Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 314, NWS Jackson, MS

July 20, 20184 counties in Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 20, 2018, 1:31 PM CDT for 4 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 59 min. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 20, 2018, 1:31 PM CDT (18:31 UTC)
Expired
Jul 20, 2018, 2:30 PM CDT
In force
59 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Carroll County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Leflore County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 20, 1:48 PM CDTTSTM WND DMGTchula, MSPOWER LINE DOWN.
Jul 20, 1:48 PM CDTTSTM WND DMGTchula, MSTREES DOWN ACROSS TOWN.
Jul 20, 2:02 PM CDTTSTM WND DMGLexington, MSTREE DOWN ALONG HWY 12 E.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 3 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 17 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 92 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2018-07-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1428 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2018-07-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 56 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1428 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-119 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
986 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
56 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
153 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

943 
WUUS54 KJAN 201831
SVRJAN
MSC015-051-053-083-201930-
/O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0314.180720T1831Z-180720T1930Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
131 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Holmes County in central Mississippi...
  Southwestern Carroll County in north central Mississippi...
  Southern Leflore County in north central Mississippi...
  Northeastern Humphreys County in central Mississippi...

* Until 230 PM CDT.

* At 131 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Quito, or 9
  miles south of Itta Bena, moving southeast at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* This severe thunderstorm will be near...
  Tchula around 155 PM CDT.
  Howard around 205 PM CDT.
  Lexington around 215 PM CDT.
  Brozville around 220 PM CDT.
  Franklin around 225 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include Cruger.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8986 3294 9014 3296 9021 3328 9046
      3342 9014
TIME...MOT...LOC 1831Z 320DEG 27KT 3336 9031 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TW
3 follow-up statements
242 
WWUS54 KJAN 201850
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
150 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

MSC015-053-083-201900-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0314.000000T0000Z-180720T1930Z/
Carroll MS-Leflore MS-Humphreys MS-
150 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN CARROLL...
SOUTHERN LEFLORE AND NORTHEASTERN HUMPHREYS COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3329 9001 3313 8986 3294 9014 3297 9021
      3313 9034 3314 9033 3330 9033 3332 9030
      3331 9031 3331 9029 3333 9029 3336 9026
TIME...MOT...LOC 1850Z 322DEG 28KT 3317 9021 

$$

MSC051-201930-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0314.000000T0000Z-180720T1930Z/
Holmes MS-
150 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR HOLMES COUNTY...

At 150 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Tchula, or 9
miles northeast of Thornton, moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  Howard around 155 PM CDT.
  Lexington and Tolarville around 205 PM CDT.
  Brozville and Coxburg around 210 PM CDT.
  Franklin around 220 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include Cruger.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3329 9001 3313 8986 3294 9014 3297 9021
      3313 9034 3314 9033 3330 9033 3332 9030
      3331 9031 3331 9029 3333 9029 3336 9026
TIME...MOT...LOC 1850Z 322DEG 28KT 3317 9021 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TW
311 
WWUS54 KJAN 201901
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
201 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

MSC051-201930-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0314.000000T0000Z-180720T1930Z/
Holmes MS-
201 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL HOLMES COUNTY...

At 201 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Howard, or 10
miles east of Thornton, moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  Lexington and Coxburg around 205 PM CDT.
  Brozville around 210 PM CDT.
  Franklin around 220 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3330 9005 3329 9001 3313 8986 3294 9014
      3297 9021 3313 9034 3314 9033 3317 9033
TIME...MOT...LOC 1901Z 319DEG 27KT 3310 9015 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TW
183 
WWUS54 KJAN 201913
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
213 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

MSC051-201930-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0314.000000T0000Z-180720T1930Z/
Holmes MS-
213 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL HOLMES COUNTY...

At 213 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Brozville, or
14 miles west of Durant, moving southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
central Holmes County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8986 3294 9014 3297 9021 3308 9030
      3326 8998
TIME...MOT...LOC 1913Z 320DEG 27KT 3301 9008 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TW

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 20, 1:05 PM CDT, 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 20, 1:05 PM CDT, 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
105 PM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

...DANGEROUS HEAT STRESS CONTINUES WITH SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE...

.UPDATE...
Updated for 18Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF discussion:

Thunderstorms will be the main concern at sites through the next
24 hours, especially at GWO/CBM/GTR/HKS/JAN/NMM/MEI. Isolated
strong to severe storms are a threat at GWO/CBM/GTR through this
afternoon while a more widespread threat of potent storms with
gusty winds should build into initially mentioned site this
evening through midnight. Of course frequent lightning, torrential
downpours, and temporary IFR conditions will coincide with any
storms in this axis as well through tonight. Outside of storms,
expect winds to be generally light from the west though southwest
and conditions will be mainly VFR. /BB/

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Morning update discussion:

A lot going on today. First of all, the Heat advisory has been
upgraded to an Excessive Heat Warning, basically along and west of
the Greenwood...to Vicksburg...to just west of Natchez line. In
these areas the consensus of incoming short range model guidance
suggested instead of flirting with heat warning criteria these
areas would hit it hard and certainly warrant the upgrade from the
advisory. Also boosted high temperatures (not just heat index
values) in the western half of zones through the afternoon given
the weight and trends of the latest hi res data.

But there is also the risk of severe storms to deal with today as
the active "northwest flow" pattern continues in the atmospheric
upper levels. Our region got a taste of what this pattern can
deliver late yesterday into the overnight hours as a few potent
thunderstorm clusters rolled south toward I-20 before dissipating.
The juxtaposition of instability and shear will generally be even
more impressive later today than it was yesterday (when deep layer
wind shear values were on the order of 30 knots with surface based
CAPE values peaking over 5000 j/kg). Already some potent
convection has gotten going in eastern AR, although very recent
trends show weakening and reluctance to exhibit worrisome forward-
propagation. Outflow coming out from these storms could spark at
least isolated storms in northern zones through the afternoon, but
the main risk of severe weather in our region will come very late
this afternoon through around midnight as a solid squall line
develops to our north and races south/southeast. Widespread
damaging winds will be the main concern, especially in
northeastern third of the forecast area where confidence of impact
is increasing. Elsewhere in the forecast area, roughly along and
southwest of the Highway 49 corridor, the potential of impact
falls off greatly with southwest extent.

Updates to the HWO and graphics are ongoing and we will continue
to update products as we go through the afternoon and can refine
thinking on timing and level of impact. /BB/

Prior discussion below:

Today and Tonight...Isolated storms will remain possible as day
breaks across the ArkLaMiss this morning as a couple of outflow
boundaries, one over East Central Mississippi and the other moving
into Southeast Mississippi, slow their southeast progression.  With
high pressure aloft building deeper into the region today from the
west and the aforementioned slowing boundaries, it'll be primarily
over East and Southeast Mississippi where the better rain chances
will reside this afternoon.

Although high-res models agree with this scenario today, they
haven't exactly performed stellar over the past 48 hours.  So,
attention to radar and satellite will need to be paid upstream under
this continued northwest flow for any MCS or outflow activity that
could propagate southeast into the region, potentially initiating a
better coverage of convection during the today period.

Speaking of northwest flow and MCSs, global and high-res models are
in good agreement with a potentially stout affecting mainly the
eastern half of the CWA during the overnight hours.  With plenty of
instability hanging on overnight in this warm and moist airmass,
steep mid-level lapse rates, and adequate deep-layer wind shear,
some severe storms will be possible with this complex as it affects
the area later tonight.  Currently, the better potential for severe
storms will reside along and northeast of a Greenville to Meridian
line, where a "Slight Risk" for severe storms exists.  A narrow
"Marginal Risk" area reside outside the "Slight Risk" are from
Hamburg, AR, to Jackson, to Laurel.  Isolated severe storms are
possible within this "Marginal Risk" area.  Severe storms will be
capable of producing damaging wind gusts and large hail.  In
addition, nearly continuous lightning and torrential rainfall can be
expected as will with this complex as well.

Before we get to the severe weather threat for tonight, dangerously
high levels of heat stress will continue today.  Afternoon highs
ranging from the mid 90s to around 100, coupled with dew points in
the 70s, will again promote afternoon heat index values between 105-
110, especially across the Delta region.  As a result, another "Heat
Advisory" has been hoisted for today from 11 AM until 8 PM.  If
either temperatures or dew points run higher than what's currently
being forecast this afternoon, portions of this "Heat Advisory" may
need to be escalated to an "Excessive Heat Warning".  Lows
tonight will again remain mild, and fall into the 70s. /19/

Saturday through Thursday: The primary concerns will be heat stress
and rain chances through the period.

The period will be characterized by anomalous mid to upper ridging
west to mid to upper troughing over eastern conus. This will bring
northwest flow to the region during the period. The ridging will
contract some toward the west on Saturday as upper troughing becomes
dominate from the north. Meanwhile anomalous low to midlevel temps
will continue on Saturday but will decrease on Sunday. This will
result in highs in the middle to upper 90s with some triple digit
numbers west of the MS River on Saturday. This will bring heat
indices from the around 105 to 113. The warmest indices will be over
the western areas mainly Saturday,which will decrease in coverage on
Sunday. So will maintain the heat risk in the HWO for Friday through
Sunday. Models indicate that some strong storms will be possible on
Saturday into Saturday night with northwest flow aloft. We will have
0-3km winds of around 35 knots, Vertical totals in the lower 30s in
the north,a frontal passage for lift, and good lapse rates. CAM
guidance shows a good line passing in the TN valley to the north and
east , along with isolated activity across our area. SPC has a
marginal risk for our eastern areas, since we have a severe risk for
today will hold off on that for the graphics for now. As we push
through the weekend the axis of the upper trough will spread over
the remainder of the region by Sunday. An associated upper low will
with another frontal boundary will push south across the Lower
Mississippi Valley On Wednesday. The weak closed low will wash out
over the SE Conus as upper flat ridging takes over. This will keep
rain chances across the region for the upcoming workweek with our
soupy airmass.

As far as temperatures are concern beyond this weekend with the
frontal passage readings will tone back to mainly from the upper 80s
to the lower 90s. Lows will be in the lower to middle 70s./17/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       98  76  97  76 /  11  36   8  15
Meridian      97  75  97  75 /  13  48  20  28
Vicksburg     98  76  98  76 /   7  13   5   8
Hattiesburg   96  76  99  77 /  13  20  12  10
Natchez       98  75  99  77 /   7   9   4   4
Greenville    98  75  96  74 /  17  42   8  10
Greenwood     97  74  94  73 /  18  66  16  16

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for MSZ026>033-036>039-
     042>046-048>066-072>074.

     Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for MSZ018-
     019-025-034-035-040-041-047.

LA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for LAZ026.

     Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for
     LAZ007>009-015-016-023>025.

AR...Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ074-
     075.

&&

17/19/BB
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 20, 10:12 AM CDT, 3 hours 19 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1012 AM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

ARZ074-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>025-MSZ047-211515-
Ashley-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-Madison LA-
Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Warren-
1012 AM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT...Significant
TIMING...Today

High temperatures from the upper 90s to around 100 will combine
with high humidity levels to produce heat indices ranging from 110
to 115 degrees this afternoon. Precautions should be taken to
avoid strenuous outdoor activities. Check on those vulnerable to
heat stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

High temperatures from the mid to upper 90s will combine with
high humidity levels to produce heat indices 105 to 110 each
afternoon through Monday. Precautions should be taken to avoid
strenuous outdoor activities. Check on those vulnerable to heat
stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Thursday.

ARZ075-MSZ034-035-040-041-211515-
Chicot-Washington-Humphreys-Issaquena-Sharkey-
1012 AM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, central Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, and west
central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT...Significant
TIMING...Today

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Mainly tonight

Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible over the outlook
area, mainly tonight. Damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph and hail
to the size of quarters will be the primary severe weather
threats. Nearly continuous lightning strikes and torrential
downpours can be expected with thunderstorms as well.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

High temperatures from the upper 90s to around 100 will combine
with high humidity levels to produce heat indices ranging from 110
to 115 degrees this afternoon. Precautions should be taken to
avoid strenuous outdoor activities. Check on those vulnerable to
heat stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

High temperatures from the mid to upper 90s will combine with
high humidity levels to produce heat indices 105 to 110 each
afternoon through Monday. Precautions should be taken to avoid
strenuous outdoor activities. Check on those vulnerable to heat
stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight.

MSZ018-019-025-211515-
Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-
1012 AM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north central
Mississippi, and northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT...Significant
TIMING...Today

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...This afternoon into tonight

Severe thunderstorms will be possible over the outlook area
tonight, but potentially beginning as early as this afternoon.
Damaging wind gusts up to at least 60 mph and hail to the size of
quarters will be the primary severe weather threats. Nearly
continuous lightning strikes and torrential downpours can be
expected with thunderstorms as well.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

High temperatures from the upper 90s to around 100 will combine
with high humidity levels to produce heat indices ranging from 110
to 115 degrees this afternoon. Precautions should be taken to
avoid strenuous outdoor activities. Check on those vulnerable to
heat stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

High temperatures from the mid to upper 90s will combine with
high humidity levels to produce heat indices 105 to 110 each
afternoon through Monday. Precautions should be taken to avoid
strenuous outdoor activities. Check on those vulnerable to heat
stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region this afternoon
through tonight.

MSZ026>029-031>033-037>039-046-211515-
Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-
Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Kemper-
1012 AM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
and northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Mainly Tonight

Severe thunderstorms will be possible over the outlook area
tonight, but potentially beginning as early as this late this
afternoon. Damaging wind gusts up to at least 60 mph and hail to
the size of quarters will be the primary severe weather threats.
Nearly continuous lightning strikes and torrential downpours can
be expected with thunderstorms as well.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

High temperatures from the mid to upper 90s will combine with
high humidity levels to produce heat indices ranging from 105 to
110 degrees this afternoon. Precautions should be taken to avoid
strenuous outdoor activities. Check on those vulnerable to heat
stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

High temperatures from the mid to upper 90s will combine with
high humidity levels to produce heat indices 105 to 110 each
afternoon through Monday. Precautions should be taken to avoid
strenuous outdoor activities. Check on those vulnerable to heat
stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region late this
afternoon through tonight.

MSZ030-211515-
Clay-
1012 AM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...This afternoon and tonight

Severe thunderstorms will be likely over the outlook area
tonight, but potentially beginning as early as mid afternoon.
Damaging wind gusts up to at least 60 mph and hail to the size of
quarters will be the primary severe weather threats. Nearly
continuous lightning strikes and torrential downpours can be
expected with thunderstorms as well.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

High temperatures from the mid to upper 90s will combine with
high humidity levels to produce heat indices ranging from 105 to
110 degrees this afternoon. Precautions should be taken to avoid
strenuous outdoor activities. Check on those vulnerable to heat
stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

High temperatures from the mid to upper 90s will combine with
high humidity levels to produce heat indices 105 to 110 each
afternoon through Monday. Precautions should be taken to avoid
strenuous outdoor activities. Check on those vulnerable to heat
stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region this
afternoon through tonight.

MSZ036-044-045-211515-
Holmes-Leake-Neshoba-
1012 AM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, and east central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Tonight

Severe thunderstorms will be possible over the outlook area
tonight. Damaging wind gusts up to at least 60 mph and hail to
the size of quarters will be the primary severe weather threats.
Nearly continuous lightning strikes and torrential downpours can
be expected with thunderstorms as well.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

High temperatures from the mid to upper 90s will combine with
high humidity levels to produce heat indices ranging from 105 to
110 degrees this afternoon. Precautions should be taken to avoid
strenuous outdoor activities. Check on those vulnerable to heat
stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

High temperatures from the mid to upper 90s will combine with
high humidity levels to produce heat indices 105 to 110 each
afternoon through Monday. Precautions should be taken to avoid
strenuous outdoor activities. Check on those vulnerable to heat
stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight.

MSZ042-043-049>052-055>058-066-211515-
Yazoo-Madison MS-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Simpson-Smith-
Jasper-Clarke-Jones-
1012 AM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Tonight

Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible over the outlook
area tonight. Damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph and hail to the
size of quarters will be the primary severe weather threats.
Nearly continuous lightning strikes and torrential downpours can
be expected with thunderstorms as well.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

High temperatures from the mid to upper 90s will combine with
high humidity levels to produce heat indices ranging from 105 to
110 degrees this afternoon. Precautions should be taken to avoid
strenuous outdoor activities. Check on those vulnerable to heat
stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

High temperatures from the mid to upper 90s will combine with
high humidity levels to produce heat indices 105 to 110 each
afternoon through Monday. Precautions should be taken to avoid
strenuous outdoor activities. Check on those vulnerable to heat
stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight.

LAZ026-MSZ048-053-054-059>065-072>074-211515-
Concordia-Hinds-Claiborne-Copiah-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-
Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
1012 AM CDT Fri Jul 20 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

EXCESSIVE HEAT
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Today

High temperatures from the mid to upper 90s will combine with
high humidity levels to produce heat indices ranging from 105 to
110 degrees this afternoon. Precautions should be taken to avoid
strenuous outdoor activities. Check on those vulnerable to heat
stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

High temperatures from the mid to upper 90s will combine with
high humidity levels to produce heat indices 105 to 110 each
afternoon through Monday. Precautions should be taken to avoid
strenuous outdoor activities. Check on those vulnerable to heat
stress. Stay hydrated and wear light, loose fitted clothing.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Thursday.

50

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*EXCESSIVE HEAT*
Extreme...Maximum heat index greater than 110 degrees for 3 or
 more days in a row and/or air temperatures greater than 107
 degrees.
Significant...Maximum heat index greater than 110 degrees
 and/or air temperatures greater than 105 degrees.
Elevated...Maximum heat index 105 to 110 degrees and/or air
 temperatures greater than 103 degrees.
Limited...Maximum heat index near 105 degrees and/or air
 temperatures 100 to 103 degrees.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected.
Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant
 severe weather possible.
Enhanced...Severe storms expected.
Slight...Severe storms possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Tropical page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/srh/tropical?office=jan
National Hurricane Center Home Page...
   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 20, 9:05 AM CDT, 4 hours 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
905 AM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0943 PM     HAIL             3 W ALLIGATOR           34.09N 90.77W
07/19/2018  E1.00 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   PUBLIC

            NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL JUST WEST OF
            ALLIGATOR.

&&

TW
Local storm report, Jul 20, 9:14 AM CDT, 4 hours 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
914 AM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1202 AM     TSTM WND DMG     HOLLANDALE              33.17N 90.85W
07/20/2018                   WASHINGTON         MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A FEW POWER LINES DOWN AND SOME TREES ACROSS
            ROADS/STREETS AROUND TOWN.

&&

CE
Local storm report, Jul 20, 9:20 AM CDT, 4 hours 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
920 AM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1039 PM     HAIL             PACE                    33.79N 90.86W
07/19/2018  E1.25 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   PUBLIC

&&

TW
Local storm report, Jul 20, 10:07 AM CDT, 3 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1007 AM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0139 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 WSW BENTONIA          32.63N 90.46W
07/20/2018                   YAZOO              MS   PUBLIC

            TREE DOWN ALONG HWY 433 BETWEEN BENTONIA AND
            SATARTIA.

&&

TW
Special weather statement, Jul 20, 11:56 AM CDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1156 AM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

MSZ018-201745-
Bolivar MS-
1156 AM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN BOLIVAR COUNTY
UNTIL 1245 PM CDT...

At 1156 AM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Crumrod, or 7 miles east of White River National Wildlife
Refuge, moving southeast at 40 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Deeson around 1210 PM CDT.
  Shelby around 1220 PM CDT.
  Mound Bayou around 1230 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Alligator,
Winstonville, Duncan and Merigold.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3412 9066 3371 9066 3397 9096 3398 9096
      3402 9099 3402 9090 3403 9089 3406 9089
      3408 9087 3410 9088 3409 9092 3412 9095
TIME...MOT...LOC 1656Z 315DEG 37KT 3416 9095

TW
Special weather statement, Jul 20, 12:34 PM CDT, 57 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1234 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

MSZ019-201815-
Sunflower MS-
1234 PM CDT FRI JUL 20 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN SUNFLOWER COUNTY
UNTIL 115 PM CDT...

At 1234 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Mound Bayou, or 7 miles northwest of Drew, moving south at 30
mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Drew around 1250 PM CDT.
  Ruleville around 100 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Doddsville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3393 9056 3369 9045 3364 9045 3358 9066
      3362 9067 3362 9066 3391 9066
TIME...MOT...LOC 1734Z 338DEG 25KT 3388 9063

TW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 19, 9:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Sunflower59 min
Jul 19, 9:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Sunflower62 min
Jul 19, 10:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Sunflower, Washington73 min
Jul 19, 11:25 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANGrenada50 min
Jul 19, 11:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHolmes, Humphreys, Leflore, Sharkey, Washington66 min
Jul 19, 11:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Grenada, Montgomery22 min
Jul 20, 12:41 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANIssaquena, Sharkey, Yazoo64 min
Jul 20, 1:14 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANMadison, Yazoo46 min
Jul 20, 1:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Madison, Warren, Yazoo53 min
Jul 20, 1:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Holmes, Leake, Madison, Yazoo36 min
Jul 20, 2:10 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANHinds, Rankin50 min
Jul 20, 9:25 AM CDTExcessive Heat WarningJANBolivar, Humphreys, Issaquena, Leflore, Sharkey, Sunflower and 2 more11 hr
Jul 20, 11:56 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANBolivar49 min
Jul 20, 12:34 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANSunflower41 min
Jul 20, 12:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeflore, Sunflower54 min
Jul 20, 2:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala, Holmes, Madison, Yazoo67 min
Jul 20, 2:35 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANRankin25 min
Jul 20, 2:55 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANMadison35 min
Jul 20, 4:10 PM CDTHeat AdvisoryJANAdams, Bolivar, Claiborne, Copiah, Covington, Forrest and 21 more28 hr
Jul 20, 4:28 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANCovington32 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2018Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.