Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
251 PM EDT Sun Jun 17 2018

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Monday Night/...

Continued more of the same with afternoon showers and thunderstorms
cross the area today and monday. Will also see more low clouds and
fog in the morning with a very weak summertime pattern in place
across the region. The main features across the area continue to be
the large upper level ridge and the weak upper level disturbance
that have been rotating over GA/AL/Northern FL and continue to help
enhance diurnally driven convection everyday. The ridge has been
helping to suppress the activity but it is also keeping this weak
pattern in place with no signs of this changing anytime soon. still
expecting strong storms to develop in the short term with isolated
severe storms as well. The greatest threats will be gusty winds,
frequent lightning, period of heavy rain and small hail.

For those with outdoor activities planned today, stay weather aware.
If you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by
lightning. You should seek shelter if you see lightning or hear
thunder. In addition, Heat Indices will range from the middle to
upper 90s across much of the state today and Monday. If you plan on
being outdoors for long periods of time, take frequent breaks to
cool off and stay hydrated.

01

.LONG TERM /Tuesday through Sunday/...

Long term period begins with the continued pattern of mid and
upper level ridge firmly entrenched over the area but plenty of
moisture trapped at the low levels under this feature. This
pattern will continue into Wed and the first part of Thu
characterized by low to mid range chance pops and mainly a heavy
rain potential as mid levels warm to -5C at 500mb.

Ridge does flatten out a bit into late week as shortwave energy
flows in from the central plains and travels across northern
portions of the Tennessee Valley. This will allow for a temporary
increase in pops across the northern CWA by Friday afternoon. Main
moisture axis and energy looks to remain north of the area
thereafter and a return to low to mid range sct pops looks in the
offing.

Did reload latest long term guidance but left pops largely alone
as they represent above thinking well.

Deese

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
More diurnal convection today and Monday. Ceilings are in the
MVFR to VFR range across the area and will eventually become all
VFR later today. Will see more MVFR and some IFR ceilings move
back in overnight through Mon morning. Ceilings will lift through
Monday afternoon similar to this morning. Winds are expected to be
mainly out of the SW at 8kt or less. Will see some gust to near
20kt in and around any TSRA development this afternoon and Monday
afternoon. VSBYs will stay VFR except some brief periods of IFR
VSBYs in and around thunderstorms activity.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Confidence medium to high on all elements

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          70  91  71  93 /  30  30  20  20
Atlanta         72  88  73  90 /  40  30  20  30
Blairsville     65  86  66  87 /  30  40  20  40
Cartersville    70  89  70  91 /  40  30  20  30
Columbus        72  89  73  91 /  40  30  20  30
Gainesville     70  89  71  90 /  30  30  20  30
Macon           71  90  72  92 /  40  30  20  30
Rome            71  90  71  91 /  30  30  20  30
Peachtree City  70  88  71  90 /  40  30  20  30
Vidalia         72  90  73  92 /  40  30  20  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....Deese
AVIATION...01

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
452 AM EDT Sun Jun 17 2018

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-181200-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
452 AM EDT Sun Jun 17 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms can be expected today, with the most
coverage expected during the afternoon and evening. Some storms
could be strong and an isolated severe storm cannot be ruled out.
The main threats will be isolated flooding from locally heavy
rainfall, damaging winds, and frequent lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

There is a chance of thunderstorms each day, mainly during the
afternoon and evening hours. A few storms could be strong to severe
each day with strong, gusty winds, frequent lightning and isolated
flooding from heavy rain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight, but spotters
are encouraged to submit reports of any severe weather and flooding
through the web by going to weather.gov/atlanta

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1103 AM EDT SUN JUN 17 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0718 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 NW MEEKS              32.68N  82.62W
06/16/2018                   JOHNSON            GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A FEW TREES WERE REPORTED DOWN ALONG LAWRENCE ROAD. A
            PUMP HOUSE WAS ALSO DAMAGED ALONG LAWRENCE ROAD.

&&

CORRECTED FATALITIES...INJURIES...REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER FFC1800351

LREAVES

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
145 PM EDT SUN JUN 17 2018

GAZ085-086-098-171830-
Emanuel GA-Treutlen GA-Johnson GA-
145 PM EDT SUN JUN 17 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN EMANUEL...
NORTHEASTERN TREUTLEN AND SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSON COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM
EDT...

At 145 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Adrian, or 9 miles
north of Soperton...moving east at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Swainsboro, Adrian, Nunez, Norristown Junction, Covena, Meeks,
Blackville, Norristown and Gillis Springs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3242 8259 3258 8267 3272 8241 3244 8229
TIME...MOT...LOC 1745Z 248DEG 7KT 3251 8255

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
209 PM EDT SUN JUN 17 2018

GAZ005-171845-
Murray GA-
209 PM EDT SUN JUN 17 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MURRAY COUNTY UNTIL 245 PM EDT...

At 209 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Fort Mountain State
Park, or near Chatsworth...moving southwest at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Chatsworth, Eton and Fort Mountain State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3482 8464 3469 8466 3478 8485 3485 8470
TIME...MOT...LOC 1809Z 028DEG 7KT 3480 8469

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
218 PM EDT SUN JUN 17 2018

GAZ013-014-171845-
Dawson GA-Pickens GA-
218 PM EDT SUN JUN 17 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN DAWSON AND PICKENS
COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM EDT...

At 218 PM EDT...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Fausett Lake to Lake Tamarack to Talking Rock...
and moving southwest at 5 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Jasper, Talking Rock, Sequoyah Lake, Blaine, Lake Tamarack, Talmadge,
Hinton and Fausett Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3445 8432 3438 8455 3448 8465 3453 8452
      3455 8442 3455 8437 3456 8437 3456 8435
      3458 8432 3458 8430 3457 8429 3457 8427
      3458 8425
TIME...MOT...LOC 1818Z 048DEG 5KT 3456 8430 3450 8440 3449 8450

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
239 PM EDT SUN JUN 17 2018

GAZ007-171915-
Gilmer GA-
239 PM EDT SUN JUN 17 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN GILMER COUNTY UNTIL
315 PM EDT...

At 239 PM EDT...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Cartecay to Talona...and moving west at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...pea sized hail...frequent lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Minor damage to exposed surfaces is possible. Heavy rain
           may cause temporary street flooding especially in poor
           drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Talona, Cartecay and Roundtop.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3463 8437 3456 8450 3456 8451 3455 8452
      3460 8463 3467 8446
TIME...MOT...LOC 1839Z 103DEG 7KT 3462 8443 3459 8451

HAIL...0.25IN

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