Severe Thunderstorm Warning 34, NWS Wilmington, OH

161 
WWUS51 KILN 140203
SVSILN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1003 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2018

OHC017-165-140213-
/O.CAN.KILN.SV.W.0034.000000T0000Z-180514T0230Z/
Butler OH-Warren OH-
1003 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN BUTLER AND
NORTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has weakened.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3976 8459 3979 8436 3967 8429 3959 8430
      3959 8448 3962 8462
TIME...MOT...LOC 0203Z 273DEG 21KT 3971 8455 

$$

OHC113-135-140230-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0034.000000T0000Z-180514T0230Z/
Preble OH-Montgomery OH-
1003 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN PREBLE AND SOUTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTIES...

At 1003 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over West
Alexandria, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is possible. Expect wind 
         damage to trees and power lines. 

Locations impacted include...
Trotwood, Miamisburg, Moraine, Carlisle, West Alexandria, Gratis,
Germantown, New Lebanon, Farmersville and Wheatville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather, go to our website at weather.gov/iln and
submit your report via social media, when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3976 8459 3979 8436 3967 8429 3959 8430
      3959 8448 3962 8462
TIME...MOT...LOC 0203Z 273DEG 21KT 3971 8455 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Haines

580 
WWUS51 KILN 140206
SVSILN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1006 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2018

OHC113-135-140216-
/O.CAN.KILN.SV.W.0034.000000T0000Z-180514T0230Z/
Preble OH-Montgomery OH-
1006 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN PREBLE AND
SOUTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

Please report previous wind damage or hail to the National Weather
Service by going to our website at weather.gov/iln and submitting
your report via social media.

LAT...LON 3976 8459 3979 8436 3967 8429 3959 8430
      3959 8448 3962 8462
TIME...MOT...LOC 0205Z 273DEG 21KT 3971 8452 

$$

Haines

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
738 PM EDT Sun May 13 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A frontal boundary will remain across the region through much of
the week. This will lead to occasional chances for showers and
thunderstorms for the next several days. Temperatures will
remain above normal through the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
The cu field looks a little more healthy today along and south
of the boundary compared to what we saw yesterday. That being
said, we are just now starting to see some isolated development
across central Ohio. Given the instability across the area,
would expect to see this become somewhat more widespread
elsewhere for areas along and south of the boundary through
late afternoon. However, with the hi res models still showing
fairly isolated to scattered development, will generally have
pops in chance category through the rest of this afternoon and into
the early evening hours. As we lose the diurnal heating, any
activity should taper off with a decrease in clouds heading into
tonight. A convective complex is forecast to develop later
tonight over the upper Mississippi Valley and begin to push east
southeast toward us. It does look like pcpn associated with
this should mainly stay off to our north and west through the
overnight hours so will just have a slight chance of pcpn later
tonight across our northwestern areas. Lows tonight will range
from the upper 50s in the far north to the mid 60s across the
south.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT/...
The convective complex is forecast to push east southeast
along/north of the stalled out boundary through Monday morning.
There remains some uncertainty with the timing and strength of
this, but assuming this holds together, it would affect
primarily northern portions of our fa during the morning hours.
Otherwise, a similar set up as we have seen the past several
days is expected for Monday. The stationary boundary will remain
across the area with some additional scattered development
possible through the afternoon to early evening. However, this
will likely be affected by what happens with the morning MCS,
depending on any lingering debris cloudiness and outflow
boundaries. Highs on Monday will be in the mid to upper 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A broad ridge in place across the Eastern CONUS will provide the
backdrop for long term weather conditions. Above average
geopotential heights will allow warmer than normal temperatures, and
a humid airmass fed by a southerly flow in the presence of surface
boundaries will lead to several rounds of convective initiation.

The first round of convection is expected Tuesday, when a cold front
combined with a mid level short wave and ample moisture will bring
the likelihood for afternoon and evening thunderstorms. The focus
for convection will shift south on Wednesday as the boundary sags to
Kentucky. Thunderstorm chances shift back toward the north Thursday
and Friday when a rather potent short wave is forecast to lift into
the Ohio Valley from the southwest. There is higher the average
uncertainty for this to occur due to model variability from earlier
runs.

Thunderstorms will continue to be possible Saturday and Sunday in
the persistently humid and unstable regime. Kept pops in the chance
range since it is unlikely that current models are depicting the
correct location for short wave features that will dictate weather
events.

Temperatures remaining above normal through the period will start
quite warm, with highs in the mid and upper 80s Tuesday. Readings
will retreat a bit for the rest of the period, with highs averaging
in the low 80s.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Scattered storms have developed along a frontal boundary as
it pushes south into southern Ohio. This boundary is
encountering a moderately unstable airmass with blyr capes up
to 1500 j/kg. Isolated stronger storms will have the potential
to produce large hail. Have a mention of VCTS at KILN/KCVG and
KLUK to account for this threat this evening.

Expect to see a diurnal decrease in coverage into the overnight
hours as clouds scatter out. Some fog will be possible at KLUK
valley location and at this time have limited mention to MVFR
vsby restriction.

Models solutions continue to suggest that additional convection
develops to our northwest and drops east-southeast late tonight
through Monday morning. Model spread exists regarding
timing and coverage so have limited mention to VCTS at the
northern TAF sites. Outside of these storms have continued VFR
conditions at all TAF sites going into Monday afternoon.

OUTLOOK...Chances for thunderstorms will exist at times through
Friday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JGL
NEAR TERM...JGL
SHORT TERM...JGL
LONG TERM...Coniglio
AVIATION...AR

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
404 AM EDT Sun May 13 2018

INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-
077>082-088-140815-
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-
Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-
Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-Pickaway-
Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-
Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
404 AM EDT Sun May 13 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana,
Southeast Indiana, Central Ohio, South Central Ohio, Southwest Ohio
and West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening.
There is the potential for a few strong to severe storms. If severe
storms develop, there will be the potential for large hail, damaging
winds, and heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Additional thunderstorms will be possible on Monday, mainly from
Monday morning through early afternoon. Some of these storms may be
severe, with a primary threat of damaging winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed today and Monday.

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>100-140815-
Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-
Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
404 AM EDT Sun May 13 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Southeast Indiana, Northeast
Kentucky and Northern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

HATZOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
916 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0905 PM     HAIL             2 W WILMINGTON          39.44N 83.87W
05/13/2018  M0.50 INCH       CLINTON            OH   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

JEG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
917 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2018

OHZ063-140145-
Fayette OH-
917 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL FAYETTE COUNTY UNTIL 945
PM EDT...

At 917 PM EDT, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near
Jeffersonville, moving east at 15 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 40 mph...
One half inch diameter hail...

Locations impacted include...
Washington Court House, Bloomingburg, Milledgeville, Octa and
Interstate 71 at US Route 35.

This includes I-71 in Ohio between mile markers 65 and 66.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 3949 8337 3953 8356 3954 8358 3955 8363
      3963 8361 3963 8336 3956 8331
TIME...MOT...LOC 0117Z 276DEG 12KT 3959 8357

Haines

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
922 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 PM     TSTM WND GST     KILN WILMINGTON APT     39.43N 83.79W
05/13/2018  M56 MPH          CLINTON            OH   ASOS

            34049KTS

&&

JEG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
938 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2018

OHZ062-072-140215-
Clinton OH-Greene OH-
938 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN CLINTON AND SOUTH
CENTRAL GREENE COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 PM EDT...

At 937 PM EDT, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near Wilmington,
moving southeast at 25 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 40 mph...
Pea size hail...

Locations impacted include...
Wilmington, Sabina, Port William, Paintersville, Melvin, Bloomington,
Lumberton, Middleton Corner, New Antioch, Oakland, Reesville,
Morrisville, Kingman, Burtonville, Interstate 71 at US Route 68 and
Lees Creek.

This includes I-71 in Ohio between mile markers 46 and 58.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 3952 8397 3961 8388 3952 8358 3949 8358
      3931 8376
TIME...MOT...LOC 0137Z 299DEG 24KT 3952 8385

Haines

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
940 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2018

INZ059-OHZ060-061-070-140215-
Union IN-Montgomery OH-Butler OH-Preble OH-
940 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL UNION COUNTY IN
EAST CENTRAL INDIANA...SOUTHERN PREBLE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO...
NORTHEASTERN BUTLER COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN OHIO AND SOUTHWESTERN
MONTGOMERY COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO UNTIL 1015 PM EDT...

At 940 PM EDT, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near Camden,
moving east at 30 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 40 mph...
Pea size hail...

Locations impacted include...
Middletown, Trenton, Eaton, Camden, West Alexandria, Gratis, Seven
Mile, Williamsdale, Germantown, Farmersville, Somerville, West
Elkton, Jacksonburg, Fairhaven, Goodwins Corner, West Florence,
Collinsville, Morning Sun, Poast Town Heights and Wheatville.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 3978 8477 3971 8432 3959 8434 3959 8437
      3954 8436 3943 8450 3964 8485
TIME...MOT...LOC 0140Z 290DEG 26KT 3969 8475

Haines

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
948 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0936 PM     HAIL             WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE  39.54N 83.43W
05/13/2018  M0.88 INCH       FAYETTE            OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JEG