Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
231 PM EDT Sun Jun 10 2018

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Monday Night/...

Diurnal convection will be the rule for this afternoon and Monday.

Weak trough is situated across the northern portion of the forecast
area this afternoon. The convergence line was fairly well depicted
in the satellite vis a few hours ago. Do expect convection to
continue firing this afternoon, feeding off the instability and
outflows helping to propagate storms. Locally heavy rainfall,
lightning and gusty winds will be the main weather hazards through
the evening. However, this time of year, an isolated severe
thunderstorm is not out of the question. Have seen some high
reflectivity cores already, so some small hail is possible but
damaging wind gusts would be the primary severe thunderstorm hazard.

Tomorrow will be much like today. Have noticed some steeper mid
level lapse rates across the CWFA, mainly north of I-20. So, storm
coverage should be a little more widespread and the potential for
a severe thunderstorm will be slightly higher.

NListemaa

.LONG TERM /Tuesday through Sunday/...
Overall, extended forecast looks to be on track, and have only
made minor tweaks to the beginning and very end of the period.
Diurnally driven convection will continue each day, and the GFS
continues to advertise a Day 7 tropical low (which seems to be the
norm these days for the GFS) moving into Texas from the Gulf -
which the ECMWF has yet to indicate. Time will tell how this plays
out, but for now at least the GFS has had good run-to-run
consistency with this feature.

Previous discussion follows...

31

/Issued 412 AM EDT Sun Jun 10 2018/

Very little change to the overall moist/tropical regime through
the period. Expecting daily diurnally driven scattered convection
with some possible weak impulses in the north providing a bit
extra forcing for more organized or widespread development. Have
continued mainly 40-50 percent pops each day with potential for
some isolated strong to severe storms in the afternoon/evening
periods. The GFS continues also to have a tropical low pushing
north into some part of the western/central Gulf by next weekend
so have plenty of time to watch for any trends in future
solutions. Temps look to remain near seasonal norms in the mid to
upper 80s for most areas.

Baker

AVIATION...
18Z Update...
Scattered afternoon/evening convection expected this afternoon and
tomorrow. Convection initiation has been starting a little early
~16-17z for the past few days, so have tried to keep that similar
timing. TSRA chances are a little more likely 17-18z to about
23-00z. Winds will remain on the west side and mainly aob 10kt.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
High confidence all elements.

NListemaa

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          70  90  69  87 /  20  40  40  50
Atlanta         71  87  71  86 /  30  50  40  50
Blairsville     64  83  65  82 /  30  50  30  50
Cartersville    68  87  69  87 /  30  40  30  50
Columbus        72  89  72  89 /  30  40  30  50
Gainesville     70  87  69  84 /  30  40  30  50
Macon           71  90  70  89 /  30  40  30  50
Rome            69  88  70  88 /  30  40  30  50
Peachtree City  69  88  70  87 /  30  40  40  50
Vidalia         73  90  72  90 /  30  50  40  50

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...NListemaa
LONG TERM....31
AVIATION...NListemaa

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1030 AM EDT Sun Jun 10 2018

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-111200-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1030 AM EDT Sun Jun 10 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms can be expected this afternoon and into
this evening. A few storms could be strong to severe, with the
main hazards being gusty winds, frequent lightning and isolated
flooding from heavy rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

There is a chance of thunderstorms each day, mainly during the
afternoon and evening hours. A few storms could be strong to
severe with gusty winds, frequent lightning and heavy rain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight, but spotters
are encouraged to submit reports of any severe weather and flooding
through the web by going to weather.gov/atlanta

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
330 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2018

GAZ053-102000-
Coweta GA-
330 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN COWETA COUNTY UNTIL 400
PM EDT...

At 328 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Handy, or 7 miles west
of Newnan...moving southeast at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Newnan, Grantville, Whitesburg, Moreland, East Newnan, Plant Yates,
Arnco-Sargent, Thomas Crossroads, Powers Crossroads, Handy and
Madras.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3345 8497 3344 8494 3345 8492 3348 8490
      3344 8463 3322 8477 3322 8485 3319 8486
      3320 8487 3322 8486 3323 8490 3326 8495
      3328 8495 3328 8496 3340 8501
TIME...MOT...LOC 1928Z 305DEG 7KT 3337 8493

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...50MPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
350 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N HANDY               33.39N  84.97W
06/10/2018                   COWETA             GA   911 CALL CENTER

            A RADAR INDICATED DOWNBURST IN WESTERN COWETA COUNTY
            BLEW DOWN 2 TREES NEAR BUD DAVIS RD AND HEWLETTE SOUTH
            RD. THE TREES FELL ONTO A POWERPOLE WHICH THEN CAUGHT
            FIRE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1800312

THIEM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
356 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2018

GAZ002-004-005-007-011-012-019-102045-
Chattooga GA-Gilmer GA-Whitfield GA-Walker GA-Gordon GA-Murray GA-
Floyd GA-
356 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CHATTOOGA...SOUTHWESTERN
GILMER...SOUTHEASTERN WHITFIELD...SOUTHEASTERN WALKER...GORDON...
SOUTHERN MURRAY AND FLOYD COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM EDT...

At 356 PM EDT...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Chatsworth to Summerville...and moving southeast
at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Rome, Dalton, Calhoun, Summerville, Chatsworth, Ellijay, Trion, East
Ellijay, Resaca, Plainville, Lyerly, Menlo, Subligna, Redbud, Lake
Marvin, Coosa, Oakman, Fort Mountain State Park, James H. Floyd State
Park and Holland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3480 8474 3469 8433 3422 8541 3438 8548
      3449 8550
TIME...MOT...LOC 1956Z 297DEG 14KT 3474 8475 3448 8538

WIND...40MPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
406 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0259 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E STATE LINE PARK     33.02N  85.19W
06/10/2018                   TROUP              GA   911 CALL CENTER

            A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ON ABBOTTSFORD RD, SOUTH OF
            ABBOTTSFORD NEAR WEST POINT LAKE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1800313

THIEM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
419 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2018

GAZ080-091-092-102100-
Schley GA-Taylor GA-Marion GA-
419 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN SCHLEY...
SOUTHWESTERN TAYLOR AND NORTHEASTERN MARION COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM
EDT...

At 419 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Mauk, or 10 miles west
of Butler. This storm was nearly stationary.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Butler, Rupert, Charing, Howard, Tazewell and Mauk.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3229 8445 3251 8455 3256 8448 3256 8441
      3261 8441 3263 8438 3251 8415
TIME...MOT...LOC 2019Z 318DEG 4KT 3252 8442

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

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