River Flood Warning 18, NWS Mobile, AL

217 
WGUS84 KMOB 140141
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
841 PM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-150140-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0018.180415T2257Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.180415T2257Z.180418T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
841 PM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* From Sunday afternoon until further notice.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 14.1 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday afternoon and continue to rise 
  near 33.6 feet by Wednesday early afternoon. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* At 29 feet...Widespread flooding of lowlands. Portions of State Highway 114 on 
  the west side of the river becomes covered by water. 

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-150140-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0019.180416T0520Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.180416T0520Z.180419T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
841 PM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From early Monday morning until further notice.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 12.2 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early Monday morning and continue to 
  rise near 26.8 feet by Wednesday evening. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low 
  lying areas need to be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

228 
WGUS84 KMOB 141512
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1012 AM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-151512-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0018.180416T1330Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.180416T1330Z.180419T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1012 AM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* From Monday morning until further notice.
* At 9 AM Saturday the stage was 13.1 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Monday morning and continue to rise near 32.5 feet by Thursday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* At 30 feet...Pastureland along the river will remain flooded until flood 
  waters subside. 

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-151512-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0019.180416T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.180416T1800Z.180419T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1012 AM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From Monday early afternoon until further notice.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 11 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Monday early afternoon and continue to 
  rise near 25.9 feet by Thursday morning. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* At 25 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands will continue until the river falls below 24 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

836 
WGUS84 KMOB 150122
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
822 PM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-160122-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0018.180417T0508Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.180417T0508Z.180419T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
822 PM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* From early Tuesday morning until further notice.
* At 7PM Saturday the stage was 13.7 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early Tuesday morning and continue to 
  rise near 31.3 feet by Thursday early afternoon. Additional rises are possible
  thereafter.
* At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock need to be moved to 
  higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-160122-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0019.180416T0645Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.180416T0645Z.180419T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
822 PM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From early Monday morning until further notice.
* At 8PM Saturday the stage was 11.4 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early Monday morning and continue to 
  rise near 25.9 feet by Thursday early afternoon. Additional rises are possible
  thereafter.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas need to be moved to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

041 
WGUS84 KMOB 151506
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1006 AM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-161505-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0018.180416T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.180416T0000Z.180420T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1006 AM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* From this evening until further notice.
* At 9 AM Sunday the stage was 21.3 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to rise near 
  34.2 feet by Thursday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* At 30 feet...Pastureland along the river will remain flooded until flood 
  waters subside. 

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-161505-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0019.180416T0036Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.180416T0036Z.180420T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1006 AM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From this evening until further notice.
* At 9 AM Sunday the stage was 16.5 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to rise near 
  27 feet by early Friday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* At 25 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands will continue until
  the river falls below 24 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

535 
WGUS84 KMOB 160145
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
845 PM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and 
  Washington Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-170145-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.180416T0913Z.180420T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
845 PM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* From early tomorrow until further notice.
* At 8PM Sunday the stage was 25.7 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to rise near
  33.8 feet by early Friday morning.
* At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock need to be moved to 
  higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood.
 

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-170145-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.180416T1140Z.180419T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
845 PM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From tomorrow morning until further notice.
* At 8PM Sunday the stage was 20 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise 
  near 26.7 feet by Thursday early afternoon. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas need to be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

989 
WGUS84 KMOB 161446
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
946 AM CDT Mon Apr 16 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and 
  Washington Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-171445-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.180416T1027Z.180419T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM CDT Mon Apr 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until further notice.
* At 9 AM Monday the stage was 29.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 33.9 feet by Wednesday evening then 
  begin falling.
* At 30 feet...Pastureland along the river will remain flooded until flood 
  waters subside. 

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-171445-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.180416T1616Z.180419T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM CDT Mon Apr 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From late this morning until further notice.
* At 9 AM Monday the stage was 23.5 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue to rise 
  near 26.8 feet by early Thursday morning.
* At 25 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands will continue until
  the river falls below 24 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

304 
WGUS84 KMOB 170049
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
749 PM CDT Mon Apr 16 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and 
  Washington Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-180049-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.180416T1027Z.180419T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
749 PM CDT Mon Apr 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until further notice.
* At 7PM Monday the stage was 31.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 33.9 feet by Wednesday evening then 
  begin falling.
* At 30 feet...Pastureland along the river will remain flooded until flood 
  waters subside. 

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-180049-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.180416T1725Z.180419T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
749 PM CDT Mon Apr 16 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until further notice.
* At 7PM Monday the stage was 24.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.8 feet by Wednesday evening then 
  begin falling.
* At 25 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands will continue until
  the river falls below 24 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

373 
WGUS84 KMOB 171338
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
838 AM CDT Tue Apr 17 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and 
  Washington Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-181337-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.180416T1027Z.180419T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
838 AM CDT Tue Apr 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until further notice.
* At 7 AM Tuesday the stage was 32.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 33.7 feet by tomorrow evening then 
  begin falling on Thursday morning.
* At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock need to be moved to higher 
  ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-181337-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.180416T1725Z.180419T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
838 AM CDT Tue Apr 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until further notice.
* At 8 AM Tuesday the stage was 25.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.7 feet by Thursday morning then 
  begin falling on Friday.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low 
  lying areas need to be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

485 
WGUS84 KMOB 180145
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
845 PM CDT Tue Apr 17 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-190144-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180423T0234Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.180416T1027Z.180419T0000Z.180422T2034Z.NO/
845 PM CDT Tue Apr 17 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until Sunday evening.
* At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 32.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 33.7 feet by tomorrow evening. The 
  river will fall below flood stage Sunday afternoon.
* At 30 feet...Pastureland along the river will remain flooded until flood 
  waters subside. 

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-190144-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.180416T1725Z.180419T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
845 PM CDT Tue Apr 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until further notice.
* At 08PM Tuesday the stage was 25.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.5 feet by Thursday morning then 
  begin falling.
* At 25 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands will continue until
  the river falls below 24 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

661 
WGUS84 KMOB 181413
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
913 AM CDT Wed Apr 18 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.  
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-191413-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180423T0800Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.180416T1027Z.180419T0000Z.180423T0200Z.NO/
913 AM CDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until late Sunday night.
* At 8 AM Wednesday the stage was 33.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 33.5 feet by this evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage on Sunday before midnight.
* At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock need to be moved to higher 
  ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood. 

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-191413-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.180416T1725Z.180419T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
913 AM CDT Wed Apr 18 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until further notice.
* At 8 AM Wednesday the stage was 26.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.5 feet by early tomorrow then begin 
  falling on Friday afternoon.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in low 
  lying areas need to be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

336 
WGUS84 KMOB 190213
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
913 PM CDT Wed Apr 18 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-200213-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180423T0036Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.180416T1027Z.180419T0100Z.180422T1836Z.NO/
913 PM CDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until Sunday evening.
* At 8 PM Wednesday the stage was 33.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Sunday early 
  afternoon.
* At 30 feet...Pastureland along the river will remain flooded until flood 
  waters subside. 

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-200213-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180423T1500Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.180416T1725Z.180419T1200Z.180423T0900Z.NO/
913 PM CDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until Monday morning.
* At 9 PM Wednesday the stage was 26.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.6 feet by tomorrow morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage  Monday morning.
* At 25 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands will continue until
  the river falls below 24 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

512 
WGUS84 KMOB 191529
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1029 AM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-201528-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180423T0200Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.180416T1027Z.180419T1800Z.180422T2000Z.NO/
1029 AM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until Sunday evening.
* At 9AM Thursday the stage was 33.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 33.7 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Sunday afternoon.
* At 30 feet...Pastureland along the river will remain flooded until flood 
  waters subside. 

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-201528-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180423T1920Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.180416T1725Z.180420T0600Z.180423T1320Z.NO/
1029 AM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 9AM Thursday the stage was 26.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.7 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
  The river will fall below flood stage by Monday morning.
* At 25 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands will continue until
  the river falls below 24 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

026 
WGUS84 KMOB 200209
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
909 PM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-210209-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180422T1520Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.180416T1027Z.180420T0100Z.180422T0920Z.NO/
909 PM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until Sunday morning.
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 33.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* At 30 feet...Pastureland along the river will remain flooded until flood 
  waters subside. 

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-210209-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180423T0648Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.180416T1725Z.180420T0600Z.180423T0048Z.NO/
909 PM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until late Sunday night.
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 26.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river will remain steady near 26.7 feet overnight then begin to fall on 
  Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas need to be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

832 
WGUS84 KMOB 201548
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1048 AM CDT Fri Apr 20 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
Mississippi...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 
  Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-211547-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180422T1800Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.180416T1027Z.180420T0100Z.180422T1200Z.NO/
1048 AM CDT Fri Apr 20 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 10AM Friday the stage was 33.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* At 30.0 feet...Pastureland along the river will remain flooded until flood 
  waters subside. 

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-211547-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180423T0717Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.180416T1725Z.180420T0800Z.180423T0117Z.NO/
1048 AM CDT Fri Apr 20 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until late Sunday night.
* At 10AM Friday the stage was 26.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas need to be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

MSC039-041-111-210045-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-180421T0045Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.180415T1710Z.180418T0500Z.180420T1845Z.NO/
1048 AM CDT Fri Apr 20 2018

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Leaf Near Mclain
* until this evening.
* At 10AM Friday the stage was 18.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this afternoon.
* At 18.0 feet...Considerable flooding of agricultural and lowlands near the 
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871
 3098 8877 3114 8887                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-211547-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-180422T0120Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.180415T0521Z.180418T1245Z.180421T1920Z.NO/
1048 AM CDT Fri Apr 20 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until Saturday evening.
* At 10AM Friday the stage was 22.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow early 
  afternoon.
* At 22.0 feet...Flooding of lowlands continues and some roads in low lying 
  areas become cut off by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

MSC039-041-059-210000-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-180421T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.180416T2025Z.180418T1115Z.180420T1800Z.NO/
1048 AM CDT Fri Apr 20 2018

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until this evening.
* At 10AM Friday the stage was 22.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this afternoon.
* At 23.5 feet...Water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$

829 
WGUS84 KMOB 210146
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
846 PM CDT Fri Apr 20 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
Mississippi...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-220146-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180422T1600Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.180416T1027Z.180420T0100Z.180422T1000Z.NO/
846 PM CDT Fri Apr 20 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until Sunday morning.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 33.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* At 29.0 feet...Pastureland along the river floods. Old Ferry Road floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-220146-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180423T0648Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.180416T1725Z.180420T2100Z.180423T0048Z.NO/
846 PM CDT Fri Apr 20 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until late Sunday night.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 26.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* Above 24.0 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands continues. 

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-220146-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-180422T2024Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.180415T0521Z.180418T1245Z.180422T1424Z.NO/
846 PM CDT Fri Apr 20 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 22.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late Sunday morning.
* At 22.0 feet...Flooding of lowlands continues and some roads in low lying 
  areas have become cut off by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

051 
WGUS84 KMOB 211511
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1011 AM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-221510-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.180416T1027Z.180420T0100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1011 AM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* From Wednesday afternoon until further notice.
* At 9 AM Saturday the stage was 32.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 27.1 feet by Monday morning before rising to 29.4 feet by Wednesday evening.
* At 30 feet...Pastureland along the river will remain flooded until flood 
  waters subside. 

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-221510-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.180416T1725Z.180420T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1011 AM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From Wednesday evening until further notice.
* At 9 AM Saturday the stage was 26.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 22.5 feet by Monday afternoon before rising to 24.2 feet by Wednesday evening.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas need to be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

669 
WGUS84 KMOB 220138
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
838 PM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and 
  Washington Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-230138-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.180416T1027Z.180420T0100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
838 PM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* From Wednesday evening until further notice.
* At 7 PM Saturday the stage was 31.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* The river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue to fall 
  to 27.1 feet by early Tuesday morning. The river will begin rising again on 
  Tuesday. The river will rise above flood stage on Wednesday evening and continue 
  to rise to 29.9 feet by Thursday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock need to be moved to higher 
  ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-230138-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.180416T1725Z.180420T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
838 PM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From Wednesday before midnight until further notice.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 25.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river will fall below flood stage by early Monday morning and continue to 
  fall to 22.5 feet by Tuesday afternoon. The river will begin rising again early 
  Wednesday morning. The river will rise above flood stage early Thursday morning 
  and continue to rise to 24.6 feet by Thursday evening. Additional rises are 
  possible thereafter.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas need to be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

806 
WGUS84 KMOB 221420
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
920 AM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-222016-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180422T2016Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.180416T1027Z.180420T0100Z.180422T1416Z.NO/
920 AM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018

...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until this afternoon.
* At 8 AM Sunday the stage was 29.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 29 feet.
* The river will continue to fall below flood stage by late this morning.
* At 29 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock need to be moved to 
  higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
642 AM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018

.DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z issuance...MVFR to VFR conditions through about 14.06z
followed by mostly IFR cigs and visibilties through 14.12z. Lower
cigs and visibilties mostly in low stratus, light fog and
isolated showers late this evening and overnight. Winds will be
mostly southeast at 12 to 16 knots with slightly higher gusts
through 14.12z. 32/ee

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 501 AM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018/

..SEVERE STORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ARE LIKELY TO IMPACT THE
REGION SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...

NEAR TERM /Now Through Friday night/...A broad mid to upper
ridge of high pressure generally located along the eastern
seaboard will continue to shift east today and tonight in response
to a deep upper low/trough moving eastward from the central
rockies to the central plains today and tonight. With this system
strong mid level forcing is noted to the east and south of the
upper low center maintaining strength through tonight. Further
east a wide band of heavy precip is noted ahead and along a well
defined surface cold front progged to reach the lower MS river
valley by early Sat morning. Well ahead of the front increased
isentropic lift is noted generally on the back side of a strong
surface ridge that stretches from the western Atlantic to the
lower MS river valley today and tonight. Increased surface based
instability is depicted with this pattern beginning late tonight
continuing through early Sat morning possibly helping to generate
a few isolated showers or thunderstorms over extreme western
sections of the forecast area or inland areas of southeast MS
generally from midnight tonight through about 7 am CDT Sat
morning. Brief periods of heavy rain and gusty winds may accompany
some of the isolated thunderstorms early Sat before much better
coverage approaches from the west later in the day. A moderate to
strong onshore flow develops today and continues through tonight
allowing much deeper moisture to advect inland in the near term
period leading to increasing clouds throughout day and overnight.
The best sunshine will occur early in the day especially over most
inland locations generally along the east of the I-65 corridor.
Surface temps will be a few degrees warmer than yesterday with
better moisture in the lower levels of the boundary layer leading
to higher humidity levels today and tonight. Highs today will be a
few degrees above seasonal norms followed by lows 10 to 15
degrees above seasonal values. Highs today will climb to the upper
70s to lower 80s for most inland areas and the lower to middle
70s along the immediate coast. Lows tonight will range from the
mid 60s for most inland areas and the upper 60s to near 70
generally along and south of the I-10 corridor.

With the better onshore flow and increasing swell well offshore a
high risk for dangerous rip currents will form along the gulf
beaches of AL and NWFL late today and tonight, continuing into the
weekend. Heavy surf will also be possible by late tonight going
into the weekend. 32/ee

SHORT TERM /Saturday Through Sunday night/...A deep upper level
low centered over the central Plains early Saturday morning will
slowly lift northeastward toward the vicinity of northern Missouri
and Iowa through Saturday night. An associated surface cold front
approaching the Mississippi River Valley early Saturday morning
should make a slow eastward progression and enter our southeast
Mississippi counties by late Saturday afternoon or early Saturday
evening, before pushing eastward across our CWA through late
Saturday night into early Sunday morning. A zone of deep layer
forcing in the favored ascent region east of the deep upper trough
axis and along/immediately ahead of the surface cold front will
bring a well-organized quasi-linear convective system (QLCS)
eastward from the Mississippi River Valley early Saturday morning
and eventually across our forecast area Saturday afternoon through
late Saturday night. Short range models are in a little better
agreement with the progression and timing of the QLCS early this
morning, though there are still some timing differences noted
between the deterministic guidance and some of the high resolution
convection allowing models. Our latest thinking hasn't changed
much with respect to overall timing. It appears that the line will
enter our southeast Mississippi counties late Saturday morning
into early Saturday afternoon, before slowly making its way toward
the I-65 corridor late Saturday afternoon into Saturday evening,
then across eastern portions of the CWA late Saturday evening
through the overnight hours Saturday night.

There will continue to be an enhanced potential of damaging winds
and potentially a couple of tornadoes with the QLCS Saturday as a
strong 40-50 knot low level jet will be in phase with moderate
instability (MLCAPE values between 1000-1500 J/KG) along and
immediately ahead of the line. We will also have to monitor for a
few discrete rotating storms in advance of the line through the
day. SPC continues to advertise an Enhanced risk of severe storms
for most of the area Saturday - which looks well warranted given
these parameters. The severe threat may commence in our western
zones late Saturday morning into Saturday afternoon, shifting
across central and eastern portions of the area through the rest
of the afternoon and evening. The overall severe threat should
diminish around or shortly after midnight as instability wanes and
dynamics shift to the east of the area.

Heavy rainfall and an Elevated flooding potential will also
accompany the QLCS as it slowly moves across our forecast area
Saturday into Saturday night. The latest QPF forecast continues to
generally advertise 2 to 4 inches of rainfall especially along
and west of the I-65 corridor. The highest totals will be favored
in the vicinity of southeast Mississippi and adjacent southwest
Alabama, roughly northwest of a Mobile to Grove Hill line, where
isolated rainfall amounts of 5 or more inches will be possible. A
Flash Flood Watch still may eventually become necessary over this
general part of our area. Given that there is still some uncertainty
on the timing and progression of the line, and with coordination
between surrounding offices, we have decided to hold off on a
Flash Flood Watch issuance on this shift and let the next shift
take another assessment of timing and the overall heavy rainfall
and flooding threat. For now we will continue to advertise the
Elevated flood graphics in our western zones with mention of at
least isolated flash flooding.

A threat of deadly rip currents will also continue into the
weekend. /21

LONG TERM /Monday Through Thursday/...A dry northwest to zonal
flow prevails through the long term period and will maintain a dry
forecast. Below normal temperatures can be expected Monday and
Tuesday mornings, before a warming trend returns mid to late in
the week. /21

MARINE...Southerly winds and seas will gradually build today
through Saturday ahead of strong cold front approaching from the
west. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms area expected
ahead and along the front with a few strong thunderstorms possible
with wind gusts ranging from 40 to 50 knots or slightly higher. Seas
possibly from 8 to 10 feet well offshore will also be possible over
the weekend. Small craft will have to exercise caution today and
tonight. Small craft advisories will likely be required on Saturday
continuing into the early part of next week. 32/ee

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk from 6 PM CDT this evening through late
     Sunday night for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk from 6 PM CDT this evening through late
     Sunday night for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mob

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
824 AM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-141330-
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Coastal-
824 AM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Alabama and
northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.

An organized line of showers and thunderstorms is forecast to spread
across the area Saturday into Saturday night. Some storms will
likely become severe, particularly from late Saturday morning
through Saturday evening. Conditions will be favorable for an
enhanced potential of damaging straight line winds with these
storms, though a few brief tornadoes will also be possible. The slow
moving line of showers and thunderstorms will bring an increased
potential of heavy rainfall and an elevated risk of flooding across
locations especially along and west of a Greenville Alabama to
Pensacola Florida line Saturday and Saturday night. A limited risk
of flooding of urban and low lying areas can still be expected east
of this line across the rest of the region.

There will be a high risk of deadly rip currents along the Alabama
and northwest Florida panhandle beaches through the weekend. High
surf of 4 to 7 feet may also impact local beaches Saturday and
Saturday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed Saturday and Saturday night.

ALZ051>060-261>264-FLZ201-203-205-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-141330-
Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-
Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Escambia Inland-Santa Rosa Inland-Okaloosa Inland-
Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George-
824 AM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Alabama,
southwest Alabama, northwest Florida and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

An organized line of showers and thunderstorms is forecast to spread
across the area Saturday into Saturday night. Some storms will
likely become severe, particularly from late Saturday morning
through Saturday evening. Conditions will be favorable for an
enhanced potential of damaging straight line winds with these
storms, though a few brief tornadoes will also be possible. The slow
moving line of showers and thunderstorms will bring an increased
potential of heavy rainfall and an elevated risk of flooding across
locations especially along and west of a Greenville Alabama to
Pensacola Florida line Saturday and Saturday night. A limited risk
of flooding of urban and low lying areas can still be expected east
of this line across the rest of the region.

There will be a high risk of deadly rip currents along the Alabama
and northwest Florida panhandle beaches through the weekend. High
surf of 4 to 7 feet may also impact local beaches Saturday and
Saturday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed Saturday and Saturday night.

GMZ630>636-650-655-670-675-141330-
Northern Mobile Bay-Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound-
Perdido Bay-Pensacola Bay System-Western Choctawhatchee Bay-
Eastern Choctawhatchee Bay-
Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL
out 20 NM-Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL from
20 to 60 NM-
824 AM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal waters of Alabama
and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Hazardous conditions for small craft can be expected today and
tonight. Small craft should exercise caution.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Hazardous conditions for small craft can be expected Saturday
through early next week. Small Craft Advisories will likely be
required Saturday through early next week.

Showers and thunderstorms will likely spread across the marine area
Saturday and Saturday night. There is still uncertainty on the
timing and overall strength of these storms, but it does appear that
a few strong to severe storms will be possible, capable of producing
high winds and locally higher seas, waterspouts, and very heavy
rainfall.