Heat Advisory 3, NWS Nashville, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1120 PM CDT Wed Jul 4 2018

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Ongoing showers and thunderstorms are mainly impacting the
southwest part of the CWA tonight associated with minor upper
level disturbances moving westward around the upper high. Chances
for additional showers and storms will continue for an hour or two
this evening before dissipating or moving out of the mid state.

Latest 00Z model guidance is just starting to trickle in, and a
few suggest additional showers and thunderstorms during the
overnight hours associated with additional upper shortwaves. For
now left the forecast dry overnight but may need to add pops
overnight should more guidance get on board with overnight
convection. Rest of the forecast is on track.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR. Scattered cumulus are expected overnight and again on
Thursday as the upper level ridge to our north shifts westward
into the Plains states. No precipitation is expected overnight
into Thursday morning, but a few showers or storms are possible
near airports Thursday afternoon/evening, especially at CSV. Not
enough confidence to include VCTS mention attm. Light northeast
to east winds are anticipated through the TAF period.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

DISCUSSION......Barnwell
AVIATION........Shamburger

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
919 PM CDT Wed Jul 4 2018

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-060230-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-
Jackson-Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-
Maury-Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-
Coffee-Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
919 PM CDT Wed Jul 4 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Middle
Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Heat index values may reach 100 to 105 in some locations again on
Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
139 AM CDT THU JUL 5 2018

TNZ026-027-050715-
Davidson TN-Cheatham TN-
139 AM CDT THU JUL 5 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN DAVIDSON AND
NORTHEASTERN CHEATHAM COUNTIES UNTIL 215 AM CDT...

At 138 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Ashland City, moving northwest at 20 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Ashland City, Pleasant View, Beaman Park and Bells Bend.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3629 8683 3613 8692 3618 8715 3639 8706
TIME...MOT...LOC 0638Z 113DEG 16KT 3624 8697

13

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