Alert archive / Mississippi / Flash Flood Warnings in 2018
Flash Flood Warning 102, NWS Jackson, MS
NWS Jackson, MS issued this flash flood warning at Dec 27, 2018, 10:17 AM CST for Concordia Parish, Tensas Parish, Louisiana; 7 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 3 hr. 4 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 27, 2018, 10:17 AM CST (16:17 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 27, 2018, 1:15 PM CST
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, MS
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Concordia Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Warren County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 10:55 AM CST | FLASH FLOOD | 9 Nw Rocky Springs, MS | CORRECTS PREVIOUS FLASH FLOOD REPORT FROM 9 NW ROCKY SPRINGS. REPORT OF JEFF DAVIS RD. FLOODED NEAR 61. |
| Dec 27, 10:55 AM CST | FLASH FLOOD | 9 Nw Rocky Springs, MS | REPORT OF JEFF DAVID RODE FLOODED NEAR 61. |
| Dec 27, 11:00 AM CST | FLASH FLOOD | 1 Ese Natchez, MS | A FEW NEIGHBORHOOD STREETS ARE FLOODED IN NATCHEZ, LINDBURG AREA. |
| Dec 27, 11:25 AM CST | FLASH FLOOD | 1 Se Natchez, MS | CAR FLOATING WITH WATER RESCUE UNDERWAY AT TURTLE LN AND EASTWOOD RD. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 4 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 38 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 4.3 hours before the alert went out and 112 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 591 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 31 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 466 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 893 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
798
WGUS54 KJAN 271617
FFWJAN
LAC029-107-MSC001-021-029-037-049-063-149-271915-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FF.W.0102.181227T1617Z-181227T1915Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1017 AM CST THU DEC 27 2018
The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Southeastern Tensas Parish in northeastern Louisiana...
Central Concordia Parish in northeastern Louisiana...
Central Warren County in west central Mississippi...
Claiborne County in southwestern Mississippi...
Jefferson County in southwestern Mississippi...
Northwestern Franklin County in southwestern Mississippi...
Western Hinds County in central Mississippi...
Adams County in southwestern Mississippi...
Northwestern Copiah County in central Mississippi...
* Until 115 PM CST.
* At 1017 AM CST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Flash flooding is expected to
begin shortly.
* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Vicksburg, Natchez, Vidalia, Alcorn, Raymond, Fayette, Port Gibson,
Edwards, Utica, Bolton, Peyton, Rocky Springs, Stanton,
Brownsville, Le Tourneau, Hamburg, Kingston, Lorman, Flowers and
Spokane.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
&&
LAT...LON 3175 9143 3176 9126 3176 9136 3185 9134
3181 9126 3201 9108 3206 9116 3214 9100
3216 9100 3213 9110 3222 9101 3220 9099
3250 9078 3248 9031 3191 9055 3166 9090
3134 9115 3132 9147 3119 9159 3124 9181
$$
EC3 follow-up statements
310
WGUS74 KJAN 271715
FFSJAN
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1115 AM CST THU DEC 27 2018
LAC029-107-271723-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FF.W.0102.000000T0000Z-181227T1915Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Tensas LA-Concordia LA-
1115 AM CST THU DEC 27 2018
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN TENSAS AND CENTRAL
CONCORDIA PARISHES IS CANCELLED...
Heavy rainfall has moved out of the area for now, but please
continue to heed any remaining road closures.
LAT...LON 3159 9140 3201 9108 3206 9116 3208 9113
3205 9108 3208 9108 3210 9103 3250 9078
3248 9031 3191 9055 3165 9091 3134 9115
3137 9127 3132 9147 3128 9151
$$
MSC001-021-029-037-049-063-149-271915-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.W.0102.000000T0000Z-181227T1915Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Warren MS-Claiborne MS-Jefferson MS-Franklin MS-Hinds MS-Adams MS-
Copiah MS-
1115 AM CST THU DEC 27 2018
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM CST FOR
CENTRAL WARREN...CLAIBORNE...JEFFERSON...NORTHWESTERN FRANKLIN...
WESTERN HINDS...ADAMS AND NORTHWESTERN COPIAH COUNTIES...
At 1113 AM CST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain across the warned area. Up to three inches of rain have already
fallen with reports of flash flooding in the Natchez and Vicksburg
area.
Additional rainfall amounts of one to two inches are possible in the
warned area.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
&&
LAT...LON 3159 9140 3201 9108 3206 9116 3208 9113
3205 9108 3208 9108 3210 9103 3250 9078
3248 9031 3191 9055 3165 9091 3134 9115
3137 9127 3132 9147 3128 9151
$$
EC214
WGUS74 KJAN 271837
FFSJAN
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1237 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018
MSC001-021-029-037-049-063-149-271915-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.W.0102.000000T0000Z-181227T1915Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Warren MS-Claiborne MS-Jefferson MS-Franklin MS-Hinds MS-Adams MS-
Copiah MS-
1237 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM CST FOR
CENTRAL WARREN...CLAIBORNE...JEFFERSON...NORTHWESTERN FRANKLIN...
WESTERN HINDS...ADAMS AND NORTHWESTERN COPIAH COUNTIES...
At 1235 PM CST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Up to three to four inches of
rain have already fallen and flash flooding continues.
Additional rainfall amounts of up to an inch are possible in the
warned area.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
&&
LAT...LON 3159 9140 3201 9108 3206 9116 3208 9113
3205 9108 3208 9108 3210 9103 3250 9078
3248 9031 3191 9055 3165 9091 3134 9115
3137 9127 3132 9147 3128 9151
$$
EC743
WGUS74 KJAN 271911
FFSJAN
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
111 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018
MSC001-021-029-037-049-063-149-271920-
/O.EXP.KJAN.FF.W.0102.000000T0000Z-181227T1915Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Warren MS-Claiborne MS-Jefferson MS-Franklin MS-Hinds MS-Adams MS-
Copiah MS-
111 PM CST THU DEC 27 2018
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR CENTRAL WARREN...CLAIBORNE...
JEFFERSON...NORTHWESTERN FRANKLIN...WESTERN HINDS...ADAMS AND
NORTHWESTERN COPIAH COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 115 PM CST...
The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a
threat. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.
LAT...LON 3159 9140 3201 9108 3206 9116 3208 9113
3205 9108 3208 9108 3210 9103 3250 9078
3248 9031 3191 9055 3165 9091 3134 9115
3137 9127 3132 9147 3128 9151
$$
DCWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Dec 27, 5:54 AM CST, 4 hours 23 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 27, 5:54 AM CST, 4 hours 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
554 AM CST Thu Dec 27 2018
.UPDATE...
Updated for 12Z aviation discussion
&&
.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion: Widespread MVFR Cigs were observed at 1130Z
along with a gusty se wind. Gusty southerly winds are expected
through most of the TAF period, with increasing chances for SHRA
and TSRA as a line of storms moves west to east through the
region. MVFR conditions wl prevail as the storms affect each TAF
site, however brief periods of IFR or lower ceilings and
visibility may occur as the heaviest rain moves through. Wind gust
potential will diminish generally after the line of storms moves
east of each TAF site. /NF/22/
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Today and Tonight: Starting out early this morning, a low
pressure system lifting from the TX Panhandle into the Midwest
will keep a tight pressure gradient and mid-level height gradient
across our forecast area. This pattern will see continued strong
warm, moist advection through the afternoon and evening until the
associated cold front pushes into our region. Gusty winds
overnight have mostly been in the 20 to 25 mph range, however a
gust or two as high as 40 mph have been measured tonight. A Wind
Advisory remains in place through 6 PM this evening for areas
mostly likely to see gusts over 40 mph during the day, however
expect most of the highest gradient wind gust potential to be
focused this morning through early in the afternoon before the
focus turns to possibly severe thunderstorms.
Surface-based instability will be minimal to start the day, since
low clouds will limit daytime heating. But with ongoing warm
advection, a surge of temps and dewpoints around 65 degrees will
spread north from the Gulf Coast toward the Interstate 20 corridor
through the day. In this more unstable airmass, strongly sheared
thunderstorms will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts and
possibly a few brief tornadoes. Poor low-level lapse rates will
be a limiting factor for tornadoes, but marginal instability and
strong shear warrant the Slight Risk. North of the Interstate 20
corridor, isolated stronger to marginally severe thunderstorms
will still be possible; however the primary threat will be
damaging wind gusts especially if higher winds off the surface can
be mixed down by strong showers and storms.
Lastly, it must be noted that anomalously high atmospheric
moisture will be advected northward ahead of the front, increasing
the possibility for high rainfall rates and flash flooding.
Forecast PWAT values in excess of 1.5 inches are near the
climatological max for this time of year, and the combination of
instability and lift will result in efficient rainfall producing
showers and storms. The flash flooding threat will be greatest -
an Elevated Risk - for areas south and east of the Natchez Trace,
or from roughly Natchez northeast through the Golden Triangle and
through the Pine Belt. These areas have the greatest chance of
seeing more than one round of heavy rain through tomorrow morning.
There is a Flash Flood Watch in effect from Noon today through 6
AM Friday for these areas as well. Elsewhere, average rainfall
totals will be less, and the threat for Flash Flooding will be
Limited. /NF/
Friday through Wednesday: Mostly wet with warmer than normal
temperatures will be the rule. Friday morning as the first low
pressure system pulls away to the northeast, a second closed low
will be dropping over the Four Corners region. As a result, our
flow aloft will remain southwesterly and help stall the cold front
associated with the departing low pressure system. Model
consensus still suggests this cold front will stall just southeast
of our CWA Friday afternoon. The rain will taper off during the
afternoon and dry weather is expected Friday evening but, light
rain is expected back across our southern most zones before
sunrise Saturday. Models are in better agreement this run with the
evolution of this closed low and a disturbance rounding its base
that will help the precipitation spread north over our CWA
Saturday as it approaches.
Rain is expected back over our whole CWA again by Saturday
afternoon. Rain chances will continue over most of our CWA til New
Years Day when the northwest may see a brief end to the rain
before rain chances expand back across our whole CWA Wednesday.
Essentially, this second low pressure system will take until
Sunday night to lift out to the northeast and drop a trailing cold
front into our CWA Monday. The rain will end in the wake of the
cold front but a broad upper level trough dropping over the
Rockies Monday will maintain our southwest flow aloft and help
stall the cold front across our southeast. This will result in
rain chances continuing across our southeast New Years Day. The
upper level trough axis looks to shift east across our CWA
Wednesday bringing an end to the wet weather pattern and cooler
temperatures Thursday. /22/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson 68 55 65 43 / 100 83 14 9
Meridian 68 61 68 46 / 100 100 47 11
Vicksburg 71 52 62 43 / 100 46 12 8
Hattiesburg 69 63 67 50 / 100 100 58 24
Natchez 71 52 63 44 / 100 53 13 15
Greenville 67 49 59 37 / 100 35 9 7
Greenwood 68 52 60 39 / 100 63 12 8
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for MSZ018-019-025>045-
047>050-053-054-059-060.
Flash Flood Watch from noon CST today through late tonight for
MSZ030-031-033-038-039-044>046-049>052-054>058-061>066-
072>074.
LA...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for LAZ007>009-015-016-
023>026.
AR...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for ARZ074-075.
&&
NF/22Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 27, 9:05 AM CST, 1 hour 12 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Jackson MS 905 AM CST Thu Dec 27 2018 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-MSZ018-019-025>029-034>037-040>043- 047-281515- Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland- Madison LA-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery- Webster-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Issaquena-Sharkey- Yazoo-Madison MS-Warren- 905 AM CST Thu Dec 27 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and northwestern portions of central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, and west central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Marginal TIMING...Through 6 PM FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Today NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Today Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible today. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary hazard, but a tornado cannot be ruled out. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) Non-thunderstorm wind gusts of up to 40 mph will be possible through this afternoon. A few downed trees and power lines are possible, especially where the soil is saturated following recent rainfall. Travel will also be difficult for those in high profile vehicles. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today through tonight. MSZ032-281515- Choctaw- 905 AM CST Thu Dec 27 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for Choctaw County, Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Marginal TIMING...Through 10 PM. FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Today through Tonight NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Today Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible today. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary hazard, but a tornado cannot be ruled out. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) Non-thunderstorm wind gusts of up to 40 mph will be possible through this afternoon. A few downed trees and power lines are possible, especially where the soil is saturated following recent rainfall. Travel will also be difficult for those in high profile vehicles. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today through tonight. MSZ031-039-045-046-050>052-058-281515- Lowndes-Noxubee-Neshoba-Kemper-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Clarke- 905 AM CST Thu Dec 27 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for eastern portions of central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Marginal TIMING...Through 10 PM FLOODING THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Today through Tonight NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Today Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible today. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary hazard, but a tornado cannot be ruled out. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Areas of flash flooding are likely and some roads could be flooded or closed, with rainfall totals near 3 to 5 inches possible. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is also possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) Non-thunderstorm wind gusts of up to 40 mph will be possible through this afternoon. A few downed trees and power lines are possible, especially where the soil is saturated following recent rainfall. Travel will also be difficult for those in high profile vehicles. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today through tonight. MSZ030-033-038-044-281515- Clay-Oktibbeha-Winston-Leake- 905 AM CST Thu Dec 27 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for northeastern portions of central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Marginal TIMING...Through 10 PM FLOODING THREAT...Elevated TIMING...This Afternoon through early this evening NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Today Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible today. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary hazard, but a tornado cannot be ruled out. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Areas of flash flooding are likely and some roads could be flooded or closed, with rainfall totals near 3 to 5 inches possible. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is also possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) Non-thunderstorm wind gusts of up to 40 mph will be possible through this afternoon. A few downed trees and power lines are possible, especially where the soil is saturated following recent rainfall. Travel will also be difficult for those in high profile vehicles. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today through tonight. LAZ023>026-MSZ048-053-059-060-281515- Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Hinds-Claiborne-Jefferson- Adams- 905 AM CST Thu Dec 27 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast Louisiana, and southwestern portions of central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Slight TIMING...Through 6 PM FLOODING THREAT...Limited TIMING...Today NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Today Severe thunderstorms are possible today. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary hazard, but a few tornadoes will be possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Localized flash flooding is possible, particularly in low lying and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) Non-thunderstorm wind gusts of up to 40 mph will be possible through this afternoon. A few downed trees and power lines are possible, especially where the soil is saturated following recent rainfall. Travel will also be difficult for those in high profile vehicles. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today through tonight. MSZ049-054-281515- Rankin-Copiah- 905 AM CST Thu Dec 27 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for Rankin and Copiah counties. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Slight TIMING...Through 6 PM FLOODING THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Mainly Today NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Today Severe thunderstorms are possible today. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary hazard, but a few tornadoes will be possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Areas of flash flooding are likely and some roads could be flooded or closed, with rainfall totals near 3 to 5 inches possible. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is also possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) Non-thunderstorm wind gusts of up to 40 mph will be possible through this afternoon. A few downed trees and power lines are possible, especially where the soil is saturated following recent rainfall. Travel will also be difficult for those in high profile vehicles. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today through tonight. MSZ061-281515- Franklin MS- 905 AM CST Thu Dec 27 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for Franklin County Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Slight TIMING...Through this afternoon FLOODING THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Today NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Today Severe thunderstorms are possible today. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary hazard, but a few tornadoes will be possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Areas of flash flooding are likely and some roads could be flooded or closed, with rainfall totals near 3 to 5 inches possible. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is also possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) Non-thunderstorm wind gusts of up to 40 mph will be possible through this afternoon. A few downed trees and power lines are possible, especially where the soil is saturated following recent rainfall. Travel will also be difficult for those in high profile vehicles. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today through tonight. MSZ055>057-062>066-072>074-281515- Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington- Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest- 905 AM CST Thu Dec 27 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southern and southeastern portions of central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Slight TIMING...Through 10 PM FLOODING THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Today through Tonight NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS THREAT...Elevated TIMING...Today Severe thunderstorms are possible today. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary hazard, but a few tornadoes will be possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) Areas of flash flooding are likely and some roads could be flooded or closed, with rainfall totals near 3 to 5 inches possible. Some structures may be potentially threatened by high water. Minor river flooding is also possible. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) Non-thunderstorm wind gusts of up to 40 mph will be possible through this afternoon. A few downed trees and power lines are possible, especially where the soil is saturated following recent rainfall. Travel will also be difficult for those in high profile vehicles. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today through tonight. DL && ...HAZARD LEGEND... *SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS* High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected. Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant severe weather possible. Enhanced...Severe storms expected. Slight...Severe storms possible. Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible. *FLOODING* Extreme...Confident in significant flooding. Significant...Significant flooding possible. Elevated...Confident in flooding. Limited...Flooding possible. *NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS* Extreme...Sustained winds 50 mph or greater or wind gusts 65 mph or greater. Significant...Sustained winds 40-49 mph or wind gusts 58-64 mph. Elevated...Sustained winds 30-39 mph or wind gusts 45-57 mph. Limited...Sustained winds 20-29 mph or wind gusts 30 to 44 mph. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN Home page... https://www.weather.gov/jan Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page... https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe Latest Weather Briefing... https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing Find NWS JAN on Facebook... https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Twitter... @NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Youtube... https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES... Storm Prediction Center (SPC)... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/ Meso Analysis... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/ Day 1 through 3 Outlooks... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ Storm Reports... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/ ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES... Current Watches and Warnings... https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain Observed Precipitation Images... https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps River Forecast Center... https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/ Significant River Flood Outlook... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml Excessive Rainfall Discussion... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html Day 1 through 7 QPF... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml QPF Discussion... https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html
In the hours before
Local storm report, Dec 27, 10:01 AM CST, 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1001 AM CST THU DEC 27 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0843 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 N WASHINGTON 31.61N 91.30W
12/27/2018 M41 MPH ADAMS MS PUBLIC
OBSERVED AT THE NATCHEZ AIRPORT.
&&
DLLocal storm report, Dec 27, 10:08 AM CST, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1008 AM CST THU DEC 27 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0941 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ESE FLOWOOD 32.31N 90.08W
12/27/2018 M40 MPH RANKIN MS ASOS
OBSERVED AT THE JAN AIRPORT.
&&
DLLocal storm report, Dec 27, 10:09 AM CST, 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1009 AM CST THU DEC 27 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0953 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NW JACKSON 32.33N 90.22W
12/27/2018 M40 MPH HINDS MS ASOS
OBSERVED AT THE HKS AIRPORT.
&&
DLLocal storm report, Dec 27, 10:10 AM CST, 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1010 AM CST THU DEC 27 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0948 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 N VICKSBURG 32.35N 90.87W
12/27/2018 WARREN MS EMERGENCY MNGR
NUMEROUS TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN ACROSS WARREN
COUNTY.
&&
JCLocal storm report, Dec 27, 10:11 AM CST, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1011 AM CST THU DEC 27 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0954 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 NE VICKSBURG 32.34N 90.85W
12/27/2018 WARREN MS EMERGENCY MNGR
FLASH FLOODING OCCURRED ON CLAY STREET AND
HIGHWAY 61 SOUTH.
&&
JCLocal storm report, Dec 27, 10:14 AM CST, 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1014 AM CST THU DEC 27 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0844 AM TSTM WND DMG 11 SSW DELHI 32.30N 91.55W
12/27/2018 FRANKLIN LA LAW ENFORCEMENT
MANY TREES DOWN IN AND AROUND CROWVILLE,
TREES DOWN ON HOMES, ROOF DAMAGE AND POWER
LINES DOWN. MUCH OF THIS IS ALONG HWY 17.
POSSIBLE TORNADO.
&&
CEThe office that day
Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 8:36 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Franklin | 24 min |
| Dec 27, 8:41 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Franklin, Madison, Richland, Tensas | 33 min |
| Dec 27, 8:44 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Franklin, Madison, Tensas | 29 min |
| Dec 27, 9:05 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | East Carroll, Madison, Tensas | 55 min |
| Dec 27, 9:43 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Madison | 47 min |
| Dec 27, 10:05 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Catahoula, Concordia | 40 min |
| Dec 26, 6:40 PM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Neshoba | 14 days |
| Dec 26, 6:40 PM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Leake | 5 days |
| Dec 26, 6:42 PM CST | River Flood Warning | JAN | Attala, Holmes | 15 days |
| Dec 26, 8:58 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Covington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Lamar, Marion | 47 min |
| Dec 27, 10:20 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Hinds, Madison, Yazoo | 55 min |
| Dec 27, 10:31 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Hinds, Madison, Rankin | 44 min |
| Dec 27, 10:40 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Adams, Franklin, Jefferson | 65 min |
| Dec 27, 10:44 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Holmes, Humphreys, Yazoo | 46 min |
| Dec 27, 11:09 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Holmes, Leake, Madison, Yazoo | 51 min |
| Dec 27, 11:14 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Leake, Madison, Rankin, Scott | 46 min |
| Dec 27, 11:30 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Carroll, Choctaw, Holmes, Montgomery | 45 min |
| Dec 27, 11:33 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Hinds, Madison, Rankin | 3 hr |
| Dec 27, 11:37 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson | 3 hr |
| Dec 27, 11:42 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Grenada, Montgomery | 33 min |
| Dec 27, 11:53 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala, Leake | 37 min |
| Dec 27, 12:15 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Choctaw, Oktibbeha, Webster | 45 min |
| Dec 27, 12:25 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Neshoba, Winston | 50 min |
| Dec 27, 12:54 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Clay, Lowndes, Oktibbeha | 51 min |
| Dec 27, 1:08 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Noxubee | 52 min |
| Dec 27, 1:47 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis | 43 min |
| Dec 27, 1:50 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Lowndes | 25 min |
| Dec 27, 1:53 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis, Lamar, Lawrence, Lincoln, Marion and 3 more | 3 hr |
| Dec 27, 2:41 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Clarke, Jasper, Kemper, Lauderdale, Neshoba, Newton | 2 hr |
| Dec 27, 2:53 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Forrest, Jones, Lamar | 3 hr |
| Dec 27, 3:17 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Jones | 28 min |
| Dec 27, 3:26 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | JAN | Clarke | 34 min |
| Dec 27, 4:56 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis, Lamar, Marion | 64 min |
| Dec 27, 5:44 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Covington, Forrest, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar, Marion | 4 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2018Flash Flood Warnings in Louisiana, 2018Every flash flood warning in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.