Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Warnings in 2018
Flash Flood Warning 61, NWS Raleigh, NC
NWS Raleigh, NC issued this flash flood warning at Sep 16, 2018, 4:22 PM EDT for 9 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 20 hr. 9 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 16, 2018, 4:22 PM EDT (20:22 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 17, 2018, 12:15 PM EDT
- In force
- 20 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Raleigh, NC
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Alamance County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Orange County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Wake County, NC
The radar
The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 6:13 PM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 5 Sw Ulah, NC | HIGH PINE CHURCH RD CLOSED. |
| Sep 16, 7:48 PM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 3 Wsw Gordontown, NC | YOUNG RD NEAR REGAN RD IS IMPASSABLE. |
| Sep 16, 11:55 PM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 2 Sse Asheboro, NC | EM CALLED TO REPORT LOTS OF FLOODING BEING REPORTED. 3 HIGH WATER RESCUES HAVE TAKEN PLACE WITH UP TO 50 ROADS CLOSED. |
| Sep 16, 11:55 PM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 2 Sse Asheboro, NC | EM CALLED TO REPORT LOTS OF FLOODING BEING REPORTED. 3 HIGH WATER RESCUES HAVE TAKEN PLACE WITH UP TO 50 ROADS CLOSED ACROSS RANDOLPH COUNTY. --CORRECTED |
| Sep 17, 12:20 AM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 1 Se Chapel Hill, NC | CAMELOT VILLAGE NEAR BOLIN CREEK IS BEING EVACUATED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING. |
| Sep 17, 1:45 AM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 2 Ssw Greensboro, NC | FLASH FLOODING REPORTED ACROSS THE CITY OF GREENSBORO. MULTIPLE PEOPLE RESCUED FROM FLOODED VEHICLES. PORTIONS OF THE PINECROFT APARTMENTS ARE BEING EVACUATED. |
| Sep 17, 3:25 AM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | Asheboro, NC | BETWEEN 9PM AND 1AM, RANDOLPH COUNTY EM TOOK AROUND 100 REPORTS OF TREES DOWN AND FLOODED ROADS. THREE WATER RESCUES FROM VEHICLES TOOK PLACE AND SEVERAL CITIZEN WERE ASSISTED FROM FLOODED HOMES. FLASH FLOOD WATERS ARE NOW BEGINNING TO RECEDE LEAVING SOME WASH |
| Sep 17, 9:00 AM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | 1 Sw Chapel Hill, NC | NUMEROUS ROADS IN ORANGE COUNTY ARE IMPASSABLE DUE TO FLOOD WATERS. THIS LIST INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO JONES FERRY ROAD BRIDGE AT UNIVERSITY LAKE, EASTGATE CROSSING AND UNIVERSITY PLACE PARKING LOTS IN CHAPEL HILL. AT WHITFIELD ROAD, THE ROAD IS WASHED O |
| Sep 17, 9:00 AM EDT | FLASH FLOOD | Pittsboro, NC | SEVERAL ROADS IN CHATHAM COUNTY ARE IMPASSABLE DUE TO FLASH FLOODING. THIS LIST INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO: U.S. 15-501 SOUTH AT THE DEEP RIVER, MORRIS ROAD BETWEEN PARKER HERNDON ROAD AND U.S. 15-501, CORINTH ROAD BETWEEN OLD U.S. 1 AND MONCURE FLATWOOD R |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 9 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 111 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 37 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 6 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -4 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 658 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 23 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 238 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 367 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.4
The text
As transmitted.
970
WGUS52 KRAH 162022
FFWRAH
NCC001-037-057-067-081-085-135-151-183-170215-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FF.W.0061.180916T2022Z-180917T0215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
422 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018
The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Alamance County in central North Carolina...
Forsyth County in central North Carolina...
Davidson County in central North Carolina...
Orange County in central North Carolina...
North central Harnett County in central North Carolina...
Randolph County in central North Carolina...
Guilford County in central North Carolina...
Southwestern Wake County in central North Carolina...
Chatham County in central North Carolina...
* Until 1015 PM EDT
* At 420 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the
warned area. Up to two inches of rain have already fallen and
additional bands of heavy rain will continuously move into the
warned area through this evening. Flash flooding is expected to
begin shortly.
* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Greensboro, Winston-Salem, Cary, High Point, Chapel Hill,
Burlington, Asheboro, Lexington, Graham and Hillsborough.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Flash flooding is extremely dangerous. Numerous roads and low lying
areas will quickly flood. Flood waters will also threaten some homes
and businesses. If you are experiencing flooding or live in a flood
prone area, move to higher ground. Turn around, don't drown when
encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles.
Stay away or be swept away. Do not enter or cross flowing water or
water of unknown depth.
&&
LAT...LON 3614 8044 3626 8045 3624 7896 3586 7902
3587 7891 3560 7860 3552 7871 3552 7897
3563 7912 3556 7920 3557 7924 3552 7935
3551 8018 3572 8033 3574 8046 3589 8037
3601 8042 3608 8052
$$
106 follow-up statements
716
WGUS72 KRAH 162304
FFSRAH
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
704 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018
NCC001-037-057-067-081-085-135-151-183-170215-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.W.0061.000000T0000Z-180917T0215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Alamance NC-Forsyth NC-Davidson NC-Orange NC-Harnett NC-Randolph NC-
Guilford NC-Wake NC-Chatham NC-
704 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM EDT FOR
ALAMANCE...FORSYTH...DAVIDSON...ORANGE...NORTH CENTRAL HARNETT...
RANDOLPH...GUILFORD...SOUTHWESTERN WAKE AND CHATHAM COUNTIES...
At 701 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across most of the
central and western piedmont. Up to two inches of rain have already
fallen, and gages along Buffalo Creek indicate rapid rises and
flash flooding imminent.
Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are possible in the
Triad area this evening and overnight.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
Flash flooding is extremely dangerous. Numerous roads and low lying
areas will quickly flood. Flood waters will also threaten some homes
and businesses. If you are experiencing flooding or live in a flood
prone area, move to higher ground.
Do not enter or cross flowing water or water of unknown depth.
&&
LAT...LON 3614 8044 3626 8045 3624 7896 3586 7902
3587 7891 3560 7860 3552 7871 3552 7897
3563 7912 3556 7920 3557 7924 3552 7935
3551 8018 3572 8033 3574 8046 3589 8037
3601 8042 3608 8052
$$
Smith120
WGUS52 KRAH 170158
FFWRAH
NCC001-037-057-067-081-085-135-151-183-170515-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FF.W.0061.000000T0000Z-180917T0515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
958 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018
The National Weather Service in Raleigh has extended the
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Alamance County in central North Carolina...
Forsyth County in central North Carolina...
Davidson County in central North Carolina...
Orange County in central North Carolina...
North central Harnett County in central North Carolina...
Randolph County in central North Carolina...
Guilford County in central North Carolina...
Southwestern Wake County in central North Carolina...
Chatham County in central North Carolina...
* Until 115 AM EDT
* At 956 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across most of
the central and western piedmont. Up to two inches of rain have
already fallen, and gages along Buffalo Creek indicate rapid rises
and flash flooding imminent.
Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in the
warned area.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
Excessive runoff from the heavy rain will cause flash flooding of
creeks and streams, roads, low lying and poor drainage areas. Do not
drive your vehicle into areas where water covers the road. Many roads
and intersections in the area will quickly flood. When encountering
flooded roads, turn around, don't drown.
Flash flooding is extremely dangerous. Numerous roads and low lying
areas will quickly flood. Flood waters will also threaten some homes
and businesses. If you are experiencing flooding or live in a flood
prone area, move to higher ground.
Do not enter or cross flowing water or water of unknown depth.
&&
LAT...LON 3614 8044 3626 8045 3624 7896 3586 7902
3587 7891 3560 7860 3552 7871 3552 7897
3563 7912 3556 7920 3557 7924 3552 7935
3551 8018 3572 8033 3574 8046 3589 8037
3601 8042 3608 8052
$$
HAINES022
WGUS72 KRAH 170441
FFSRAH
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1241 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2018
NCC001-037-057-067-081-085-135-151-183-170515-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.W.0061.000000T0000Z-180917T0515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Alamance NC-Forsyth NC-Davidson NC-Orange NC-Harnett NC-Randolph NC-
Guilford NC-Wake NC-Chatham NC-
1241 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2018
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 AM EDT FOR
ALAMANCE...FORSYTH...DAVIDSON...ORANGE...NORTH CENTRAL HARNETT...
RANDOLPH...GUILFORD...SOUTHWESTERN WAKE AND CHATHAM COUNTIES...
At 1237 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the warned
area. Emergency management in Randolph reported lots of flooding
calls with 3 high water rescues occurring as well as up to 50 roads
closed across the county. Also in Orange County, Camelot village
near Bolin creek is evacuating due to high water. Flash flooding is
occurring!
Additional rainfall amounts of 1" to 3" are possible in the warned
area.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
Excessive runoff from the heavy rain will cause flash flooding of
creeks and streams, roads, low lying and poor drainage areas. Do not
drive your vehicle into areas where water covers the road. Many roads
and intersections in the area will quickly flood. When encountering
flooded roads, turn around, don't drown.
Flash flooding is extremely dangerous. Numerous roads and low lying
areas will quickly flood. Flood waters will also threaten some homes
and businesses. If you are experiencing flooding or live in a flood
prone area, move to higher ground.
Do not enter or cross flowing water or water of unknown depth.
&&
LAT...LON 3614 8044 3626 8045 3624 7896 3586 7902
3587 7891 3560 7860 3552 7871 3552 7897
3563 7912 3556 7920 3557 7924 3552 7935
3551 8018 3572 8033 3574 8046 3589 8037
3601 8042 3608 8052
$$
HAINES233
WGUS52 KRAH 170442
FFWRAH
NCC001-037-057-067-081-085-135-151-183-171145-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FF.W.0061.000000T0000Z-180917T1145Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1242 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2018
The National Weather Service in Raleigh has extended the
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Alamance County in central North Carolina...
Forsyth County in central North Carolina...
Davidson County in central North Carolina...
Orange County in central North Carolina...
North central Harnett County in central North Carolina...
Randolph County in central North Carolina...
Guilford County in central North Carolina...
Southwestern Wake County in central North Carolina...
Chatham County in central North Carolina...
* Until 745 AM EDT Monday
* At 1241 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the
warned area. Emergency management in Randolph reported lots of
flooding calls with 3 high water rescues occurring as well as up
to 50 roads closed across the county. Also in Orange County,
Camelot village near Bolin creek is evacuating due to high water.
Flash flooding is occurring!
Additional rainfall amounts of 1" to 3" are possible in the warned
area.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
Excessive runoff from the heavy rain will cause flash flooding of
creeks and streams, roads, low lying and poor drainage areas. Do not
drive your vehicle into areas where water covers the road. Many roads
and intersections in the area will quickly flood. When encountering
flooded roads, turn around, don't drown.
Flash flooding is extremely dangerous. Numerous roads and low lying
areas will quickly flood. Flood waters will also threaten some homes
and businesses. If you are experiencing flooding or live in a flood
prone area, move to higher ground.
Do not enter or cross flowing water or water of unknown depth.
&&
LAT...LON 3614 8044 3626 8045 3624 7896 3586 7902
3587 7891 3560 7860 3552 7871 3552 7897
3563 7912 3556 7920 3557 7924 3552 7935
3551 8018 3572 8033 3574 8046 3589 8037
3601 8042 3608 8052
$$
HAINES183
WGUS72 KRAH 170554
FFSRAH
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
154 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2018
NCC001-037-057-067-081-085-135-151-183-171145-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.W.0061.000000T0000Z-180917T1145Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Alamance NC-Forsyth NC-Davidson NC-Orange NC-Harnett NC-Randolph NC-
Guilford NC-Wake NC-Chatham NC-
154 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2018
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 AM EDT MONDAY
FOR ALAMANCE...FORSYTH...DAVIDSON...ORANGE...NORTH CENTRAL HARNETT...
RANDOLPH...GUILFORD...SOUTHWESTERN WAKE AND CHATHAM COUNTIES...
At 152 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated rainfall across the warned
area. Emergency management in Randolph County reported lots of
flooding calls with 3 high water rescues occurring as well as up to
50 roads closed across the county. Also in Orange County, Camelot
village near Bolin creek is evacuating due to high water. Multiple
reports of flash flooding also in Guilford county now, in
particular near Buffalo Creek. Flash flooding is occurring!
Additional rainfall amounts of 1" to 3" are possible in the warned
area.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
Excessive runoff from the heavy rain will cause flash flooding of
creeks and streams, roads, low lying and poor drainage areas. Do not
drive your vehicle into areas where water covers the road. Many roads
and intersections in the area will quickly flood. When encountering
flooded roads, turn around, don't drown.
Flash flooding is extremely dangerous. Numerous roads and low lying
areas will quickly flood. Flood waters will also threaten some homes
and businesses. If you are experiencing flooding or live in a flood
prone area, move to higher ground.
Do not enter or cross flowing water or water of unknown depth.
&&
LAT...LON 3614 8044 3626 8045 3624 7896 3586 7902
3587 7891 3560 7860 3552 7871 3552 7897
3563 7912 3556 7920 3557 7924 3552 7935
3551 8018 3572 8033 3574 8046 3589 8037
3601 8042 3608 8052
$$
Haines329
WGUS52 KRAH 171047
FFWRAH
NCC001-037-057-067-081-085-135-151-183-171615-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FF.W.0061.000000T0000Z-180917T1615Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
647 AM EDT MON SEP 17 2018
The National Weather Service in Raleigh has extended the
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Alamance County in central North Carolina...
Forsyth County in central North Carolina...
Davidson County in central North Carolina...
Orange County in central North Carolina...
North central Harnett County in central North Carolina...
Randolph County in central North Carolina...
Guilford County in central North Carolina...
Southwestern Wake County in central North Carolina...
Chatham County in central North Carolina...
* Until 1215 PM EDT
* At 647 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated rainfall across the warned
area. Emergency management in Randolph County reported lots of
flooding calls with 3 high water rescues occurring as well as up
to 50 roads closed across the county. Also in Orange County,
Camelot village near Bolin creek is evacuating due to high water.
Multiple reports of flash flooding also in Guilford county now, in
particular near Buffalo Creek. Flash flooding is occurring!
Additional rainfall amounts of 1" to 3" are possible in the warned
area.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.
Excessive runoff from the heavy rain will cause flash flooding of
creeks and streams, roads, low lying and poor drainage areas. Do not
drive your vehicle into areas where water covers the road. Many roads
and intersections in the area will quickly flood. When encountering
flooded roads, turn around, don't drown.
Flash flooding is extremely dangerous. Numerous roads and low lying
areas will quickly flood. Flood waters will also threaten some homes
and businesses. If you are experiencing flooding or live in a flood
prone area, move to higher ground.
Do not enter or cross flowing water or water of unknown depth.
&&
LAT...LON 3614 8044 3626 8045 3624 7896 3586 7902
3587 7891 3560 7860 3552 7871 3552 7897
3563 7912 3556 7920 3557 7924 3552 7935
3551 8018 3572 8033 3574 8046 3589 8037
3601 8042 3608 8052
$$
HAINESWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Sep 16, 3:35 PM EDT, 47 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 16, 3:35 PM EDT, 47 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 335 PM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018 .SYNOPSIS... The center of Tropical Depression Florence will move north- northwest over the Mountains of North Carolina tonight, then turn north and northeast through Lower Ohio Valley and northern Mid-Atlantic States Monday and Tuesday. Attendant trailing surface trough move cross the region on Tuesday. Much drier and warm weather will arrive as high pressure builds over North Carolina mid to late week into the weekend. && .NEAR TERM /THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 335 PM Sunday... Deep SE flow (40-50+ kts at 850 mb) will continue to channel tropical moisture (2.0 to 2.5 PWATS, per satellite derived Blended Precip Water) into the area, gradually shift west and northwest into the western half of central NC. Florence had finally started to pick up some forward speed, tracking west-northwest around 10 mph. This will allow the primary heavy rain band that has been focused across the southern portions of the forecast to pivot west-northwest across the western half of the forecast area through tonight. Aided by orographic lift, widespread heavy rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches can be expected. The flooding threat will continue through the night. In the NE, showers will be more intermittent and likely to exhibit some diurnal enhancement/flare at times through late afternoon, as models show 500 to 1000 J/Kg developing across the eastern zones. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches is possible, with the lowest QPF expected across the NE. Additionally, given the slightly more robust instability and potential for some temporary breaks in cloud cover, a brief spin up of a weak meso tornado may be higher than previous days. Will not make any changes to current flood watch, which was extended last night through 12z Mon. Lows tonight 70-75. && .SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... As of 335 PM Sunday... The coverage and intensity of rainfall over central NC will decrease Monday morning as the remnants of Florence lift north and away into the lower Ohio Valley. We will still have the potential for very heavy rain through the morning as a surface trough moves east through the region. Showers are expected to become scattered during the afternoon, with locally heavy rain still expected (more localized). Moisture will remain fairly deep over central NC, primarily over central and E sections where PW will be near 2", lower than recent values but above the climatological normal. We should see scattered showers and a few storms Monday afternoon into the evening, with the best coverage over the NW and north central sections where weak DPVA is anticipated. Models depict a surface front and mid level trough shifting east through the area Tuesday afternoon, when we'll likely see a band of scattered thunderstorms moving NW to SE (40-50 POP). POPS will become NIL (finally) after midnight Tuesday as the cold front moves to the coast. Highs general in the 80-86 range Monday, then mid to upper 80s Tuesday. Lows in the lower 70s. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 305 PM Sunday... Much drier weather is expected Wednesday through Saturday. The next chance of afternoon thunderstorms has been delayed until Sunday (mainly in the NW zones). So, a much needed period to dry and clean up. High pressure will be over the region Wednesday into Friday and Saturday, then shift offshore Saturday night. Mostly clear/mostly sunny weather is expected. By Sunday, a cold front is expected to approach from the north bringing a chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly in the afternoon. Lows in the 60s will be common through Saturday, with 65-70 Sunday. Highs generally in the 80s (82-88). && .AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... As of 215 PM Sunday... 24 Hour TAF period: Band of heavy rain showers associated with Tropical Storm Florence will gradually pivot west-northwest through tonight. This will shift the heaviest rain and impacts from KFAY to KINT and KGSO by late afternoon and evening. Expect IFR to MVFR restrictions in these heavy rain showers. At KRDU and KRWI, the rain showers will be more intermittent, with generally VFR conditions through the afternoon, outside of the heavy rain showers. Ceilings are expected to lower LIFR to IFR overnight, with a continued good chance of showers at all taf sites. As Florence lifts off to the north, drier air aloft will advect into the area on Monday. This drier aloft, along with daytime heating should allow eastern and central TAF sites(KRWI, KFAY, and KRDU) to improve to VFR conditions during the mid to late morning hours. At KINT and KGSO, ceilings could remain MVFR until late Monday afternoon. Tempered daytime heating within the continued moist and muggy airmass will support the re-development of of scattered showers, along with thunderstorms Monday afternoon and evening. Low level wind shear has relaxed with the exception of over the far southwestern terminals of the forecast area. Winds diminish even more during the evening and turn ESE to SE as the the weakening center of the Florence remnant moves north across the area Long Term: A continued moist low-level airmass will favor areas of stratus and/or fog Monday night/Tuesday morning. A cold front moving through the area Tuesday afternoon will bring another chance of showers and storms. Dry VFR conditions will finally return on Wednesday and will remain predominately VFR through the end of the week. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flash Flood Watch through this evening for NCZ024-025-041-042-078- 089. Flash Flood Watch through Monday morning for NCZ021>023-038>040- 073>077-083>086-088. && SYNOPSIS...Badgett/CBL NEAR TERM...CBL SHORT TERM...CBL/Badgett LONG TERM...Badgett AVIATION...CBL
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 16, 7:01 AM EDT, 9 hours 21 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Raleigh NC 701 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018 NCZ021>023-038>040-073>077-171100- Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Stanly- Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett- 701 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flash Flood Watch. A few strong to severe storms producing tornadoes are possible late this afternoon through tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flash Flood Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed through tonight. NCZ024-025-041-042-078-171100- Orange-Durham-Wake-Johnston-Wayne- 701 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flash Flood Watch. A few strong to severe storms producing tornadoes are possible late this afternoon through tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed through tonight. NCZ083>086-088-171100- Anson-Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland- 701 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... ...TORNADO WATCH 379 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Tornado Watch. Flash Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flash Flood Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed through tonight. NCZ089-171100- Sampson- 701 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... ...TORNADO WATCH 379 IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Tornado Watch. Flash Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed through tonight. NCZ007>011-026>028-043-171100- Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Wilson- 701 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Sep 16, 3:47 PM EDT, 35 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
347 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018
NCZ074-075-084-162015-
Richmond NC-Moore NC-Montgomery NC-
347 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018
...A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER WILL AFFECT WESTERN MOORE...NORTHEASTERN
RICHMOND AND EASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM EDT...
At 346 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a heavy rain shower near
Hoffman, or 12 miles northeast of Rockingham, moving north at 55 mph.
Funnel clouds and enhanced wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible
with this fast-moving shower.
Heavy rain and flooding will also be possible with this shower.
Locations impacted include...
Biscoe, Hoffman, Pinebluff, Foxfire, Star, Candor, Norman, Derby,
Seven Lakes and Sandhills Game Land.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Doppler radar has indicated weak rotation with this shower. If the
storm intensifies and rotation strengthens, a warning may need to be
issued.
&&
A tornado watch remains in effect until 500 PM EDT for central North
Carolina.
LAT...LON 3543 7992 3549 7963 3505 7945 3504 7946
3500 7965
TIME...MOT...LOC 1946Z 159DEG 49KT 3506 7959
77Local storm report, Sep 16, 3:49 PM EDT, 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
349 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0248 PM FLASH FLOOD 7 ESE VASS 35.20N 79.18W
09/16/2018 MOORE NC LAW ENFORCEMENT
CABIN CREEK RD CLOSED.
&&
SMITHLocal storm report, Sep 16, 3:51 PM EDT, 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
351 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0250 PM FLASH FLOOD 6 ESE VASS 35.22N 79.18W
09/16/2018 MOORE NC LAW ENFORCEMENT
MCGILL RD CLOSED.
&&
SMITHLocal storm report, Sep 16, 3:53 PM EDT, 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
353 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0252 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SSE CAMERON 35.30N 79.24W
09/16/2018 MOORE NC LAW ENFORCEMENT
ATKINS RD CLOSED FROM FURR RD TO JAMES ST.
&&
SMITHSpecial weather statement, Sep 16, 3:55 PM EDT, 27 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
355 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018
NCZ089-162030-
Sampson NC-
355 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018
...A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER WILL AFFECT CENTRAL SAMPSON COUNTY UNTIL 430
PM EDT...
At 354 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a heavy rain shower near
Harrells, or 16 miles south of Clinton, moving northwest at 40 mph.
Funnel clouds and enhanced wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible
with this fast-moving shower.
Locations impacted include...
Clinton, Harrells, Roseboro, Garland and Salemburg.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Doppler radar has indicated weak rotation with this shower. If the
storm intensifies and rotation strengthens, a warning may need to be
issued.
&&
A tornado watch remains in effect until 500 PM EDT for central North
Carolina.
LAT...LON 3506 7863 3516 7829 3475 7819 3474 7820
3470 7832
TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 156DEG 35KT 3476 7830
77Local storm report, Sep 16, 4:16 PM EDT, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
416 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0415 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SSW ASHEBORO 35.70N 79.82W
09/16/2018 RANDOLPH NC 911 CALL CENTER
LEE ST CLOSED NEAR KIVETT ST.
&&
SMITHThe office that day
Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 3:40 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Sampson | 6 hr |
| Sep 16, 8:13 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | Alamance, Chatham, Davidson, Durham, Forsyth, Granville and 9 more | 6 hr |
| Sep 16, 8:25 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Wayne | 50 min |
| Sep 16, 9:51 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | Edgecombe, Franklin, Granville, Halifax, Nash, Person and 2 more | 3 hr |
| Sep 16, 10:16 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Bladen | 44 min |
| Sep 16, 10:23 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Cumberland | 37 min |
| Sep 16, 10:57 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Halifax | 33 min |
| Sep 16, 11:09 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Sampson | 36 min |
| Sep 16, 11:50 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Cumberland | 25 min |
| Sep 16, 12:13 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Cumberland | 32 min |
| Sep 16, 12:22 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Lee | 23 min |
| Sep 16, 12:41 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Scotland | 34 min |
| Sep 16, 12:46 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | Edgecombe, Franklin, Granville, Halifax, Nash, Person and 2 more | 59 min |
| Sep 16, 1:08 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Scotland | 22 min |
| Sep 16, 1:20 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Scotland | 25 min |
| Sep 16, 1:29 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Richmond | 31 min |
| Sep 16, 1:33 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | Chatham, Davidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Randolph | 3 hr |
| Sep 16, 1:50 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Hoke | 25 min |
| Sep 16, 1:52 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | RAH | Johnston, Wayne | 28 hr |
| Sep 16, 1:57 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Cumberland | 33 min |
| Sep 16, 2:09 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Hoke | 36 min |
| Sep 16, 2:13 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Anson, Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Lee, Montgomery and 5 more | 22 hr |
| Sep 16, 2:20 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Richmond | 25 min |
| Sep 16, 2:35 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Hoke | 25 min |
| Sep 16, 2:39 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Cumberland | 36 min |
| Sep 16, 2:45 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Scotland | 45 min |
| Sep 16, 2:57 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Moore | 33 min |
| Sep 16, 3:17 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Scotland | 28 min |
| Sep 16, 3:22 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | RAH | Scotland | 38 min |
| Sep 16, 3:47 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Moore | 28 min |
| Sep 16, 3:55 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Sampson | 35 min |
| Sep 16, 3:58 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | RAH | Scotland | 29 min |
| Sep 16, 4:29 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Richmond | 46 min |
| Sep 16, 4:32 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Chatham | 28 min |
| Sep 16, 4:35 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Nash | 25 min |
| Sep 16, 4:37 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Scotland | 38 min |
| Sep 16, 4:38 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Harnett | 37 min |
| Sep 16, 4:45 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | RAH | Chatham, Lee | 5 days |
| Sep 16, 4:51 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Chatham | 24 min |
| Sep 16, 5:04 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Johnston | 26 min |
| Sep 16, 5:06 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Franklin, Nash | 39 min |
| Sep 16, 5:16 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Scotland | 44 min |
| Sep 16, 5:19 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Montgomery, Richmond, Stanly | 56 min |
| Sep 16, 5:48 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Vance | 42 min |
| Sep 16, 6:07 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Scotland | 23 min |
| Sep 16, 6:07 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | RAH | Franklin, Granville, Vance, Warren | 38 min |
| Sep 16, 6:17 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Franklin | 28 min |
| Sep 16, 6:19 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | RAH | Scotland | 30 min |
| Sep 16, 6:43 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Scotland | 32 min |
| Sep 16, 6:52 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Montgomery | 23 min |
| Sep 16, 7:22 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Moore | 23 min |
| Sep 16, 7:38 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Hoke | 37 min |
| Sep 16, 7:41 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Anson, Montgomery, Stanly | 49 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2018Every flash flood warning in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.