Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 34, NWS Mobile, AL

September 5, 2018Escambia County, Florida; Escambia County, Alabama

NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Sep 5, 2018, 11:47 PM CDT for Escambia County, Florida; Escambia County, Alabama. It took effect at Sep 6, 2018, 6:04 AM CDT. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 5, 2018, 11:47 PM CDT (04:47 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 6, 2018, 6:04 AM CDT
Expired
Sep 6, 2018, 12:53 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Escambia County, AL, Escambia County, FL

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Big Escambia Creek at Flomaton (FLMA1). The gauge peaked at 17.71 ft at Sep 6, 2018, 5:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate10152009/0609/07
Action stage
14 ft
Minor stage
19 ft
Moderate stage
21 ft
Major stage
22.5 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02375000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

038 
WGUS44 KMOB 060447
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1147 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018



...The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a flood warning for the 
following rivers in Alabama...Florida... 

  Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton affecting Escambia County.

.Heavy rainfall is forecast to occur over the next 24 hours. As a result...river
levels are forecast to rise and a flood warning is now in effect. It is 
emphasized that the following forecast is based on the expected rainfall during 
the next 24 hours. If less rainfall occurs...it may be necessary to revise this 
stage forecast downward.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC053-FLC033-070124-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0034.180906T1104Z-180907T0124Z/
/FLMA1.1.ER.180906T1104Z.180906T1800Z.180906T1924Z.NO/
1147 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton
* From Thursday morning until Thursday evening
* At11PM Wednesday the stage was...17.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast 
* Flood stage is 19 feet. 
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise 
  near 19.4 feet by tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood 
  stage by Thursday evening.
* At 19 feet...Water reaches several homes on north side of Highway 31.

&&

LAT...LON 3106 8731 3099 8722 3098 8724 3104 8733


$$
1 follow-up statement
049 
WGUS84 KMOB 061753
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1253 PM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018
 

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in Alabama...
Florida...
 
  Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton affecting Escambia County.

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC053-FLC033-061823-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-180907T0124Z/
/FLMA1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1253 PM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton
* At 12 PM Thursday the stage was 16.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 19 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3106 8731 3099 8722 3098 8724 3104 8733


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 5, 9:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 5, 9:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
940 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

.DISCUSSION...See updated information for land areas below.

&&

.UPDATE...Current package on track, so no updates planned.

Southerly flow over the area will bring continued cloudy overnight
skies along with a few showers and thunderstorms. Greatest rain
coverage is expected to be over area coastal waters.

/16

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 644 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018/

DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

AVIATION...
00Z issuance...
Majority MVFR conditions expected through the forecast period due
to the lingering effects of Tropical Storm Gordon. Lowered
ceilings and scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms are
expected to persist into the evening then dissipate tonight.
Overnight patchy fog is possible though light southerly winds may
keep the fog at bay. DJ/17

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 353 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Thursday/...Convergence bands left by
Gordon continue to provide a focus for showers and isolated
thunderstorms this afternoon. However, the coverage and intensity
is not expected to be enough to cause flooding and the Flash Flood
Watch will be dropped with the 4pm forecast. Some minor flooding
issues will likely continue in some areas as runoff continues.
Showers and thunderstorms will decrease in coverage tonight with
the loss of heating with only isolated showers expected. Plenty of
moisture will remain in place across the area on Thursday and
with surface heating, expected scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms to develop during the day on Thursday. /13

SHORT TERM /Thursday night Through Saturday night/...High pressure
will build over the southeastern states Thursday night keeping a
moist east to southeast surface over the region.  A more typical
diurnally driven convective pattern will develop with isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms developing during the peak
heating of the day and gradually dissipating in the evening.
Overnight lows are generally expected to fall into the low to mid
70s while daytime highs will climb into the mid 80s to low 90s.
/08

LONG TERM /Sunday Through Wednesday/...On Sunday, a frontal
system approaching from the west stalls near the Tennessee River
Valley as surface high pressure continues to nose into the
southeastern states creating a more uniform southerly flow. Aloft
a broad trough develops over the region Monday which should
enhance afternoon convection and minor waves traveling through
could at times help sustain showers into the evening hours. Little
change in diurnal temperature trends are anticipated at this time
with overnight lows generally remaining in the low to mid 70s and
daytime highs reaching the mid 80s to low 90s. /08

MARINE...High pressure will continue from the western Atlantic to
the northern Gulf. This will maintain a generally light east to
southeast wind flow through the remainder of the week. /13

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk until 7 AM CDT Thursday for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk until 7 AM CDT Thursday for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mob
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 5, 3:54 PM CDT, 7 hours 53 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
354 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-062100-
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Coastal-
354 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Alabama and
northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ALZ051>060-261>264-FLZ201-203-205-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-062100-
Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-
Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Escambia Inland-Santa Rosa Inland-Okaloosa Inland-
Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George-
354 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Alabama,
southwest Alabama, northwest Florida and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

GMZ630>636-650-655-670-675-062100-
Northern Mobile Bay-Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound-
Perdido Bay-Pensacola Bay System-Western Choctawhatchee Bay-
Eastern Choctawhatchee Bay-
Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL
out 20 NM-Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL from
20 to 60 NM-
354 PM CDT Wed Sep 5 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal waters of Alabama
and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 5, 6:55 PM CDT, 4 hours 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
655 PM CDT WED SEP 5 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0648 PM     FLOOD            1 NNE SEMINOLE          30.53N 87.47W
09/05/2018                   BALDWIN            AL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            DONOVAN CIRCLE IN THE SEMINOLE LANDING
            COMMUNITY ALONG THE STYX RIVER FLOODED.

&&

SAM
Local storm report, Sep 5, 7:11 PM CDT, 4 hours 36 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
711 PM CDT WED SEP 5 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     HEAVY RAIN       ALABAMA PORT            30.36N 88.11W
09/05/2018  M4.71 INCH       MOBILE             AL   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC RAIN TOTAL REPORT OF 4.71 INCHES NEAR
            THE ALABAMA PORT.

&&

DRJ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 6, 5:21 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMOBClarke114 min
Sep 6, 5:47 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBClarke3 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2018River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.