Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 74, NWS Lincoln, IL

June 10, 20184 counties in Illinois

NWS Lincoln, IL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 10, 2018, 3:13 PM CDT for 4 counties in Illinois. It was in force for 62 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 10, 2018, 3:13 PM CDT (20:13 UTC)
Expired: Jun 10, 2018, 4:15 PM CDT
In force: 62 min
Issued by: NWS Lincoln, IL
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.25 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Clark County, IL, Crawford County, IL, Cumberland County, IL, Jasper County, IL

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 10, 12:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 131 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 585 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -193 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 611 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 362 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 382 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 6.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

189 
WUUS53 KILX 102013
SVRILX
ILC023-033-035-079-102115-
/O.NEW.KILX.SV.W.0074.180610T2013Z-180610T2115Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
313 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

The National Weather Service in Lincoln has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northern Crawford County in east central Illinois...
  Northeastern Jasper County in southeastern Illinois...
  Clark County in east central Illinois...
  Eastern Cumberland County in east central Illinois...

* Until 415 PM CDT

* At 313 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Greenup, or
  over Toledo, moving east at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees. 

* Locations impacted include...
  Marshall, Toledo, Casey, Greenup, Martinsville, Hutsonville,
  Jewett, Hidalgo, Annapolis, Eaton, Hazel Dell, West Union, York,
  Darwin, Orange, Merom, Yale, West York, Lincoln Trail State Park
  and Union Center.

This includes Interstate 70 between mile markers 111 and 154.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3931 8762 3930 8760 3928 8761 3925 8759
      3925 8757 3922 8757 3914 8766 3912 8763
      3911 8765 3910 8762 3909 8762 3906 8757
      3902 8757 3914 8828 3930 8826 3947 8753
      3936 8753
TIME...MOT...LOC 2013Z 282DEG 32KT 3926 8820 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

25

2 follow-up statements

711 
WWUS53 KILX 102053
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
353 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

ILC035-102103-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0074.000000T0000Z-180610T2115Z/
Cumberland-
353 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for
southeastern and east central Illinois.

LAT...LON 3936 8753 3931 8762 3930 8760 3926 8761
      3925 8757 3922 8757 3914 8766 3912 8763
      3911 8765 3906 8757 3902 8757 3911 8810
      3918 8804 3918 8801 3921 8801 3940 8783
      3947 8753
TIME...MOT...LOC 2053Z 282DEG 32KT 3918 8775 

$$

ILC023-033-079-102115-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0074.000000T0000Z-180610T2115Z/
Crawford-Jasper-Clark-
353 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN CRAWFORD...NORTHEASTERN JASPER AND CLARK COUNTIES...

At 353 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Annapolis, or
12 miles north of Robinson, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Marshall, Martinsville, Hutsonville, Annapolis, Eaton, West Union,
York, Darwin, Orange, Merom, Yale, West York, Lincoln Trail State
Park, Trimble and Bellair.

This includes Interstate 70 between mile markers 136 and 154.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3936 8753 3931 8762 3930 8760 3926 8761
      3925 8757 3922 8757 3914 8766 3912 8763
      3911 8765 3906 8757 3902 8757 3911 8810
      3918 8804 3918 8801 3921 8801 3940 8783
      3947 8753
TIME...MOT...LOC 2053Z 282DEG 32KT 3918 8775 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

25

678 
WWUS53 KILX 102112
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
412 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

ILC023-033-079-102120-
/O.EXP.KILX.SV.W.0074.000000T0000Z-180610T2115Z/
Crawford-Jasper-Clark-
412 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN CRAWFORD...
NORTHEASTERN JASPER AND CLARK COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 415 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However heavy rain
is still possible with this thunderstorm.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for
southeastern and east central Illinois.

Remember, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for
eastern Jasper and southern Crawford county until 445 PM.

LAT...LON 3936 8753 3931 8762 3930 8760 3926 8761
      3925 8757 3922 8757 3914 8766 3912 8763
      3911 8765 3906 8757 3902 8757 3911 8810
      3918 8804 3918 8801 3921 8801 3940 8783
      3947 8753
TIME...MOT...LOC 2110Z 282DEG 32KT 3915 8757 

$$

25

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lincoln, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 10, 1:12 PM CDT, 2 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 10, 1:12 PM CDT, 2 hours 1 minute before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
112 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1019 AM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

Updated the forecast for PoPs and temperatures the rest of the
morning and through the afternoon. A cluster of backbuilding
t-storms with moderate to heavy rain formed in the past hour or so
near a surface boundary just south of I-74 at 15z. Plenty of low
level moisture feeding these storms and training echoes along the
boundary will produce areas of heavy rain from BMI toward DNV.
Adjusted the PoPs and QPF to account for this. Also adjusted
temperatures as partial clearing in west central IL has allowed
temps to climb into the lower-middle 80s, while readings in east
central IL hang in the mid-upper 60s.

Will need to keep an eye on remnants of convection/MCV from SW
Iowa which may interact with various low level boundaries, steep
lapse rates and increasing instability from heating into the
upper 80s in west central IL...to produce strong to severe storms
late this afternoon/evening in central IL. Some thunderstorms that
have developed in NE MO, ahead of the complex in Iowa, may
stabilize the atmosphere somewhat if it holds together and moves
into west central IL early this afternoon. This could minimize
the impact of any storms that develop/move into central IL late
this afternoon/evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
ISSUED AT 355 AM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

An MCV was affecting parts of central and northern IL early this
morning, with some strong to severe thunderstorms and locally
heavy rains and frequent lightning around McLean, Ford and
southern Livingston counties and tracking ESE. Scattered showers
and thunderstorms were as far south as I-72 and from Peoria and
Springfield east. Have increased pops during early and mid morning
over ne CWA to account for this MCV activity. The CAM models have
not been very consistent with handling this convection so
confidence in convection chances this afternoon and tonight is
fairly low. Airmass to destabilize with daytime heating of humid
airmass this afternoon as temps rise into the mid 80s to near
90F, warmest over sw CWA. Expected more scattered showers and
thunderstorms to develop during mid/late afternoon and into this
evening. SPC has marginal risk of severe thunderstorms for gusty
winds and hail today into early this evening. Lows tonight in mid
60s northern CWA and around 70F sw CWA and southeast IL.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
ISSUED AT 355 AM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

Similar airmass in place over area on Monday with another very
warm and humid day with highs in the upper 80s to around 90F with
scattered showers and thunderstorms. SPC day2 continues a
marginal risk of severe thunderstorms for wind and hail on Monday
afternoon into early Monday evening, though instability appears to
have shifted further sw during Monday night. A weak cold front to
push se over central IL on Tue and continue chances of showers and
thunderstorms. SPC day3 has marginal risk of severe storms in far
southeast IL Tue afternoon around Lawrence county. Highs Tue of
85-90 and warmest in southeast IL and humid conditions persist
another day with dewpoints in the upper 60s/lower 70s.

Isolated showers and thunderstorms possible over Wabash river
valley in southeast IL Tue evening, then models have gone dry over
area rest of Tue night thru Wed evening with slightly cooler and
less humid air moving into area due to nearby weak high pressure.
Highs Wed in mid to upper 80s and dewpoints in the low to mid
60s. Next chance of showers and thunderstorms arrives later Wed
night and Thu and continues into Friday morning. This due to an
upper level disturbance ridging over top of upper level ridge over
the great plains and moving into IL on Thu. Temperatures and
humidity levels to rise again later in the week as upper level
ridge builds into IL by Friday afternoon. More chances of showers
and thunderstorms arrives overnight Friday night into Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 112 PM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

Very active period in the weather for this afternoon/early evening
and again overnight in central and eastern IL. Strong to severe
thunderstorms near KPIA are expected to expand and spread toward
east central IL by early evening. Some existing storms in east
central Il at 18Z are expected to remain below severe limits and
exit the region around KCMI by 19-20z.

Additional t-storms, associated with a convective complex in
central IA, are expected to move into central IL later this
evening. Much of the lower atmosphere is expected to be stabilized
from the earlier convection, so the main concerns are expected to
be moderate/heavy rain and then lowering ceilings as a more
stratiform precipitation shield approaches. Most TAF sites in
central IL are expected to drop into the MVFR ceiling category,
but will need to watch closely for IFR conditions after midnight
and through daybreak.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...Miller
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM...07
AVIATION...Miller

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 10, 11:57 AM CDT, 3 hours 16 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
1157 AM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-111100-
Cass-Champaign-Christian-Clark-Clay-Coles-Crawford-Cumberland-
De Witt-Douglas-Edgar-Effingham-Fulton-Jasper-Knox-Lawrence-Logan-
Macon-Marshall-Mason-McLean-Menard-Morgan-Moultrie-Peoria-Piatt-
Richland-Sangamon-Schuyler-Scott-Shelby-Stark-Tazewell-Vermilion-
Woodford-
1157 AM CDT Sun Jun 10 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Illinois, east central Illinois, southeast Illinois and west
central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

Strong to severe storms will occur this afternoon through tonight
across most of central Illinois and all of southeast Illinois.
Damaging wind and large hail will be the primary severe threat,
mainly south of I-74. Locally heavy rains and frequent lightning
will also be a risk with any thunderstorm.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

A typical summer-time pattern is expected to continue through
Tuesday with daily chances for thunderstorms. There is a marginal
risk for strong to locally severe thunderstorms Monday afternoon
and evening. There is a chance of thunderstorms again from late
Wednesday night through Friday morning, and overnight Friday night
into Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed from 3 to 10 pm today.

Auten

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 10, 3:07 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
307 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N GEORGETOWN          40.01N 87.64W
06/10/2018                   VERMILION          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTS OF POWER POLES AND LINES DOWN.

&&

SBAKER

Local storm report, Jun 10, 3:08 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
308 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SW DANVILLE           40.12N 87.65W
06/10/2018                   VERMILION          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREES AND POWER POLES DOWNED FROM
            SOUTHWEST OF DANVILLE TO GEORGETOWN.

&&

SBAKER

Local storm report, Jun 10, 3:09 PM CDT, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
309 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 PM     HEAVY RAIN       DANVILLE                40.14N 87.62W
06/10/2018  M2.00 INCH       VERMILION          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SO FAR TODAY AT EMA OFFICE.

&&

SBAKER

Local storm report, Jun 10, 3:10 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
310 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 PM     HEAVY RAIN       HUDSON                  40.61N 88.99W
06/10/2018  M2.20 INCH       MCLEAN             IL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            SO FAR TODAY.

&&

SBAKER

Local storm report, Jun 10, 3:12 PM CDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
312 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BROADLANDS              39.91N 88.00W
06/10/2018                   CHAMPAIGN          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LARGE TREE LIMBS...10 TO 12 INCHES IN DIAMETER...REPORTED
            DOWNED AT 2ND AND 3RD STREETS.

&&

SBAKER

Local storm report, Jun 10, 3:13 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
313 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0205 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MANSFIELD               40.21N 88.51W
06/10/2018                   PIATT              IL   PUBLIC

            NUMEROUS TREES REPORTED DOWN.

&&

SBAKER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lincoln, IL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 10, 2:06 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	Fulton, Knox, Marshall, Peoria, Stark	39 min
Jun 10, 2:43 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	McLean, Marshall, Tazewell, Woodford	47 min
Jun 10, 3:29 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	McLean	46 min
Jun 10, 4:00 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	Champaign	45 min
Jun 10, 9:11 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	ILX	Logan	49 min
Jun 10, 12:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	Fulton, Logan, Mason, Peoria, Tazewell	27 min
Jun 10, 1:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	DeWitt, Logan, McLean, Mason, Menard, Tazewell	48 min
Jun 10, 1:16 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ILX	McLean	29 min
Jun 10, 1:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	Champaign, DeWitt, McLean, Piatt	38 min
Jun 10, 1:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	Cass, Mason, Menard	38 min
Jun 10, 1:56 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ILX	Champaign, DeWitt, McLean, Piatt	34 min
Jun 10, 2:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	Effingham, Shelby	38 min
Jun 10, 2:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	Champaign, Douglas, Macon, Moultrie, Piatt	48 min
Jun 10, 2:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	Champaign, Piatt, Vermilion	45 min
Jun 10, 2:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	Menard, Sangamon	37 min
Jun 10, 2:38 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ILX	Champaign, Douglas, Edgar, Vermilion	52 min
Jun 10, 3:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	Clark, Coles, Cumberland, Douglas, Edgar	45 min
Jun 10, 3:13 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ILX	Vermilion	3 hr
Jun 10, 3:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	Crawford, Jasper	54 min
Jun 10, 4:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	Cass	38 min
Jun 10, 4:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	Effingham, Shelby	20 min
Jun 10, 5:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	Christian, Shelby	35 min
Jun 10, 6:18 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	ILX	Christian	42 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Illinois, 2018 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.