Severe Thunderstorm Warning 3, NWS Goodland, KS

193 
WWUS53 KGLD 240115
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
815 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018

KSC137-240130-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0003.000000T0000Z-180324T0130Z/
Norton KS-
815 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL NORTON COUNTY...

At 815 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 5 miles north of
Logan, or 14 miles west of Phillipsburg, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Calvert.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3965 9972 3970 9980 3978 9982 3985 9977
      3989 9969 3991 9963 3964 9963
TIME...MOT...LOC 0115Z 276DEG 41KT 3974 9960 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Vincent

652 
WWUS53 KGLD 240127
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
827 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018

KSC137-240137-
/O.EXP.KGLD.SV.W.0003.000000T0000Z-180324T0130Z/
Norton KS-
827 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL NORTON COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 830 PM CDT...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved east of 
Norton county. As a result, the warning will be allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 3965 9972 3970 9980 3978 9982 3985 9977
      3989 9969 3991 9963 3964 9963
TIME...MOT...LOC 0127Z 275DEG 45KT 3971 9934 

$$

Vincent

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
634 PM MDT Fri Mar 23 2018

.UPDATE...
Issued at 634 PM MDT Fri Mar 23 2018

With conditions improving over the southern CWA where the Red
Flag/High Wind Warnings were in place...have opted to cancel both
but will replace with an SPS to highlight 35-50 mph wind potential
for the next couple hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 100 PM MDT Fri Mar 23 2018

Tonight...shower and thunderstorm chances decrease quickly this
evening as upper level wave moves east of the area. Behind the wave
mid and high level clouds increase across the area. Will be watching
for possibility of low clouds developing across much of the area as
boundary layer saturates. Low temperatures range from the low to mid
30s in far eastern Colorado to the low 40s out by Hill City.

Saturday...will see some high clouds move in from the west/southwest
during the day continuing through midnight before decreasing from
west to east toward sunrise Sunday morning. Will also have to deal
with some stratus clouds and possibly some fog. Northwest winds in
the morning become east to southeast during the afternoon with the
higher speeds along and west of the CO/KS border where gusts to 30
mph possible. Should see high temperatures range from the mid 50s to
low 60s east to the mid/upper 60s far west and south. Low
temperatures in the mid 30s.

Sunday...forecast area caught in between frontal systems during the
day which will make for a challenging temperature forecast. Right
now no changes will be made and will continue to advertise highs
ranging from the low to mid 50s east to the mid/upper 60s far west
and south. Could have some drizzle or light rain showers across the
far east in the morning. Low confidence forecast in Sunday night
precipitation chances with current low temperature forecast ranging
from the low/mid 30s west to low 40s far east.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 154 PM MDT Fri Mar 23 2018

Main forecast concern will be active weather the beginning of next
week. Satellite is showing an amplified pattern from the Pacific
into the western Atlantic. Large and cold closed upper low currently
spinning off the Pacific northwest and southwest Canada.

Above mentioned low will move into the western portion of the
country beginning late this weekend. As it does will deamplify and
weakens. Then it will start reorganizing and amplifying once again
Monday and Tuesday. When it does this it will split with the
stronger and more closed off portion over the southwest portion of
the country. It is because of this complex behavior and split flow
that the models are having a hard time in agreeing with the details
despite showing the same general scenario.

The most active period looks to be Monday and Monday night. A
surface boundary will be draped over or near the forecast area
during the day before moving east. At the same a rather strong mid
level shortwave will move in from the west as strong left front
quadrant will affect the area. Also there is a decent amount of
Mucape. Lift and instability support the forecast builder pops and
have no problem with them. As a result of the above have put in
thunderstorms. Will have to watch this period for some potential
severe.

Am not optimistic about much precipitation after the above lift
moves out on Tuesday. Trend for the upper low and northern stream
energy is for them to be further south. Am thinking that the main
moisture and lift is going to be shoved further south after Tuesday.
Due to some northern stream lift moving through and a lack of time
due to ongoing weather, will leave the low pops in there for now.
Also left the temperatures alone through the period as well.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 523 PM MDT Fri Mar 23 2018

For KGLD...VFR conditions thru the forecast period with broken
low/mid clouds giving way to mainly SKC by 17z Saturday.
Winds...NNW 25-40kts thru 02z Saturday then NNW 10-15kts. By 17z
tomorrow...NE around 10kts...becoming SE by 22z.

For KMCK...mainly VFR conditions thru the forecast period. Brief
MVFR ceilings from 12z-16z Saturday around BKN015. VCTS possible
from 00z-0230z this evening. Winds...N 15-25kts thru 0230z...then
NNW 10-15kts. By 16z tomorrow...N around 10kts becoming E by 22z
Saturday.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...BULLER
AVIATION...JN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
649 PM MDT Fri Mar 23 2018

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-250100-
Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Rawlins-
Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-
Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
649 PM MDT Fri Mar 23 2018 /749 PM CDT Fri Mar 23 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

A few thunderstorms will develop this evening. An isolated storm
could become severe, with a primary threat of large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are possible
across far eastern Colorado and west central Kansas during the
afternoon hours on both Saturday and Sunday.

Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are possible
across far eastern Colorado and west central Kansas during the
afternoon hours on both Saturday and Sunday.

Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are possible
across far eastern Colorado and west central Kansas during the
afternoon hours on both Saturday and Sunday.

Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are possible
across far eastern Colorado and west central Kansas during the
afternoon hours on both Saturday and Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
405 PM MDT FRI MAR 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0402 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST GOODLAND                39.37N 101.70W
03/23/2018  M52 MPH          SHERMAN            KS   ASOS

            ASOS STATION GLD, GOODLAND.

&&

VINCENT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
415 PM MDT FRI MAR 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0413 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST GOODLAND                39.37N 101.70W
03/23/2018  M61 MPH          SHERMAN            KS   ASOS

            ASOS STATION GLD, GOODLAND.

&&

JN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
631 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018

KSZ015-240000-
Sheridan KS-
631 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018

...BLOWING DUST SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCING VISIBILITY ON HIGHWAY 83
NEAR SELDEN...

At 620 PM CDT, local law enforcement reported near 0 visibility in
association with blowing dust along a one mile stretch of Highway 83
near Selden.

North to northwest wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph and areas of blowing
dust can be expected through 700 pm CDT this evening along Highway
83 in northwest Sheridan county.

Be prepared for rapidly changing conditions and use extreme caution
when approaching areas of blowing dust.

LAT...LON 3949 10066 3951 10067 3956 10055 3954 10053
TIME...MOT...LOC 2322Z 222DEG 0KT 3954 10058

Vincent

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
714 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018

KSZ003-004-240045-
Norton KS-Decatur KS-
714 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN NORTON AND NORTHEASTERN
DECATUR COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

At 713 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles northeast of Oberlin, moving east at 50 mph.

Pea to dime size hail and wind gusts up to 45 mph will be possible
with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Norcatur, Clayton, Kanona and Reager.

LAT...LON 3978 10050 3999 10043 3994 9989 3963 9996
TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 283DEG 44KT 3988 10037

Vincent

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
642 PM MDT FRI MAR 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 PM     HAIL             NORCATUR                39.83N 100.19W
03/23/2018  M1.00 INCH       DECATUR            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
653 PM MDT FRI MAR 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     HAIL             NEW ALMELO              39.59N 100.12W
03/23/2018  M1.00 INCH       NORTON             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL RANGED FROM PEA-SIZED TO QUARTER-SIZED

&&

JN