Alert archive / Kansas / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 18, NWS Wichita, KS

October 6, 2018Butler County, Cowley County, Kansas

NWS Wichita, KS issued this river flood warning at Oct 6, 2018, 9:57 AM CDT for Butler County, Cowley County, Kansas. It took effect at Oct 9, 2018, 3:03 AM CDT. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 6, 2018, 9:57 AM CDT (14:57 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 9, 2018, 3:03 AM CDT
Expired
Oct 12, 2018, 2:26 PM CDT
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Wichita, KS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Butler County, KS, Cowley County, KS

The radar

The Wichita radar (KICT), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Walnut River at Winfield (WFDK1).

Action stage
16 ft
Minor stage
18 ft
Moderate stage
22 ft
Major stage
29 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07147800, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

586 
WGUS43 KICT 061457
FLWICT
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Wichita KS
957 AM CDT Sat Oct 6 2018

...The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a flood warning
for the following river in Kansas... 

  Walnut River at Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-070457-
/O.NEW.KICT.FL.W.0018.181009T0810Z-181011T0828Z/
/WFDK1.1.ER.181009T0810Z.181010T0600Z.181010T2028Z.NO/
957 AM CDT Sat Oct 6 2018

The National Weather Service in Wichita, KS has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Walnut River at Winfield.
* From late Monday night until late Wednesday night.
* At 9:00 AM Saturday the stage was 1.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 20.2 feet by early Wednesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Flood waters flow over County Road Cowley 2 
  west of the city of Rock. Then 4 miles northwest of Winfield, 
  Cowley County Road 18 floods over a section just west of 71st Road.
  

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sun    Mon    Tue
  Winfield        18.0   1.6  Sat 9 AM     2.2   12.0   18.7
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$
25 follow-up statements
911 
WGUS83 KICT 062005
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
305 PM CDT Sat Oct 6 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...

  Walnut River at Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-071004-
/O.CON.KICT.FL.W.0018.181009T0810Z-181011T0828Z/
/WFDK1.1.ER.181009T0810Z.181010T0600Z.181010T2028Z.NO/
305 PM CDT Sat Oct 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River at Winfield.
* From late Monday night until late Wednesday night.
* At 2:01 PM Saturday the stage was 1.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...This forecast is based on heavy rainfall that is expected 
  in the next few days. The river will rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning and continue to rise to near 20.2 feet by early Wednesday morning. Then it 
  will fall below flood stage by Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Flood waters flow over County Road Cowley 2 
  west of the city of Rock. Then 4 miles northwest of Winfield, 
  Cowley County Road 18 floods over a section just west of 71st Road.
  

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sun    Mon    Tue
  Winfield        18.0   1.6  Sat 2 PM     2.2   12.0   18.7
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

vp
972 
WGUS83 KICT 070229
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
929 PM CDT Sat Oct 6 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-071628-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0018.181009T1305Z-181011T1317Z/
/WFDK1.1.ER.181009T1305Z.181010T0600Z.181011T0117Z.NO/
929 PM CDT Sat Oct 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* From Tuesday morning until Thursday morning.
* At  9:00 PM Saturday the stage was 1.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 20.1 feet by early Wednesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Flood waters flow over County Road Cowley 2 
  west of the city of Rock. Then 4 miles northwest of Winfield, 
  Cowley County Road 18 floods over a section just west of 71st Road.
  
&&
                     FLD       OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 PM
Location             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    Sun   Mon   Tue   
  Winfield           18.0   1.8  Sat  9 PM    4.2   15.3  19.8
    
&&
    
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$
504 
WGUS83 KICT 070731
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
231 AM CDT Sun Oct 7 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...

  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-072130-
/O.CON.KICT.FL.W.0018.181009T1305Z-181011T1317Z/
/WFDK1.1.ER.181009T1305Z.181010T0600Z.181011T0117Z.NO/
231 AM CDT Sun Oct 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* From Tuesday morning until Thursday morning.
* At 2:00 AM Sunday the stage was 1.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 20.1 feet by early Wednesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Flood waters flow over County Road Cowley 2 
  west of the city of Rock. Then 4 miles northwest of Winfield, 
  Cowley County Road 18 floods over a section just west of 71st Road.
  
&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Mon    Tue    Wed
  Winfield        18.0   1.8  Sun 2 AM    10.9   17.8   20.0
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

ES
392 
WGUS83 KICT 071534
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1034 AM CDT Sun Oct 7 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...

  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-080533-
/O.CON.KICT.FL.W.0018.181009T1305Z-181011T1317Z/
/WFDK1.1.ER.181009T1305Z.181010T0600Z.181011T0117Z.NO/
1034 AM CDT Sun Oct 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* From Tuesday morning until Thursday morning.
* At 10:00 AM Sunday the stage was 1.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 20.1 feet by early Wednesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Flood waters flow over County Road Cowley 2 
  west of the city of Rock. Then 4 miles northwest of Winfield, 
  Cowley County Road 18 floods over a section just west of 71st Road.
  

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Mon    Tue    Wed
  Winfield        18.0   1.8  Sun 10 AM   10.9   17.8   20.0
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

ADK
533 
WGUS83 KICT 072023
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
323 PM CDT Sun Oct 7 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Arkansas River At Hutchinson affecting Reno County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC155-081022-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0024.181009T1741Z-000000T0000Z/
/HCHK1.1.ER.181009T1741Z.181010T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
323 PM CDT Sun Oct 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River At Hutchinson.
* From Tuesday afternoon until further notice.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 9.5 
  feet early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of Carey Park, more so
  after a few days of ground water seepage. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Mon    Tue    Wed
  Hutchinson      8.0        MSG          3.1    6.2    9.1
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3828 9827 3805 9782 3795 9789 3821 9842


$$
378 
WGUS83 KICT 080147
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
847 PM CDT Sun Oct 7 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-081546-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0018.181011T1800Z-181012T0600Z/
/WFDK1.1.ER.181011T1800Z.181011T1800Z.181011T1800Z.NO/
847 PM CDT Sun Oct 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* From Thursday afternoon until late Thursday night.
* At  8:00 PM Sunday the stage was 1.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Thursday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Flooding of the campgrounds and fairgrounds 
  can be expected. 

&&
                     FLD       OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 PM
Location             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    Mon   Tue   Wed   
  Winfield           18.0   1.9  Sun  8 PM    5.6   12.5  16.5
    
&&
    
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$
867 
WGUS83 KICT 080924
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
424 AM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...

  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-082323-
/O.CON.KICT.FL.W.0018.181011T1800Z-181012T0600Z/
/WFDK1.1.ER.181011T1800Z.181011T1800Z.181011T1800Z.NO/
424 AM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* From Thursday afternoon until late Thursday night.
* At  4:00 AM Monday the stage was 3.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Thursday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Flooding of the campgrounds and fairgrounds 
  can be expected. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Tue    Wed    Thu
  Winfield        18.0   3.1  Mon 4 AM     7.8   15.1   17.6
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

Lawson
112 
WGUS83 KICT 081442
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
942 AM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-090441-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0018.181009T0753Z-181013T2100Z/
/WFDK1.1.ER.181009T0753Z.181010T1200Z.181013T0900Z.NO/
942 AM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* From late tonight until Saturday afternoon.
* At  9:00 AM Monday the stage was 6.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Tuesday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 21.8 feet by Wednesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...A large portion of the fairgrounds flood 
  along with rural roads about 3 miles northwest of Winfield that are
  near the river. Then one mile west of the city of Rock, expect 30th
  Road to be closed due to high water. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Tue    Wed    Thu
  Winfield        18.0   6.7  Mon 09 AM    19.3   21.8   21.6
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

Vaughan
028 
WGUS43 KICT 082121
FLWICT
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Wichita KS
421 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a flood warning
for the following river in Kansas... 

  Walnut River At Augusta affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

  Walnut River Near Arkansas City affecting Cowley County.

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Kansas...

  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-091121-
/O.NEW.KICT.FL.W.0046.181009T1652Z-181011T0118Z/
/AGAK1.1.ER.181009T1652Z.181010T0600Z.181010T1318Z.NO/
421 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

The National Weather Service in Wichita, KS has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Walnut River At Augusta.
* From Tuesday morning until Wednesday evening.
* At  4:00 PM Monday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Tuesday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 24.3 feet by early Wednesday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...A narrow strip of about 80 feet on the right
  bank begins to overflow. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Tue    Wed    Thu
  Augusta         23.0  12.0  Mon 04 PM   20.4   23.7    9.4
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3771 9687 3759 9696 3745 9696 3745 9709
      3765 9705 3776 9695             

$$

KSC015-035-091121-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0018.181009T0515Z-181014T0234Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.181009T0515Z.181010T1200Z.181013T1434Z.NO/
421 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Walnut River At Winfield.
* From late tonight until Saturday evening.
* At  4:00 PM Monday the stage was 9.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Tuesday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 28.8 feet by Wednesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...West 14th Avenue near the fairgrounds, 
  floods from the river on eastward to the levee. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Tue    Wed    Thu
  Winfield        18.0   9.2  Mon 04 PM   21.6   28.8   27.2
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

KSC035-091121-
/O.NEW.KICT.FL.W.0047.181009T1234Z-181013T1654Z/
/ARKK1.1.ER.181009T1234Z.181010T1200Z.181013T0454Z.NO/
421 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

The National Weather Service in Wichita, KS has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Walnut River Near Arkansas City.
* From Tuesday morning until Saturday morning.
* At  3:15 PM Monday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 21.8 feet by Wednesday morning. The river will fall
  below flood stage by Friday before midnight.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Considerable flooding of farmland is 
  expected. Widespread flooding of the park just upstream of the gage
  site is anticipated. East Chestnut Avenue east of By-pass is closed
  due to water over roadway. Greens Farm Road floods between Highway 
  166 north to Dunbar Hill. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Tue    Wed    Thu
  Arkansas City   18.0  10.0  Mon 03 PM   17.8   21.8   21.1
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3713 9687 3707 9692 3700 9684 3700 9704
      3713 9705                       

$$

JAS
318 
WGUS83 KICT 090142
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
842 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River At Augusta affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...

  Walnut River Near Arkansas City affecting Cowley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-091541-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0046.181009T1626Z-181011T0007Z/
/AGAK1.1.ER.181009T1626Z.181010T0000Z.181010T1207Z.NO/
842 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Augusta.
* From Tuesday morning until Wednesday evening.
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Tuesday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 24.1 feet by Tuesday evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...A narrow strip of about 80 feet on the right
  bank begins to overflow. 

&&
                     FLD       OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 PM
Location             STG    STG   DAY  TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   
  Augusta            23.0   13.9  Mon  8 PM    24.1  13.2   8.1
    
&&
    
LAT...LON 3771 9687 3759 9696 3745 9696 3745 9709
      3765 9705 3776 9695             

$$

KSC015-035-091541-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0018.181009T0856Z-181014T0234Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.181009T0856Z.181010T1200Z.181013T1434Z.NO/
842 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* From late tonight until Saturday evening.
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Tuesday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 28.8 feet by Wednesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...West 14th Avenue near the fairgrounds, 
  floods from the river on eastward to the levee. 

&&
                     FLD       OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 PM
Location             STG    STG   DAY  TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   
  Winfield           18.0   10.9  Mon  8 PM    27.5  28.5  26.1
    
&&
    
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

KSC035-091541-
/O.CON.KICT.FL.W.0047.181009T1234Z-181013T1654Z/
/ARKK1.1.ER.181009T1234Z.181010T1200Z.181013T0454Z.NO/
842 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River Near Arkansas City.
* From Tuesday morning until Saturday morning.
* At  8:15 PM Monday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 21.8 feet by Wednesday morning. The river will fall
  below flood stage by Friday before midnight.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Considerable flooding of farmland is 
  expected. Widespread flooding of the park just upstream of the gage
  site is anticipated. East Chestnut Avenue east of By-pass is closed
  due to water over roadway. Greens Farm Road floods between Highway 
  166 north to Dunbar Hill. 

&&
                     FLD       OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 PM
Location             STG    STG   DAY  TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   
  Arkansas City      18.0   11.8  Mon  8 PM    21.0  21.7  20.3
    
&&
    
LAT...LON 3713 9687 3707 9692 3700 9684 3700 9704
      3713 9705                       

$$

Metzger
680 
WGUS83 KICT 090805
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
305 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...

  Walnut River At Augusta affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

  Walnut River Near Arkansas City affecting Cowley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-092204-
/O.CON.KICT.FL.W.0046.181009T1626Z-181011T0007Z/
/AGAK1.1.ER.181009T1626Z.181010T0000Z.181010T1207Z.NO/
305 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Augusta.
* From this morning until Wednesday evening.
* At  2:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
  to rise to near 24.1 feet by this evening. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...A narrow strip of about 80 feet on the right
  bank begins to overflow. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Wed    Thu    Fri
  Augusta         23.0  19.2  Tue 2 AM     23.1    9.0    7.3
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3771 9687 3759 9696 3745 9696 3745 9709
      3765 9705 3776 9695             

$$

KSC015-035-092204-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0018.181009T0803Z-181014T0234Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.181009T0720Z.181010T1200Z.181013T1434Z.NO/
305 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* From early this morning until Saturday evening.
* At  2:31 AM Tuesday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.8 feet by 
  Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...West 14th Avenue near the fairgrounds, 
  floods from the river on eastward to the levee. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Wed    Thu    Fri
  Winfield        18.0  18.2  Tue 3 AM     28.8   27.2   25.1
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

KSC035-092204-
/O.CON.KICT.FL.W.0047.181009T1234Z-181013T1654Z/
/ARKK1.1.ER.181009T1234Z.181010T1200Z.181013T0454Z.NO/
305 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River Near Arkansas City.
* From this morning until Saturday morning.
* At  2:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this morning and continue to 
  rise to near 21.8 feet by Wednesday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Friday before midnight.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Considerable flooding of farmland is 
  expected. Widespread flooding of the park just upstream of the gage
  site is anticipated. East Chestnut Avenue east of By-pass is closed
  due to water over roadway. Greens Farm Road floods between Highway 
  166 north to Dunbar Hill. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Wed    Thu    Fri
  Arkansas City   18.0  15.2  Tue 3 AM     21.8   21.1   19.9
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3713 9687 3707 9692 3700 9684 3700 9704
      3713 9705                       

$$

Lawson
185 
WGUS83 KICT 091503
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1003 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River At Augusta affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

  Walnut River Near Arkansas City affecting Cowley County.

  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-100502-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0046.181009T1459Z-181011T0007Z/
/AGAK1.1.ER.181009T1345Z.181010T0000Z.181010T1207Z.NO/
1003 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Augusta.
* From this morning until Wednesday evening.
* At  9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 23.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.1 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...A narrow strip of about 80 feet on the right
  bank begins to overflow. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Wed    Thu    Fri
  Augusta         23.0  23.1  Tue 09 AM   23.1    9.0    7.3
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3771 9687 3759 9696 3745 9696 3745 9709
      3765 9705 3776 9695             

$$

KSC015-035-100502-
/O.CON.KICT.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-181014T0234Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.181009T0720Z.181010T1800Z.181013T1434Z.NO/
1003 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At  9:46 AM Tuesday the stage was 21.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.7 feet by 
  early Wednesday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...West 14th Avenue near the fairgrounds, 
  floods from the river on eastward to the levee. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Wed    Thu    Fri
  Winfield        18.0  21.0  Tue 10 AM   28.2   27.2   25.1
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

KSC035-100502-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T0000Z/
/ARKK1.1.ER.181009T1942Z.181010T1800Z.181012T1200Z.NO/
1003 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River Near Arkansas City.
* Until Friday evening.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
  rise to near 21.7 feet by early Wednesday afternoon. The river will
  fall below flood stage by Friday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Considerable flooding of farmland is 
  expected. Widespread flooding of the park just upstream of the gage
  site is anticipated. East Chestnut Avenue east of By-pass is closed
  due to water over roadway. Greens Farm Road floods between Highway 
  166 north to Dunbar Hill. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Wed    Thu    Fri
  Arkansas City   18.0  17.2  Tue 10 AM   21.2   21.0   18.0
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3713 9687 3707 9692 3700 9684 3700 9704
      3713 9705                       

$$

JAS
952 
WGUS83 KICT 092030
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
330 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River At Augusta affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

  Walnut River Near Arkansas City affecting Cowley County.

  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-101030-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-181010T1950Z/
/AGAK1.1.ER.181009T1345Z.181010T0000Z.181010T0750Z.NO/
330 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Augusta.
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At  3:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 24.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will stay near 24.9 feet through this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage early Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Secondary roads in the vicinity of Augusta 
  begin to flood. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Wed    Thu    Fri
  Augusta         23.0  24.9  Tue 03 PM   20.5    8.8    7.0
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3771 9687 3759 9696 3745 9696 3745 9709
      3765 9705 3776 9695             

$$

KSC015-035-101030-
/O.CON.KICT.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-181014T0234Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.181009T0720Z.181010T1800Z.181013T1434Z.NO/
330 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At  3:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.7 feet by 
  early Wednesday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...West 14th Avenue near the fairgrounds, 
  floods from the river on eastward to the levee. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Wed    Thu    Fri
  Winfield        18.0  21.9  Tue 03 PM   28.2   27.2   25.1
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

KSC035-101030-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T0036Z/
/ARKK1.1.ER.181009T2148Z.181011T1800Z.181012T1236Z.NO/
330 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River Near Arkansas City.
* Until Friday evening.
* At  3:16 PM Tuesday the stage was 17.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 19.8 feet by Thursday early afternoon. The
  river will fall below flood stage by Friday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Considerable flooding of farmland is 
  expected. Widespread flooding of the park just upstream of the gage
  site is anticipated. East Chestnut Avenue east of By-pass is closed
  due to water over roadway. Greens Farm Road floods between Highway 
  166 north to Dunbar Hill. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Wed    Thu    Fri
  Arkansas City   18.0  17.9  Tue 03 PM   19.0   19.7   18.1
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3713 9687 3707 9692 3700 9684 3700 9704
      3713 9705                       

$$

JAS
679 
WGUS83 KICT 100300
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1000 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River At Augusta affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

  Walnut River Near Arkansas City affecting Cowley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-101700-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-181011T0048Z/
/AGAK1.1.ER.181009T1345Z.181009T2200Z.181010T1248Z.NO/
1000 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Augusta.
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At  9:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 24.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Secondary roads in the vicinity of Augusta 
  begin to flood. 

&&
                     FLD       OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 PM
Location             STG    STG   DAY  TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   
  Augusta            23.0   24.8  Tue  9 PM    19.3  8.6   6.5
    
&&
    
LAT...LON 3771 9687 3759 9696 3745 9696 3745 9709
      3765 9705 3776 9695             

$$

KSC015-035-101700-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-181013T0500Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.181009T0720Z.181011T0000Z.181012T1700Z.NO/
1000 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* Until late Friday night.
* At  9:46 PM Tuesday the stage was 22.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.6 feet by 
  Wednesday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  early afternoon.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...A large portion of the fairgrounds flood 
  along with rural roads about 3 miles northwest of Winfield that are
  near the river. Then one mile west of the city of Rock, expect 30th
  Road to be closed due to high water. 

&&
                     FLD       OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 PM
Location             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   
  Winfield           18.0   22.0 Tue  10 PM   23.6  22.5  15.3
    
&&
    
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

KSC035-101700-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T0700Z/
/ARKK1.1.ER.181009T2053Z.181011T1800Z.181012T1900Z.NO/
1000 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River Near Arkansas City.
* Until late Friday night.
* At  9:46 PM Tuesday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.0 feet by 
  Thursday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  early afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Considerable flooding of farmland is 
  expected. Widespread flooding of the park just upstream of the gage
  site is anticipated. East Chestnut Avenue east of By-pass is closed
  due to water over roadway. Greens Farm Road floods between Highway 
  166 north to Dunbar Hill. 

&&
                     FLD       OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 PM
Location             STG    STG   DAY  TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   
  Arkansas City      18.0   18.6  Tue  10 PM   19.5  20.0  17.0
    
&&
    
LAT...LON 3713 9687 3707 9692 3700 9684 3700 9704
      3713 9705                       

$$

Metzger
921 
WGUS83 KICT 100908
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
408 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Kansas...
 
  Walnut River At Augusta affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.
 
...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

  Walnut River Near Arkansas City affecting Cowley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-100938-
/O.CAN.KICT.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-181011T0048Z/
/AGAK1.1.ER.181009T1345Z.181009T2200Z.181010T0758Z.NO/
408 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Walnut River At Augusta.
* At 4:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 22.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  2:58 AM Wednesday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 12.0 feet by Thursday
  morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Expect flooding of low-lying areas and 
  agricultural flooding. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Thu    Fri    Sat
  Augusta         23.0  22.6  Wed 4 AM     12.0    8.4    6.2
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3771 9687 3759 9696 3745 9696 3745 9709
      3765 9705 3776 9695             

$$

KSC015-035-102307-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-181013T0349Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.181009T0720Z.181011T0600Z.181012T1549Z.NO/
408 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* Until Friday evening.
* At 3:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 22.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.5 feet by 
  early Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...A large portion of the fairgrounds flood 
  along with rural roads about 3 miles northwest of Winfield that are
  near the river. Then one mile west of the city of Rock, expect 30th
  Road to be closed due to high water. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Thu    Fri    Sat
  Winfield        18.0  22.3  Wed 4 AM     23.5   19.4   11.1
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

KSC035-102307-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T0730Z/
/ARKK1.1.ER.181009T2053Z.181011T1800Z.181012T1930Z.NO/
408 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River Near Arkansas City.
* Until late Friday night.
* At 3:46 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.2 feet by 
  early Thursday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Friday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Considerable flooding of farmland is 
  expected. Widespread flooding of the park just upstream of the gage
  site is anticipated. East Chestnut Avenue east of By-pass is closed
  due to water over roadway. Greens Farm Road floods between Highway 
  166 north to Dunbar Hill. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Thu    Fri    Sat
  Arkansas City   18.0  19.0  Wed 4 AM     20.0   19.3   15.3
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3713 9687 3707 9692 3700 9684 3700 9704
      3713 9705                       

$$

Lawson
031 
WGUS83 KICT 101409
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
909 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River Near Arkansas City affecting Cowley County.

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...

  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-110408-
/O.CON.KICT.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-181013T0349Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.181009T0720Z.181011T0600Z.181012T1549Z.NO/
909 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* Until Friday evening.
* At 8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 22.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.5 feet by 
  early Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...A large portion of the fairgrounds flood 
  along with rural roads about 3 miles northwest of Winfield that are
  near the river. Then one mile west of the city of Rock, expect 30th
  Road to be closed due to high water. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Thu    Fri    Sat
  Winfield        18.0  22.7  Wed 09 AM    23.5   19.4   11.1
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

KSC035-110408-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T1021Z/
/ARKK1.1.ER.181009T2053Z.181012T0000Z.181012T2221Z.NO/
909 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River Near Arkansas City.
* Until late Friday night.
* At 8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.6 feet by 
  Thursday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Considerable flooding of farmland is 
  expected. Widespread flooding of the park just upstream of the gage
  site is anticipated. East Chestnut Avenue east of By-pass is closed
  due to water over roadway. Greens Farm Road floods between Highway 
  166 north to Dunbar Hill. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Thu    Fri    Sat
  Arkansas City   18.0  19.3  Wed 09 AM    20.3   19.7   15.5
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3713 9687 3707 9692 3700 9684 3700 9704
      3713 9705                       

$$

KED
136 
WGUS83 KICT 101938
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
238 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...

  Walnut River Near Arkansas City affecting Cowley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-110938-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-181013T1412Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.181009T0720Z.181012T0000Z.181013T0212Z.NO/
238 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 2:16 PM Wednesday the stage was 23.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet by 
  Thursday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  before midnight.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...A large portion of the fairgrounds flood 
  along with rural roads about 3 miles northwest of Winfield that are
  near the river. Then one mile west of the city of Rock, expect 30th
  Road to be closed due to high water. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Thu    Fri    Sat
  Winfield        18.0  23.3  Wed 02 PM    24.6   22.9   14.9
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

KSC035-110938-
/O.CON.KICT.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T1021Z/
/ARKK1.1.ER.181009T2053Z.181012T0000Z.181012T2221Z.NO/
238 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River Near Arkansas City.
* Until late Friday night.
* At 2:16 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.6 feet by 
  Thursday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Considerable flooding of farmland is 
  expected. Widespread flooding of the park just upstream of the gage
  site is anticipated. East Chestnut Avenue east of By-pass is closed
  due to water over roadway. Greens Farm Road floods between Highway 
  166 north to Dunbar Hill. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Thu    Fri    Sat
  Arkansas City   18.0  19.5  Wed 02 PM    20.3   19.7   15.5
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3713 9687 3707 9692 3700 9684 3700 9704
      3713 9705                       

$$

KED
495 
WGUS83 KICT 110113
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
813 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

  Walnut River Near Arkansas City affecting Cowley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-111513-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-181013T1230Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.181009T0720Z.181011T1800Z.181013T0030Z.NO/
813 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At  8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 23.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.6 feet by 
  early Thursday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Friday evening.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...A large portion of the fairgrounds flood 
  along with rural roads about 3 miles northwest of Winfield that are
  near the river. Then one mile west of the city of Rock, expect 30th
  Road to be closed due to high water. 

&&


                     FLD       OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 PM
Location             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    Thu   Fri   Sat   
  Winfield           18.0  23.8  Wed  8 PM   24.4  18.1  12.9
    
&&
    
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

KSC035-111513-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T1245Z/
/ARKK1.1.ER.181009T2053Z.181012T0000Z.181013T0045Z.NO/
813 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River Near Arkansas City.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.7 feet by 
  Thursday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Considerable flooding of farmland is 
  expected. Widespread flooding of the park just upstream of the gage
  site is anticipated. East Chestnut Avenue east of By-pass is closed
  due to water over roadway. Greens Farm Road floods between Highway 
  166 north to Dunbar Hill. 

&&


                     FLD       OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 PM
Location             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    Thu   Fri   Sat   
  Arkansas City      18.0  19.9  Wed  8 PM   20.7  18.1  15.5
    
&&
    
LAT...LON 3713 9687 3707 9692 3700 9684 3700 9704
      3713 9705                       

$$

ADK
868 
WGUS83 KICT 110748
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
248 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

  Walnut River Near Arkansas City affecting Cowley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-112148-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-181013T1115Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.181009T0720Z.181011T0700Z.181012T2315Z.NO/
248 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 2:16 AM Thursday the stage was 24.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...A large portion of the fairgrounds flood 
  along with rural roads about 3 miles northwest of Winfield that are
  near the river. Then one mile west of the city of Rock, expect 30th
  Road to be closed due to high water. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Fri    Sat    Sun
  Winfield        18.0  24.5  Thu 2 AM     21.4   14.3   10.4
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

KSC035-112148-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T1124Z/
/ARKK1.1.ER.181009T2053Z.181012T0000Z.181012T2324Z.NO/
248 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River Near Arkansas City.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At  2:15 AM Thursday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.6 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Considerable flooding of farmland is 
  expected. Widespread flooding of the park just upstream of the gage
  site is anticipated. East Chestnut Avenue east of By-pass is closed
  due to water over roadway. Greens Farm Road floods between Highway 
  166 north to Dunbar Hill. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Fri    Sat    Sun
  Arkansas City   18.0  20.1  Thu 2 AM    19.9   16.1   14.2
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3713 9687 3707 9692 3700 9684 3700 9704
      3713 9705                       

$$

Lawson
946 
WGUS83 KICT 111201
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
701 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...

  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-120201-
/O.CON.KICT.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-181013T1115Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.181009T0720Z.181011T1146Z.181012T2315Z.NO/
701 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At  6:46 AM Thursday the stage was 24.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Flooding will continue along the river and fall below flood stage by 
  Friday evening.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...A large portion of the fairgrounds flood 
  along with rural roads about 3 miles northwest of Winfield that are
  near the river. Then one mile west of the city of Rock, expect 30th
  Road to be closed due to high water. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Fri    Sat    Sun
  Winfield        18.0  24.9  Thu 07 AM   21.4   14.3   10.4
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$
438 
WGUS83 KICT 111354
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
854 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

  Walnut River Near Arkansas City affecting Cowley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-120354-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-181013T1102Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.181009T0720Z.181011T1331Z.181012T2302Z.NO/
854 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At  8:46 AM Thursday the stage was 25.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.0 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Friday evening.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...A large portion of the fairgrounds flood 
  along with rural roads about 3 miles northwest of Winfield that are
  near the river. Then one mile west of the city of Rock, expect 30th
  Road to be closed due to high water. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Fri    Sat    Sun
  Winfield        18.0  25.0  Thu 09 AM   22.4   13.9   10.0
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

KSC035-120354-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T1130Z/
/ARKK1.1.ER.181009T2053Z.181012T0000Z.181012T2330Z.NO/
854 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River Near Arkansas City.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At  8:46 AM Thursday the stage was 20.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.0 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Considerable flooding of farmland is 
  expected. Widespread flooding of the park just upstream of the gage
  site is anticipated. East Chestnut Avenue east of By-pass is closed
  due to water over roadway. Greens Farm Road floods between Highway 
  166 north to Dunbar Hill. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Fri    Sat    Sun
  Arkansas City   18.0  20.3  Thu 09 AM   20.1   15.6   13.6
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3713 9687 3707 9692 3700 9684 3700 9704
      3713 9705                       

$$

CDJ
966 
WGUS83 KICT 112027
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
327 PM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

  Walnut River Near Arkansas City affecting Cowley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-121027-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-181013T0950Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.181009T0720Z.181011T1331Z.181012T2150Z.NO/
327 PM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* Until late Friday night.
* At  3:01 PM Thursday the stage was 24.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...A large portion of the fairgrounds flood 
  along with rural roads about 3 miles northwest of Winfield that are
  near the river. Then one mile west of the city of Rock, expect 30th
  Road to be closed due to high water. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Fri    Sat    Sun
  Winfield        18.0  24.8  Thu 03 PM   21.8   14.0    9.7
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

KSC035-121027-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T1104Z/
/ARKK1.1.ER.181009T2053Z.181012T0000Z.181012T2304Z.NO/
327 PM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River Near Arkansas City.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At  3:15 PM Thursday the stage was 20.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.7 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Considerable flooding of farmland is 
  expected. Widespread flooding of the park just upstream of the gage
  site is anticipated. East Chestnut Avenue east of By-pass is closed
  due to water over roadway. Greens Farm Road floods between Highway 
  166 north to Dunbar Hill. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Fri    Sat    Sun
  Arkansas City   18.0  20.5  Thu 03 PM   20.1   15.6   13.8
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3713 9687 3707 9692 3700 9684 3700 9704
      3713 9705                       

$$

JAS
922 
WGUS83 KICT 120044
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
744 PM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

  Walnut River Near Arkansas City affecting Cowley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-121444-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-181013T0838Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.181009T0720Z.181011T1331Z.181012T2038Z.NO/
744 PM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* Until late Friday night.
* At  7:31 PM Thursday the stage was 24.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...A large portion of the fairgrounds flood 
  along with rural roads about 3 miles northwest of Winfield that are
  near the river. Then one mile west of the city of Rock, expect 30th
  Road to be closed due to high water. 

&&


                     FLD       OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 PM
Location             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    Fri   Sat   Sun   
  Winfield           18.0  24.3  Thu  8 PM   16.6  10.2   9.1
    
&&
    
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

KSC035-121444-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T1036Z/
/ARKK1.1.ER.181009T2053Z.181011T2316Z.181012T2236Z.NO/
744 PM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River Near Arkansas City.
* Until late Friday night.
* At  7:31 PM Thursday the stage was 20.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Considerable flooding of farmland is 
  expected. Widespread flooding of the park just upstream of the gage
  site is anticipated. East Chestnut Avenue east of By-pass is closed
  due to water over roadway. Greens Farm Road floods between Highway 
  166 north to Dunbar Hill. 

&&


                     FLD       OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 PM
Location             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    Fri   Sat   Sun   
  Arkansas City      18.0  20.7  Thu  8 PM   17.7  14.4  13.8
    
&&
    
LAT...LON 3713 9687 3707 9692 3700 9684 3700 9704
      3713 9705                       

$$

ADK
626 
WGUS83 KICT 121337
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
837 AM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River at Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.

  Walnut River near Arkansas City affecting Cowley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-130336-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-181013T0809Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.181009T0720Z.181011T1331Z.181012T2009Z.NO/
837 AM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* Until late tonight.
* At 8:15 AM Friday the stage was 20.3 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Flood waters flow over County Road Cowley 2 
  west of the city of Rock. Then 4 miles northwest of Winfield, 
  Cowley County Road 18 floods over a section just west of 71st Road.
  

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sat    Sun    Mon
  Winfield        18.0  20.3  Fri 8 AM    12.2    9.7    9.1
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

KSC035-130336-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T1832Z/
/ARKK1.1.ER.181009T2053Z.181012T0800Z.181013T0632Z.NO/
837 AM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River Near Arkansas City.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 8:16 AM Friday the stage was 20.6 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Considerable flooding of farmland is 
  expected. Widespread flooding of the park just upstream of the gage
  site is anticipated. East Chestnut Avenue east of By-pass is closed
  due to water over roadway. Greens Farm Road floods between Highway 
  166 north to Dunbar Hill. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sat    Sun    Mon
  Arkansas City   18.0  20.6  Fri 8 AM    17.0   14.2   13.6
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3713 9687 3707 9692 3700 9684 3700 9704
      3713 9705                       

$$

vp
717 
WGUS83 KICT 121926
FLSICT
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
226 PM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Kansas...
 
  Walnut River At Winfield affecting Butler and Cowley Counties.
 
...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Walnut River Near Arkansas City affecting Cowley County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC015-035-121956-
/O.CAN.KICT.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-181013T0809Z/
/WFDK1.2.ER.181009T0720Z.181011T1331Z.181012T1821Z.NO/
226 PM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Walnut River At Winfield.
* At  2:01 PM Friday the stage was 17.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  1:21 PM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 11.7 feet by Saturday
  morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Flooding of the campgrounds and fairgrounds 
  can be expected. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sat    Sun    Mon
  Winfield        18.0  17.7  Fri 02 PM   11.7    9.6    9.5
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3745 9696 3731 9697 3713 9687 3713 9703
      3727 9709 3745 9709             

$$

KSC035-130926-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T1800Z/
/ARKK1.1.ER.181009T2053Z.181012T0800Z.181013T0600Z.NO/
226 PM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Walnut River Near Arkansas City.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At  2:15 PM Friday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Considerable flooding of farmland is 
  expected. Widespread flooding of the park just upstream of the gage
  site is anticipated. East Chestnut Avenue east of By-pass is closed
  due to water over roadway. Greens Farm Road floods between Highway 
  166 north to Dunbar Hill. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sat    Sun    Mon
  Arkansas City   18.0  20.0  Fri 02 PM   17.0   14.3   13.7
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3713 9687 3707 9692 3700 9684 3700 9704
      3713 9705                       

$$

JAS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 6, 6:57 AM CDT, 3 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 6, 6:57 AM CDT, 3 hours before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
657 AM CDT Sat Oct 6 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Sunday night)
Issued at 259 AM CDT Sat Oct 6 2018

Cold front has just moved through KICT with fairly widespread
showers and storms continuing north of the front, in an area of
strong 925-850mb moisture transport. Regional 88D mosaic showing
what looks to be a mid/upper circulation approaching southwest OK.

Showers and storms are expected to gradually shift southeast this
morning as the better low level moisture transport north of the
front also shifts southeast. By 18z, cold front will be moving out
of southeast KS with elevated convection north of the front
mainly affecting areas southeast of the KS Turnpike. So confidence
has increased that the best chance for more robust convection and
heavy rain potential will be mainly this morning. The exception
may be southeast KS, where better elevated instability and higher
PWs will be situated. Meanwhile, feel that after this morning,
the majority of the forecast area will see pockets of scattered
showers with widespread heavy rainfall not expected.

Should see a slight uptick in precip coverage and intensity
tonight mainly due to low level jet processes helping increase low
level moisture transport along with isentropic lift. Thunder
tonight should be fairly limited due to lack of elevated
instability.

With the exception of far southeast KS, below normal temps are
expected area wide today with most readings struggling to get out
of the 50s, with only 40s expected for areas along and north of
I-70.

Main shortwave energy will be digging over the desert southwest
by Sun morning, which will keep the region in a broad area of
southwest flow aloft. Meanwhile, what is left of the cold front
should stretch from northeast OK into central TX. This setup will
allow the area to remain in a broad area of 850-700mb moisture
transport with PW values around 200% of normal. So heavy rain will
be possible Sun and especially Sun night, but very tough at this
point to pin down what locations will have a better chance to see
the higher amounts.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 259 AM CDT Sat Oct 6 2018

GFS and ECMWF have come into better agreement through these
extended periods compared to yesterday at this time. By Mon
morning, both have the main vort max over the desert southwest
with strong southwest upper flow over the Plains. Will maintain
high pops as we stay in an area of decent low level moisture
transport with an unseasonably high PW airmass remaining in place.
Confidence is increasing that the better chances for more
widespread heavy rain Mon and Mon night will be for the western
half of the forecast area, which will be closer to the better jet
dynamics which will be slowly approaching west-central KS.

There is decent agreement now between the GFS and ECMWF that the
Tue morning through early Tue evening time frame is when the main
piece of energy will eject out across central/eastern KS. This is
also when we should see our most widespread concentration of heavy
rain and potential flooding. Rainfall should be east of the area
by Wed as we get back into some zonal flow aloft. Models then
start to diverge on how they handle our next western CONUS
impulse. GFS is much more progressive with this wave compared to
the slower ECMWF. So confidence beyond Thursday is very low at
this time.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning)
Issued at 657 AM CDT Sat Oct 6 2018

At 11Z a slow, SE-movg cold front was just entering SE KS with
numerous SHRA & embedded TSRA occurring along & NW of the front.
As the front continues it's SE jaunt, the convection will spread
across SE KS where cigs would quickly deteriorate into "low-end"
MVFR country then IFR ~15Z as the SHRA/embedded TSRA increase.
Vsbys should however drop below 3SM. The remaining terminals would
be predominantly MVFR, the exception being KRSL where VFR cigs
shuld occur from ~15Z until early this evening when cigs would
return to MVFR status ~07/00Z & possibly IFR late tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    55  50  68  62 /  80  80  80  80
Hutchinson      51  47  63  59 /  60  70  80  80
Newton          53  48  66  60 /  80  80  80  80
ElDorado        57  50  69  63 / 100  90  90  90
Winfield-KWLD   62  53  72  65 /  90  90  90  80
Russell         48  41  57  52 /  30  60  80  70
Great Bend      49  43  60  54 /  30  60  80  80
Salina          50  45  62  57 /  60  70  80  80
McPherson       51  47  63  58 /  70  70  80  80
Coffeyville     73  59  78  68 /  70  90  80  70
Chanute         65  57  74  67 /  70  90  90  70
Iola            63  56  73  66 /  70  90  90  70
Parsons-KPPF    69  58  76  69 /  70  90  90  70

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...RBL
LONG TERM...RBL
AVIATION...EPS
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 6, 4:16 AM CDT, 5 hours 41 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
416 AM CDT Sat Oct 6 2018

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-070930-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
416 AM CDT Sat Oct 6 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Showers and isolated storms will affect much of the area today and
tonight. High rainfall rates and associated minor flooding will be
possible with the more intense showers and storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Multiple rounds of showers and isolated storms will affect the area
Sunday through Tuesday evening with several inches of rainfall
possible. Flooding will be likely through this time frame. Significant
rises on area rivers and streams are possible over this extended
duration of time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

Lawson

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 6, 8:54 AM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
854 AM CDT SAT OCT 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SSW MOUNDRIDGE        38.16N 97.54W
10/06/2018  M3.04 INCH       HARVEY             KS   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR TOTAL.

0731 AM     HEAVY RAIN       7 SW MOUNDRIDGE         38.11N 97.59W
10/06/2018  M2.96 INCH       HARVEY             KS   MESONET

            24-HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       6 S DORRANCE            38.76N 98.58W
10/06/2018  M2.78 INCH       RUSSELL            KS   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NNE GOESSEL           38.28N 97.33W
10/06/2018  M2.69 INCH       MARION             KS   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR TOTAL.

0730 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 NNE DURHAM            38.52N 97.21W
10/06/2018  M2.59 INCH       MARION             KS   MESONET

            24-HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 N CANTON              38.43N 97.43W
10/06/2018  M2.16 INCH       MCPHERSON          KS   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR TOTAL.

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       BEVERLY                 39.01N 97.98W
10/06/2018  M2.12 INCH       LINCOLN            KS   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 ENE HALSTEAD          38.02N 97.46W
10/06/2018  M2.09 INCH       HARVEY             KS   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 WNW HALSTEAD          38.02N 97.58W
10/06/2018  M2.06 INCH       HARVEY             KS   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MOUNT HOPE              37.87N 97.66W
10/06/2018  M2.04 INCH       SEDGWICK           KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24-HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 SW HALSTEAD           37.96N 97.58W
10/06/2018  M2.04 INCH       HARVEY             KS   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR TOTAL.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wichita, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 5, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTBarton, Ellsworth, Russell17 min
Oct 5, 7:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTBarton26 min
Oct 5, 7:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTBarton33 min
Oct 5, 8:08 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTBarton37 min
Oct 5, 8:17 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTEllsworth28 min
Oct 5, 8:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTBarton24 min
Oct 5, 8:45 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTBarton30 min
Oct 5, 9:05 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTBarton25 min
Oct 6, 9:51 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTSumner8 days
Oct 6, 9:51 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTCowley10 days
Oct 6, 9:54 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTSedgwick5 days
Oct 6, 10:09 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTReno, Rice11 days
Oct 6, 2:57 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTHarvey7 days
Oct 6, 3:02 PM CDTFlood WatchICTAllen, Barton, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Cowley and 20 more3 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Kansas, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.