Severe Thunderstorm Warning 154, NWS Wichita, KS

799 
WWUS53 KICT 270143
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
843 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2018

KSC073-270152-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0154.000000T0000Z-180627T0215Z/
Greenwood KS-
843 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN GREENWOOD COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3791 9616 3790 9596 3760 9596 3761 9623
TIME...MOT...LOC 0140Z 279DEG 21KT 3776 9585 

$$

LAWSON

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
629 PM CDT Tue Jun 26 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday night)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Tue Jun 26 2018

An upper level low is located over northeast Iowa this afternoon,
At the surface, a weak frontal boundary/trough extends from Iowa
southwest into southern Kansas. The cluster of thunderstorms that
developed ahead of this boundary earlier this morning continues to
push E/SE across our far eastern counties at this time. These
storms will continue to pose a damaging wind threat as they clear
the area.

In the wake of this activity, satellite and radar imagery show a
residual outflow boundary draped across parts of southern KS.
Recently, this boundary has shown signs of shifting NE as
southwesterly low/mid level flow ensues. At the same time, upper
level ridging is beginning to build in from the Four Corners
region. The question, then, is whether or not convection can
redevelop along this boundary. The better upper level forcing will
be east of the area, suggesting at least some subsidence in its
wake. This along with some mid level height rises may be enough to
keep a lid on any additional convection. That said, the increasing
low/mid level flow/warm air advection this evening combined with
at least some weak surface convergence along the boundary may be
just enough to allow a few thunderstorms to develop. For now,
we'll keep lower-end pops in the forecast to account for this
potential. If any storm were to develop, it would be in an
environment favorable for severe thunderstorms, primarily capable
of damaging wind and large hail. The key takeaway here, though,
is the threat of any redevelopment is very much conditional and
confidence remains low.

Beyond today, the main concern will continue to be the heat as the
upper level ridge continues to build east across the
Central/Southern Plains. Temperatures warming well into the 90s to
near 100 combined with dewpoints in the 70s will allow heat
indices to near or exceed 105 both Wednesday and Thursday
afternoons, especially east of I-135. For now, we will leave the
current area highlighted in the Heat Advisory as is as this is
where the best chance of seeing those higher dewpoints/heat
indices is. Increasing southwesterly winds may promote better
mixing by Thursday/Friday, with the threat of 105+ heat indices
being more focused across SE KS. After coordination with
surrounding offices, it was decided to extend the Advisory into
Thursday afternoon. However, the western tier of counties may be
able to be dropped from this advisory Thursday afternoon if the
somewhat lower dewpoints pan out. - Martin

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 342 PM CDT Tue Jun 26 2018

Medium range models continue to remain in good agreement regarding
the eastward shift of the upper ridge and the development of a WRN
US trough. This should lead to an increased risk of thunderstorms
over the weekend along with a subsequent decrease in temperatures
(albeit, slight). - Martin

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 627 PM CDT Tue Jun 26 2018

Isolated thunderstorms will continue to develop over eastern
Kansas for this evening then should gradually diminish after 06z.
Meanwhile VFR conditions will prevail across the region with
light south winds in the morning gradually increasing.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    74 100  75 100 /  30   0   0   0
Hutchinson      73 100  75 101 /  10   0   0   0
Newton          73  98  75 100 /  10   0   0   0
ElDorado        72  97  74  97 /  20   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   74  99  75  97 /  30   0   0   0
Russell         70 102  74 104 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      70 101  74 102 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          71 102  76 105 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       72 100  75 102 /  20   0   0   0
Coffeyville     75  96  75  96 /  30   0   0   0
Chanute         74  95  75  96 /  30   0   0   0
Iola            73  95  75  96 /  30   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    75  95  75  96 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from 1 PM Wednesday to 8 PM CDT Thursday for
KSZ049-051>053-068>072-083-092>096-098>100.

&&

SHORT TERM...RM
LONG TERM...RM
AVIATION...CDJ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
537 PM CDT Tue Jun 26 2018

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-272245-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
537 PM CDT Tue Jun 26 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will remain possible this
evening across portions of south central Kansas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Heat indices are expected to climb to around 105 degrees both
Wednesday and Thursday afternoon and early evening. See latest heat
advisory for additional details. For Friday through Saturday,
afternoon heat indices will be around 100 degrees.

Storms will return to the forecast for Saturday night through
Monday as a cold front approaches the area. Strong storms look
possible with this activity.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
713 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2018

KSZ071-072-270100-
Woodson KS-Allen KS-
713 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2018

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Eastern Woodson County in southeastern Kansas...
  Allen County in southeastern Kansas...

* Until 800 PM CDT.

* At 710 PM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm over Neosho Falls, or 8 miles
  northwest of Iola...moving southeast at 30 mph.

hail up to the size of nickels...and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be
possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Iola, Humboldt, La Harpe, Gas, Moran, Neosho Falls, Savonburg,
  Elsmore, Mildred, Bassett, Petrolia, Iola Airport and Piqua.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be prepared to take shelter in the event the storms intensify and
become severe...or a warning is issued by the National Weather
Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3773 9509 3773 9560 3804 9572 3804 9508
TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 301DEG 27KT 3802 9551

JAKUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
723 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0721 PM     TORNADO          EUREKA                  37.82N 96.29W
06/26/2018                   GREENWOOD          KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            GREENWOOD COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED
            A TORNADO ON THE GROUND PRODUCING STRUCTUAL
            DAMAGE AND UPROOTING TREES IN THE TOWN OF
            EUREKA.

&&

MARTIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
730 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0728 PM     HAIL             EL DORADO               37.82N 96.86W
06/26/2018  E1.50 INCH       BUTLER             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN EL
            DORADO.

&&

MARTIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
751 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0750 PM     HAIL             2 W EL DORADO           37.82N 96.89W
06/26/2018  E2.50 INCH       BUTLER             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TENNIS BALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED JUST WEST OF
            EL DORADO.

&&

MARTIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
754 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0751 PM     HAIL             EL DORADO               37.82N 96.86W
06/26/2018  M1.75 INCH       Butler             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CDJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
800 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0758 PM     HAIL             EL DORADO               37.82N 96.86W
06/26/2018  M2.75 INCH       BUTLER             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            BUTLER COUNTY EM REPORTING BASEBALL SIZE
            HAIL ON THE NW SIDE OF EL DORADO.

&&

MARTIN