River Flood Warning 82, NWS Jackson, MS

217 
WGUS84 KJAN 231502
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1001 AM CDT Mon Apr 23 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-242101-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0082.180425T2000Z-180428T0200Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.180425T2000Z.180426T1200Z.180427T1400Z.NO/
1001 AM CDT Mon Apr 23 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* from Wednesday afternoon to Friday evening.
* At  9:45 AM Monday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Wednesday 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 16.0 feet by early 
  Thursday afternoon.  
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  12.2 Mon 10 AM  13.7  14.1  16.0  16.0 01 PM 04/26


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

005 
WGUS84 KJAN 240252
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
952 PM CDT Mon Apr 23 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-250852-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0082.180425T2000Z-180428T0200Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.180425T2000Z.180426T1200Z.180427T1400Z.NO/
952 PM CDT Mon Apr 23 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* from Wednesday afternoon to Friday evening.
* At 8:45 PM Monday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Wednesday 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 16.0 feet Thursday 
  morning.  
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  13.0 Mon 09 PM  13.1  14.1  16.0  16.0 07 AM 04/26


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

TWP/NF

918 
WGUS84 KJAN 241535
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
ISSUED BY National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1035 AM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee 
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.

Additional information is available at:  
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-252136-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0082.180426T0600Z-180427T2024Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.180426T0600Z.180426T1200Z.180427T0824Z.NO/
1035 AM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West, Mississippi.
* from late Wednesday night to Friday afternoon.
* At 9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early Thursday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 16.0 feet by Thursday 
  morning.  The river will fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...At 15 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  12.6 Tue 10 AM  11.5  16.0  14.7  16.0 07 AM 04/26


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

VIII/KSHV

506 
WGUS84 KJAN 250224
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
924 PM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-260824-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0082.180426T0600Z-180427T2024Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.180426T0600Z.180426T1200Z.180427T0824Z.NO/
924 PM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* from late Wednesday night to Friday afternoon.
* At  8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late Wednesday 
  night and will continue to rise to near 16.0 feet Thursday 
  morning.  
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  12.2 Tue 09 PM  11.5  16.0  14.7  16.0 07 AM 04/26


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

NF

365 
WGUS84 KJAN 251351
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
851 AM CDT Wed Apr 25 2018




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-261951-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0082.180426T1200Z-180429T0400Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.180426T1200Z.180427T0600Z.180428T1600Z.NO/
851 AM CDT Wed Apr 25 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* from Thursday morning to Saturday evening.
* At  7:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage tomorrow morning 
  and will continue to rise to near 16.0 feet early Friday morning.  
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  12.4 Wed 08 AM  15.0  16.0  15.2  16.0 01 AM 04/27


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

317 
WGUS84 KJAN 260245
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
945 PM CDT Wed Apr 25 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-270845-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0082.180426T1200Z-180429T0400Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.180426T1200Z.180427T0600Z.180428T1600Z.NO/
945 PM CDT Wed Apr 25 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* from Thursday morning to Saturday evening.
* At  8:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Thursday morning 
  and will continue to rise to near 16.0 feet early Friday morning.  
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  13.4 Wed 09 PM  15.0  16.0  15.2  16.0 01 AM 04/27


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

NF

668 
WGUS84 KJAN 261440
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
940 AM CDT Thu Apr 26 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-272040-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-180429T0900Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.180426T2100Z.180427T1800Z.180428T2100Z.NO/
940 AM CDT Thu Apr 26 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until late Saturday night.
* At  8:45 AM Thursday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late this 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 16.0 feet early 
  tomorrow afternoon.  
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  14.5 Thu 09 AM  15.9  15.6  13.8  16.0 01 PM 04/27


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

313 
WGUS84 KJAN 270248
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
948 PM CDT Thu Apr 26 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-280848-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-180429T0900Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.180426T1952Z.180427T1800Z.180428T2100Z.NO/
948 PM CDT Thu Apr 26 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until late Saturday night.
* At  8:45 PM Thursday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.0 feet early 
  Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  15.4 Thu 09 PM  15.9  15.6  13.8  16.0 01 PM 04/27


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

NF

926 
WGUS84 KJAN 271412
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
912 AM CDT Fri Apr 27 2018


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-282012-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-180429T2200Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.180426T1952Z.180427T1800Z.180429T1000Z.NO/
912 AM CDT Fri Apr 27 2018

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At  8:45 AM Friday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.3 feet this 
  evening.  
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  16.0 Fri 09 AM  16.0  14.9  13.8  16.3 07 PM 04/27


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

674 
WGUS84 KJAN 280126
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
826 PM CDT Fri Apr 27 2018





...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-290726-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-180429T2200Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.180426T1952Z.180427T2145Z.180429T1000Z.NO/
826 PM CDT Fri Apr 27 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At  7:45 PM Friday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  16.2 Fri 08 PM  16.0  14.9  13.8     FALLING          


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

053 
WGUS84 KJAN 281323
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
823 AM CDT Sat Apr 28 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-291923-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-180429T2000Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.180426T1952Z.180427T2145Z.180429T0800Z.NO/
823 AM CDT Sat Apr 28 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 7:45 AM Saturday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below 
  flood stage early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  15.8 Sat 08 AM  14.8  13.5  12.1    Falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

249 
WGUS84 KJAN 290117
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
817 PM CDT Sat Apr 28 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
all rivers  except for those in the Tombigbee River System which 
includes Tibbee Creek,  Luxapallila Creek, Noxubee River,and the 
Tombigbee River mainstem where a routine of 48 hours of additional 
rainfall is used.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-290147-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-180429T2000Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.180426T1952Z.180427T2145Z.180428T2307Z.NO/
817 PM CDT Sat Apr 28 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Big Black River At West.
* At  7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at  6:07 PM Saturday.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 13.5 feet Monday 
  morning.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  14.9 Sat 08 PM  14.6  13.5  12.1 Blo Flood Stg          


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
700 PM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.UPDATE...
Updated for 00Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF discussion:
While deeper moisture and rain chances will be on the decrease
early this evening, expect weak lift and residual boundary layer
moisture to cause problems with lowering of ceilings (IFR/LIFR)
late tonight into morning, and perhaps reduced visibility due to
fog/drizzle during the early morning. Expect ceilings to lift to
MVFR category from late morning into Monday afternoon, with VFR
ceilings become possible, especially in the HBG/PIB area. /EC/

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Through Monday:

Even as more respectable instability develops over the
southeast/east portion of the forecast area thanks to breaks in
the clouds south of a northward advancing warm front, drier column
air (as noted in multichannel GOES-16 imagery and satellite
derived TPW) is quickly advancing into the area this afternoon.
This has been helping to prevent more vigorous convection over our
forecast area. Still, 200-400 m2/s2 effective SRH exists over
this area, and we will have to monitor closely for rotation even
in low-topped convection over the next few hours. The decreasing
potential for any localized flooding will be wrapping up by that
time as well, and we'll likely be able to pull these hazards from
the HWO early in the evening.

The cold front currently remains back near the Mississippi River,
with dewpoints in the 50s residing across AR and LA. It will push
eastward across the area this evening, but as the mid/upper low
slowly pivots across the Midsouth overnight and cyclonic low level
convergence persists, low clouds will increase and lower again
overnight and continue across much of the area well into the day
tomorrow. Wrap-around isolated to scattered light showers will also
accompany the occluding low during the daytime Monday. Though we
won't see a significant dip in temperatures behind the front, the
lingering clouds and showers will help hold daytime high temps down
Monday. /DL/

Monday night through next weekend:

Models are now thankfully coming into a little better agreement
in the long term period. It still is looking like this period will
be somewhat unsettled with a parade of disturbances, albeit
relatively weak ones, pushing across the Lower MS Valley.

Conditions for Monday night and Tuesday will be best along and
west of the MS River where skies should be partly cloudy at worst.
Elsewhere clouds will linger with maybe even some nuisance
sprinkles or showers in northeastern zones. Temperatures will
continue to trend a little cooler than average.

Conditions should clear out for Tuesday night through at least the
first half of Wednesday, before clouds begin encroaching from the
west yet again as another disturbance approaches from the
northwest. This system should be lacking of high moisture and much
instability, but does look like it will have enough lift and deep
saturation to produce a good chance of rain in most areas between
late Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning.

Unfortunately, there still remains more-than-desired uncertainty
for the system coming on the heels of the one for mid week. Most
likely conditions will dry out for late Thursday, but then clouds
and some rain chances will enter back into the picture by Friday
and maybe even into Saturday. Some model solutions do suggest the
weather-maker for Friday/Saturday may not materialize so rain
chances kept low for now and fingers crossed perhaps next weekend
may turn out to be a rare rain-free one. /BB/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       54  69  53  72 /  13  15  19  10
Meridian      55  71  54  72 /  15  13  16  13
Vicksburg     55  70  54  73 /   5  14  14   7
Hattiesburg   55  73  55  74 /  14   4   7   8
Natchez       53  71  54  75 /   3   6   7   6
Greenville    55  68  53  71 /  17  35  16   8
Greenwood     55  67  53  70 /  29  42  25  12

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
543 PM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
232245-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-
Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-
Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-
Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-
Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-
Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
543 PM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday night through Saturday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Saturday.

21

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

No short term hazards expected.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
354 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

MSZ066-222130-
Jones MS-
354 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL AND EASTERN JONES
COUNTY UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

At 352 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Ellisville, moving northeast at 30 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm. Other
storms could develop quickly in this area.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Laurel around 400 PM CDT.
  Tuckers Crossing around 405 PM CDT.
  Sandersville and Mill Creek around 420 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8930 3164 8927 3182 8901 3183 8894
      3143 8894
TIME...MOT...LOC 2052Z 238DEG 27KT 3159 8919

EC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
430 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

MSZ039-046-222145-
Kemper MS-Noxubee MS-
430 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

...A STRONG LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN NOXUBEE
AND NORTHEASTERN KEMPER COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM CDT...

At 429 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking strong thunderstorms
along a line extending from near Prairie Point to Electric Mills.
Movement was northeast at 40 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Prairie Point around 435 PM CDT.
  Cooksville around 445 PM CDT.

LAT...LON 3277 8836 3274 8848 3319 8841 3325 8832
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 226DEG 35KT 3318 8836 3278 8844

17

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
432 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

MSZ058-222230-
Clarke MS-
432 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN CLARKE COUNTY UNTIL 530
PM CDT...

At 432 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Goodwater, or 16 miles southwest of Quitman, moving northeast at
35 mph.

Winds of up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Goodwater around 435 PM CDT.
  Quitman and De Soto around 455 PM CDT.
  Crandall around 510 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Shubuta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3189 8848 3184 8870 3183 8891 3192 8891
      3209 8869 3208 8846
TIME...MOT...LOC 2132Z 234DEG 31KT 3184 8886

EC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
556 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0406 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WSW BASIC CITY        32.21N 88.80W
04/22/2018  E40 MPH          CLARKE             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ON THE INTERSECTION OF
            COUNTRY ROAD 376 AND HIGHWAY 11 NEAR
            ENTERPRISE.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
724 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 WSW PEARL             32.27N 90.14W
04/22/2018                   RANKIN             MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WATER COVERING THE ROADWAY ALONG WHITE BLVD.
            PICTURE OF FLOODING RELAYED VIA SOCIAL
            MEDIA.

&&

TW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
728 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 AM     FLASH FLOOD      4 SSW RIDGELAND         32.37N 90.15W
04/22/2018                   HINDS              MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WATER COVERING THE ROADWAY ALONG EXECUTIVE
            PLACE. PICTURE OF FLOODING RELAYED VIA
            SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

TW