River Flood Warning 51, NWS Atlanta, GA

838 
WGUS82 KFFC 252158
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
558 PM EDT Fri May 25 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Echeconnee Creek near Byron affecting Bibb...Crawford...Houston 
  and Peach Counties 


GAC021-079-153-225-261159-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BYNG1.1.ER.180525T2005Z.180525T2015Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
558 PM EDT Fri May 25 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Echeconnee Creek near Byron.
* Until further notice.
* At 6 PM Friday the stage was 15.0 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* At 15 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding of woodlands 
  occurs upstream and downstream from the gage on Houston Road. 
  Portions of creek access roads and low lying areas will begin to 
  flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3280 8391 3284 8386 3274 8374 3269 8358
      3263 8355 3269 8379             

$$

313 
WGUS82 KFFC 260555
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
155 AM EDT Sat May 26 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Echeconnee Creek near Byron affecting Bibb...Crawford...Houston 
  and Peach Counties 


GAC021-079-153-225-261955-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BYNG1.1.ER.180525T2005Z.180526T0245Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
155 AM EDT Sat May 26 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Echeconnee Creek near Byron.
* Until further notice.
* At 145 AM Saturday the stage was 15.0 feet and nearly steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring, and minor flooding is expected to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* At 15 feet, minor flooding of woodlands occurs upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on Houston Road. Portions of creek access 
  roads and low lying areas will begin to flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3280 8391 3284 8386 3274 8374 3269 8358
      3263 8355 3269 8379             

$$

290 
WGUS82 KFFC 260953
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
553 AM EDT Sat May 26 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Echeconnee Creek near Byron affecting Bibb...Crawford...Houston 
  and Peach Counties

 
GAC021-079-153-225-261023-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-180526T0953Z/
/BYNG1.1.ER.180525T2005Z.180526T0245Z.180526T0700Z.UU/
553 AM EDT Sat May 26 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Echeconnee Creek near Byron.
* This takes effect immediately.
* At 515 AM Saturday the stage was 14.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* The creek will continue to fall.


&&

LAT...LON 3280 8391 3284 8386 3274 8374 3269 8358
      3263 8355 3269 8379             

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
349 PM EDT Fri May 25 2018

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Saturday Night/...

With Subtropical Storm Alberto off the Yucatan Peninsula and high
pressure off the southeast coast, this has allowed abnormally high
moisture flux to increase across the southeast.  Therefore we have
widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms continuing across east
central GA this afternoon.  This activity will continue through
early evening, eventually diminishing while it lifts north with some
precipitation (likely in the form of showers) moving into the metro.
The coverage will be limited, but a better chance for the metro to
see precipitation, especially between 20Z and 04Z. Activity should
diminish later tonight. Patchy fog is possible during the morning
hours. With the mid-level ridge trying to build in a bit across SE
GA, this will likely limit the coverage of showers/thunderstorms
tomorrow. However, looking aloft, best vorticity will be across
north GA. Therefore, we expect this area to be the axis by which we
see better coverage of showers/thunderstorms, likely later
afternoon/evening Saturday. This activity should diminish after
midnight Sunday.

The main impact with any showers/thunderstorms will be heavy rain.
Expect high rainfall rates given the high PWATs and efficient
saturation in the atmospheric column. Minor flooding could occur
quickly with these heavy downpours.

Precipitation totals through the short-term will be around a half an
inch areawide with locally higher amounts possible associated with
those heavier showers/storms.

Temperatures will be slightly below normal.

26

.LONG TERM /Sunday through Friday/...

The main concerns through the long term period will centered around
precipitation from what is now Subtropical Storm Alberto, as of the
11 AM EST update from NHC. As of the most recent forecast
package, NHC has Alberto reaching land sometime on Monday near the
AL/MS border. Models start to diverge after reaching land, but
the overall trend in the models is a generally east track towards
our area. The GFS brings Alberto through our northwest corner late
Wednesday, while ECMWF keeps Alberto further north and west of
our area completely. Regardless of the model differences and the
exact track/intensity of Subtropical Storm Alberto, heavy rain
will be a continued threat in our area through the long term
period as PWATs rise to 1.5 to 2+ inches.

For our area, Alberto will bring heavy rainfall and the potential
for flooding. Although winds should not be a major issue with
Alberto, with already wet soils it will be relatively easy for
trees to fall. Current QPF associated with Alberto is about 3-6
inches with locally higher amounts possible, especially in
northeast GA and east central GA. Flash flooding will also become
a problem as well as river flooding. With the above-normal
rainfall that most areas have seen over the past few days, soils
are already saturated and additional precip would be expected to
cause problems. Make sure to be aware of any forecast
changes/watches/warnings, as well as updates from NHC, as there is
still uncertainty within the track of Alberto. The need for any
flood-related watches will continue to be monitored.

Decided to go with a blend for precip for most of the long term as
models diverge shortly after Alberto reaches land. Regardless,
chances for showers and thunderstorms exist daily and any day
could see a strong thunderstorm. High temps through the long term
are generally in the upper 70s and 80s, with low temps in the 60s
and 70s.

Reaves

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
Widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms have developed
across our SE tier, impacting MCN and AHN through the rest of the
afternoon. Mixed bag of MVFR/VFR cigs with reduced vsbys
associated with any heavy showers. We may see this activity expand
further north and west over timing, impacting the metro TAF sites
and CSG later this afternoon/evening. Activity should diminish
after midnight with redevelopment of showers/thunderstorms by late
morning/early afternoon on Saturday. Cigs will come down to
MVFR/IFR later tonight through mid-morning, lifting by late
morning. Patchy fog is possible. Looks like skies try to clear a
bit tomorrow afternoon with better coverage of precipitation
further north late tomorrow afternoon/evening. Winds will be out
of the SE this afternoon, becoming SSE. Models show winds briefly
becoming SSW in the mid- morning, but confidence is low on this.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence all elements.

26

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          66  84  67  80 /  60  40  40  60
Atlanta         68  83  69  78 /  60  50  40  60
Blairsville     63  78  63  77 /  60  60  60  60
Cartersville    67  83  67  80 /  50  60  50  60
Columbus        69  85  69  80 /  50  50  40  70
Gainesville     67  81  67  78 /  60  60  50  60
Macon           68  84  68  80 /  60  50  40  70
Rome            68  84  67  82 /  50  60  50  60
Peachtree City  67  84  67  79 /  50  50  40  60
Vidalia         70  86  70  81 /  40  40  40  70

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Saturday morning for the following
zones: Baldwin...Banks...Barrow...Bibb...Bleckley...Butts...
Carroll...Chattahoochee...Cherokee...Clarke...Clayton...Cobb...
Coweta...Crawford...Crisp...Dawson...DeKalb...Dodge...Dooly...
Douglas...Emanuel...Fayette...Forsyth...Glascock...Greene...
Gwinnett...Hall...Hancock...Harris...Heard...Henry...Houston...
Jackson...Jasper...Jefferson...Johnson...Jones...Lamar...
Laurens...Lumpkin...Macon...Madison...Marion...Meriwether...
Monroe...Montgomery...Morgan...Muscogee...Newton...North
Fulton...Oconee...Oglethorpe...Paulding...Peach...Pickens...
Pike...Pulaski...Putnam...Rockdale...Schley...South Fulton...
Spalding...Stewart...Sumter...Talbot...Taliaferro...Taylor...
Telfair...Toombs...Treutlen...Troup...Twiggs...Upson...Walton...
Warren...Washington...Webster...Wheeler...White...Wilcox...
Wilkes...Wilkinson.

&&

SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM....Reaves
AVIATION...26

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
342 PM EDT Fri May 25 2018

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-261945-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
342 PM EDT Fri May 25 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered to widespread showers along with isolated to scattered
thunderstorms are expected. The main hazards will be heavy rainfall
that could cause localized flooding. A Flash Flood Watch remains in
effect for central Georgia and portions of north Georgia through
Saturday morning. In addition, a few strong thunderstorms are
possible with gusty winds and frequent lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday...

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms can be expected
across the area each day through Thursday. The primary hazard will be
heavy rainfall from Subtropical Storm Alberto that could cause
localized flooding as well as river flooding. On any given day, a
few strong thunderstorms will be possible with the main hazards
being gusty winds and frequent lightning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time, but spotters are
encouraged to submit reports of any severe or significant weather and
flooding.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
158 PM EDT FRI MAY 25 2018

GAZ105-107-108-251830-
Dooly GA-Wilcox GA-Pulaski GA-
158 PM EDT FRI MAY 25 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN DOOLY...NORTHWESTERN
WILCOX AND SOUTHWESTERN PULASKI COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM EDT...

At 157 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Browndale, or 7 miles
west of Hawkinsville...moving north at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...Heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Heavy rain may cause temporary street flooding especially
           in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Vienna, Unadilla, Pinehurst, Mock Springs, Pleasant View and
Tippettville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of
control due to hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3229 8376 3229 8372 3228 8372 3228 8370
      3229 8370 3229 8355 3203 8357 3203 8377
TIME...MOT...LOC 1757Z 189DEG 11KT 3231 8360

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
338 PM EDT FRI MAY 25 2018

GAZ061-062-074-075-252015-
Washington GA-Hancock GA-Glascock GA-Warren GA-
338 PM EDT FRI MAY 25 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN WASHINGTON...EASTERN
HANCOCK...WESTERN GLASCOCK AND SOUTHERN WARREN COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM
EDT...

At 338 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Agricola, or 8 miles
southwest of Gibson...moving north at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas. Trees
           can down more easily with wet soils.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Gibson, Mitchell, Edge Hill, Edgehill, Hamburg State Park, Shoals,
Agricola, Jewell, Warthen and Beall Springs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3308 8282 3329 8285 3335 8260 3314 8260
TIME...MOT...LOC 1938Z 164DEG 8KT 3318 8273

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
342 PM EDT FRI MAY 25 2018

GAZ039-252015-
Wilkes GA-
342 PM EDT FRI MAY 25 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WILKES COUNTY UNTIL 415 PM EDT...

At 342 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Mallorysville, or 9
miles north of Washington...moving north at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Heavy rain may cause temporary street flooding especially
           in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Washington, Tignall, Jacksons Crossroads, Mallorysville, Newtown,
Delhi, Norman and Celeste.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of
control due to hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3373 8287 3388 8290 3391 8288 3394 8285
      3394 8282 3395 8280 3395 8279 3397 8278
      3397 8275 3399 8272 3398 8269 3376 8263
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 164DEG 8KT 3387 8278

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
351 PM EDT FRI MAY 25 2018

GAZ090-091-252015-
Chattahoochee GA-Marion GA-
351 PM EDT FRI MAY 25 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN CHATTAHOOCHEE AND
SOUTHWESTERN MARION COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM EDT...

At 351 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Zellobee, or 7 miles
west of Buena Vista. This storm was nearly stationary.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas. Trees
           can down more easily with wet soils.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Buena Vista, Brantley and Zellobee.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3222 8460 3223 8462 3223 8464 3225 8471
      3241 8470 3240 8451 3221 8455
TIME...MOT...LOC 1951Z 278DEG 1KT 3229 8464

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
417 PM EDT FRI MAY 25 2018

GAZ090-091-102-103-252045-
Chattahoochee GA-Stewart GA-Marion GA-Webster GA-
417 PM EDT FRI MAY 25 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN CHATTAHOOCHEE...
NORTHEASTERN STEWART...SOUTHWESTERN MARION AND NORTHWESTERN WEBSTER
COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM EDT...

At 416 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Zellobee, or 7 miles
southwest of Buena Vista...moving southeast at 5 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas. Trees
           can down more easily with wet soils.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Seminole, Christopher, Brooklyn, Renfroe, Draneville, Manta and
Zellobee.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3235 8475 3243 8464 3220 8446 3212 8471
TIME...MOT...LOC 2016Z 316DEG 5KT 3226 8463

WIND...40MPH