Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 20, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

September 6, 2018Presidio County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this river flood warning at Sep 6, 2018, 6:57 AM CDT for Presidio County, Texas. It was in force for 62 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 6, 2018, 6:57 AM CDT (11:57 UTC)
Expired
Sep 8, 2018, 9:25 PM CDT
In force
62 hr
Issued by
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Moderate

County Presidio County, TX

The river

Written for the forecast point Rio Grande at Candelaria Crossing (CDET2).

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

986 
WGUS44 KMAF 061157
FLWMAF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
657 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

...The National Weather Service in Midland has issued a flood warning
for the following rivers in Texas...

  Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N affecting Presidio County
  
.River levels at Candelaria have risen above flood stage this morning.
The river has already crested and is expected to slowly recede over 
the next 24 hrs. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued this afternoon.

&&

TXC377-070356-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FL.W.0020.180906T1157Z-180908T0600Z/
/CDET2.2.ER.180906T0357Z.180906T0815Z.180907T1800Z.NR/
657 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

The National Weather Service in  has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N.
* until late Friday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  6AM Thursday the stage was 9.4 feet (2.9 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet (2.6 meters).
* Impact...At 10.0 feet (3.0 meters), the river reaches moderate flood
  stage, flooding some sections of FM 170.  Water levels in the flood
  plain may begin to affect homes between the road and the river.  
  The roadway to the foot bridge may be inundated.  Livestock and 
  machinery may need to be moved as time and conditions permit.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.4 feet (2.9 meters) on 
Sep 19 2016.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Thu   Fri   Fri
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Candelaria 3N   7.5  8.5    9.4   Thu  6 AM   9.1   8.9   8.8   8.6

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Thu   Fri   Fri
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Candelaria 3N   2.3  2.6    2.9   Thu  6 AM   2.8   2.7   2.7   2.6

&&

LAT...LON 3057 10504 3069 10492 3022 10463 2980 10451 2975 10465


$$
8 follow-up statements
462 
WGUS84 KMAF 061256
FLSMAF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
756 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N affecting Presidio County
  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  
.River flooding will continue at Candelaria 3N and Presidio 6WNW. 
Current forecast has both locations remaining above flood stage 
through Friday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued this afternoon.

&&

TXC377-070456-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-180909T0000Z/
/CDET2.2.ER.180906T0357Z.180906T0815Z.180908T1200Z.NR/
756 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N.
* until Saturday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7AM Thursday the stage was 9.2 feet (2.8 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet (2.6 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.6 feet (2.9 
  meters) by this evening.  The river will fall below flood stage 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 8.5 feet (2.6 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, possibly resulting in flooding of FM 170 in low areas.  
  Homes in Candelaria are not expected to be affected.  Farmers and 
  ranchers need to remain alert to the weather and river conditions 
  as livestock and machinery may need to be moved to higher ground.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.3 feet (2.8 meters) on 
Jul 10 2018.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Thu   Fri   Fri
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Candelaria 3N   7.5  8.5    9.2   Thu  7 AM   9.0   9.6   9.1   8.8

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Thu   Fri   Fri
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Candelaria 3N   2.3  2.6    2.8   Thu  7 AM   2.7   2.9   2.8   2.7

&&

LAT...LON 3057 10504 3069 10492 3022 10463 2980 10451 2975 10465


$$

TXC377-070456-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.180902T0353Z.180902T0445Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
756 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7AM Thursday the stage was 9.1 feet (2.8 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 11.2 feet (3.4 
  meters) by Saturday evening then begin falling.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet (2.7 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, and flooding between the levees occurs.  No damage to 
  structures is expected.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.4 feet (2.9 meters) on 
Aug 13 2018.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Thu   Fri   Fri
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0    9.1   Thu  7 AM   9.3   9.9  10.8  11.1

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Thu   Thu   Fri   Fri
                                                1PM   7PM   1AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    2.8   Thu  7 AM   2.8   3.0   3.3   3.4

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$
037 
WGUS84 KMAF 061915
FLSMAF

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
115 PM MDT THU SEP 6 2018

NMC015-025-062215-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FA.Y.0226.180906T1915Z-180906T2215Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Eddy NM-Lea NM-
115 PM MDT THU SEP 6 2018

The National Weather Service in Midland has issued a

* Small Stream Flood Advisory for...
  East central Eddy County in southeastern New Mexico...
  West central Lea County in southeastern New Mexico...

* Until 415 PM MDT.

* At 115 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
  thunderstorms. This will cause small stream flooding in the
  advisory area. Up to one inch of rain has already fallen.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Halfway.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, country roads, farmland, and other low lying
spots.

&&

LAT...LON 3267 10383 3255 10373 3224 10369 3224 10404
      3238 10411 3261 10405

$$

67
168 
WGUS84 KMAF 061920 CCA
FLSMAF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
215 PM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N affecting Presidio County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  
River levels on the Rio Grande at both Candelaria 3N and Presidio 
6WNW will continue to remain above flood stage at least through Friday. 
More rain is expected for today and tonight. Therefore, the Flood 
Warning is being continued.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued either later this evening or 
Friday morning.

&&

TXC377-071115-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-180908T1200Z/
/CDET2.2.ER.180906T0357Z.180906T0815Z.180908T0000Z.NR/
215 PM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N.
* until Saturday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1PM Thursday the stage was 9.2 feet (2.8 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet (2.6 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.3 feet (2.8 
  meters) by this evening.  The river will fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet (3.0 meters), the river reaches moderate flood
  stage, flooding some sections of FM 170.  Water levels in the flood
  plain may begin to affect homes between the road and the river.  
  The roadway to the foot bridge may be inundated.  Livestock and 
  machinery may need to be moved as time and conditions permit.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.7 feet (3.9 meters) on 
Sep 6 2018.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Candelaria 3N   7.5  8.5    9.2   Thu  1 PM   8.8   8.2   7.8   7.4

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Candelaria 3N   2.3  2.6    2.8   Thu  1 PM   2.7   2.5   2.4   2.3

&&

LAT...LON 3057 10504 3069 10492 3022 10463 2980 10451 2975 10465


$$

TXC377-071115-
/O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.180902T0353Z.180902T0445Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
215 PM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1PM Thursday the stage was 9.8 feet (3.0 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 11.2 feet (3.4 
  meters) by tomorrow evening then begin falling.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet (3.7 meters), water reaches the base of the 
  levees.  

This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.3 feet (3.7 meters) on 
Sep 2 2018.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0    9.8   Thu  1 PM  11.0  11.2  11.1  10.8

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    3.0   Thu  1 PM   3.4   3.4   3.4   3.3

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$
942 
WGUS84 KMAF 070051
FLSMAF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
751 PM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N affecting Presidio County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  
River levels on the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N will continue to remain 
above flood stage for at least another day and are forecast to fall 
below flood stage Sunday morning. Levels at Presidio 6WNW will also 
continue above flood stage and begin falling Sunday morning. Therefore, 
the Flood Warnings are being continued.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued either later tonight or Friday 
morning.

&&

TXC377-071650-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-180909T2100Z/
/CDET2.2.ER.180906T0357Z.180906T0815Z.180909T0900Z.NR/
751 PM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N.
* until Sunday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7PM Thursday the stage was 9.7 feet (3.0 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet (2.6 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.8 feet (3.0 
  meters) by after midnight tomorrow.  The river will fall below 
  flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet (3.0 meters), the river reaches moderate flood
  stage, flooding some sections of FM 170.  Water levels in the flood
  plain may begin to affect homes between the road and the river.  
  The roadway to the foot bridge may be inundated.  Livestock and 
  machinery may need to be moved as time and conditions permit.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.7 feet (3.9 meters) on 
Sep 6 2018.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Candelaria 3N   7.5  8.5    9.7   Thu  7 PM   8.9   8.4   8.1   7.7

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Candelaria 3N   2.3  2.6    3.0   Thu  7 PM   2.7   2.6   2.5   2.3

&&

LAT...LON 3057 10504 3069 10492 3022 10463 2980 10451 2975 10465


$$

TXC377-071650-
/O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.180902T0353Z.180902T0445Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
751 PM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7PM Thursday the stage was 10.1 feet (3.1 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 11.2 feet (3.4 
  meters) by Sunday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet (3.7 meters), water reaches the base of the 
  levees.  

This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.3 feet (3.7 meters) on 
Sep 2 2018.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0   10.1   Thu  7 PM  11.2  11.2  11.0  10.0

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    3.1   Thu  7 PM   3.4   3.4   3.4   3.0

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$
632 
WGUS84 KMAF 071354
FLSMAF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
854 AM CDT Fri Sep 7 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N affecting Presidio County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  
Currently, the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N is hovering around moderate 
flood stage, and it will remain above flood stage for the next few 
days. Levels at Presidio 6WNW will also remain above flood stage for 
the next few days. Additional rainfall is expected, so updates will 
continue. Therefore, both Flood Warnings are being continued.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued later this afternoon or evening.

&&

TXC377-080554-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-180912T0600Z/
/CDET2.2.ER.180906T0357Z.180906T0815Z.180911T1800Z.NR/
854 AM CDT Fri Sep 7 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N.
* until late Tuesday night, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8AM Friday the stage was 10.0 feet (3.1 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet (2.6 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.8 feet (3.3 
  meters) by this evening.  The river will fall below flood stage 
  Tuesday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet (3.0 meters), the river reaches moderate flood
  stage, flooding some sections of FM 170.  Water levels in the flood
  plain may begin to affect homes between the road and the river.  
  The roadway to the foot bridge may be inundated.  Livestock and 
  machinery may need to be moved as time and conditions permit.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.7 feet (3.9 meters) on 
Sep 6 2018.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Candelaria 3N   7.5  8.5   10.0   Fri  8 AM  10.0   9.6   9.1   8.7

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Candelaria 3N   2.3  2.6    3.1   Fri  8 AM   3.0   2.9   2.8   2.7

&&

LAT...LON 3057 10504 3069 10492 3022 10463 2980 10451 2975 10465


$$

TXC377-080554-
/O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.180902T0353Z.180902T0445Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
854 AM CDT Fri Sep 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8AM Friday the stage was 9.5 feet (2.9 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 11.1 feet (3.4 
  meters) by early Sunday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet (3.7 meters), water reaches the base of the 
  levees.  

This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.3 feet (3.7 meters) on 
Sep 2 2018.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0    9.5   Fri  8 AM  10.7  11.0  10.6   9.9

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
                                                7AM   7AM   7AM   7AM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    2.9   Fri  8 AM   3.3   3.4   3.2   3.0

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$
407 
WGUS84 KMAF 071951
FLSMAF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
251 PM CDT Fri Sep 7 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N affecting Presidio County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  
.River flooding will continue along the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N
and Presidio 6WNW. Both locations will remain above flood stage through
Saturday afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued tonight.

&&

TXC377-081150-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-180913T0000Z/
/CDET2.2.ER.180906T0357Z.180906T0815Z.180912T1200Z.NR/
251 PM CDT Fri Sep 7 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening...The Flood Warning
continues for
  the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N.
* until Wednesday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2PM Friday the stage was 10.0 feet (3.0 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet (2.6 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.3 feet (3.1 
  meters) by after midnight tomorrow.  The river will fall below 
  flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet (3.0 meters), the river reaches moderate flood
  stage, flooding some sections of FM 170.  Water levels in the flood
  plain may begin to affect homes between the road and the river.  
  The roadway to the foot bridge may be inundated.  Livestock and 
  machinery may need to be moved as time and conditions permit.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.7 feet (3.9 meters) on 
Sep 6 2018.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sat   Sat
                                                7PM   1AM   7AM   1PM
  Candelaria 3N   7.5  8.5   10.0   Fri  2 PM  10.1  10.3  10.1  10.0

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sat   Sat
                                                7PM   1AM   7AM   1PM
  Candelaria 3N   2.3  2.6    3.0   Fri  2 PM   3.1   3.1   3.1   3.0

&&

LAT...LON 3057 10504 3069 10492 3022 10463 2980 10451 2975 10465


$$

TXC377-081150-
/O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.180902T0353Z.180902T0445Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
251 PM CDT Fri Sep 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2PM Friday the stage was 9.6 feet (2.9 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 11.5 feet (3.5 
  meters) by Sunday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet (3.7 meters), water reaches the base of the 
  levees.  

This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.3 feet (3.7 meters) on 
Sep 2 2018.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sat   Sat
                                                7PM   1AM   7AM   1PM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0    9.6   Fri  2 PM  10.0  10.6  11.2  11.3

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sat   Sat
                                                7PM   1AM   7AM   1PM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    2.9   Fri  2 PM   3.0   3.2   3.4   3.4

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$
085 
WGUS84 KMAF 081943
FLSMAF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
243 PM CDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N affecting Presidio County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
  Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW affecting Presidio County
  
.Recent rainfall has caused river rises along the Rio Grande at Candlaria 3N
and Presidio 6WNW. These locations will remain at or slightly above minor
flood stage through tonight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists are urged to heed flood warnings, and exercise caution if 
traveling through this area.  Vehicle-related fatalities are the 
number one source of flood fatalities in West Texas and New Mexico.
If you encounter a flooded stretch of roadway, do not attempt to  
cross it.  You and your vehicle could be swept downstream in rushing 
floodwaters.  Turn around, don't drown!  

River levels are high.  Ranchers and farmers should move livestock 
and machinery out of flood-prone areas if time permits.

Keep in mind that any additional rainfall across the area could
significantly change the present forecast stage.

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

The next statement will be issued tonight.

&&

TXC377-091143-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-180910T0000Z/
/CDET2.2.ER.180906T0357Z.180906T0815Z.180909T1200Z.NR/
243 PM CDT Sat Sep 8 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N.
* until Sunday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2PM Saturday the stage was 8.6 feet (2.6 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet (2.6 meters).
* Impact...At 8.5 feet (2.6 meters), the river reaches minor flood 
  stage, possibly resulting in flooding of FM 170 in low areas.  
  Homes in Candelaria are not expected to be affected.  Farmers and 
  ranchers need to remain alert to the weather and river conditions 
  as livestock and machinery may need to be moved to higher ground.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.7 feet (3.9 meters) on 
Sep 6 2018.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Sun   Sun
                                                7PM   1AM   7AM   1PM
  Candelaria 3N   7.5  8.5    8.6   Sat  2 PM   8.7   8.6   8.5   8.4

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Sun   Sun
                                                7PM   1AM   7AM   1PM
  Candelaria 3N   2.3  2.6    2.6   Sat  2 PM   2.7   2.6   2.6   2.6

&&

LAT...LON 3057 10504 3069 10492 3022 10463 2980 10451 2975 10465


$$

TXC377-091143-
/O.CON.KMAF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PIOT2.1.ER.180902T0353Z.180902T0445Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
243 PM CDT Sat Sep 8 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rio Grande above Presidio 6WNW.
* until further notice, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2PM Saturday the stage was 11.1 feet (3.4 meters).
* flooding is occurring and  flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet (2.7 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 11.3 feet (3.4 
  meters) by tomorrow evening then begin falling.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet (3.7 meters), water reaches the base of the 
  levees.  

This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.3 feet (3.7 meters) on 
Sep 2 2018.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Sun   Sun
                                                7PM   1AM   7AM   1PM
  Presidio 6WNW   6.0  9.0   11.1   Sat  2 PM  11.0  11.2  11.3  11.3

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Sun   Sun
                                                7PM   1AM   7AM   1PM
  Presidio 6WNW   1.8  2.7    3.4   Sat  2 PM   3.4   3.4   3.4   3.4

&&

LAT...LON 2975 10465 2980 10451 2963 10437 2951 10446 2957 10453


$$
782 
WGUS84 KMAF 090225
FLSMAF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
925 PM CDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Texas...

  Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N affecting Presidio County
  
  Rio Grande at Boquillas-Rio Grande Village affecting Brewster 
  County
  
.The Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N and at Boquillas-Rio Grande Village 
has crested and fallen below flood stage. The river is forecast to 
continue to fall.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Additional information is available at:  www.weather.gov/midland

This will be the last forecast for this event.

&&

TXC377-090255-
/O.CAN.KMAF.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-180910T0000Z/
/CDET2.2.ER.180906T0357Z.180906T0815Z.180908T1948Z.NR/
925 PM CDT Sat Sep 8 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Rio Grande at Candelaria 3N.
* At  8PM Saturday the stage was 7.9 feet (2.4 meters).
* The river fell below flood stage at 2:48 PM Saturday.
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet (2.6 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 7.1 feet (2.2 meters)
  by Monday morning.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.7 feet (3.9 meters) on 
Sep 6 2018.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sun   Sun   Sun   Sun
                                                1AM   7AM   1PM   7PM
  Candelaria 3N   7.5  8.5    7.9   Sat  8 PM   7.3   7.2   7.1   7.1

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sun   Sun   Sun   Sun
                                                1AM   7AM   1PM   7PM
  Candelaria 3N   2.3  2.6    2.4   Sat  8 PM   2.2   2.2   2.2   2.2

&&

LAT...LON 3057 10504 3069 10492 3022 10463 2980 10451 2975 10465


$$

TXC043-090255-
/O.CAN.KMAF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-180910T1827Z/
/BOQT2.2.ER.180908T0758Z.180908T1745Z.180908T2258Z.NO/
925 PM CDT Sat Sep 8 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Rio Grande at Boquillas-Rio Grande Village.
* At  9PM Saturday the stage was 9.3 feet (2.8 meters).
* The river fell below flood stage at 5:58 PM Saturday.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet (4.0 meters).
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 5.4 feet (1.6 meters)
  by Monday morning.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.5 feet (4.4 meters) on 
Sep 2 2018.

&&

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sun   Sun   Sun   Sun
                                                1AM   7AM   1PM   7PM
  Boquillas-Rio  12.0 13.0    9.3   Sat  9 PM   7.7   6.2   5.9   5.6

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):

                   Bf  Fld  Observed                  Forecast
Location          Stg  Stg  Stage   Day  Time   Sun   Sun   Sun   Sun
                                                1AM   7AM   1PM   7PM
  Boquillas-Rio   3.7  4.0    2.8   Sat  9 PM   2.3   1.9   1.8   1.7

&&

LAT...LON 2896 10305 2915 10312 2940 10294 2931 10279 2912 10292


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 6, 6:10 AM CDT, 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 6, 6:10 AM CDT, 47 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
610 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

.DISCUSSION...

See 12z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Showers and thunderstorms will continue developing and moving
across the area for most of the day. Low ceilings will continue to
impact the area until around 17z when ceilings will improve a
little. There is a chance that low ceilings will return to the
area tonight. Winds will mostly be light out of the north to
northeast through the period although some elevated winds are
possible this morning and afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 332 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018/

DISCUSSION...
The radar has gotten quiet this morning, but a few showers
developing northeast of Midland may be an indication for what will
happen later today. Current observations show a weak cold front
has moved into the Permian Basin and has become stationary near
the I-20 corridor. This front will serve as a focus for
convergence and convective development today and models are in
good agreement on PoPs. The main concern with rain today is model
resolution being too course to be able to properly handle the
rain showers today and may be showing greater coverage than will
actually occur. This would cause the QPF to appear broader and
more smoothed in model output giving the impression more areas
will see rainfall. Therefore despite high PoPs today, did not
issue a Flash Flood Watch as I expect the flash flood potential to
be isolated. If the front proves to be a strong focus for storm
development, a watch may need to be issued later.

Another concern is that convection today produces outflow that
pushes the front (and convection) farther south than current
models are indicating and PoPs should also be focused farther
south tomorrow. However 500mb vorticity on all models show several
disturbances moving across the area so the frontal position may
not be such a big concern. Also low level moisture will remain
through Friday night keeping the atmosphere unstable even behind
the front. So PoPs have been kept high across the area Friday,
not decreasing until Saturday when the front not only moves south
and east of the area, but dry air finally begins moving in
decreasing instability. Temps today and tomorrow will be cooler
thanks mostly to expected rainfall though weak northeasterly winds
will provide some cold air advection.

Saturday rainfall will be ending, especially in the afternoon but
residual moisture will keep temps below normal. Next week upper
level high pressure builds into Texas from the southwestern U.S.
bringing drier weather. Temperatures will slowly climb but will
still be around normal for this time of year.

Hennig

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     80  68  79  66 /  70  60  70  50
Carlsbad                       82  65  81  64 /  50  50  60  50
Dryden                         85  71  85  70 /  70  50  70  60
Fort Stockton                  81  66  80  65 /  70  60  70  60
Guadalupe Pass                 76  60  76  59 /  50  40  50  50
Hobbs                          79  63  78  61 /  50  50  60  40
Marfa                          77  60  75  60 /  60  50  70  60
Midland Intl Airport           81  67  79  65 /  60  60  70  50
Odessa                         81  66  80  64 /  60  60  70  50
Wink                           84  68  82  66 /  60  60  60  50

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

99/99/
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 6, 2:41 AM CDT, 4 hours 16 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
241 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-070745-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-
Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau-
Big Bend Area-Terrell-Guadalupe Mountains-
241 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018 /141 AM MDT Thu Sep 6 2018/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will occur across much of the
area today and tonight. Heavy rainfall with localized flash flooding
is possible, particularly across areas that have received recent
rains.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Showers and thunderstorms will remain possible over much of
southeast New Mexico and southwest Texas Friday and Saturday.
Rainfall could be heavy at times, with localized flash flooding
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
http://weather.gov/midland

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 5, 7:41 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFAndrews, Winkler3 hr
Sep 5, 8:38 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFCulberson, Loving, Reeves2 hr
Sep 6, 7:23 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFAndrews, Ector, Martin, Midland112 min
Sep 6, 9:26 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFAndrews, Ector, Martin, Midland2 hr
Sep 6, 9:29 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFCrane, Ector, Reeves, Ward, Winkler3 hr
Sep 6, 12:35 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFLoving, Reeves3 hr
Sep 6, 1:43 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFCulberson, Jeff Davis, Loving, Reeves2 hr
Sep 6, 3:46 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFLoving, Ward, Winkler3 hr
Sep 6, 3:47 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFPecos, Reeves3 hr
Sep 6, 4:10 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMAFBrewster, Pecos, Ward3 hr
Sep 6, 4:34 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFBrewster, Terrell3 hr
Sep 6, 4:48 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFAndrews, Martin3 hr
Sep 6, 5:00 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMAFJeff Davis, Pecos, Reeves6 hr
Sep 6, 5:17 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningMAFPresidio17 hr
Sep 6, 5:17 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningMAFPresidio22 hr
Sep 6, 5:28 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFCrane, Ward3 hr
Sep 6, 6:10 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMAFCrane, Pecos, Ward3 hr
Sep 6, 6:50 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFTerrell3 hr
Sep 6, 6:55 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMAFMartin3 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.