...including the City of 
   Danville. 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 


 The Dan River at Danville, Paces, and South Boston will
 continue to see rises to and remain above moderate flood stages today.
 Wentworth crested just below moderate flood stage overnight and
 will see levels lower through the day.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

The next scheduled statement will be issued by noon today.

&&

NCC157-181548-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180919T0616Z/
/WENN7.1.ER.180917T0858Z.180918T0500Z.180919T0016Z.NO/
349 AM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Wentworth.
* until late tonight. 
* at 02AM Tuesday the stage was 24.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 25 feet.
* The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Moderate flood stage. Water reaches base 
  of deck at nearby home.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-181548-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-180920T0457Z/
/DVLV2.2.ER.180917T1032Z.180918T1200Z.180919T1657Z.NO/
349 AM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until late Wednesday night. 
* at 03AM Tuesday the stage was 21.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 20 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 22.4 feet today. 
  The river will fall below moderate flood stage tonight,
  then below flood stage Wednesday night.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 21.5 
  feet on Dec 25 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-181548-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-180920T2042Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.180917T1653Z.180919T0600Z.180920T0842Z.NO/
349 AM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Thursday. 
* at 02AM Tuesday the stage was 23.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.4 feet into this evening.
  The river will fall below moderate flood stage late tonight,
  then below flood stage Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Low spots along routes 658 and 671 begin 
  to flood.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.6 
  feet on Dec 26 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-181548-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-180921T1012Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.180917T1213Z.180919T1800Z.180920T2212Z.NO/
349 AM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Friday morning. 
* at 03AM Tuesday the stage was 24.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 25 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.7 feet into Wednesday.
  The river will fall below moderate flood stage by Thursday morning,
  then below flood stage Thursday night.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water approaches route 501.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.6 
  feet on May 19 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$
RCS
517 
WGUS81 KRNK 181413
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1013 AM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...North Carolina...
 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax
  Counties 
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

Flooding from the remnants of Hurricane Florence continue to affect 
the Roanoke River and Dan River at multiple locations.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

The next scheduled statement will be issued by this evening.

&&

VAC037-083-182211-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0029.180918T1800Z-180919T0600Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.180918T1800Z.180918T1800Z.180918T1800Z.NO/
1013 AM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* from this afternoon until late tonight
* at 8 AM Tuesday the stage was 23.9 feet.

* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will rise to 24.0 feet and reach flood stage during 
  midday. The river will fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Widespread lowland flooding in fields on 
  left bank and woods on right bank.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.9 
  feet on Apr 26 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC157-182211-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180919T0232Z/
/WENN7.1.ER.180917T0858Z.180918T0500Z.180918T2032Z.NO/
1013 AM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* until this evening. 
* at 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 21.8 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...Portions of Dan Valley Road and and Water 
  Street in Mayodan are affected by high water.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 21.7 
  feet on Sep 30 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-182211-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-180920T0322Z/
/DVLV2.2.ER.180917T1032Z.180918T1800Z.180919T1522Z.NO/
1013 AM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until Wednesday evening. 
* at 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 22.6 feet.

* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 22.7 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will then fall below flood stage by tomorrrow morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.5 
  feet on Jan 26 2010.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-182211-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-180920T2033Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.180917T1653Z.180919T0600Z.180920T0833Z.NO/
1013 AM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Thursday afternoon. 
* at 8 AM Tuesday the stage was 23.9 feet.

* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.0 feet tonight. 
  The river will fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Low spots along routes 658 and 671 begin 
  to flood.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 24.5 
  feet on Oct 5 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-182211-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-180921T1040Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.180917T1213Z.180919T1800Z.180920T2240Z.NO/
1013 AM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Friday morning. 
* at 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 25.1 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.3 feet by tomorrow
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by Thursday evening.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water approaches route 501.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.6 
  feet on May 19 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      
$$

PW
966 
WGUS81 KRNK 181831
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
231 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Virginia...North Carolina...
 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and 
  Halifax Counties
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...Virginia...
 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 


 River levels at on the Roanoke River at Randolph and Dan River at 
 Wentworth have fallen below flood stage with a continued receding
 trend expected. River Flood Warnings have been cancelled for these
 two forecast points. 
 Only the Dan and Danville, Paces and South Boston
 remain in moderate flood. Danville is expected to crest shortly, 
 with gradual rises to continue further downriver at Paces and South
 Boston today.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued this evening.

&&

VAC037-083-181901-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-180919T0600Z/
/RNDV2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
231 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* until late tonight. 
* at 01PM Tuesday the stage was 23.7 feet.

* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Widespread lowland flooding in fields on 
  left bank and woods on right bank.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.9 
  feet on Apr 26 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC157-181901-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180919T0232Z/
/WENN7.1.ER.180917T0858Z.180918T0500Z.180918T1636Z.NO/
231 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* until this evening. 
* at 01PM Tuesday the stage was 17.4 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Impact...at 19.0 feet...Minor flood stage. Flooding of lowlands 
  and one or two roads. 

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-190230-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-180920T0113Z/
/DVLV2.2.ER.180917T1032Z.180919T0000Z.180919T1313Z.NO/
231 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until Wednesday evening. 
* at 02PM Tuesday the stage was 22.8 feet.

* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 23.0 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow late morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.5 
  feet on Jan 26 2010.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-190230-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-180920T1822Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.180917T1653Z.180919T1200Z.180920T0622Z.NO/
231 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Thursday afternoon. 
* at 01PM Tuesday the stage was 24.4 feet.

* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.1 feet by tomorrow 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage early Thursday 
  morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Low spots along routes 658 and 671 begin 
  to flood.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 24.5 
  feet on Oct 5 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-190230-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-180921T0701Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.180917T1213Z.180919T1800Z.180920T1901Z.NO/
231 PM EDT Tue Sep 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until late Thursday night. 
* at 02PM Tuesday the stage was 25.4 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.4 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water approaches route 501.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.6 
  feet on May 19 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

Loconto

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 15, 4:02 PM EDT, 5 hours 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 15, 4:02 PM EDT, 5 hours 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
402 PM EDT Sat Sep 15 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Florence will continue to track inland into South Carolina
tonight before passing northward across the southern
Appalachians and into the Ohio Valley Sunday through Monday.
Periods of rain and gusty winds will accompany this system
bringing the threat of significant flooding by Sunday into
Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 330 PM EDT Saturday...

Another band of showers with heavy rainfall will continue to work
through southern sections into early this evening before perhaps
seeing a lull. However deeper moisture to the north of Florence
should push northwest into southwest sections overnight with heavier
rainfall mainly south of I-81 by daybreak Sunday. This may result in
1-3 inches across the NC mountains by early Sunday if banding
develops as upslope remains limited given east/northeast flow. This
should also help to reduce rainfall northeast of the Blue Ridge
where the wedge looks to hold. Other concern with surge in winds
overnight as the low level jet ramps up to 50 kts across southwest
sections with some potential for stronger banding to mix these winds
down. Toyed with upping the going wind advisory to a warning for the
NC ridges but given more easterly flow opted to only boost speeds
for now as expect the higher speeds to remain on the ridgetops.
However since latest guidance shows a swath of higher winds swinging
north overnight, will expand the wind advisory up to the western New
River Valley and include parts of southeast West Va per downsloping.
Otherwise pops ramping up from southwest to northeast overnight with
categorical to likelys in store but without much thunder mention.
Lows muggy under steady northeast flow with readings mainly in the
60s to around 70 overnight.

Main aspect of Florence will play out across the area Sunday into
Sunday night as the core of the system passing by to the southwest.
As the system turns more north, an axis of strong convergence looks
to develop likely along the ongoing main rainband that looks to work
up from the south as depicted by most solutions. If this and
subsequent bands gets pinned along the southern Blue Ridge then will
see excessive rainfall even without a good upslope component until
Sunday evening. Models tend to agree on QPF through the Sunday
period with several inches along the eastern slopes of the Blue
Ridge. Winds again likely an issue either ahead or with this main
stronger band given more deeper convective potential along with
isolated tornadoes espcly with rotating cells within the linear
banding so something to watch. Only small temp rises with highs
mostly in the low/mid 70s.

Rainfall will likely become more upslope oriented Sunday night with
the main axis of lift spilling east of the mountains after midnight
as suggested by the latest ECMWF. Still another 1-3 inches possible
along the Blue Ridge early on before the heavier rain band pivots
into eastern sections late. Banding features along with more south
to southerly flow could again promote more spin up potential that
will evolve east during the evening as soundings show quite a bit of
helicity as the flow quickly veers with the passing banding.
Otherwise continued high pops including an expansion of the flash
flood watch along the New River and into Mercer county where have
been wet of late. Lows again mainly 60s to around 70.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 330 PM Saturday...

Post-tropical remnants of Florence expected to eject along with
a lead swath of heavy rainfall across the central-northern
Mid-Atlantic and northeastern states Monday and Tuesday. In the
wake of this system, high pressure will return for mid-week.

There are still model differences with respect to timing which
may speed up or delay the system from exiting the region Monday
and Tuesday, but consensus is the majority of the excessive
rainfall will fall prior to noon Monday for our forecast area
followed by a more showery form of rainfall as we progress
through Monday night and Tuesday. Pending wind/shear profiles,
there is still potential for isolated tornadoes Monday
associated with the right quadrant of the storm system, but the
greatest impacts will be focused on the hydrology aspect with
many streams/rivers expected to go into flood or be in flood at
that time.

Temperatures will remain mild through the forecast period,
dewpoints also remaining elevated. No big change in airmass is
anticipated as we will go right back under the influence of the
late summer subtropical ridge.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 345 PM EDT Saturday...

Subtropical ridge of high pressure is forecast to build back
across the southeastern CONUS with temperatures favoring above
normal readings for the remainder of the week. Dewpoints will
also remain elevated, so anticipating summer-like conditions as
we progress through the 3rd week of September. A cold front will
approach late in the week providing an uptick in shower/storm
chances in the Friday/Saturday time frame.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 1250 PM EDT Saturday...

Shower bands decreasing across the region this afternoon as main
core of the tropical moisture slips a bit south closer to the
center of Florence. However with added banding developing just
south of the region, expect some of these showers to return to
at least southern sections in the next couple of hours. This
supported by several model solutions in keeping most of the
heavier rainfall confined to along the VA/NC border before
gradually heading northwest into southwest sections of the area
this evening/overnight. Otherwise looking at overall MVFR cigs
into late this afternoon with sporadic reductions in vsby to
brief sub-VFR in light showers, mainly Blue Ridge sites east, except
perhaps some heavier rainfall near KDAN later this afternoon.
Western locations should see little in the way of showers and
could see intervals of VFR develop espcly around KLWB into early
this evening.

Expect northeast winds to remain strong at times across the
entire area, with highest gusts to 30-35kts possible within
showers.

More widespread showers becoming moderate to heavy expected by
02-06z mainly south of a line from KBLF-KROA_KDAN, but likely
staying southwest of KLYH until Sunday. Otherwise conditions
stay poor for flying with low cigs across the region and
lowering vsbys due to rain/fog and mountain obscuration.

Should see widespread periods of showers with heavy rainfall
espcly southern/western sections Sunday with strong easterly
winds perhaps gusting over 35-40 kts at times within rain bands.

There is high confidence in sub-VFR conditions through most of
the period.

Extended Discussion...

Rainfall will become more showery Sunday night and Monday as the
remnants of Florence pass to the northwest before exiting the
region. This will keep overall sub-VFR in place Sunday night,
improving to only periods of MVFR/IFR by Monday afternoon. Winds
will swing to the southeast by Sunday night then to the
southwest to west early next week. Will finally see Florence
shift north of us by Tuesday of next week with conditions
improving. VFR conditions are then expected for Wednesday and
Thursday with high pressure over the area.

Confidence gradually transitions to average Sunday night into
Monday the above average by the middle of next week.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 400 PM Sunday...

Latest model output and coordination with WPC continues to suggest
heavy rainfall across at least the southern half of the region with
much of this occurring tonight into Monday. Rainfall rates and
totals will likely be higher across northwest North Carolina as
deeper banding occurs just to the northeast of Florence by Sunday.
Still looking at up to 10 inches along the Blue Ridge with locally
heavier totals pending just how the bands pan out. Elsewhere,
appears that a wedge of high pressure aided by strong northeast flow
may tend to lessen rainfall rates heading north into parts the James
River basin until the cool pool exits by early Monday. This would
support less rainfall heading north until things become more banded
and convective in nature on Monday. However rainfall exceeding 5
inches appears likely espcly along and east of the Blue Ridge in
Virginia including the Roanoke River basin.

RFC guidance available on the AHPS web page is showing moderate to
major flooding along the New, Roanoke and Dan Rivers occuring over
the next 1 to 3 days and these graphics have been widely shared.
While this certainly remains a strong possibility if the QPF
verifies, no River Flood Warnings have been issued due to persisting
questions remain as to the placement and amount of QPF. A small
shift in track and amounts can have a huge impact on the hydrologic
forecasts. But a warning for the Dan River is likely to be issued by
this evening as confidence in amounts is highest and the crests will
be soonest at least in the upper reaches of the river.

The flash flood watch was also expanded in southwest Virginia to
include Bland, Giles, and Tazewell counties and in southeast West
Virginia, Mercer County.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Flash Flood Watch through Monday evening for VAZ009-012>017-
     022-032-033-043-044-058.
     Wind Advisory until 4 PM EDT Sunday for VAZ009-015-016-032.
NC...Flash Flood Watch through Monday evening for NCZ001>006-
     018>020.
     Wind Advisory until 4 PM EDT Sunday for NCZ001>003-018-019.
WV...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JH
NEAR TERM...JH
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...PM
AVIATION...JH/KK/WP
HYDROLOGY...PC
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 15, 3:42 PM EDT, 5 hours 46 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
342 PM EDT Sat Sep 15 2018

VAZ018>020-023-024-034-035-045>047-059-WVZ043-044-507-508-161945-
Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Bedford-Amherst-
Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-Charlotte-Summers-Monroe-
Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
342 PM EDT Sat Sep 15 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia, south
central Virginia, southwest Virginia, west central Virginia and
southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Excessive rainfall from the remnants of Florence will impact the
area Sunday into Monday. Some areas could see flash flooding. River
flooding may occur as well by midweek.

Although winds are not expected to be that strong, a few gusts over
40 mph and saturated soils could lead to downed trees, with isolated
power outages. There could also be some isolated weak tornadoes
Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to monitor for flooding, downed trees and
power lines, along with possible tornadoes Sunday. Please email your
rainfall and severe weather reports to rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov or pass
them along on our US National Weather Service Blacksburg VA Facebook
page.

NCZ004>006-VAZ022-033-043-044-058-161945-
Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Roanoke-Franklin-Henry-Pittsylvania-
Halifax-
342 PM EDT Sat Sep 15 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
south central Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

In addition, although winds are not expected to be that strong, a
few gusts over 40 mph and saturated soils could lead to downed
trees, with isolated power outages Sunday. There could also be some
isolated weak tornadoes Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to monitor for flooding, downed trees and
power lines, along with possible tornadoes Sunday. Please email your
rainfall and severe weather reports to rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov or pass
them along on our US National Weather Service Blacksburg VA Facebook
page.

NCZ001>003-018>020-VAZ007-009-010-012-013-015>017-032-WVZ042-161945-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Watauga-Wilkes-Yadkin-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-
Wythe-Pulaski-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-Patrick-Mercer-
342 PM EDT Sat Sep 15 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, southwest Virginia and southeast West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

There could also be some isolated weak tornadoes Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to monitor for flooding, downed trees and
power lines, along with possible tornadoes Sunday. Please email your
rainfall and severe weather reports to rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov or pass
them along on our US National Weather Service Blacksburg VA Facebook
page.

VAZ011-014-161945-
Giles-Montgomery-
342 PM EDT Sat Sep 15 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

There could also be some isolated weak tornadoes Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to monitor for flooding, downed trees and
power lines, along with possible tornadoes Sunday. Please email your
rainfall and severe weather reports to rnk.skywarn@noaa.gov or pass
them along on our US National Weather Service Blacksburg VA Facebook
page.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 15, 5:06 PM EDT, 4 hours 22 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
506 PM EDT SAT SEP 15 2018

VAZ033-034-044-045-152200-
Franklin-Campbell-Bedford-Pittsylvania-
506 PM EDT SAT SEP 15 2018

...SHOWERS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN
CAMPBELL...NORTHERN PITTSYLVANIA...SOUTHEASTERN BEDFORD AND
NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES...

Until 600 PM EDT.

At 504 PM EDT, band of showers were located near Gladys will west at
25 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible with these showers.

Locations impacted include...
Altavista...
Hurt...
Huddleston...
Moneta...
and Evington.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this shower, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 3705 7904 3705 7906 3706 7909 3703 7910
      3700 7966 3727 7967 3722 7902 3704 7901
TIME...MOT...LOC 2104Z 089DEG 21KT 3715 7912

KK
Special weather statement, Sep 15, 5:40 PM EDT, 3 hours 48 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
540 PM EDT SAT SEP 15 2018

NCZ003-004-VAZ016-032-152245-
Stokes-Surry-Patrick-Carroll-
540 PM EDT SAT SEP 15 2018

...SHOWERS WITH HEAVY RAINS WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN
SURRY...NORTHWESTERN STOKES...SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL AND SOUTHERN
PATRICK COUNTIES...

Until 645 PM EDT.

At 539 PM EDT, a area of showers with heavy rains was located near
Stuart, moving west at 20 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible with these showers.

Locations impacted include...
Mount Airy...
Flat Rock...
Dobson...
Stuart...
and Fancy Gap.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this shower, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 3667 8017 3649 8015 3638 8072 3669 8073
TIME...MOT...LOC 2139Z 084DEG 16KT 3657 8026

KK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 15, 9:28 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKCaswell, Rockingham5 days
Sep 15, 9:37 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKWilkes53 hr
Sep 15, 9:37 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKSurry, Yadkin36 hr
Sep 16, 5:02 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKAlleghany, Surry, Wilkes31 min
Sep 16, 5:27 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKAlleghany, Surry, Wilkes10 hr
Sep 16, 6:41 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKSurry, Wilkes, Yadkin6 hr
Sep 16, 7:00 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKStokes9 hr
Sep 16, 7:35 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKAlleghany, Ashe, Watauga6 hr
Sep 16, 7:47 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKCaswell, Rockingham6 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.