Flash Flood Warning 114, NWS Blacksburg, VA

352 
WGUS71 KRNK 102243
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
643 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2018

VAC021-071-155-197-110430-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0114.000000T0000Z-181011T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pulaski VA-Giles VA-Bland VA-Wythe VA-
643 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 AM EDT FOR 
WESTERN PULASKI...SOUTHWESTERN GILES...BLAND AND CENTRAL WYTHE
COUNTIES...

At 643 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the warned
area. Up to two inches of rain have already fallen. Flash flooding is
expected to begin shortly.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Pulaski...
Wytheville...
Bland...
Narrows...
and Max Meadows.

Additional rainfall amounts of one to two inches are possible in the 
warned area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, country roads, farmland, and other low lying
spots.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding,
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather Service
by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and
pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service
Blacksburg Facebook page and on Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3729 8106 3730 8099 3729 8098 3730 8094
      3735 8085 3737 8077 3691 8066 3681 8102
      3681 8103 3679 8109 3725 8120

$$

KK

273 
WGUS71 KRNK 102305
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
705 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2018

VAC021-071-155-197-110430-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0114.000000T0000Z-181011T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pulaski VA-Giles VA-Bland VA-Wythe VA-
705 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 AM EDT FOR 
WESTERN PULASKI...SOUTHWESTERN GILES...BLAND AND CENTRAL WYTHE
COUNTIES...

At 703 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the warned 
area. Up to two inches of rain have already fallen. Spotters have 
reported flooding near Fort Chiswell in Wythe county. Several creeks 
and stream were near bankfull. 

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Pulaski...
Wytheville...
Bland...
Narrows...
and Max Meadows.

Additional rainfall amounts of one to two inches are possible in the 
warned area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, country roads, farmland, and other low lying
spots.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding,
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather Service
by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and
pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service
Blacksburg Facebook page and on Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3729 8106 3730 8099 3729 8098 3730 8094
      3735 8085 3737 8077 3691 8066 3681 8102
      3681 8103 3679 8109 3725 8120

$$

KK

616 
WGUS71 KRNK 110015
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
815 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2018

VAC021-071-155-197-110430-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0114.000000T0000Z-181011T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pulaski VA-Giles VA-Bland VA-Wythe VA-
815 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 AM EDT FOR 
WESTERN PULASKI...SOUTHWESTERN GILES...BLAND AND CENTRAL WYTHE
COUNTIES...

At 811 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the warned 
area. Up to two inches of rain have already fallen. The 911 Call 
center in Wythe county reported numerous road closed due to flooding 
in eastern wythe county, mainly in the Max Meadows and Fort Chiswell 
area. Locust Hill Road, Felts lane, Danner Road and Archer Road were 
flooding. 


Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Pulaski...
Wytheville...
Bland...
Narrows...
and Max Meadows.


Additional rainfall amounts of one to two inches are possible in the 
warned area.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, country roads, farmland, and other low lying
spots.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding,
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather Service
by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and
pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service
Blacksburg Facebook page and on Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3729 8106 3730 8099 3729 8098 3730 8094
      3735 8085 3737 8077 3691 8066 3681 8102
      3681 8103 3679 8109 3725 8120

$$

KK

148 
WGUS71 KRNK 110431
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
1231 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

VAC021-071-155-197-110440-
/O.EXP.KRNK.FF.W.0114.000000T0000Z-181011T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pulaski VA-Giles VA-Bland VA-Wythe VA-
1231 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR 
WESTERN PULASKI...SOUTHWESTERN GILES...BLAND AND CENTRAL WYTHE
COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED AND HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A FLOOD WARNING...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a
threat. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding,
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather Service
by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports and
pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service
Blacksburg Facebook page and on Twitter.

LAT...LON 3729 8106 3730 8099 3729 8098 3730 8094
      3735 8085 3737 8077 3691 8066 3681 8102
      3681 8103 3679 8109 3725 8120

$$

RAB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
432 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Wet weather is expected tonight and especially Thursday as Hurricane
Michael moves through the southeast U.S. A cold front will cross the
area by Thursday evening and shift Michael well offshore. A period
of gusty northwest winds is expected in the mountains and foothills
Thursday afternoon and evening. Cooler high pressure builds in to
start the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 330 PM EDT Wednesday...

Most significant change in terms of headlines with the afternoon
forecast package was with the expansion of the Flash Flood Watch
north and west, to now encompass an area from the I-81 corridor
eastward. Portion of the Watch which now includes the NW NC
mountains, Wilkes County, Grayson, Smith and Wythe Counties is in
effect until Thursday early evening. The portion of the Watch which
previously included just the NC Piedmont, foothills and Southside
now adds the the New River Valley and Roanoke County is in effect
from 8 AM Thursday until late Thursday night. Finally, the final
segment of the Watch includes the southern Shenandoah Valley
eastward to include the central VA counties north of the Roanoke
River. This part of the Watch begins Thursday morning and ends late
Thursday night. This was done to better time when heavy rainfall is
expected to begin.

We still are contending with periods of moderate to at times heavy
rain showers associated with tropical moisture infusion forced
upslope in regime of southeast low-level flow. While not reaching
overly excessive totals, nonetheless rainfall amounts to this point
have proven to overproduce given highly efficient tropical warm rain
processes, as regional radar shows this rain axis extending from
central WV southeastward into northern SC, with greatest radar
returns across northern SC. High resolution guidance continues to
pivot this axis north to northeast over the next 3-5 hours, so the
threat for heavy rain at times will still continue especially for
areas along or east of the Blue Ridge. Couldn't rule out minor flood
issues through mid-evening, but at the least this rain will only
serve to prime the ground for the bigger slug of heavy rain which
comes Thursday associated with Michael. Later tonight though, model
guidance agrees that we'll begin to get into a relative minimum in
rain chances and rain amounts, as we await the heavy rain associated
with Michael's closest approach.

For the latest on Michael's intensity and forecast track
information, please refer to the latest advisories from the National
Hurricane Center. Michael is forecast to eventually turn northeast
across the central Carolinas into southeast Virginia and the
Tidewater area on Thursday, its northeast turn aided by a strong
cold front which is now working its way through the Mississippi
River Valley. Michael's interaction with this cold front is expected
to lead to an expected westward spatial expansion of Michael's heavy
rain shield Thursday, and this has essentially played out in today's
12z NWP guidance. Expected local impacts for the region include the
following:

(1) Heavy rain, potential flash flooding and rises along smaller
streams and creeks to mainstem rivers. Heaviest rains should occur
through Thursday before clearing west-east Thursday late afternoon
into Thursday evening in the east.

(2) Post-Michael gusty to potentially damaging northwest winds
Thursday afternoon into early morning Friday from the Blue Ridge,
the immediate foothills counties and back westward to include the I-
81 corridor.

Heavy rains should begin to progress northeastward starting earliest
in the mountains of NW NC and the mountain empire around early
Thursday morning, and then continue north and northeast the NC/VA
Piedmont, Southside starting Thursday mid-morning and continuing
into central VA by late morning. Area averaged rain forecast ranges
from an inch to inch and a quarter in southeast WV and Tazewell
County, 1.5-2 inches across the I-81 corridor into central VA, and
then 2 to 5 inches across the southern Blue Ridge, the NC
Piedmont/foothills and into Southside. These values closely resemble
WPC's latest rain outlook. Localized higher amounts are possible,
particularly the further south/east one goes. Overall confidence on
rain totals is moderate to high on where the greatest rain totals
will be observed, but is lower on exact magnitudes. See the Hydro
section for more detail.

As heavy rain begins to skirt eastward Thursday late afternoon into
early Friday, focus will then shift toward strong and gusty
northwest winds across the NC/VA mountains and into the immediate
foothills areas. Of concern is that saturated ground in conjunction
with this rain will lead to an environment which will make weak/dead
trees easier to be felled. Very strong pressure rises and north-
northwesterly 850 mb jet of 40-50 kts off the GFS will likely
support a period of 45-50 mph wind gusts Thursday late afternoon
into evening in these areas. To avoid any potential concern with
confusing messaging with what really is more of a non-tropical wind
hazard, haven't issued any wind headlines as yet in collaboration
with NWS GSP, but it's quite likely that at least impact-based wind
headlines will be needed at some point for the potential for
tree/powerline damage and hazardous travel through mountain passes
such as I-77/Fancy Gap. Have opted to message in the HWO for now.
May also need to consider such headlines for the Piedmont as well
but have highest confidence in the mountains.

Forecast confidence is overall moderate on the heavy rain and flood
threat, and is moderate to high on the post-Michael wind threat.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 330 PM EDT Wednesday...

Focus Friday will be on post tropical storm conditions with
rush of wind and cooler temperatures in the wake of Michael.
Primary wind flow will be out of the northwest with dewpoints
tanking into the 30s/40s as cool/dry October airmass finally
makes an entrance.

Temperatures Friday and into the weekend will resemble something
closer to the climatological norm...a change that will stun
folks into making an about-face for a jacket for outdoor
activities. Weekend as a whole looks relatively dry with a
couple of disturbances moving up through the Ohio Valley
promising to cast a few clouds and possible showers to the WV
mountains.

In general, the upper air pattern will begin to shift into a
Fall pattern, with broad troughing over the eastern 2/3rds of
the country this weekend, trending toward a much deeper long
wave trough by the middle of next week. During the transition,
first in a series of short waves will pass through the base of
the trough, the first wave being the remnants of the Pacific
Hurricane Sergio which will pass through the Ohio Valley Sunday.
The wave that follows Monday will be of Canadian origin.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 400 PM EDT Wednesday...

October finally feels like, October.

A large scale upper trough is forecast to reside over the
eastern 2/3rds of the country the entire week, amplifying by
mid-week as series of short waves digging south from Canada
resulting in a fairly extensive cold intrusion to much of the
central and eastern CONUS. Model concensus is for some
unseasonably cold air (yep summer to winter) to overtake areas
which were basking in unseasonable warmth, and in some cases
extreme enough to permit the frozen form of precipitation across
the upper Mid-West and Great Lakes into parts of New England
where 850 mb temps plunge low enough to support snow.

For the central Mid-Atlantic it will certainly feel like
October, if not favor some November sort of temperatures which
would be permissible for frost formation for parts of the
forecast area...especially the mountain valleys. Precipitation
chances appear somewhat limited, but there will be opportunities
for showers associated with each passing shortwave trough,
Monday favoring a day for showers, and then again toward mid
week. Monday might actually turn out to be a little wetter than
forecast, models trending toward some over-running associated
with a frontal passage.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 213 PM EDT Wednesday...

Poor flying conditions generally will predominate the 18z TAF
period, but especially for the Thursday portion of the TAF as
the circulation associated with Michael makes its closest
approach.

Current MVFR/IFR cigs/visbys will remain relatively stable with
periods of 2-6 SM SHRA through the afternoon and early evening
as tropical moisture is lifted upslope. Toward the evening
hours (after 02z), steady rain showers should taper off to
intermittent unrestricted showers, but lingering MVFR-IFR
ceilings will likely continue across the TAFs. Southeast winds
6-8 kts should predominate from the afternoon into the evening.

Heavy rains associated with Michael's northern circulation then
begin to progress north/northeast toward the pre-dawn hrs of
Thursday morning in the NC mountains, and through the rest of
the 18z TAF period across the remainder of the airspace. Look
for initial VFR visbys to decrease to MVFR-IFR most everywhere
as these rain bands move northeast, and may at times be
LIFR vsby at Danville. Ceilings likely to be in the IFR range.
In addition, while surface winds should be east to northeast
around 4-8 kts, very late in the TAF period northwest winds
along mountaintops will increase rather sharply as Michael
passes, lead to a likely period of mechanical turbulence
especially within and just downslope of the Blue Ridge.

Confidence is above average for sub-VFR most of the period, but
lower on timing heaviest rains Thursday and how low ceilings go
tonight into Thursday.

Extended Discussion...

Heavy rains associated with Michael will begin to shift
eastward late Thursday afternoon, but northwest winds will
continue to increase Thursday night into midday Friday leading
to gusty northwest surface wind conditions and areas of
mountain turbulence.

Conditions will improve back to VFR on Friday behind the front,
then VFR over the weekend.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 300 PM Wednesday...

An inflow of deep tropical moisture will introduce the possibility
of both flash flooding and later river flooding in the Wednesday
afternoon through Friday time frame.

A first round of heavy rain not directly associated with Hurricane
Michael has been very impressive across northwestern North Carolina,
especially parts of Watauga County today. Radar is grossly
underestimating the rainfall in this area due to a combination of
beam overshooting and tropical air mass characteristics. Some rain
gages In Watauga are showing up to 5 inches during the day today,
much of it falling in about 6 hours. The Watauga River and upper New
River stream gages are rising very rapidly this afternoon and will
be rising above flood stage shortly. The area remains under a Flood
Advisory and a Flash Food Watch has already been issued for this
region. Flood Warnings may be required

After a lull in rainfall the tonight, the coverage and intensity is
expected to increase again on Thursday late morning/early afternoon
with the approach of what is expected to be (by that time) Tropical
Storm Michael. Weather forecast models are still indicating some
variability in rainfall amounts depending on the track and speed at
which the storm pushes across the Carolinas, but the most likely
scenario still indicates QPF of 2 to 5 inches across the Southside
of Virginia and the Piedmont of North Carolina, where the flash
flood watch continues. The highest end of this range falls in the
Dan River basin where guidance already suggests moderate flooding is
the most likely occurrence. But shifts in QPF will heavily affect
forthcoming river forecasts and both minor or major are also
possible depending on how much and where it falls. 1 to 2 inches of
rain seems most likely across the upper Roanoke, James, Greenbrier
and middle New river basins where river flooding will likely be
minor if any. Again, modest shifts in the rainfall pattern could
substantially affect these river forecasts, so remain attentive.

Convective bands with high rates of rainfall within a tropical
environment will obviously present an enhanced flash flood threat,
with the Weather Prediction Center calling for a slight to moderate
risk of excessive rainfall during the Thursday to early Friday
timeframe, mainly across the southeast one-third of our forecast
area.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday evening for VAZ009-012-015.
     Flash Flood Watch from Thursday morning through late Thursday
     night for VAZ013-014-016-017-022-032-033-043-044-058.
     Flash Flood Watch from Thursday morning through late Thursday
     night for VAZ023-024-034-035-045>047-059.
NC...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday evening for NCZ001-002-018-
     019.
     Flash Flood Watch from Thursday morning through late Thursday
     night for NCZ003>006-020.
WV...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AL
NEAR TERM...AL
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...PM
AVIATION...AL
HYDROLOGY...PC

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
247 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

NCZ019-111900-
Wilkes-
247 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

In addition, strong northerly winds could gust to 45 or 50 mph later
Thursday into Friday morning. These may cause downed trees and
powerlines due to the wet soil conditions.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters may be needed especially for flooding and rainfall reports.

NCZ003>006-020-VAZ032-043-044-058-111900-
Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Yadkin-Patrick-Henry-Pittsylvania-
Halifax-
247 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, south central Virginia and southwest
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

In addition, strong northerly winds could gust to 40 or 45 mph later
Thursday into Friday morning. These may cause downed trees due to
the wet soil conditions.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters may be needed especially for flooding and rainfall reports.

VAZ018-111900-
Craig-
247 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Will see periods of moderate to heavy rain as Michael moves by
Thursday. Localized flooding is possible. In addition, strong
northwest winds could gust to 45 or 50 mph later Thursday into
Friday morning. These may cause downed trees and powerlines due to
the wet soil conditions.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters may be needed especially for flooding and rainfall reports.

VAZ013-014-017-022-033-111900-
Pulaski-Montgomery-Floyd-Roanoke-Franklin-
247 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia and west
central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

In addition, strong northwest winds could gust to 45 or 50 mph later
Thursday into Friday morning. These may cause downed trees and
powerlines due to the wet soil conditions.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters may be needed especially for flooding and rainfall reports.

VAZ023-024-034-035-045>047-059-111900-
Botetourt-Rockbridge-Bedford-Amherst-Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-
Charlotte-
247 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia, south
central Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

In addition, strong northerly winds could gust to 40 or 45 mph later
Thursday into Friday morning. These may cause downed trees and
powerlines due to the wet soil conditions.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters may be needed especially for flooding and rainfall reports.

VAZ009-012-111900-
Smyth-Wythe-
247 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

In addition, strong northwest winds could gust to 45 or 50 mph later
Thursday into Friday morning. These may cause downed trees and
powerlines due to the wet soil conditions.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters may be needed especially for flooding and rainfall reports.

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-111900-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Grayson-
247 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina and
southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

In addition, strong northwest winds could gust to 50 mph or stronger
later Thursday into Friday morning. These may cause downed trees and
powerlines due to the wet soil conditions.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters may be needed especially for flooding and rainfall reports.

VAZ016-111900-
Carroll-
247 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Bands of showers may bring locally heavy rainfall into this evening.
Rainfall may be enough to cause localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

In addition, strong northerly winds could gust to 45 or 50 mph later
Thursday into Friday morning. These may cause downed trees and
powerlines due to the wet soil conditions. Also hazardous driving
conditions could develop along the Interstate 77 corridor in the
vicinity of Fancy Gap by Thursday evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters may be needed especially for flooding and rainfall reports.

VAZ007-010-011-019-020-WVZ042>044-507-508-111900-
Tazewell-Bland-Giles-Alleghany VA-Bath-Mercer-Summers-Monroe-
Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
247 PM EDT Wed Oct 10 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia, west
central Virginia and southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Will see periods of moderate to heavy rain as Michael moves by
Thursday. Localized flooding is possible.

In addition, strong northwest winds could gust to 45 or 50 mph later
Thursday into Friday morning. These may cause downed trees and
powerlines due to the wet soil conditions.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters may be needed especially for flooding and rainfall reports.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
527 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 S ENNICE              36.49N 81.01W
10/10/2018                   ALLEGHANY          NC   PARK/FOREST SRVC

            BRUSH CREEK WAS OUT OF ITS BANKS AND OBSERVED RAPIDLY
            FLOWING OVER SCENIC VALLEY ROAD SEVERAL INCHES DEEP.

&&

16

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
556 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 S NORTH WILKESBORO    36.14N 81.14W
10/10/2018                   WILKES             NC   AMATEUR RADIO

            NUMEROUS STREETS IN NORTH WILKESBORO FLOODED, WILKESBORO
            MEMORIAL PARK UNDER WATER.

&&

11