Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 2, NWS Goodland, KS

March 23, 20184 counties in Kansas

NWS Goodland, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 23, 2018, 7:38 PM CDT for 4 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 42 min. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Mar 23, 2018, 7:38 PM CDT (00:38 UTC)
Expired: Mar 23, 2018, 8:20 PM CDT
In force: 42 min
Issued by: NWS Goodland, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Decatur County, KS, Graham County, KS, Norton County, KS, Sheridan County, KS

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 146 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Mar 23, 7:45 PM CDT	HAIL 1	7 W New Almelo, KS
Mar 23, 7:45 PM CDT	HAIL 1	New Almelo, KS	HAIL RANGED FROM PEA-SIZED TO QUARTER-SIZED
Mar 23, 7:45 PM CDT	HAIL 1	New Almelo, KS	HAIL RANGED FROM PEA-SIZED TO QUARTER-SIZED.
Mar 23, 7:48 PM CDT	HAIL 1.75	Lenora, KS	NUMEROUS PING PONG TO GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL
Mar 23, 7:48 PM CDT	HAIL 1.75	Lenora, KS	NUMEROUS PING PONG TO GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 6 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 7 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 00:00Z, 0.6 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1276 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 164 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

194 
WUUS53 KGLD 240038
SVRGLD
KSC039-065-137-179-240130-
/O.NEW.KGLD.SV.W.0002.180324T0038Z-180324T0130Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Goodland KS
738 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018

The National Weather Service in Goodland has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southern Norton County in northwestern Kansas...
  Northeastern Sheridan County in northwestern Kansas...
  Southeastern Decatur County in northwestern Kansas...
  Northern Graham County in northwestern Kansas...

* Until 830 PM CDT

* At 738 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 9 miles southeast
  of Jennings, or 20 miles northeast of Hoxie, moving east at 45 mph.

  HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

  IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
           damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
           wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

* Locations impacted include...
  Lenora, Jennings, Nicodemus, Edmond, Densmore and New Almelo. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3950 10026 3952 10032 3957 10037 3964 10034
      3967 10032 3969 10027 3965 9963 3957 9963
      3957 9961 3955 9960 3936 9960
TIME...MOT...LOC 0038Z 284DEG 37KT 3958 10018 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Vincent

3 follow-up statements

050 
WWUS53 KGLD 240046
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
746 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018

KSC039-065-137-179-240130-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-180324T0130Z/
Norton KS-Sheridan KS-Decatur KS-Graham KS-
746 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN NORTON...NORTHEASTERN SHERIDAN...SOUTHEASTERN DECATUR
AND NORTHERN GRAHAM COUNTIES...

At 746 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Lenora, or 15
miles northwest of Hill City, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Lenora, Nicodemus, Edmond, Densmore and New Almelo. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3949 10022 3954 10025 3960 10026 3965 10023
      3968 10015 3965 9963 3957 9963 3957 9961
      3955 9960 3936 9960
TIME...MOT...LOC 0046Z 280DEG 46KT 3956 10001 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Vincent

481 
WWUS53 KGLD 240105
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
805 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018

KSC039-179-240114-
/O.CAN.KGLD.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-180324T0130Z/
Sheridan KS-Decatur KS-
805 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN SHERIDAN AND
SOUTHEASTERN DECATUR COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved east of 
Sheridan and Decatur counties. Therefore, the warning has been 
cancelled.

LAT...LON 3943 9996 3948 10002 3954 10004 3960 10001
      3964 9998 3967 9993 3965 9963 3957 9963
      3957 9961 3955 9960 3936 9960
TIME...MOT...LOC 0104Z 280DEG 44KT 3953 9982 

$$

KSC065-137-240130-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-180324T0130Z/
Norton KS-Graham KS-
805 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN NORTON AND NORTHEASTERN GRAHAM COUNTIES...

At 804 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles south of
Edmond, or 11 miles north of Hill City, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Lenora, Nicodemus, Edmond and Densmore. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3943 9996 3948 10002 3954 10004 3960 10001
      3964 9998 3967 9993 3965 9963 3957 9963
      3957 9961 3955 9960 3936 9960
TIME...MOT...LOC 0104Z 280DEG 44KT 3953 9982 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Vincent

694 
WWUS53 KGLD 240120
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
820 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018

KSC065-137-240126-
/O.CAN.KGLD.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-180324T0130Z/
Norton KS-Graham KS-
820 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NORTON AND
NORTHEASTERN GRAHAM COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning in southeastern 
Norton county and northeastern Graham county has weakened and the 
warning has been canceled.

However, a separate severe thunderstorm warning remains in effect 
until 830 pm CDT in east central Norton county.

LAT...LON 3943 9996 3948 10002 3954 10004 3960 10001
      3964 9998 3967 9993 3965 9963 3957 9963
      3957 9961 3955 9960 3936 9960
TIME...MOT...LOC 0115Z 284DEG 37KT 3950 9965 

$$

Vincent

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 23, 7:34 PM CDT, 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 23, 7:34 PM CDT, 4 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
634 PM MDT Fri Mar 23 2018

.UPDATE...
Issued at 634 PM MDT Fri Mar 23 2018

With conditions improving over the southern CWA where the Red
Flag/High Wind Warnings were in place...have opted to cancel both
but will replace with an SPS to highlight 35-50 mph wind potential
for the next couple hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 100 PM MDT Fri Mar 23 2018

Tonight...shower and thunderstorm chances decrease quickly this
evening as upper level wave moves east of the area. Behind the wave
mid and high level clouds increase across the area. Will be watching
for possibility of low clouds developing across much of the area as
boundary layer saturates. Low temperatures range from the low to mid
30s in far eastern Colorado to the low 40s out by Hill City.

Saturday...will see some high clouds move in from the west/southwest
during the day continuing through midnight before decreasing from
west to east toward sunrise Sunday morning. Will also have to deal
with some stratus clouds and possibly some fog. Northwest winds in
the morning become east to southeast during the afternoon with the
higher speeds along and west of the CO/KS border where gusts to 30
mph possible. Should see high temperatures range from the mid 50s to
low 60s east to the mid/upper 60s far west and south. Low
temperatures in the mid 30s.

Sunday...forecast area caught in between frontal systems during the
day which will make for a challenging temperature forecast. Right
now no changes will be made and will continue to advertise highs
ranging from the low to mid 50s east to the mid/upper 60s far west
and south. Could have some drizzle or light rain showers across the
far east in the morning. Low confidence forecast in Sunday night
precipitation chances with current low temperature forecast ranging
from the low/mid 30s west to low 40s far east.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 154 PM MDT Fri Mar 23 2018

Main forecast concern will be active weather the beginning of next
week. Satellite is showing an amplified pattern from the Pacific
into the western Atlantic. Large and cold closed upper low currently
spinning off the Pacific northwest and southwest Canada.

Above mentioned low will move into the western portion of the
country beginning late this weekend. As it does will deamplify and
weakens. Then it will start reorganizing and amplifying once again
Monday and Tuesday. When it does this it will split with the
stronger and more closed off portion over the southwest portion of
the country. It is because of this complex behavior and split flow
that the models are having a hard time in agreeing with the details
despite showing the same general scenario.

The most active period looks to be Monday and Monday night. A
surface boundary will be draped over or near the forecast area
during the day before moving east. At the same a rather strong mid
level shortwave will move in from the west as strong left front
quadrant will affect the area. Also there is a decent amount of
Mucape. Lift and instability support the forecast builder pops and
have no problem with them. As a result of the above have put in
thunderstorms. Will have to watch this period for some potential
severe.

Am not optimistic about much precipitation after the above lift
moves out on Tuesday. Trend for the upper low and northern stream
energy is for them to be further south. Am thinking that the main
moisture and lift is going to be shoved further south after Tuesday.
Due to some northern stream lift moving through and a lack of time
due to ongoing weather, will leave the low pops in there for now.
Also left the temperatures alone through the period as well.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 523 PM MDT Fri Mar 23 2018

For KGLD...VFR conditions thru the forecast period with broken
low/mid clouds giving way to mainly SKC by 17z Saturday.
Winds...NNW 25-40kts thru 02z Saturday then NNW 10-15kts. By 17z
tomorrow...NE around 10kts...becoming SE by 22z.

For KMCK...mainly VFR conditions thru the forecast period. Brief
MVFR ceilings from 12z-16z Saturday around BKN015. VCTS possible
from 00z-0230z this evening. Winds...N 15-25kts thru 0230z...then
NNW 10-15kts. By 16z tomorrow...N around 10kts becoming E by 22z
Saturday.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...BULLER
AVIATION...JN

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 23, 5:48 PM CDT, 1 hour 50 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
448 PM MDT Fri Mar 23 2018

KSZ013>015-027>029-041-042-242300-
Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-
448 PM MDT Fri Mar 23 2018 /548 PM CDT Fri Mar 23 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest Kansas.

.DAY ONE...TODAY...

A High Wind Warning remains in effect until 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ this
evening.

A Red Flag Warning remains in effect until 7 PM MDT /8 PM CDT/ this
evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are possible
across far eastern Colorado and west central Kansas during the
afternoon hours on both Saturday and Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected.

COZ091-092-242300-
Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-
448 PM MDT Fri Mar 23 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...TODAY...

A High Wind Warning remains in effect until 6 PM MDT.

A Red Flag Warning remains in effect until 7 PM MDT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are possible
across far eastern Colorado and west central Kansas during the
afternoon hours on both Saturday and Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected.

KSZ016-242300-
Graham-
548 PM CDT Fri Mar 23 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest Kansas.

.DAY ONE...TODAY...

Westerly winds will shift to the northwest and gust up to 55 mph for
an hour or two this evening as a low pressure system tracks east
across the region.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are possible
across far eastern Colorado and west central Kansas during the
afternoon hours on both Saturday and Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any significant weather this
afternoon and evening.

COZ090-KSZ001>004-NEZ079>081-242300-
Yuma County-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Dundy-Hitchcock-
Red Willow-
448 PM MDT Fri Mar 23 2018 /548 PM CDT Fri Mar 23 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...TODAY...

A few thunderstorms may develop late this afternoon and evening. An
isolated storm could become severe, with a primary threat of large
hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are possible
across far eastern Colorado and west central Kansas during the
afternoon hours on both Saturday and Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any significant weather this
afternoon and evening.

Vincent

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 23, 4:49 PM CDT, 2 hours 49 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
349 PM MDT FRI MAR 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0309 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 E FIRSTVIEW           38.81N 102.46W
03/23/2018  M54 MPH          CHEYENNE           CO   MESONET

&&

Local storm report, Mar 23, 4:58 PM CDT, 2 hours 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
358 PM MDT FRI MAR 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST BURLINGTON CO AIRPORT   39.24N 102.29W
03/23/2018  M58 MPH          KIT CARSON         CO   ASOS

            ASOS STATION ITR, BURLINGTON CO AIRPORT.

&&

VINCENT

Local storm report, Mar 23, 5:05 PM CDT, 2 hours 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
405 PM MDT FRI MAR 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0402 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST GOODLAND                39.37N 101.70W
03/23/2018  M52 MPH          SHERMAN            KS   ASOS

            ASOS STATION GLD, GOODLAND.

&&

VINCENT

Local storm report, Mar 23, 5:15 PM CDT, 2 hours 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
415 PM MDT FRI MAR 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0413 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST GOODLAND                39.37N 101.70W
03/23/2018  M61 MPH          SHERMAN            KS   ASOS

            ASOS STATION GLD, GOODLAND.

&&

JN

Special weather statement, Mar 23, 6:31 PM CDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
631 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018

KSZ015-240000-
Sheridan KS-
631 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018

...BLOWING DUST SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCING VISIBILITY ON HIGHWAY 83
NEAR SELDEN...

At 620 PM CDT, local law enforcement reported near 0 visibility in
association with blowing dust along a one mile stretch of Highway 83
near Selden.

North to northwest wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph and areas of blowing
dust can be expected through 700 pm CDT this evening along Highway
83 in northwest Sheridan county.

Be prepared for rapidly changing conditions and use extreme caution
when approaching areas of blowing dust.

LAT...LON 3949 10066 3951 10067 3956 10055 3954 10053
TIME...MOT...LOC 2322Z 222DEG 0KT 3954 10058

Vincent

Special weather statement, Mar 23, 7:14 PM CDT, 24 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
714 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018

KSZ003-004-240045-
Norton KS-Decatur KS-
714 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN NORTON AND NORTHEASTERN
DECATUR COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

At 713 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles northeast of Oberlin, moving east at 50 mph.

Pea to dime size hail and wind gusts up to 45 mph will be possible
with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Norcatur, Clayton, Kanona and Reager.

LAT...LON 3978 10050 3999 10043 3994 9989 3963 9996
TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 283DEG 44KT 3988 10037

Vincent

The office that day

Everything else NWS Goodland, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 23, 7:14 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Decatur	31 min
Mar 23, 7:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Decatur, Norton	52 min
Mar 23, 7:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Norton	37 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2018 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.