Flash Flood Warning 38, NWS Louisville, KY

848 
WGUS73 KLMK 022343
FFSLMK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
743 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2018

KYC111-022352-
/O.EXP.KLMK.FF.W.0038.000000T0000Z-180702T2345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson KY-
743 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY WILL EXPIRE
AT 745 PM EDT...

The heavy rain that prompted the warning has ended and flash 
flooding is no longer a threat.  Area creeks, streams, and culverts 
will continue to run high for the next few hours. 

LAT...LON 3819 8547 3819 8575 3827 8575 3827 8574
      3828 8571 3829 8548

$$

MJ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
245 PM EDT Mon Jul 2 2018

.Short Term...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 202 PM EDT Mon Jul 2 2018

Storms associated with an upper wave and weak surface boundary over
the Ohio River this afternoon will drop locally torrential rainfall
and produce gusty winds. Storms will dissipate this evening, leading
into a quiet overnight. Some patchy fog may form in a few spots
towards morning in the muggy, still air. Lows will be in the 70s
once again.

On Tuesday upper ridging from the Atlantic into the eastern United
States will push an upper level wave from the Tennessee Valley into
the Ohio Valley. Once again, scattered storms with heavy rain and
gusty winds will break out, especially over north central Kentucky
and southern Indiana in the afternoon. High temperatures will be
around 90.

&&

.Long Term...(Tuesday night through Monday)
Issued at 239 PM EDT Mon Jul 2 2018

Upper level ridge will begin to retrograde westward Tuesday, with
the core of it passing southern Indiana and central Kentucky on
Wednesday. Subsidence associated with the upper level ridge will
keep precipitation chances very low Wednesday, so the 4th of July
should end up being dry for most folks... Unfortunately, Wednesday
is looking to be the hottest day this upcoming week, and when
dewpoints are factored in, heat indices look to be above 100 nearly
everywhere, and could exceed low-end heat advisory criteria (105)
for several locations along and west of I-65. Should forecasts and
trends continue to show this, a heat advisory may be needed in
future updates.

The upper level ridge will settle over the central Rockies by the
end of the week. Around the same time, troughing over the eastern
CONUS and a cold front moving in from the north will bring a round
of showers and storms, followed by a slight cool-down behind the
front. What will be more noticeable are the dewpoints, as some
models forecast upper 40s to low 50s by 12z Saturday morning! Clouds
and precipitation chances over the weekend will vary on how far
south the front sinks, but for now will take a model blend given the
differences.

&&

.Aviation...(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 111 PM EDT Mon Jul 2 2018

An upper level wave will help spark scattered thunderstorms in the
warm and very sticky air this afternoon. SDF should be the most
affected by storms, so will go beyond just VCTS there and introduce
a TEMPO group. The storms will produce locally torrential rain and
gusty winds.

Storms will slowly dissipate this evening with mostly quiet
conditions overnight. Some light BR may form around dawn in the
still, humid air.

Tomorrow a wave is predicted to drift northwestward from the
Tennessee Valley into the Ohio Valley and will spark scattered
showers and storms.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&

Short Term...13
Long Term...DM
Aviation...13

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Louisville KY
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 2 2018

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-031915-
Orange-Washington-Scott-Jefferson-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-Harrison-
Floyd-Clark-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-
Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-
Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Mercer-Jessamine-Larue-Marion-Boyle-
Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-
Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-
Cumberland-Clinton-
Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, Jasper,
English, Tell City, Corydon, New Albany, Jeffersonville, Lewisport,
Hawesville, Hardinsburg, Brandenburg, Hartford, Leitchfield,
Elizabethtown, Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford,
Milton, New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana,
Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, Carlisle,
Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, Winchester,
Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, Richmond, Morgantown,
Brownsville, Horse Cave, Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty,
Stanford, Russellville, Bowling Green, Franklin, Providence,
Scottsville, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, Columbia, Jamestown,
Burkesville, and Albany
311 PM EDT Mon Jul 2 2018 /211 PM CDT Mon Jul 2 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Indiana and Central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms will slowly dissipate this evening. In the
meantime, the storms will be slow moving with localized flooding as
well as brief gusty winds and frequent lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected on Tuesday. Any
storms will be capable of locally heavy rainfall and flooding.

Heat index values around 105 degrees are possible during the
afternoon and early evening of the Fourth of July.

Thunderstorm chances will increase again Thursday into Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should report any flooded roadways or creeks as well as
stronger wind gusts or damage this evening.

13

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
432 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 ENE SULPHUR WELL      37.84N 84.54W
07/02/2018                   JESSAMINE          KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WEST LANE NEAR HICKMAN CREEK CROSSING HAS
            WASHED OUT.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
434 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     FLOOD            4 NW SPEARS             37.90N 84.50W
07/02/2018                   JESSAMINE          KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOODING REPORTED ALONG MACKEY PIKE NEAR
            HICKMAN CREEK.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
449 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2018

KYZ046-022115-
Washington-
449 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL WASHINGTON COUNTY...

At 448 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Springfield,
moving northeast at 10 mph.

Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph are possible with this storm along with
frequent lightning.

Locations impacted include...
Willisburg, Pleasant Grove, Battle, Litsey and Pulliam.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
brief localized flooding.

LAT...LON 3771 8521 3772 8526 3787 8516 3779 8501
      3778 8502
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 221DEG 8KT 3777 8516

TWF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
516 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0513 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 NW SWITZER            38.31N 84.81W
07/02/2018                   FRANKLIN           KY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            PART OF CAMP PLEASANT RD IS CURRENTLY CLOSED
            DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
538 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2018

KYZ067-022215-
Lincoln-
538 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTY...

At 538 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Stanford. the
storm is nearly stationary. Torrential rainfall is also occurring
with this storm, and may cause localized flooding. Do not drive your
vehicle through flooded roadways.

Locations impacted include...
Stanford, Hustonville, South Fork, Boneyville, Milledgeville, Jumbo,
Ottenheim, Broughtentown, Geneva and Rowland.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 3736 8449 3738 8477 3739 8479 3752 8483
      3754 8454
TIME...MOT...LOC 2138Z 196DEG 3KT 3746 8464

MJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
542 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2018

KYZ030-022215-
Jefferson-
542 PM EDT MON JUL 2 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY...

At 541 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Rolling Hills.
the storm is nearly stationary.

Winds in excess of 30 mph are possible with this storm. Torrential
rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause localized
flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

Locations impacted include...
Louisville, Jeffersontown, St. Matthews, Lyndon, Middletown, Douglass
Hills, Prospect, Hurstbourne, Graymoor-Devondale and Windy Hills.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 3830 8549 3827 8543 3814 8550 3822 8577
      3828 8571 3829 8568 3835 8564
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 196DEG 3KT 3828 8558

MJ