Severe Thunderstorm Warning 156, NWS Omaha, NE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
638 PM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Thursday)
Issued at 320 PM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018

Convection already firing across parts of the forecast area at 20Z
in advance of a shortwave trough lifing out of western KS. In
addition, two surface boundaries were also in place. A warm front
stretched from northeast NE across northern IA, while a surface
trough was over western KS. These two boundaries will play a large
role in focusing additional rounds of convection over the area
through much of the short term period as a developing upper level
system moves into the region.

Abundant moisture across the region and the nearly stationary
boundaries will provide the potential of several periods of heavy
rain. A flash flood watch has been issued for parts of the area
for tonight into Tuesday morning due to this heavy rain potential.

Temperatures will be cooler compared to the past few days, but the
humid conditions will continue to make for uncomfortable
conditions.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Monday)
Issued at 320 PM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018

Pattern looks to remain rather active into the weekend as the
upper system mentioned above works its way out of the area and
additional shortwave troughs move through by the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 628 PM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018

Scattered convection across the area at the start of the period
and this is likely to continue through 09Z. Frontal boundary will
remain stalled over the area with additional chance of convection
after 12Z. Areas of MVFR cigs and IFR vsby in heavy rain.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday afternoon for NEZ015-032>034-
     043>045-050>053.

IA...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday afternoon for IAZ043-055-056-
     069.

&&

SHORT TERM...Fobert
LONG TERM...Fobert
AVIATION...Fobert

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
350 PM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-
042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-191100-
Monona-Harrison-Shelby-Pottawattamie-Mills-Montgomery-Fremont-
Page-Knox-Cedar-Thurston-Antelope-Pierce-Wayne-Boone-Madison-
Stanton-Cuming-Burt-Platte-Colfax-Dodge-Washington-Butler-
Saunders-Douglas-Sarpy-Seward-Lancaster-Cass-Otoe-Saline-
Jefferson-Gage-Johnson-Nemaha-Pawnee-Richardson-
350 PM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest
Iowa...west central Iowa...east central Nebraska...northeast
Nebraska and southeast Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Tuesday

Scattered strong to severe storms are expected to continue over
portions of eastern Nebraska and southwest Iowa late this
afternoon into this evening, mainly north of I-80. The primary
hazards with these storms will be damaging winds, heavy rain, and
some hail to quarter size. A brief tornado is also possible,
especially west of a Wayne to Columbus line.

Heavy rain is also likely tonight across the area and may result
in local flooding. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for east
central Nebraska into west central Iowa tonight into Tuesday
morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday night through Monday

Thunderstorm chances will remain in the forecast through the week
and into next weekend. Periods of heavy rain are possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Storm spotter activation may be required into this evening.

Fobert

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
612 PM CDT MON JUN 18 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 S PILGER              41.93N 97.06W
06/18/2018  M76 MPH          STANTON            NE   STORM CHASER

&&

HD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
620 PM CDT MON JUN 18 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0619 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NW VALLEY             41.32N 96.36W
06/18/2018  M2.67 INCH       DOUGLAS            NE   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            2.67 INCHES IN THE LAST 6 HOURS.

&&

MILLER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
621 PM CDT MON JUN 18 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0621 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 N BEEMER              42.00N 96.81W
06/18/2018  M70 MPH          CUMING             NE   STORM CHASER

&&

HD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
637 PM CDT MON JUN 18 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 W BANCROFT            42.01N 96.65W
06/18/2018  M70 MPH          CUMING             NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

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