Alert archive / Illinois / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 128, NWS St. Louis, MO

November 5, 2018Calhoun County, Illinois; Lincoln County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Nov 5, 2018, 8:12 AM CST for Calhoun County, Illinois; Lincoln County, Missouri. It took effect at Nov 5, 2018, 9:02 PM CST. It was in force for 62 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 5, 2018, 8:12 AM CST (14:12 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 5, 2018, 9:02 PM CST
Expired
Nov 8, 2018, 10:51 AM CST
In force
62 hr
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Calhoun County, IL, Lincoln County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Mississippi River at Winfield Lock and Dam 25 (CAGM7).

Action stage
24 ft
Minor stage
26 ft
Moderate stage
30 ft
Major stage
34 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05513675, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

151 
WGUS43 KLSX 051412
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service St Louis MO
812 AM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

...The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a flood 
warning for the following rivers in Illinois...Missouri... 

  Mississippi River at Winfield LD25

.This Flood Warning is a result of heavy rainfall across the basin
this month and 1-2 inches the past 24 hours with up to an additional 
one inch forecast in the next 48 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC013-MOC113-061411-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0128.181106T2200Z-181110T0800Z/
/CAGM7.1.ER.181106T2200Z.181107T1800Z.181109T0800Z.NO/
812 AM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Mississippi River at Winfield LD25.
* from Tuesday afternoon to late Friday night.
* At  8:00 AM Monday the stage was 25.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and 
  crest near 26.8 feet by Wednesday early afternoon.the river will 
  fall below flood stage by early Friday morning.
* Impact:  At 26.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Highway B in eastern St. 
  Charles County floods near the Dardenne Creek bridge.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/06  11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10

Mississippi River 
  Winfield LD25   26.0   25.78      25.6   26.6   26.7   25.8   25.0


&&


LAT...LON 3922 9081 3923 9071 3888 9057 3881 9057
      3887 9074                       



$$
7 follow-up statements
553 
WGUS83 KLSX 051659
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1059 AM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...Missouri...
 
  Mississippi River at Canton LD20

  Mississippi River at Hannibal
  
  Mississippi River at Saverton LD22

  Mississippi River at Louisiana

  Mississippi River at Clarksville LD24
  
  Mississippi River at Winfield LD25

.This Flood Warning is a result of heavy rainfall across the basin
this month and 1-2 inches the past 24 hours with up to an additional 
one inch forecast in the next 48 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS..

The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC001-MOC111-061658-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0125.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CANM7.1.ER.181104T2146Z.181110T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1059 AM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Canton LD20
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Monday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 14.3 feet by Saturday early 
  afternoon.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/06  11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10

Mississippi River 
  Canton LD20     14.0   14.15      14.2   14.2   14.1   14.1   14.2


&&


LAT...LON 4022 9154 4022 9142 4003 9140 4003 9153




$$

ILC149-MOC127-061658-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HNNM7.3.ER.180926T0034Z.181012T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1059 AM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Hannibal
* until further notice.
* At 10:15 AM Monday the stage was 17.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 17.6 feet by after midnight 
  tonight.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/06  11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10

Mississippi River 
  Hannibal        16.0   17.32      17.6   17.5   17.1   16.7   16.7


&&


LAT...LON 3983 9148 3983 9135 3974 9121 3967 9135




$$

ILC149-MOC173-061658-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0127.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SVRM7.1.ER.181105T0948Z.181107T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1059 AM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Saverton LD22
* until further notice.
* At  8:00 AM Monday the stage was 16.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 17.0 feet by tomorrow evening.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/06  11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10

Mississippi River 
  Saverton LD22   16.0   16.10      16.9   16.9   16.4   16.0   15.9


&&


LAT...LON 3967 9135 3974 9121 3970 9114 3952 9097
      3945 9111                       



$$

ILC149-MOC163-061658-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LUSM7.2.ER.180927T0720Z.181013T0200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1059 AM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Louisiana
* until further notice.
* At 10:30 AM Monday the stage was 16.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 17.1 feet by early Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact:  At 17.0 feet...The parking area at the boat house floods.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/06  11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10

Mississippi River 
  Louisiana       15.0   16.11      16.9   17.1   16.9   16.4   16.2


&&


LAT...LON 3945 9111 3952 9097 3945 9089 3939 9097




$$

ILC013-MOC163-061658-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0096.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLKM7.3.ER.180926T1250Z.181013T0830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1059 AM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Clarksville LD24
* until further notice.
* At 10:30 AM Monday the stage was 26.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 27.5 feet by early Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact:  At 27.2 feet...Silo Park just northwest of Clarksville off 
  Highway 79 begins flooding.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/06  11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10

Mississippi River 
  Clarksville LD  25.0   26.27      27.1   27.5   27.4   26.9   26.5


&&


LAT...LON 3939 9097 3945 9089 3938 9077 3923 9071
      3922 9081                       



$$

ILC013-MOC113-061658-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0128.181106T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/CAGM7.1.ER.181106T0600Z.181108T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1059 AM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Winfield LD25
* from late tonight until further notice.
* At 10:30 AM Monday the stage was 25.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight 
  tonight and crest near 27.2 feet by Wednesday evening.
* Impact:  At 26.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Highway B in eastern St. 
  Charles County floods near the Dardenne Creek bridge.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/06  11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10

Mississippi River 
  Winfield LD25   26.0   25.84      26.1   26.9   27.2   27.0   26.5


&&


LAT...LON 3922 9081 3923 9071 3888 9057 3881 9057
      3887 9074                       



$$
858 
WGUS83 KLSX 060309
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
909 PM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois and Missouri...
 
  Mississippi River at Canton Lock and Dam 20

  Mississippi River at Quincy

  Mississippi River at Hannibal

  Mississippi River at Saverton Lock and Dam 22

  Mississippi River at Louisiana

  Mississippi River at Clarksville Lock and Dam 24
  
  Mississippi River at Winfield Lock and Dam 25

.This Flood Warning is a result of heavy rainfall across the basin
in the past month and up to one quarter inch of precipitation forecast
in the next 48 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this developing situation and
issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC001-MOC111-070309-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0125.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CANM7.1.ER.181104T2146Z.181110T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
909 PM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Canton Lock and Dam 20
* until further notice.
* At 6:00 PM Monday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 14.3 feet by Saturday early 
  afternoon.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/06  11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10

Mississippi River 
  Canton LD20     14.0   14.17      14.2   14.2   14.1   14.1   14.2


&&


LAT...LON 4022 9154 4022 9142 4003 9140 4003 9153




$$

ILC001-MOC127-070309-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0126.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/UINI2.1.ER.181111T1200Z.181111T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
909 PM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Quincy
* until further notice.
* At 8:15 PM Monday the stage was 16.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Sunday morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/06  11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10

Mississippi River 
  Quincy          17.0   16.80      16.9   16.9   16.7   16.6   16.8


&&


LAT...LON 4003 9153 4003 9140 3991 9140 3991 9152




$$

ILC149-MOC127-070309-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HNNM7.3.ER.180926T0034Z.181012T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
909 PM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Hannibal
* until further notice.
* At 8:15 PM Monday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 17.6 feet by tomorrow morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/06  11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10

Mississippi River 
  Hannibal        16.0   17.42      17.6   17.5   17.1   16.7   16.7


&&


LAT...LON 3983 9148 3983 9135 3974 9121 3967 9135




$$

ILC149-MOC173-070309-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0127.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SVRM7.1.ER.181105T0948Z.181106T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
909 PM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Saverton Lock and Dam 22
* until further notice.
* At 8:00 PM Monday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 16.7 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/06  11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10

Mississippi River 
  Saverton LD22   16.0   16.25      16.6   16.7   16.4   16.0   15.9


&&


LAT...LON 3967 9135 3974 9121 3970 9114 3952 9097
      3945 9111                       



$$

ILC149-MOC163-070309-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LUSM7.2.ER.180927T0720Z.181013T0200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
909 PM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Louisiana
* until further notice.
* At 8:30 PM Monday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 17.1 feet by early Wednesday 
  morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/06  11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10

Mississippi River 
  Louisiana       15.0   16.25      16.6   17.1   16.9   16.4   16.2


&&


LAT...LON 3945 9111 3952 9097 3945 9089 3939 9097




$$

ILC013-MOC163-070309-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0096.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLKM7.3.ER.180926T1250Z.181013T0830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
909 PM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Clarksville Lock and Dam 24
* until further notice.
* At 8:30 PM Monday the stage was 26.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 27.5 feet by Wednesday early 
  afternoon.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/06  11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10

Mississippi River 
  Clarksville LD  25.0   26.51      26.9   27.4   27.4   26.9   26.5


&&


LAT...LON 3939 9097 3945 9089 3938 9077 3923 9071
      3922 9081                       



$$

ILC013-MOC113-070309-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0128.181106T0302Z-000000T0000Z/
/CAGM7.1.ER.181106T0030Z.181108T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
909 PM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Winfield Lock and Dam 25
* from this evening until further notice.
* At 8:30 PM Monday the stage was 26.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and 
  crest near 27.2 feet by Wednesday evening.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/06  11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10

Mississippi River 
  Winfield LD25   26.0   25.98      26.1   26.9   27.2   27.0   26.5


&&


LAT...LON 3922 9081 3923 9071 3888 9057 3881 9057
      3887 9074                       



$$
065 
WGUS83 KLSX 061748
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1148 AM CST Tue Nov 6 2018

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Illinois...Missouri...
 
  Mississippi River at Canton Lock and Dam 20

  Mississippi River at Quincy

  Mississippi River at Hannibal

  Mississippi River at Saverton Lock and Dam 22

  Mississippi River at Louisiana

  Mississippi River at Clarksville Lock and Dam 24
  
  Mississippi River at Winfield Lock and Dam 25

.This Flood Warning is a result of heavy rainfall across the basin
in the past month. Little or no additional measureable precipitation 
is forecast over the basin in the next 48 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC001-MOC111-071748-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0125.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CANM7.1.ER.181104T2146Z.181111T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1148 AM CST Tue Nov 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Canton LD20
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 14.4 feet by Sunday early 
  afternoon.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11

Mississippi River 
  Canton LD20     14.0   14.04      14.0   14.1   14.1   14.2   14.3


&&


LAT...LON 4022 9154 4022 9142 4003 9140 4003 9153




$$

ILC001-MOC127-071748-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0126.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/UINI2.1.ER.181112T0600Z.181112T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1148 AM CST Tue Nov 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Quincy
* until further notice.
* At 11:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early Monday 
  morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11

Mississippi River 
  Quincy          17.0   16.64      16.7   16.6   16.6   16.7   16.8


&&


LAT...LON 4003 9153 4003 9140 3991 9140 3991 9152




$$

ILC149-MOC127-071748-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HNNM7.3.ER.180926T0034Z.181012T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1148 AM CST Tue Nov 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Hannibal
* until further notice.
* At 11:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue rising to near 17.4 feet by this 
  afternoon. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.

  
&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11

Mississippi River 
  Hannibal        16.0   17.38      17.4   17.2   17.2   17.3   17.4


&&


LAT...LON 3983 9148 3983 9135 3974 9121 3967 9135




$$

ILC149-MOC173-071748-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0127.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SVRM7.1.ER.181105T0948Z.181106T0400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1148 AM CST Tue Nov 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Saverton LD22
* until further notice.
* At  8:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to remain near 16.3 feet.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11

Mississippi River 
  Saverton LD22   16.0   16.32      16.2   16.2   16.1   16.1   16.2


&&


LAT...LON 3967 9135 3974 9121 3970 9114 3952 9097
      3945 9111                       



$$

ILC149-MOC163-071748-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LUSM7.2.ER.180927T0720Z.181013T0200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1148 AM CST Tue Nov 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Louisiana
* until further notice.
* At 11:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue rising to near 16.3 feet by this 
  afternoon. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.



&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11

Mississippi River 
  Louisiana       15.0   16.27      16.3   16.2   16.1   16.0   16.1


&&


LAT...LON 3945 9111 3952 9097 3945 9089 3939 9097




$$

ILC013-MOC163-071748-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0096.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLKM7.3.ER.180926T1250Z.181013T0830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1148 AM CST Tue Nov 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Clarksville LD24
* until further notice.
* At 11:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 26.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 26.7 feet by this evening.



&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11

Mississippi River 
  Clarksville LD  25.0   26.61      26.7   26.6   26.3   26.2   26.2


&&


LAT...LON 3939 9097 3945 9089 3938 9077 3923 9071
      3922 9081                       



$$

ILC013-MOC113-071748-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0128.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CAGM7.1.ER.181106T0030Z.181107T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1148 AM CST Tue Nov 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Winfield LD25
* until further notice.
* At 11:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 26.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 26.3 feet by after midnight 
  tonight.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11

Mississippi River 
  Winfield LD25   26.0   26.22      26.3   26.3   26.1   26.0   26.0


&&


LAT...LON 3922 9081 3923 9071 3888 9057 3881 9057
      3887 9074                       



$$

ILC083-MOC183-061818-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0129.000000T0000Z-181111T1800Z/
/GRFI2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1148 AM CST Tue Nov 6 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Mississippi River at Grafton.
* At 11:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will crest below flood stage at 17.9 feet early Thursday 
  morning.
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Right bank begins to 
  overflow...flooding farmland.
* Impact:  At 16.2 feet...For navigational purposes through Alton Lock
  and Dam control, the Corps will not allow the river to exceed this 
  level, if at all possible.  Above this level, water inundates land 
  not owned by the USACE.
* Impact:  At 14.2 feet...For safe navigation of barge traffic, the 
  Corps will try to keep the river above this level.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11

Mississippi River 
  Grafton         18.0   17.42      17.7   17.9   17.8   17.6   17.5


&&


LAT...LON 3881 9057 3888 9057 3899 9046 3895 9028
      3882 9048                       



$$

Maples
031 
WGUS83 KLSX 070302
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
902 PM CST Tue Nov 6 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois and Missouri...
 
  Mississippi River at Saverton Lock and Dam 22

  Mississippi River at Canton Lock and Dam 20

  Mississippi River at Hannibal

  Mississippi River at Louisiana

  Mississippi River at Clarksville Lock and Dam 24

  Mississippi River at Winfield Lock and Dam 25

.This Flood Warning is a result of heavy rainfall across the basin
in the past month. Little or no additional measureable precipitation 
is forecast over the basin in the next 48 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC001-MOC111-080302-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0125.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CANM7.1.ER.181104T2146Z.181111T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
902 PM CST Tue Nov 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Canton Lock and Dam 20
* until further notice.
* At 6:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight 
  tonight and crest near 14.4 feet by Sunday early afternoon.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11

Mississippi River 
  Canton LD20     14.0   13.87      14.0   14.1   14.1   14.2   14.3


&&


LAT...LON 4022 9154 4022 9142 4003 9140 4003 9153




$$

ILC149-MOC127-080302-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HNNM7.3.ER.180926T0034Z.181012T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
902 PM CST Tue Nov 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Hannibal
* until further notice.
* At 8:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to a stage of 16.6 feet 
  by Thursday morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11

Mississippi River 
  Hannibal        16.0   17.23      16.9   16.6   16.4   16.3   16.3


&&


LAT...LON 3983 9148 3983 9135 3974 9121 3967 9135




$$

ILC149-MOC173-080302-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0127.000000T0000Z-181113T1800Z/
/SVRM7.1.ER.181105T0948Z.181106T0400Z.181112T1800Z.NO/
902 PM CST Tue Nov 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Saverton Lock and Dam 22
* until Tuesday November 13.
* At 8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  Monday early afternoon.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11

Mississippi River 
  Saverton LD22   16.0   16.22      15.8   15.6   15.6   15.7   16.0


&&


LAT...LON 3967 9135 3974 9121 3970 9114 3952 9097
      3945 9111                       



$$

ILC149-MOC163-080302-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LUSM7.2.ER.180927T0720Z.181013T0200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
902 PM CST Tue Nov 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Louisiana
* until further notice.
* At 8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to remain near 16.1 feet.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11

Mississippi River 
  Louisiana       15.0   16.21      16.1   15.8   15.8   15.8   16.0


&&


LAT...LON 3945 9111 3952 9097 3945 9089 3939 9097




$$

ILC013-MOC163-080302-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0096.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLKM7.3.ER.180926T1250Z.181013T0830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
902 PM CST Tue Nov 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Clarksville Lock and Dam 24
* until further notice.
* At 8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 26.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to remain near 26.5 feet.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11

Mississippi River 
  Clarksville LD  25.0   26.57      26.5   26.3   26.1   26.1   26.1


&&


LAT...LON 3939 9097 3945 9089 3938 9077 3923 9071
      3922 9081                       



$$

ILC013-MOC113-080302-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0128.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CAGM7.1.ER.181106T0030Z.181107T0130Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
902 PM CST Tue Nov 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Winfield Lock and Dam 25
* until further notice.
* At 8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 26.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 26.3 feet by after midnight 
  tonight.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/07  11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11

Mississippi River 
  Winfield LD25   26.0   26.25      26.3   26.2   26.1   25.9   26.0


&&


LAT...LON 3922 9081 3923 9071 3888 9057 3881 9057
      3887 9074                       



$$
495 
WGUS83 KLSX 071706
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1106 AM CST Wed Nov 7 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois and Missouri...

  Mississippi River at Hannibal

  Mississippi River at Louisiana

  Mississippi River at Clarksville Lock and Dam 24

  Mississippi River at Winfield Lock and Dam 25

.This Flood Warning is a result of heavy rainfall across the basin
in the past month. Little or no additional measureable precipitation 
is forecast over the basin in the next 48 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC149-MOC127-081705-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HNNM7.3.ER.180926T0034Z.181012T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1106 AM CST Wed Nov 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Hannibal
* until further notice.
* At 10:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 16.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to a stage of 16.8 feet 
  by tomorrow morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11  11/12

Mississippi River 
  Hannibal        16.0   16.92      16.8   16.6   16.5   16.5   16.4


&&


LAT...LON 3983 9148 3983 9135 3974 9121 3967 9135




$$

ILC149-MOC163-081705-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LUSM7.2.ER.180927T0720Z.181013T0200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1106 AM CST Wed Nov 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Louisiana
* until further notice.
* At 10:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to a stage of 15.4 feet 
  by Friday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11  11/12

Mississippi River 
  Louisiana       15.0   15.97      15.7   15.4   15.5   15.6   15.6


&&


LAT...LON 3945 9111 3952 9097 3945 9089 3939 9097




$$

ILC013-MOC163-081705-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0096.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLKM7.3.ER.180926T1250Z.181013T0830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1106 AM CST Wed Nov 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Clarksville LD24
* until further notice.
* At 10:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 26.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  next Thursday.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11  11/12

Mississippi River 
  Clarksville LD  25.0   26.39      26.1   25.7   25.6   25.6   25.5


&&


LAT...LON 3939 9097 3945 9089 3938 9077 3923 9071
      3922 9081                       



$$

ILC013-MOC113-081705-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0128.000000T0000Z-181109T1200Z/
/CAGM7.1.ER.181106T0030Z.181107T0400Z.181108T1200Z.NO/
1106 AM CST Wed Nov 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Winfield LD25
* until Friday morning.
* At 10:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 26.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11  11/12

Mississippi River 
  Winfield LD25   26.0   26.27      26.0   25.6   25.3   25.2   25.2


&&


LAT...LON 3922 9081 3923 9071 3888 9057 3881 9057
      3887 9074                       



$$
719 
WGUS83 KLSX 080336
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
935 PM CST Wed Nov 7 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...Missouri...


  Mississippi River at Hannibal

  Mississippi River at Louisiana

  Mississippi River at Clarksville Lock and Dam 24

  Mississippi River at Winfield Lock and Dam 25
  
  
.This Flood Warning is a result of heavy rainfall across the basin
in the past month. Little or no additional measureable precipitation 
is forecast over the basin in the next 48 hours.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The National Weather Service will monitor this developing situation
and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC149-MOC127-090335-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HNNM7.3.ER.180926T0034Z.181012T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
935 PM CST Wed Nov 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Hannibal
* until further notice.
* At 8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 16.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to a stage of 16.6 feet 
  by Friday morning.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Damage begins to buildings in 
  unprotected low areas.  Minor flooding begins.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11  11/12

Mississippi River 
  Hannibal        16.0   16.77      16.7   16.6   16.5   16.5   16.4


&&


LAT...LON 3983 9148 3983 9135 3974 9121 3967 9135




$$

ILC149-MOC163-090335-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LUSM7.2.ER.180927T0720Z.181013T0200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
935 PM CST Wed Nov 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Louisiana
* until further notice.
* At 9:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to a stage of 15.3 feet 
  by Friday morning.
* Impact:  At 15.0 feet...Damage begins in unprotected areas.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11  11/12

Mississippi River 
  Louisiana       15.0   15.77      15.6   15.3   15.4   15.5   15.4


&&


LAT...LON 3945 9111 3952 9097 3945 9089 3939 9097




$$

ILC013-MOC163-090335-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0096.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLKM7.3.ER.180926T1250Z.181013T0830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
935 PM CST Wed Nov 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Clarksville Lock and Dam 24
* until further notice.
* At 9:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 26.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 25.7 feet by Friday 
  morning.
* Impact:  At 25.5 feet...State Route P east of Elsberry begins 
  flooding just east of the levee.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11  11/12

Mississippi River 
  Clarksville LD  25.0   26.18      26.0   25.7   25.6   25.5   25.5


&&


LAT...LON 3939 9097 3945 9089 3938 9077 3923 9071
      3922 9081                       



$$

ILC013-MOC113-090335-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0128.000000T0000Z-181109T0900Z/
/CAGM7.1.ER.181106T0030Z.181107T0400Z.181108T0900Z.NO/
935 PM CST Wed Nov 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mississippi River at Winfield Lock and Dam 25
* until late Thursday night.
* At 9:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 26.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  early Thursday.
* Impact:  At 26.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Highway B in eastern St. 
  Charles County floods near the Dardenne Creek bridge.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/08  11/09  11/10  11/11  11/12

Mississippi River 
  Winfield LD25   26.0   26.15      25.9   25.6   25.3   25.2   25.2


&&


LAT...LON 3922 9081 3923 9071 3888 9057 3881 9057
      3887 9074                       



$$
563 
WGUS83 KLSX 081651
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1051 AM CST Thu Nov 8 2018

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Missouri and Illinois...
 
 
  Mississippi River at 
  
      Winfield Lock and Dam 25
  

.This will be the final statement for this flood event...


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

ILC013-MOC113-081721-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0128.000000T0000Z-181109T0900Z/
/CAGM7.1.ER.181106T0030Z.181107T0400Z.181108T1412Z.NO/
1051 AM CST Thu Nov 8 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Mississippi River at Winfield Lock and Dam 25.
* At 10:30 AM Thursday the stage was 26.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 8:12 AM Thursday.
* The river is forecast to continue to fall to near 25.1 feet Saturday
  morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     11/09  11/10  11/11  11/12  11/13

Mississippi River 
  Winfield LD25   26.0   25.95      25.5   25.1   24.9   24.9   24.9


&&


LAT...LON 3922 9081 3923 9071 3888 9057 3881 9057
      3887 9074                       



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Nov 5, 5:56 AM CST, 2 hours 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 5, 5:56 AM CST, 2 hours 16 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
556 AM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

.SHORT TERM...  (Through Late Tonight)
Issued at 332 AM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

A longwave upper TROF with a broad base prevails over the central
CONUS early this morning. Our next weather-maker, in the form of
a strong upper level disturbance, was located over western Kansas
and is already driving a sizable area of rain out ahead of it. At
the surface, our region was in-between systems and had a weak
southerly flow as the next system takes shape over the High
Plains. Lower stratocumulus clouds were slowly exiting to the east
as a veil of progressively thickening high cirrus clouds expands
from the west. Temperatures ranged from the 30s for areas in
southeast MO that have enjoyed clear skies and light winds for
several hours to the mid 40s for areas underneath the slowly
exiting low clouds. Our region, for the time being, was
precipitation free.

The strong upper level disturbance over western Kansas is
expected to continue to dig to the Missouri-Arkansas border this
afternoon and then track into the Lower Ohio River Valley this
evening. This will continue to drive the large area of rain into
our region primarily from late morning in western sections
(central MO) until early this evening in eastern sections
(western IL). Rain will mainly come to an end with passage of
what should be an occluded surface front for most areas, with the
anticipated surface triple point tracking through far southern MO
and into the lower Ohio River Valley. It is also on this last
point that the severe thunderstorm threat has been pushed further
south, effectively out of our forecast area with too limited
ability for enough instability and low level moisture to work its
way north. However, some elevated instability will still exist
for mainly isolated thunderstorms possible this afternoon and
early this evening for areas near and south of Interstate 70.

Strengthening southerly flow ahead of the system and its
associated dewpoint rises will drive most of the "warming" today
as thick clouds and rain will act to counter them, with max temps
in the low-mid 50s expected for most areas. Min temps in the low
to mid 40s are expected tonight with clouds slow to clear out and
only slightly cooler air behind the front than ahead of it.

TES

.LONG TERM...  (Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 332 AM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

Tuesday begins with two PV anomalies located upstream and poised
to phase as they rotate through a broad trough over the northern
half of the CONUS. Model guidance shows that the phasing between
these features occurs on Tue night within a broad area stretching
from the central CONUS towards the western Great Lakes. A
secondary cold frontal passage in MO/IL is associated with the
passage of the phased PV anomaly aloft on Tue night and Wed, and
this will reinforce the cooler air mass already in place across
the region. Light rain showers are possible on Tue night due to
lift ahead of the phasing disturbances. The secondary cold front
is being driven by a 1030+ hPa surface high which moves from
Canada into the north central CONUS by Thu/Fri. Cooler
temperatures are then expected for the rest of the week within
this cooler air mass. The coolest day of the week is likely to be
Thu; highs in the low-mid 40s will be 15-20 degrees below average.
The coolest night is expected to be on Fri night when lows should
fall into the low-mid 20s, which is 10-15 degrees below average.

Meanwhile, models depict a PV anomaly near the Gulf of Alaska
which becomes more ill-defined after becoming embedded within a
broader zone of H5 vorticity over the western CONUS. This feature
is then forecast to progress southeastward from the Pacific NW
towards the central CONUS during the middle of the week. At the
same time, a deeper trough will be developing over SK/MB into ND,
and a separate PV anomaly will be diving down into the base of
that trough. Models are in reasonable agreement that the influence
of the deeper trough in southern Canada/north central CONUS will
force the other PV anomaly to quickly lift through our area on
Thu/Thu night as if it were a lead shortwave. The deeper trough
is then forecast to move across the region on Fri/Fri night, but
models do exhibit some disagreement regarding the strength and
southward extent of this feature.

We're entering the time of year when surface temperatures are
getting colder on average and when the normal diurnal temperature
rises/falls happen to cross 32 deg F more frequently. This is why
light snow and/or a rain/snow mix will start to be mentioned in
the forecast more often, but it should be noted that brief periods
of light snow are normal during this time of year, and a brief
period of light snow does not normally constitute a hazard.
Depending on the vertical temperature profile, it is possible that
some of the light precipitation on late Wed night into early Thu
morning could fall as a rain/snow mix before diurnally rising
temperatures change any snow back into rain. Likewise, diurnally
falling temperatures on Thu evening could also produce a light
rain/snow mix before precipitation ends. No accumulations are
expected at this time.

Finally, yet another PV anomaly is forecast to move from BC/AB into
the northwestern CONUS on Sat/Sun next weekend, but models disagree
on how this feature evolves as it moves southeastward. By 12z Sun,
the GEM depicts a deep trough developing over the West Coast while
the ECMWF depicts a sharp ridge over the same area. The resulting
differences in the downstream upper air pattern leads to a high
level of uncertainty regarding the temperature and precipitation
forecast for next weekend and beyond.

Kanofsky

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 12z TAFs through 12z Tuesday Morning)
Issued at 555 AM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

VFR conditions at all TAF sites early this morning will give way
to a several hour period of rain and deteriorating conditions,
including IFR conditions at times. This will begin late this morning
(~16z) at COU and end this evening (~03z) at UIN. Thunder is
possible at COU and STL metro sites, but at the current time, feel
probs are too low for inclusion into TAFs. VFR conditions are
then expected to prevail at all TAF sites after midnight. SE
surface winds at or less than 10kts will veer SW-W with passage of
what should be an occluded front through the area later today or
early tonight.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL: Sprinkles will edge the terminal late this
morning before the main wave of rain moves in just after noon
along with IFR ceilings. Thunder is a possibility but feel probs
are too low to mention at this time. Look for rain to then exit
this evening around 02z along with improvement back to VFR by
midnight. SE surface winds should become gusty at times near the
onset of the rain but then diminish thereafter, veering SW-W with
passage of the occluded front along with dry weather and improving
conditions.

TES

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
IL...None.
&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 5, 3:41 AM CST, 4 hours 31 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
341 AM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-060000-
Adams IL-Audrain MO-Bond IL-Boone MO-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO-
Clinton IL-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-
Greene IL-Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO-
Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Madison MO-Marion IL-Marion MO-Moniteau MO-
Monroe IL-Monroe MO-Montgomery IL-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike IL-
Pike MO-Ralls MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Charles MO-
Saint Clair IL-Saint Francois MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-
Sainte Genevieve MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO-Washington IL-Washington MO-
341 AM CST Mon Nov 5 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a slight chance of thunderstorms this afternoon and evening
across the southern half of Missouri as well as parts of southwestern
and southern Illinois.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.

Kanofsky

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 4, 8:58 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXAdams48 hr
Nov 4, 8:58 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLSXPike4 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2018River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.