Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2018
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 423, NWS Jackson, MS
NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Nov 5, 2018, 7:47 PM CST for Bolivar County, Sunflower County, Mississippi. It was in force for 43 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 5, 2018, 7:47 PM CST (01:47 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 5, 2018, 8:30 PM CST
- In force
- 43 min
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, MS
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 0.75 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
Counties Bolivar County, MS, Sunflower County, MS
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 169 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 4:06 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 00:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 148 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 22 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -63 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 602 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 66 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 3 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 86 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
The text
As transmitted.
232
WUUS54 KJAN 060147
SVRJAN
MSC011-133-060230-
/O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0423.181106T0147Z-181106T0230Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
747 PM CST MON NOV 5 2018
The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northern Sunflower County in northwestern Mississippi...
Bolivar County in northwestern Mississippi...
* Until 830 PM CST.
* At 746 PM CST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 8 miles west of Dublin to near Lamont, moving east
at 40 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.
* Severe thunderstorms will be near...
Benoit around 800 PM CST.
Shaw around 820 PM CST.
Cleveland and Boyle around 825 PM CST.
Ruleville and Renova around 830 PM CST.
Other locations impacted by these severe thunderstorms include
Alligator, Beulah, Pace, Doddsville, Winstonville, Duncan and
Merigold.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
&&
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CST for north central
and northwestern Mississippi.
LAT...LON 3412 9066 3399 9066 3399 9045 3357 9045
3354 9122 3358 9119 3360 9113 3363 9115
3367 9112 3366 9108 3368 9103 3372 9106
3371 9109 3377 9104 3376 9101 3378 9099
3381 9102 3412 9077
TIME...MOT...LOC 0146Z 249DEG 35KT 3405 9065 3355 9115
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
TW1 follow-up statement
446
WWUS54 KJAN 060205
SVSJAN
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
805 PM CST MON NOV 5 2018
MSC011-133-060230-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0423.000000T0000Z-181106T0230Z/
Sunflower MS-Bolivar MS-
805 PM CST MON NOV 5 2018
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CST
FOR NORTHERN SUNFLOWER AND SOUTHERN BOLIVAR COUNTIES...
At 805 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles west of
Boyle, or 8 miles west of Cleveland, moving east at 45 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.
This severe storm will be near...
Cleveland and Boyle around 815 PM CST.
Renova around 820 PM CST.
Ruleville and Drew around 830 PM CST.
Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include
Doddsville, Winstonville, Beulah, Pace and Merigold.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
&&
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CST for north central
and northwestern Mississippi.
LAT...LON 3399 9066 3399 9045 3357 9045 3354 9122
3358 9119 3360 9113 3363 9115 3367 9112
3366 9108 3368 9103 3372 9106 3371 9109
3377 9104 3376 9101 3378 9099 3380 9101
3381 9101
TIME...MOT...LOC 0205Z 250DEG 40KT 3370 9087
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
TWWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Nov 5, 5:43 PM CST, 2 hours 4 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 5, 5:43 PM CST, 2 hours 4 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Jackson MS 543 PM CST Mon Nov 5 2018 ...SEVERE WEATHER EVENT EXPECTED ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS TONIGHT... .UPDATE... Updated for 00Z aviation discussion && .AVIATION... 00Z TAF discussion: Areas of MVFR and IFR stratus remain scattered across the area this evening. SHRA/TSRA have developed across North LA and will move into NE LA, SE AR, and NW MS through this evening ahead of a cold front. Some of these storms could be severe with tornadoes, large hail, and 50 kt wind gusts. The storms will spread southeastward overnight and gradually weaken as they get closer to GTR/JAN/HKS/MEI, though strong wind gusts and a tornado are still possible. Ceilings will fall to MVFR/IFR at most sites overnight through early Tuesday morning, and IFR visibilities are possible around HBG/PIB. Conditions should improve through mid-morning, with VFR conditions prevailing areawide by late morning and continuing through the remainder of the TAF period. /DL/ && .DISCUSSION... Through Tuesday: The primary forecast concern continues to be the severe threat from this evening through the early morning hours tomorrow. A cold front is continuing to organize from the mid Mississippi Valley southward through the ArkLaTex, pushing eastward toward our region. As subtle upper forcing overspreads the Delta, convection is likely to develop across parts of NE Louisiana, SE Arkansas, and NW Mississippi. Strong deep layer effective shear will favor a mode of discrete supercells initially. With very strong shear in place (mesoanalysis indicating 300-400 m2/s2 effective SRH moving into the area) and increasing instability (mid/upper 60s dewpoints advecting northward), these storms could be capable of producing strong tornadoes, 70+ mph wind gusts, and hail up to golfball size. With decreasing upper level support through the evening, the storms will evolve into more of a line or broken line as they approach the Natchez Trace corridor pushing southeastward. A somewhat lower damaging wind and tornado threat will remain, with a lessening hail threat as updrafts become less robust. With the front expected to stall, the line will slow down and weaken overnight, with the severe threat dissipating after midnight. What's left of the line likely will not even reach the US 98 corridor by daybreak Tuesday. With the front slowing across the area, lightening winds, and a moist environment remaining in place across SE Mississippi, areas of fog are anticipated across the Pine Belt tonight through Tuesday morning. Some of this fog could be locally dense, and thus this threat has been added to the HWO. Confidence is not high enough to issue a preemptive advisory, but we will need to monitor for the potential need for one through the evening hours. The fog threat will end from north to south tomorrow morning as the front slips through the area. The good news is clearing is expected tomorrow, with dry conditions for the vast majority of the area through the rest of the day. Enjoy it while you can, because the rest of the work week is looking quite wet... /DL/ Tomorrow tonight through Monday...high pressure moves into the region Tuesday, forcing the boundary southeast, but not really clearing the region. It will stall south of the cwa before gradually lifting north, bringing rain back and likely a little warmer air. The next disturbance and boundary moves in Wednesday and lingers with some weak disturbances traveling along the boundary. There could be a period of decent lapse rates, but nothing great Wednesday night into early Thursday. The next system moves in Friday with the boundary looking better as it moves across the I-59 corridor. The upper jet also looks good with 100kts or more moving across the cwa. May be worth watching. Guidance continues to show temperatures falling about 20 degrees by the weekend, so cooler air is finally on the way. Overall no real changes to the previous forecast. /7/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 65 76 60 74 / 79 19 30 40 Meridian 66 76 58 75 / 65 59 28 41 Vicksburg 64 76 60 72 / 77 9 32 44 Hattiesburg 70 79 64 79 / 20 42 18 51 Natchez 68 78 65 76 / 65 27 31 44 Greenville 57 72 55 63 / 92 1 49 48 Greenwood 59 73 56 66 / 90 2 39 50 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...None. LA...None. AR...None. && DL/7
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 5, 3:07 PM CST, 4 hours 40 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Jackson MS 307 PM CST Mon Nov 5 2018 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ018-019-025>030-032>037-040-041-062115- Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Bolivar- Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Choctaw- Oktibbeha-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Issaquena-Sharkey- 307 PM CST Mon Nov 5 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and west central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Tuesday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Enhanced TIMING...Tonight Severe storms are likely, especially during the evening to around midnight time frame. Strong tornadoes are possible along with damaging winds up to 70 mph and large hail up to golf ball size. Stay weather aware and have your severe weather plans in place. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday night through Sunday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight. LAZ015-016-023-MSZ031-038-039-042>045-047-062115- Richland-Madison LA-Franklin LA-Lowndes-Winston-Noxubee-Yazoo- Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Warren- 307 PM CST Mon Nov 5 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, and northeast Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Tuesday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Slight TIMING...Tonight Severe storms are possible, mainly from late evening to the early morning hours. Storms could contain tornadoes and damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph along with quarter to golf ball size hail. Stay weather aware and have your severe weather plans in place. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday night through Sunday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight. LAZ024>026-MSZ046-048>056-059>062-062115- Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Kemper-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton- Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jefferson-Adams- Franklin MS-Lincoln- 307 PM CST Mon Nov 5 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Tuesday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Marginal TIMING...Late Tonight Isolated severe storms are possible late tonight. Damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph along with quarter size hail will be possible, and a tornado cannot be ruled out. Stay weather aware and have your severe weather plans in place. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday night through Sunday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight. MSZ057-058-063>066-072>074-062115- Jasper-Clarke-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion- Lamar-Forrest- 307 PM CST Mon Nov 5 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Tuesday FOG THREAT...Limited TIMING...Late Tonight into Tuesday morning Areas of fog are expected to develop late tonight and continue through the early morning. Visibility may drop to between a half and a quarter mile resulting in slow travel conditions. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday night through Sunday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations is not expected through next Sunday. 21 && ...HAZARD LEGEND... *SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS* High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected. Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant severe weather possible. Enhanced...Severe storms expected. Slight...Severe storms possible. Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible. *FOG* Extreme...Widespread fog with visibilities near zero. Significant...Fog with visibilities less than or equal to 1/4 mile likely. Elevated...Fog with visibilities less than or equal to 1/4 mile possible. Limited...Patchy fog with visibilities less than or equal to 1/4 mile possible. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN Home page... https://www.weather.gov/jan Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page... https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe Latest Weather Briefing... https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing Tropical page... https://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=jan National Hurricane Center Home Page... https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ Find NWS JAN on Facebook... https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Twitter... @NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Youtube... https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES... Storm Prediction Center (SPC)... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/ Meso Analysis... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/ Day 1 through 3 Outlooks... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ Storm Reports... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
In the hours before
Local storm report, Nov 5, 3:16 PM CST, 4 hours 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
316 PM CST MON NOV 5 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0235 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 WSW PICKENS 32.87N 90.01W
11/01/2018 YAZOO MS NWS STORM SURVEY
CORRECTS TIME OF PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG
REPORT FROM 3 WSW PICKENS. SPORADIC WIND
DAMAGE BETWEEN VAUGHAN AND PICKENS. SEVERAL
TREES AND LARGE LIMBS WERE DOWN.
&&
TWLocal storm report, Nov 5, 4:25 PM CST, 3 hours 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
425 PM CST MON NOV 5 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0333 AM TORNADO 4 WNW RIDGELAND 32.44N 90.20W
11/01/2018 MADISON MS NWS STORM SURVEY
THIS BRIEF WEAK EF1 TORNADO OCCURRED BETWEEN
N LIVINGSTON RD AND BRIDGEWATER SUBDIVISION.
A FEW DOZEN TREES WERE SNAPPED AND UPROOTED
WITH NUMEROUS LARGE LIMBS BROKEN. PEAK
INTENSITY WAS NOTED AT THE S END OF HICKORY
RD WHERE SEVERAL HARDWOOD TREES WERE
SNAPPED. THE TORNADO MOVED TO THE E AND A
LARGE MAJORITY OF THE TREES WERE DOWNED TO
THE N AND THEN NE. TOTAL PATH LENGTH WAS 1.3
MILES, 250 YDS WIDE, MAX WINDS 88 MPH.
&&
CELocal storm report, Nov 5, 4:27 PM CST, 3 hours 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
427 PM CST MON NOV 5 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0336 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 WNW RIDGELAND 32.43N 90.16W
11/01/2018 MADISON MS NWS STORM SURVEY
MANY LARGE LIMBS AND A FEW TREES DOWN AROUND
BUTLER DR AND RICHARDSON RD.
&&
CELocal storm report, Nov 5, 4:41 PM CST, 3 hours 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
441 PM CST MON NOV 5 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0233 AM TORNADO 4 WNW RIDGELAND 32.44N 90.20W
11/01/2018 MADISON MS NWS STORM SURVEY
CORRECTS PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM 4 WNW
RIDGELAND. THIS BRIEF WEAK EF1 TORNADO
OCCURRED BETWEEN N LIVINGSTON RD AND
BRIDGEWATER SUBDIVISION. A FEW DOZEN TREES
WERE SNAPPED AND UPROOTED WITH NUMEROUS
LARGE LIMBS BROKEN. PEAK INTENSITY WAS NOTED
AT THE S END OF HICKORY RD WHERE SEVERAL
HARDWOOD TREES WERE SNAPPED. THE TORNADO
MOVED TO THE E AND A LARGE MAJORITY OF THE
TREES WERE DOWNED TO THE N AND THEN NE.
TOTAL PATH LENGTH WAS 1.3 MILES, 250 YDS
WIDE, MAX WINDS 88 MPH.
&&
CELocal storm report, Nov 5, 4:42 PM CST, 3 hours 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
442 PM CST MON NOV 5 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0236 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 WNW RIDGELAND 32.43N 90.16W
11/01/2018 MADISON MS NWS STORM SURVEY
CORRECTS PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM 2
WNW RIDGELAND. MANY LARGE LIMBS AND A FEW
TREES DOWN AROUND BUTLER DR AND RICHARDSON
RD.
&&
CELocal storm report, Nov 5, 4:46 PM CST, 3 hours 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
446 PM CST MON NOV 5 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 AM TORNADO 4 W BOLTON 32.36N 90.53W
11/01/2018 HINDS MS NWS STORM SURVEY
THIS BRIEF AND WEAK EF0 TORNADO BEGAN JUST
NORTH OF I-20 ON CLOVER HILL CIRCLE WHERE
THE METAL ROOF WAS BLOWN OFF AN OUTBUILDING.
THE TORNADO CONTINUED NORTHEAST TO SOUTH
FARR ROAD BUT NO EVIDENCE OF TORNADIC DAMAGE
WAS FOUND AFTER THIS POINT. ASIDE FROM THE
MENTIONED STRUCTURAL DAMAGE MOST OF THE
DAMAGE WAS LIMITED TO TREES MAINLY IN THE
FORM OF DOWNED LARGE LIMBS.
&&
CEThe office that day
Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 11:20 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Carroll, Holmes | 39 min |
| Nov 5, 11:35 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Holmes, Humphreys, Issaquena, Sharkey, Yazoo | 55 min |
| Nov 6, 12:10 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Choctaw, Montgomery, Oktibbeha, Webster | 42 min |
| Nov 6, 12:13 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Holmes, Yazoo | 62 min |
| Nov 6, 12:36 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Choctaw, Oktibbeha | 39 min |
| Nov 6, 1:06 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Leake | 39 min |
| Nov 6, 1:27 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Clay, Lowndes | 37 min |
| Nov 6, 1:43 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Noxubee, Winston | 47 min |
| Nov 6, 1:59 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Kemper, Neshoba, Noxubee, Winston | 46 min |
| Nov 6, 2:06 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Noxubee | 54 min |
| Nov 6, 2:12 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Copiah, Hinds, Jefferson, Warren | 38 min |
| Nov 6, 2:40 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Noxubee | 31 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2018Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.