Alert archive / West Virginia / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 55, NWS Charleston, WV

September 27, 2018Calhoun County, Gilmer County, West Virginia

NWS Charleston, WV issued this river flood warning at Sep 27, 2018, 11:10 PM EDT for Calhoun County, Gilmer County, West Virginia. It took effect at Sep 28, 2018, 6:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 27, 2018, 11:10 PM EDT (03:10 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 28, 2018, 6:00 AM EDT
Expired
Sep 28, 2018, 4:18 PM EDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Charleston, WV
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Calhoun County, WV, Gilmer County, WV

The radar

The Charleston,WV radar (KRLX), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Little Kanawha River at Glenville (GLEW2).

Action stage
21 ft
Minor stage
23 ft
Moderate stage
26 ft
Major stage
28 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03152000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

708 
WGUS41 KRLX 280310
FLWRLX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
River Flood Warning
National Weather Service Charleston WV
ISSUED BY National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
1110 PM EDT Thu Sep 27 2018

...The National Weather Service in Charleston has issued a flood 
warning for the following rivers... Little Kanawha River...


Affecting the following counties in West Virginia...Calhoun...Gilmer.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Turn around and don't drown.  Do not drive into areas where
water is flowing over the roadway.  Most deaths occur when motorists
try crossing flooded roads.



Please report high water to the National Weather Service by
calling toll free...1-800-401-9535...when you can do so safely.

You may also report flooding by posting your report to the
Charleston West Virginia National Weather service Facebook
page...or by using the Twitter HASHTAG...NWSRLX.

The next issuance will be when conditions warrant.



&&

WVC013-021-281509-
/O.NEW.KRLX.FL.W.0055.180928T1000Z-180928T2018Z/
/GLEW2.1.ER.180928T1000Z.180928T1200Z.180928T1418Z.NO/
1110 PM EDT Thu Sep 27 2018

the National Weather Service in Pittsburgh has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Little Kanawha River At Glenville.
* from Friday morning to Friday afternoon...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 10:45 PM Thursday the stage was 21.7 feet. 
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 23.5 feet by tomorrow morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by tomorrow late morning.
* At stages near 24.0 feet...River street is flooded upstream from the
  old bridge.
* A crest near 23.5 feet compares to a previous crest of 22.7 feet on 
  March 11 2015.  

&&

LAT...LON 3898 8089 3892 8064 3887 8072 3888 8091


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 27, 9:20 PM EDT, 1 hour 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 27, 9:20 PM EDT, 1 hour 50 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston WV
920 PM EDT Thu Sep 27 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Surface low and front to the south shifts away from the area
tonight. High pressure with drier weather for Friday and the
weekend. Turning warmer early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 920 PM Thursday...

Plenty of reports of flooding ongoing this evening with much of
West Virginia and parts of eastern Kentucky blanketed by Flood
Warnings. The good news is that the back edge to the heavier
rainfall is advancing eastward quickly. Tweaked the PoPs for a
slightly faster end to the measurable rainfall tonight per
latest radar trends. Current plans are to let the Flood Watch
expire on time at midnight.

As of 256 PM Thursday...

Sfc low is analyzed to be near NE TN as of writing, with a quasi
stationary boundary draped to the NE of the low...extending into
west VA, SE WV and then eastward across southern VA. Notable
925-H85 frontogenetic forcing is prog to be occurring across SE
WV while H85-H7 frontogenetic forcing is enhanced along the I-79
corridor. Result has been bands of rain along these areas of
forcing with some enhancement to the rainfall efficiency occurring
at times. Due to an increase in training and increase in
forcing, the Flood Watch has been expanded westward by a row of
counties.

The rain should persist through the remainder of the afternoon
and gradually diminish in areal coverage and intensity during
the evening hours, as a parent mid level trough pushes east
across the region...and as the aforementioned surface low
approaches, and then shifts away from the area.

After the H5 trough axis shifts east overnight, much drier mid
level air will spread eastward across the region. If enough
clearing can occur overnight, areas of dense fog will be common.
Even if clearing does not occur, damp and moist near surface
conditions will likely still lead to some reduced visibilities.

Surface high pressure builds eastward into the area on Friday.
NAM indicates low clouds persisting until afternoon while the
GFS has faster clearing. If clouds hold, then max temps should
only be in the 60s, but 70s are likely if skies clear. Either
way, Friday should be a much drier day with only some patchy
light rain possible early in the morning across eastern WV.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 400 PM Thursday...

Cold front crosses late Friday night with just some passing
clouds and high pressure will build in behind it. Saturday will
be an amazing day with low humidity and seasonable temperatures
under mostly sunny skies. By early Sunday, the high pressure
swings just to our east and allows warm air and moisture to
enter back into the region. Temperatures to close out the
weekend will likely turn upwards into the upper 70s to low 80s
for everywhere except the mountains.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 400 PM Thursday...

Persistent high pressure/upper ridge will dominate through the
period. The good news is that this will likely provide us with
mostly dry conditions through the week. Temperatures will remain
above normal through the period. Ensembles and operational
guidance show the ridge migrating westward early in the work
week. This pattern, with predominantly westerly zonal flow,
could allow for a few short waves to move across the region.
Showers and thunderstorms would be possible, but coverage of
storms will basically depend on the time of day any waves push
through.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 536 PM Thursday...

Poor flight rules to prevail overnight across nearly all
aerodromes.

Large area of RA with embedded pockets of +RA continues to
plague much of WV and surrounding areas. The RA should gradually
diminish in areal coverage from west to east overnight, with
IFR/LIFR CIGs and VSBYs likely under steadier rainfall.

Once rain ends, drier air aloft will spread across nearly
saturated lower level moisture, which should lead to areas of
dense FG. LIFR to VLIFR expected overnight at nearly all
aerodromes. Gradual clearing then expected to prevail from west
to east during the day Friday with VFR in the afternoon.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY...

CONFIDENCE: High.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS...Timing and extent of rain and associated
visibilities and ceilings tonight may differ. Formation of
widespread dense fog and stratus by dawn Friday may also vary.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE               WED 09/26/18
UTC 1HRLY       09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20
EDT 1HRLY       05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16
CRW CONSISTENCY  L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L
HTS CONSISTENCY  L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L
BKW CONSISTENCY  L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L
EKN CONSISTENCY  L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L
PKB CONSISTENCY  L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L
CKB CONSISTENCY  L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    L

AFTER 00Z SATURDAY...
IFR possible in stratus and fog Friday night into Saturday
morning.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for WVZ013-015-016-018-
     024>030-033-034-039-040-515>526.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for VAZ003-004.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RH/MPK
NEAR TERM...ABE/RH
SHORT TERM...MPK
LONG TERM...MPK
AVIATION...RH
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 27, 2:58 PM EDT, 8 hours 12 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Charleston WV
258 PM EDT Thu Sep 27 2018

VAZ003-004-WVZ013-015-016-018-024>030-033-034-039-040-515>526-281900-
Dickenson-Buchanan-Lincoln-Kanawha-Roane-Calhoun-Mingo-Logan-Boone-
Clay-Braxton-Gilmer-Lewis-McDowell-Wyoming-Upshur-Barbour-
Northwest Raleigh-Southeast Raleigh-Northwest Fayette-
Southeast Fayette-Northwest Nicholas-Southeast Nicholas-
Northwest Webster-Southeast Webster-Northwest Pocahontas-
Southeast Pocahontas-Northwest Randolph-Southeast Randolph-
258 PM EDT Thu Sep 27 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia, and
portions of central West Virginia, northeast West Virginia,
northern West Virginia, southeast West Virginia and southern West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-WVZ005>011-014-017-019-020-
031-032-281900-
Greenup-Carter-Boyd-Lawrence KY-Perry-Morgan-Athens-Washington-
Jackson OH-Vinton-Meigs-Gallia-Lawrence OH-Wayne-Cabell-Mason-
Jackson WV-Wood-Pleasants-Tyler-Putnam-Wirt-Ritchie-Doddridge-
Harrison-Taylor-
258 PM EDT Thu Sep 27 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Kentucky, southeast
Ohio, and portions of central West Virginia, northern West
Virginia, southern West Virginia and western West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 27, 7:52 PM EDT, 3 hours 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
752 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0710 PM     FLOOD            MABSCOTT                37.77N  81.21W
09/27/2018                   RALEIGH            WV   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WATER FROM CREEK OVERFLOWING BANKS AND SURROUNDING
            HOUSE ON WARD ST.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1800010

ABE
Local storm report, Sep 27, 8:11 PM EDT, 2 hours 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
811 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     FLOOD            YAWKEY                  38.23N  81.96W
09/27/2018                   LINCOLN            WV   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER OVER BEAR FORK ROAD AT YAWKEY.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1800011

ABE
Local storm report, Sep 27, 8:13 PM EDT, 2 hours 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
813 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     FLOOD            HAMLIN                  38.28N  82.10W
09/27/2018                   LINCOLN            WV   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE ROADS BLOCKED BY FLOOD WATERS INCLUDING: BEAR
            FORK, LEFT FORK, RT 3 AT DUVAL MIDDLE SCHOOL, SYCAMORE
            CREEK, BULGER, 4 MILE, LITTLE HARTS AND TEN MILE ROADS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1800012

ABE
Local storm report, Sep 27, 8:16 PM EDT, 2 hours 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
816 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     FLOOD            TAD                     38.33N  81.49W
09/27/2018                   KANAWHA            WV   BROADCAST MEDIA

            CAMBELLS CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1800013

ABE
Local storm report, Sep 27, 8:18 PM EDT, 2 hours 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
818 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     FLOOD            CASS                    38.40N  79.91W
09/27/2018                   POCAHONTAS         WV   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CREEKS STARTING TO COME OUT OF BANKS NEAR CASS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1800014

ABE
Special weather statement, Sep 27, 9:25 PM EDT, 1 hour 45 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
Issued by National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
925 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2018

VAZ003-004-280330-
Dickenson-Buchanan-
925 PM EDT THU SEP 27 2018

...SHOWERS WILL AFFECT DICKENSON AND BUCHANAN COUNTIES...

At 923 PM EDT, showers over Buchanan and Dickenson counties were
moving northeast at 25 mph.

Locations impacted include...
Clintwood, Grundy, Haysi, Breaks Interstate, Davenport, John
Flannagan Lake, Big Rock, Trammel, Paw Paw, Clinchco, Oakwood, Stacy,
Nora, Vansant, Hurley, McClure and Roseann.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these showers, and may
cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect. Heavy downpours could cause
rapid rises in water. If rising water is observed, move to higher
ground. Do not drive into areas covered by water.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to travel across
flooded roads. Find alternate routes. It takes only a few inches of
swiftly flowing water to carry vehicles away.

LAT...LON 3702 8248 3713 8255 3720 8255 3727 8235
      3754 8197 3753 8194 3751 8193 3747 8200
      3744 8194 3736 8193 3728 8185 3728 8179
      3725 8174 3720 8176 3718 8185 3713 8192
      3712 8200 3705 8204 3704 8217 3696 8235
TIME...MOT...LOC 0123Z 240DEG 35KT 3718 8238

JS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Charleston, WV issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 27, 11:37 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRLXFayette, McDowell, Nicholas, Raleigh, Webster, Wyoming113 min
Sep 27, 11:40 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRLXFayette, McDowell, Nicholas, Raleigh, Webster, Wyoming110 min
Sep 27, 11:59 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRLXBraxton, Gilmer, Lewis, Upshur, Webster3 hr
Sep 28, 3:18 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningRLXBraxton, Gilmer3 hr
Sep 28, 5:37 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRLXRandolph3 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in West Virginia, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.