Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 63, NWS Marquette, MI

October 3, 2018Dickinson County, Menominee County, Michigan

NWS Marquette, MI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 3, 2018, 5:47 PM CDT for Dickinson County, Menominee County, Michigan. It was in force for 28 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 3, 2018, 5:47 PM CDT (22:47 UTC)
Expired
Oct 3, 2018, 6:15 PM CDT
In force
28 min
Issued by
NWS Marquette, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Possible
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
70.0 mph

Counties Dickinson County, MI, Menominee County, MI

The radar

The Marquette radar (KMQT), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Oct 3, 3:31 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2018-10-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2018-10-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 557 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
527 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
557 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
541 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Marquette, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 3, 2:57 PM CDT, 2 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 3, 2:57 PM CDT, 2 hours 50 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 3, 3:56 PM CDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Marquette MI
456 PM EDT Wed Oct 3 2018

MIZ001>007-009>014-084-085-042100-
Keweenaw-Ontonagon-Northern Houghton-Baraga-Marquette-Alger-Luce-
Gogebic-Iron-Dickinson-Menominee-Delta-Southern Schoolcraft-
Southern Houghton-Northern Schoolcraft-
456 PM EDT Wed Oct 3 2018 /356 PM CDT Wed Oct 3 2018/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western Upper
Michigan and central Upper Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible this evening. Some
storms may contain damaging winds and hail. A brief tornado cannot
be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to submit reports to the National
Weather Service in Marquette. The public may also submit reports
at our webpage, Facebook page, or on Twitter.

LSZ162-240>251-263>267-042100-
Lake Superior west of a line from Saxon Harbor WI to Grand
Portage MN beyond 5NM-Saxon Harbor WI to Black River MI-
Black River to Ontonagon MI-
Ontonagon to Upper Entrance of Portage Canal MI-
Upper Entrance of Portage Canal to Eagle River MI-
Eagle River to Manitou Island MI-
Manitou Island to Point Isabelle MI-
Point Isabelle to Lower Entrance of Portage Canal MI-
Lower Entrance of Portage Canal To Huron Islands MI Including
Keweenaw and Huron Bays-Huron Islands to Marquette MI-
Marquette to Munising MI-Munising to Grand Marais MI-
Grand Marais to Whitefish Point MI-
Lake Superior from Saxon Harbor WI to Upper Entrance to Portage
Canal MI 5NM off shore to the US/Canadian border including Isle
Royale National Park-
Lake Superior from Upper Entrance to Portage Canal to Manitou
Island MI 5NM off shore to the US/Canadian Border-
Lake Superior West of Line from Manitou Island to Marquette MI
Beyond 5NM from shore-
Lake Superior East of a line from Manitou Island to Marquette MI
and West of a line from Grand Marais MI to the US/Canadian Border
Beyond 5NM from shore-
Lake Superior from Grand Marais MI to Whitefish Point MI 5NM off
shore to the US/Canadian border-
456 PM EDT Wed Oct 3 2018 /356 PM CDT Wed Oct 3 2018/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Eastern Lake
Superior...Central Lake Superior and Western Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms will be possible this
evening. Some storms may contain damaging winds and hail. A brief
waterspout cannot be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to submit reports to the National
Weather Service in Marquette. The public may also submit reports
at our webpage, Facebook page, or on Twitter.

LMZ221-248-250-042100-
Green Bay North of line from Cedar River MI to Rock Island
Passage-Seul Choix Point to Point Detour MI-
5NM East of a line from Fairport MI to Rock Island Passage-
456 PM EDT Wed Oct 3 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Northern Lake
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Strong to potentially severe thunderstorms will be possible this
evening. Some storms may contain damaging winds and hail. A brief
waterspout cannot be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to submit reports to the National
Weather Service in Marquette. The public may also submit reports
at our webpage, Facebook page, or on Twitter.

lg

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 3, 2:00 PM CDT, 3 hours 47 minutes before
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Local storm report, Oct 3, 2:04 PM CDT, 3 hours 43 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Marquette, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 2, 9:13 PM CDTGale WarningMQT34 hr
Oct 3, 3:10 AM CDTLakeshore Flood AdvisoryMQTAlger, Luce34 hr
Oct 3, 3:10 AM CDTWind AdvisoryMQTAlger, Gogebic, Houghton, Keweenaw, Luce, Ontonagon and 1 more29 hr
Oct 3, 3:47 AM CDTStorm WarningMQT29 hr
Oct 3, 6:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTDelta, Menominee26 min
Oct 3, 6:45 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMQTDelta45 min
Oct 3, 6:53 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMQTDickinson22 min
Oct 3, 6:57 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMQTBaraga, Gogebic48 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Michigan, 2018Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.