Alert archive / California / Flash Flood Watches in 2018

Flash Flood Watch 1, NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

January 7, 2018Marin County, Napa County, Sonoma County, California

NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA issued this flash flood watch at Jan 7, 2018, 4:06 AM PST for Marin County, Napa County, Sonoma County, California. It took effect at Jan 8, 2018, 12:00 PM PST. It was in force for 13 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 7, 2018, 4:06 AM PST (12:06 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 8, 2018, 12:00 PM PST
Expired
Jan 9, 2018, 1:23 AM PST
In force
13 hr
Issued by
NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA
Flood severity
None

Counties Marin County, CA, Napa County, CA, Sonoma County, CA

The radar

The Sacramento radar (KDAX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Reno, NV (KREV), launched 12:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 409 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Reno, NV at 12:00Z on 2018-01-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Reno, NV at 12:00Z on 2018-01-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -13 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1642 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
55 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Jan 7, 3:53 AM PST, 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 7, 3:53 AM PST, 13 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 6, 7:26 PM PST, 8 hours 40 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
726 PM PST Sat Jan 6 2018

CAZ006-505>513-516>518-528>530-071400-
San Francisco-
Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore-
North Bay Interior Valleys-North Bay Mountains-
San Francisco Bay Shoreline-San Francisco Peninsula Coast-
East Bay Interior Valleys-East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range-
Santa Cruz Mountains-Santa Clara Valley Including San Jose-
Southern Salinas Valley/Arroyo Seco and Lake San Antonio-
Santa Lucia Mountains and Los Padres National Forest-
Mountains Of San Benito County And Interior Monterey County
Including Pinnacles National Park-
Northern Salinas Valley/Hollister Valley and Carmel Valley-
Northern Monterey Bay-Southern Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast-
726 PM PST Sat Jan 6 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the San Francisco Bay Area
and Monterey Bay Area.

.DAY ONE...Saturday Night

Partly cloudy skies and mild temperatures are forecast for
Saturday night. Patchy fog will likely develop late in the North
Bay Valleys, East Bay Valleys, and around San Francisco Bay.
Patchy dense fog is possible in the North Bay Valleys and near the
Delta.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Patchy fog will continue into Sunday morning.

A wet and windy storm system is expected to impact the region
from late Sunday night through Tuesday.

*  Precipitation onset: Rain is forecast to spread across
   the region late Sunday night and Monday morning.

*  Precipitation duration: Periods of rain will then continue
   through Monday afternoon and Monday night. Scattered showers
   are forecast for Tuesday and possibly into Tuesday night.

*  Precipitation intensity: Locally heavy rain is possible from
   midday Monday through Monday night. Heavy rain over the North
   Bay burn scars may result in debris flows.

*  Thunderstorm potential: There is a slight chance of
   thunderstorms across the southern portion of the forecast area
   on Tuesday afternoon and evening.

*  Forecast rainfall amounts (Late Sunday night through Tuesday
   evening): Coastal Mountains: 3-5 inches, Inland Mountains:
   2-3", Coastal plains and most valleys: 1-2.5", Rain-sheltered
   valleys: 0.5-1.0"

*  Winds: Strong and gusty southerly winds will develop on Monday
   morning and persist through Monday night. Wind gusts of between
   40 and 55 mph are possible, especially near the coast and at
   higher elevations. Wind advisories may be issued.

The office that day

Everything else NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 7, 2:44 AM PSTGale WatchMTR12 hr
Jan 7, 2:44 AM PSTSmall Craft AdvisoryMTR4 days
Jan 7, 4:33 AM PSTHigh Wind WarningMTRMonterey47 hr
Jan 7, 4:33 AM PSTWind AdvisoryMTRAlameda, Contra Costa, Marin, Monterey, San Benito, City and County of San Francisco and 4 more46 hr
Jan 7, 2:32 PM PSTGale WarningMTR36 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in California, 2018Every flash flood watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.