Flood Watch 2, NWS Northern Indiana

409 
WGUS63 KIWX 242021
FFAIWX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
321 PM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

INZ026-027-032>034-OHZ016-024-025-250430-
/O.CON.KIWX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180225T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
Including the cities of Bluffton, Ossian, Decatur, Berne, Marion,
Gas City, Upland, Hartford City, Montpelier, Portland, Dunkirk, 
Ottawa, Leipsic, Columbus Grove, Continental, Pandora, Van Wert, 
Ohio City, Lima, and Spencerville
321 PM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* portions of northern Indiana and northwest Ohio, including the 
  following areas, in northern Indiana, Adams, Blackford, Grant, 
  Jay, and Wells. In northwest Ohio, Allen OH, Putnam, and Van 
  Wert. 

* Through Sunday morning

* Additional rainfall of 0.50 to 1 inch of rain is expected
  tonight, with local amounts approaching 2 inches possible. This
  will cause some flooding and low land areas as well as aid in
  river rises tonight.  

* Saturated grounds from recent rainfall will favor rises on 
  rivers, streams and creeks brining several rivers into flood. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

If you live along streams and rivers or in any flood prone area,
remain alert to this flooding potential into next week. Listen to
NOAA Weather All Hazards Radio or other sources for the latest
forecast information. Detailed flood information is also
available on our website (www.weather.gov/iwx).

&&

$$

772 
WGUS63 KIWX 250246
FFAIWX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
946 PM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

INZ026-027-032>034-OHZ016-024-025-251200-
/O.CON.KIWX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180225T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
Including the cities of Bluffton, Ossian, Decatur, Berne, Marion,
Gas City, Upland, Hartford City, Montpelier, Portland, Dunkirk, 
Ottawa, Leipsic, Columbus Grove, Continental, Pandora, Van Wert, 
Ohio City, Lima, and Spencerville
946 PM EST Sat Feb 24 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

The Flood Watch continues for

* portions of northern Indiana and northwest Ohio, including the
  following areas, in northern Indiana, Adams, Blackford, Grant,
  Jay, and Wells. In northwest Ohio, Allen, Putnam, and Van Wert.

* Until 7 AM EST Sunday

* Additional rainfall of around a half inch is expected tonight. 
  This may cause some flooding in low land areas as well as aid in
  river rises tonight. 

* Saturated grounds from recent rainfall will favor rises on
  rivers, streams and creeks. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

If you live along streams and rivers or in any flood prone area,
remain alert to this flooding potential into next week. Listen to
NOAA Weather All Hazards Radio or other sources for the latest
forecast information. Detailed flood information is also
available on our website (www.weather.gov/iwx).

&&

$$

264 
WGUS63 KIWX 250758
FFAIWX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
258 AM EST Sun Feb 25 2018

INZ026-027-032>034-OHZ016-024-025-250900-
/O.CAN.KIWX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180225T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
Including the cities of Bluffton, Ossian, Decatur, Berne, Marion,
Gas City, Upland, Hartford City, Montpelier, Portland, Dunkirk, 
Ottawa, Leipsic, Columbus Grove, Continental, Pandora, Van Wert, 
Ohio City, Lima, and Spencerville
258 AM EST Sun Feb 25 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Watch for portions of northern Indiana and northwest
Ohio has been cancelled. 

The rain has about ended and the threat of flooding has greatly 
diminished over areas southeast of Fort Wayne.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
609 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 604 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

Widespread significant flooding will continue over northwest
Indiana and southwest lower Michigan with record crests on several
rivers. Rain will return to the area late tonight, mainly south of
Route 6 and overspread the area during the day Saturday. A wintry
mixremains possible Saturday morning along and north of Route 6.
Additional rainfall will have limited impacts on river levels at
this time.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Saturday Night)
Issued at 340 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

Surge of isentropic lift and moisture still expected to move into
southern areas tonight, but looks to be slower with band of
precip currently almost to the Ohio river into NW Arkansas.
Greatest chances through 12Z Sat and even into much of the day
Saturday will likely remain near/south of US 6 and possible even
to US-24 given a few of the model trends. Main push of precip for
all areas still appears to be more Sat night as strong upper
trough finally ejects out of the SW states. Heaviest axis of
rainfall still looks to remain over SE areas and even there
amounts may not be as high as previously advertised. As a result,
overall river forecasts should remain unchanged with rainfall at
most delaying cresting/falling of levels.

With regards to mixed precipitation late tonight into Saturday
morning soundings would suggest at least a brief window for
rain/snow mix vs earlier concerns of freezing rain along and north
of US 6. Still concerned there could be a touch of ice but will
all depend on how fast precip arrives in the north and sfc temps,
which are now forecasted to be a bit higher overnight.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 340 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

Much needed breather in store starting Sunday into mid week as
overall flow deamplifies somewhat. There will be a fast moving,
weak and moisture starved disturbance Sunday night, but no pops
warranted. Little in the way of cold air behind either system with
500 mb heights quickly increasing with highs well into the 50s by
Tues and Weds.

One more dynamic system looks to impact the region late in the
period. Models varying greatly on strength and speed with GFS
much stronger and faster with swath of rain mainly across SE
areas Weds into Thursday. ECMWF slower (Thurs into Fri) and brings
quick shot of rain to everyone. Afternoon forecast leans towards
GFS at this point, but wouldn't be surprised if a slower trend
evolves.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday Evening)
Issued at 604 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

IFR/LIFR cigs will persist through the first 12 to 18 hours of the
forecast. CIGS will lift after 12Z as rainfall spread northward
through the region. Boundary layer winds will increase and shift
to an easterly direction overnight with peak winds between 4 and 9
UTC.
&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...Gale Watch from Saturday evening through Sunday afternoon for
     LMZ043-046.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Lewis
SHORT TERM...Fisher
LONG TERM...Fisher
AVIATION...Lewis

Visit us at www.weather.gov/iwx

Follow us on Facebook...Twitter...and YouTube at:
www.facebook.com/NWSNorthernIndiana
www.twitter.com/nwsiwx
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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
555 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-241100-
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-
Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-
Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Berrien-
Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-
Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
555 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018 /455 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest
Michigan...northern Indiana and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Widespread flooding will continue today and tonight over portions of
northwest Indiana into far southwest Lower Michigan, but the water
will recede at most locations. Major flooding will continue on
several area rivers with record crests at some points. For the
latest river warning and crest information, please refer to the
Northern Indiana webpage and flood warnings and statements issued by
this office.

A wintry mix of precipitation is likely overnight around and north
of state Highway 6.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

A wintry mix of precipitation is likely early Saturday around and
north of state Highway 6.

River flooding will continue through the weekend across the area.
For the latest flood information, please refer to our webpage and any
flood warnings or statements issued by this office.

Moderate to locally heavy rainfall is likely Saturday and Saturday
night, primarily south and east of a line from Monticello to Fort
Wayne Indiana to Ottawa Ohio. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches area
likely by Sunday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Reports and pictures of flooding and any measured rainfall amounts would
be appreciated.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx

LMZ043-046-241100-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
555 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of The Nearshore
Waters of Southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Conditions hazardous to small craft are possible at times this
weekend and next week.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for further details or updates...or
check our web site at weather.gov/iwx