Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2018
River Flood Warning 71, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this river flood warning at Oct 9, 2018, 8:16 AM CDT for Frio County, Texas. It took effect at Oct 10, 2018, 8:02 AM CDT. It was in force for 67 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 9, 2018, 8:16 AM CDT (13:16 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 10, 2018, 8:02 AM CDT
- Expired
- Oct 13, 2018, 3:07 AM CDT
- In force
- 67 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Moderate
County Frio County, TX
The radar
The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 129 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Frio River near Derby (DBYT2). The gauge peaked at 9.18 ft at Oct 11, 2018, 7:00 PM CDT.
- Action stage
- 6 ft
- Minor stage
- 6 ft
- Moderate stage
- 7 ft
- Major stage
- 17 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08205500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
436
WGUS44 KEWX 091316
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
816 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018
...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued
a flood warning for the...
Frio River...Nueces River
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC127-100715-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0070.181010T1633Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASRT2.3.ER.181010T1633Z.181012T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
816 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018
The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a
* Flood Warning for
the Nueces River Near Asherton.
* from Wednesday morning until further notice...or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 7:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 6.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and continue to
rise to near 27.8 feet by early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Major widespread lowland flooding cuts off and
potentially drowns livestock above Uvalde to below Tilden. Most secondary
roads and low bridges near the river flood. Flow is within a foot of the
bottom of the Farm to Market 190 bridge and the approaches are flooded.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Asherton 18 20 6.8 Tue 07 AM 16.2 25.0 27.7 25.8 20.2
&&
LAT...LON 2848 9975 2853 9967 2847 9939 2839 9939
$$
TXC163-100715-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0071.181010T1302Z-181011T1200Z/
/DBYT2.2.ER.181010T1302Z.181010T1800Z.181011T0000Z.NO/
816 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018
The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a
* Flood Warning for
the Frio River Near Derby.
* from Wednesday morning to Thursday morning...or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 7:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 1.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise to
near 7.9 feet by tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood
stage by tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding closes Farm to Market 1581
near Derby.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Derby 6 6 1.3 Tue 07 AM 5.6 4.2 2.4 1.7 1.3
&&
LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910
$$12 follow-up statements
263
WGUS84 KEWX 091959
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
259 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Nueces River Below Uvalde Affecting Uvalde County
Nueces River Near Asherton Affecting Dimmit County
Frio River Near Derby Affecting Frio County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC463-101358-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-181011T1530Z/
/UVLT2.3.ER.181008T2239Z.181010T1000Z.181011T0330Z.UU/
259 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Nueces River Below Uvalde.
* At 2:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to rise to near
18.5 feet by early tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow
late evening.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Major flooding extends well into the flood plain.
Livestock in the flood plain should be moved to higher ground immediately.
Highways 57, 65, 85, 190, and Farm to Market 1025 are flooded and closed.
Fencing and roads are damaged.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Uvalde 10 11 9.0 Tue 02 PM 18.3 7.3 4.8 4.6 4.5
&&
LAT...LON 2913 9994 2914 9985 2885 9974 2853 9967
2848 9975 2880 9985
$$
TXC127-101358-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0070.181010T1633Z-181014T2303Z/
/ASRT2.3.ER.181010T1633Z.181012T0600Z.181014T1103Z.NO/
259 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Nueces River Near Asherton.
* At 2:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 6.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and continue to
rise to near 28.3 feet by early Friday morning. The river will fall below
flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Widespread major flooding threatens livestock over a
large area of the flood plain. A mile of Farm to Market 190 near the river is
flooded and flow is within a foot of the Farm to Market 190 bridge floor over
the Nueces River. The Nueces River and Turkey Creek are a mile and a half wide
south and west of Carrizo Springs.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Asherton 18 20 6.9 Tue 02 PM 16.2 25.7 28.2 25.7 19.7
&&
LAT...LON 2848 9975 2853 9967 2847 9939 2839 9939
$$
TXC163-101358-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0071.181010T1249Z-181013T1547Z/
/DBYT2.2.ER.181010T1249Z.181012T1200Z.181013T0347Z.NO/
259 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Frio River Near Derby.
* At 2:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 2.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise to
near 11.9 feet by Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage by
Friday before midnight.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Lowland flooding below Concan to Choke Canyon
Reservoir floods oil well pump jacks, irrigation pumps and any equipment in
the lower flood plain near and above Derby.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Derby 6 6 2.3 Tue 02 PM 5.7 5.4 11.9 4.3 2.6
&&
LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910
$$764
WGUS84 KEWX 100155
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
855 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Frio River At Concan Affecting Uvalde County
Frio River Below Dry Frio Affecting Uvalde County
Frio River Near Derby Affecting Frio County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC463-101949-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-181010T1949Z/
/CNCT2.2.ER.181010T0310Z.181010T0500Z.181010T0749Z.NO/
855 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Frio River At Concan.
* At 8:47 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise to near 14.8
feet. The river will fall below flood stage by sunrise Wednesday.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Major flooding increases very quickly to several feet
deep over the Frio River banks of recreation camps near Rio Frio to near
Concan. Sleeping campers, autos and recreational vehicles can be washed
downstream. This is a life threatening level.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Concan 7 11 9.2 Tue 09 PM 6.8 4.8 4.6 4.6 4.6
&&
LAT...LON 2951 9975 2951 9967 2943 9962 2929 9962
2923 9971 2942 9970
$$
TXC463-101955-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0074.181010T0905Z-181011T0316Z/
/UDET2.2.ER.181010T0905Z.181010T1000Z.181010T1516Z.NO/
855 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Frio River Below Dry Frio.
* At 8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage to near 15.7 feet by early
Wednesday. The river will fall below flood stage by late Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Moderate flooding reaches crop and pasture land near
the river. Secondary and primary roads and low bridges flood.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Dry Frio 10 12 10.8 Tue 08 PM 15.3 3.9 3.3 3.0 3.0
&&
LAT...LON 2923 9971 2929 9962 2898 9917 2876 9912
2873 9920 2893 9924
$$
TXC163-101955-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0071.181010T1300Z-181013T1500Z/
/DBYT2.2.ER.181010T1300Z.181012T1200Z.181013T0300Z.NO/
855 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Frio River Near Derby.
* At 8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 3.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Wednesday morning and continue to rise to
near 11.9 feet by Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage by
Friday before midnight.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Lowland flooding below Concan to Choke Canyon
Reservoir floods oil well pump jacks, irrigation pumps and any equipment in
the lower flood plain near and above Derby.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Derby 6 6 3.8 Tue 08 PM 5.9 5.4 11.9 4.1 2.4
&&
LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910
$$952
WGUS84 KEWX 100824
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
324 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018
...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...
Frio River At Concan Affecting Uvalde County
Frio River Below Dry Frio Affecting Uvalde County
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Frio River Near Derby Affecting Frio County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC463-100854-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-181010T1949Z/
/CNCT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
324 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018
The flood warning is cancelled for
the Frio River At Concan.
* At 3:01 AM Wednesday the stage was 6.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 9.3 feet. The river will
continue falling below bankfull stage.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Concan 7 11 6.6 Wed 03 AM 5.8 5.0 4.6 4.6 4.6
&&
LAT...LON 2951 9975 2951 9967 2943 9962 2929 9962
2923 9971 2942 9970
$$
TXC463-100854-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-181011T0316Z/
/UDET2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
324 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018
The flood warning is cancelled for
the Frio River Below Dry Frio.
* At 2:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 10.9 feet. The river will
continue falling below bankfull stage.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Dry Frio 10 12 9.5 Wed 02 AM 8.9 3.9 3.3 3.0 3.0
&&
LAT...LON 2923 9971 2929 9962 2898 9917 2876 9912
2873 9920 2893 9924
$$
TXC163-110223-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0071.181010T1415Z-181013T1350Z/
/DBYT2.2.ER.181010T1415Z.181012T1200Z.181013T0150Z.NO/
324 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Frio River Near Derby.
* At 2:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 5.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue to rise to
near 11.6 feet by Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage by
Friday evening.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Lowland flooding below Concan to Choke Canyon
Reservoir floods oil well pump jacks, irrigation pumps and any equipment in
the lower flood plain near and above Derby.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Derby 6 6 5.1 Wed 02 AM 5.7 5.5 11.6 3.8 2.4
&&
LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910
$$462
WGUS84 KEWX 101442
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
942 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Nueces River Below Uvalde Affecting Uvalde County
Nueces River Near Asherton Affecting Dimmit County
Frio River Near Derby Affecting Frio County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC463-110842-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-181011T1620Z/
/UVLT2.3.ER.181008T2239Z.181010T0215Z.181011T0420Z.UU/
942 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Nueces River Below Uvalde.
* At 9:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tonight.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Moderate flooding with livestock cut off and equipment
destroyed in lowest areas of the flood plain. Secondary roads and low bridges
are dangerous to auto traffic above Barksdale to below Carrizo Springs.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Uvalde 10 11 15.4 Wed 09 AM 7.9 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.3
&&
LAT...LON 2913 9994 2914 9985 2885 9974 2853 9967
2848 9975 2880 9985
$$
TXC127-110842-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0070.181010T1442Z-181015T0936Z/
/ASRT2.3.ER.181010T1005Z.181012T1200Z.181014T2136Z.NO/
942 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Nueces River Near Asherton.
* At 9:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 22.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.4 feet by Friday morning.
The river will fall below flood stage Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Widespread major flooding threatens livestock over a
large area of the flood plain. A mile of Farm to Market 190 near the river is
flooded and flow is within a foot of the Farm to Market 190 bridge floor over
the Nueces River. The Nueces River and Turkey Creek are a mile and a half wide
south and west of Carrizo Springs.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Asherton 18 20 22.1 Wed 09 AM 27.0 29.4 26.8 22.4 16.5
&&
LAT...LON 2848 9975 2853 9967 2847 9939 2839 9939
$$
TXC163-110842-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-181013T1516Z/
/DBYT2.2.ER.181010T1122Z.181012T0600Z.181013T0316Z.NO/
942 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Frio River Near Derby.
* At 8:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 6.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.8 feet by early Friday
morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday before midnight.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Lowland flooding below Concan to Choke Canyon
Reservoir floods oil well pump jacks, irrigation pumps and any equipment in
the lower flood plain near and above Derby.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Derby 6 6 6.4 Wed 08 AM 6.4 10.6 3.9 2.3 1.8
&&
LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910
$$183
WGUS84 KEWX 110116
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
816 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Nueces River Below Uvalde Affecting Uvalde County
Nueces River Near Asherton Affecting Dimmit County
Frio River Near Derby Affecting Frio County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC463-111400-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-181011T1400Z/
/UVLT2.3.ER.181008T2239Z.181010T0215Z.181011T0200Z.UU/
816 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Nueces River Below Uvalde.
* At 7:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this
evening.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding nine miles southwest of Uvalde
closes the Farm to Market 481 bridge floor. Livestock in the flood plain
should be moved to higher ground.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Uvalde 10 11 11.1 Wed 07 PM 9.6 6.9 5.4 4.8 4.7
&&
LAT...LON 2913 9994 2914 9985 2885 9974 2853 9967
2848 9975 2880 9985
$$
TXC127-111916-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-181015T2324Z/
/ASRT2.3.ER.181010T1005Z.181012T1200Z.181015T1124Z.NO/
816 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Nueces River Near Asherton.
* At 7:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 24.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.9 feet by Friday morning.
The river will fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Widespread major flooding threatens livestock over a
large area of the flood plain. A mile of Farm to Market 190 near the river is
flooded and flow is within a foot of the Farm to Market 190 bridge floor over
the Nueces River. The Nueces River and Turkey Creek are a mile and a half wide
south and west of Carrizo Springs.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Asherton 18 20 24.2 Wed 07 PM 27.2 29.9 28.0 24.7 19.9
&&
LAT...LON 2848 9975 2853 9967 2847 9939 2839 9939
$$
TXC163-111916-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-181013T1323Z/
/DBYT2.2.ER.181010T1122Z.181012T0600Z.181013T0123Z.NO/
816 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Frio River Near Derby.
* At 7:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.2 feet by early Friday
morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday evening.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Lowland flooding below Concan to Choke Canyon
Reservoir floods oil well pump jacks, irrigation pumps and any equipment in
the lower flood plain near and above Derby.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Derby 6 6 7.2 Wed 07 PM 7.1 10.2 4.0 2.2 1.8
&&
LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910
$$776
WGUS84 KEWX 111437
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
937 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Nueces River Near Asherton Affecting Dimmit County
Frio River Near Derby Affecting Frio County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC127-120836-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-181016T1348Z/
/ASRT2.3.ER.181010T1005Z.181012T1800Z.181016T0148Z.NO/
937 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Nueces River Near Asherton.
* At 8:30 AM Thursday the stage was 26.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.6 feet by tomorrow early
afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Monday evening.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Widespread major flooding threatens livestock over a
large area of the flood plain. A mile of Farm to Market 190 near the river is
flooded and flow is within a foot of the Farm to Market 190 bridge floor over
the Nueces River. The Nueces River and Turkey Creek are a mile and a half wide
south and west of Carrizo Springs.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Asherton 18 20 26.6 Thu 8 AM 29.2 28.8 25.8 22.1 18.4
&&
LAT...LON 2848 9975 2853 9967 2847 9939 2839 9939
$$
TXC163-120836-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-181013T1648Z/
/DBYT2.2.ER.181010T1122Z.181012T0600Z.181013T0448Z.NO/
937 AM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Frio River Near Derby.
* At 8:30 AM Thursday the stage was 8.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.6 feet by after midnight
tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Lowland flooding below Concan to Choke Canyon
Reservoir floods oil well pump jacks, irrigation pumps and any equipment in
the lower flood plain near and above Derby.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Derby 6 6 8.3 Thu 8 AM 10.4 5.1 2.4 1.7 1.6
&&
LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910
$$359
WGUS84 KEWX 111857
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
157 PM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Nueces River Near Asherton Affecting Dimmit County
Frio River Near Derby Affecting Frio County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC127-121256-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-181016T1236Z/
/ASRT2.3.ER.181010T1005Z.181012T1800Z.181016T0036Z.NO/
157 PM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Nueces River Near Asherton.
* At 1:30 PM Thursday the stage was 27.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.5 feet by tomorrow
evening. The river will fall below flood stage Monday evening.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Widespread major flooding threatens livestock over a
large area of the flood plain. A mile of Farm to Market 190 near the river is
flooded and flow is within a foot of the Farm to Market 190 bridge floor over
the Nueces River. The Nueces River and Turkey Creek are a mile and a half wide
south and west of Carrizo Springs.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Asherton 18 20 27.4 Thu 1 PM 29.4 28.9 25.8 22.0 18.2
&&
LAT...LON 2848 9975 2853 9967 2847 9939 2839 9939
$$
TXC163-121256-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-181013T1640Z/
/DBYT2.2.ER.181010T1122Z.181012T0600Z.181013T0440Z.NO/
157 PM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Frio River Near Derby.
* At 1:30 PM Thursday the stage was 8.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.4 feet by after midnight
tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Lowland flooding below Concan to Choke Canyon
Reservoir floods oil well pump jacks, irrigation pumps and any equipment in
the lower flood plain near and above Derby.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Derby 6 6 8.9 Thu 1 PM 10.2 5.3 2.5 1.7 1.6
&&
LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910
$$459
WGUS84 KEWX 120030
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
730 PM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Nueces River Near Asherton Affecting Dimmit County
Frio River Near Derby Affecting Frio County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC127-121830-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-181016T2230Z/
/ASRT2.3.ER.181010T1005Z.181012T1800Z.181016T1030Z.NO/
730 PM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Nueces River Near Asherton.
* At 6:30 PM Thursday the stage was 28.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.5 feet by early tomorrow
afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Widespread major flooding threatens livestock over a
large area of the flood plain. A mile of Farm to Market 190 near the river is
flooded and flow is within a foot of the Farm to Market 190 bridge floor over
the Nueces River. The Nueces River and Turkey Creek are a mile and a half wide
south and west of Carrizo Springs.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Asherton 18 20 28.1 Thu 06 PM 29.3 29.0 26.3 23.0 19.8
&&
LAT...LON 2848 9975 2853 9967 2847 9939 2839 9939
$$
TXC163-121830-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-181013T2330Z/
/DBYT2.2.ER.181010T1122Z.181012T1200Z.181013T1130Z.NO/
730 PM CDT Thu Oct 11 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Frio River Near Derby.
* At 6:30 PM Thursday the stage was 9.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.2 feet by tomorrow
morning. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Lowland flooding below Concan to Choke Canyon
Reservoir floods oil well pump jacks, irrigation pumps and any equipment in
the lower flood plain near and above Derby.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Derby 6 6 9.1 Thu 06 PM 10.2 5.9 2.7 1.8 1.6
&&
LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910
$$914
WGUS84 KEWX 121347
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
847 AM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Nueces River Near Asherton Affecting Dimmit County
Frio River Near Derby Affecting Frio County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC127-130746-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-181017T0600Z/
/ASRT2.3.ER.181010T1005Z.181013T0000Z.181016T1800Z.NO/
847 AM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Nueces River Near Asherton.
* At 8:30 AM Friday the stage was 29.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.5 feet by this evening.
The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Widespread major flooding threatens livestock over a
large area of the flood plain. A mile of Farm to Market 190 near the river is
flooded and flow is within a foot of the Farm to Market 190 bridge floor over
the Nueces River. The Nueces River and Turkey Creek are a mile and a half wide
south and west of Carrizo Springs.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Asherton 18 20 29.1 Fri 8 AM 29.3 27.7 24.9 21.1 16.8
&&
LAT...LON 2848 9975 2853 9967 2847 9939 2839 9939
$$
TXC163-130746-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-181013T1800Z/
/DBYT2.2.ER.181010T1122Z.181012T0215Z.181013T0600Z.NO/
847 AM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Frio River Near Derby.
* At 8:30 AM Friday the stage was 8.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by after
midnight tomorrow.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding closes Farm to Market 1581
near Derby.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Derby 6 6 8.4 Fri 8 AM 5.4 3.3 1.9 1.7 1.5
&&
LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910
$$592
WGUS84 KEWX 121926
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
226 PM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Nueces River Near Asherton Affecting Dimmit County
Frio River Near Derby Affecting Frio County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC127-131326-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-181017T0452Z/
/ASRT2.3.ER.181010T1005Z.181013T0000Z.181016T1652Z.NO/
226 PM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Nueces River Near Asherton.
* At 1:30 PM Friday the stage was 29.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.5 feet by this evening.
The river will fall below flood stage late Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Widespread major flooding threatens livestock over a
large area of the flood plain. A mile of Farm to Market 190 near the river is
flooded and flow is within a foot of the Farm to Market 190 bridge floor over
the Nueces River. The Nueces River and Turkey Creek are a mile and a half wide
south and west of Carrizo Springs.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Asherton 18 20 29.3 Fri 1 PM 29.3 27.9 24.8 21.3 15.7
&&
LAT...LON 2848 9975 2853 9967 2847 9939 2839 9939
$$
TXC163-131326-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-181013T1724Z/
/DBYT2.2.ER.181010T1122Z.181012T0215Z.181013T0524Z.NO/
226 PM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Frio River Near Derby.
* At 1:30 PM Friday the stage was 7.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by after
midnight tomorrow.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding closes Farm to Market 1581
near Derby.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Derby 6 6 7.9 Fri 1 PM 5.0 3.5 2.0 1.6 1.6
&&
LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910
$$883
WGUS84 KEWX 130055
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
755 PM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Nueces River Near Asherton Affecting Dimmit County
Frio River Near Derby Affecting Frio County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC127-131855-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-181017T1920Z/
/ASRT2.3.ER.181010T1005Z.181013T0000Z.181017T0720Z.NO/
755 PM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Nueces River Near Asherton.
* At 7:30 PM Friday the stage was 29.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is near crest and will remain at around 29.5 feet through
midnight before falling slowly. The river will fall below flood stage early
Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Widespread major flooding threatens livestock over a
large area of the flood plain. A mile of Farm to Market 190 near the river is
flooded and flow is within a foot of the Farm to Market 190 bridge floor over
the Nueces River. The Nueces River and Turkey Creek are a mile and a half wide
south and west of Carrizo Springs.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Asherton 18 20 29.5 Fri 07 PM 29.4 28.2 25.6 22.8 19.3
&&
LAT...LON 2848 9975 2853 9967 2847 9939 2839 9939
$$
TXC163-131855-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-181013T1920Z/
/DBYT2.2.ER.181010T1122Z.181012T0215Z.181013T0720Z.NO/
755 PM CDT Fri Oct 12 2018
The flood warning continues for
the Frio River Near Derby.
* At 7:30 PM Friday the stage was 7.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early
Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding closes Farm to Market 1581
near Derby.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Derby 6 6 7.0 Fri 07 PM 5.3 3.5 2.4 2.1 2.0
&&
LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910
$$106
WGUS84 KEWX 130807
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
307 AM CDT Sat Oct 13 2018
...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...
Frio River Near Derby Affecting Frio County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.weather.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC163-130837-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-181013T1920Z/
/DBYT2.2.ER.181010T1122Z.181012T0215Z.181013T0603Z.NO/
307 AM CDT Sat Oct 13 2018
The flood warning is cancelled for
the Frio River Near Derby.
* At 2:30 AM Saturday the stage was 5.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 3.6 feet by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches the Farm to Market 1581
bridge floor. This will be the last forecast for the event.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Derby 6 6 5.8 Sat 02 AM 5.0 3.6 2.4 1.6 1.6
&&
LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 9, 6:21 AM CDT, 1 hour 55 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 9, 6:21 AM CDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 621 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018 .AVIATION... Showers and thunderstorms will move through the DRT area for the next hour or two. Then ceilings will be IFR/MVFR at all terminals through the morning. There will be a chance for showers and thunderstorms through the day at all area airports. Convection will lower visibility to MVFR. Austin and San Antonio will likely remain MVFR through the afternoon before improving to VFR. DRT should see improvement by late afternoon. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 434 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018/ SHORT TERM (Today through Wednesday)... Showers and thunderstorms are ongoing ahead of an upper level trough over the Four Corners region into northern Chihuahua state in Mexico. They are due to upward forcing, the right entrance region of upper level jet, and a moist and unstable airmass. A band of showers and thunderstorms will gradually form with discreet cells out ahead of it. Well above normal PWs along with slow or training movement will continue the threat of heavy rains and flooding, especially in areas that have received heavy rains recently. Due to this slow movement, have continued the Flash Flood Watch for the Edwards Plateau and western Hill Country through 20z to match up with Llano and Gillespie counties. Further east, while locally heavy rains will occur, the threat for widespread flash flooding is lower, though some flooding is possible especially in urban areas where runoff is more rapid. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with isolated amounts up to 5 inches are expected. In addition, favorable low level shear will make severe storms possible with damaging winds the main threat, though cannot rule out a tornado. Showers and thunderstorms will gradually end from west to east as the trough axis moves across our area today into tonight. Fair weather is expected on Wednesday as drier air filters in, in the wake of a weak frontal passage. LONG TERM (Wednesday Night through Monday)... The fair weather continues for most areas through Thursday night, although showers and thunderstorms on the Serranias del Burro may move to Rio Grande Valley before dissipation. On Friday through the weekend into next week, an upper level trough drops down the west coast and closes off off the west coast. This causes eastern Pacific Hurricane Sergio to move northeast, make landfalls as a tropical storms over central Baja California by Friday and Sonora state of Mexico by Saturday, then its remnants and moisture move across Texas this weekend. Southeasterly flow returns increasing lower level moisture. A stronger cold front moves across our area on Sunday. All of these features combined with the increased moisture bring chances of showers and thunderstorms back for Friday through Monday. In the wake of the frontal passage, the first chill of the fall season is expected with lows in the 40s in the Hill Country and 50s elsewhere with highs in the 60s on Monday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 83 66 82 59 79 / 80 60 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 84 66 82 59 79 / 80 60 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 84 66 84 60 79 / 80 50 0 0 - Burnet Muni Airport 81 61 80 56 76 / 80 50 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 84 63 87 65 82 / 70 - 0 10 20 Georgetown Muni Airport 82 63 80 56 77 / 80 60 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 84 64 87 62 81 / 80 30 0 - 10 San Marcos Muni Airport 84 67 83 60 79 / 80 60 0 0 - La Grange - Fayette Regional 86 69 84 61 81 / 70 70 - 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 84 67 85 62 80 / 80 50 0 - - Stinson Muni Airport 84 68 86 64 81 / 80 50 0 - 10 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flash Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT this morning for Maverick-Val Verde-Zavala. Flash Flood Watch until 3 PM CDT this afternoon for Bandera-Edwards- Gillespie-Kerr-Kinney-Llano-Real-Uvalde. && Mesoscale/Aviation...05 Synoptic/Grids...04
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 9, 5:05 AM CDT, 3 hours 11 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 505 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-101015- Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera- Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde- Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala- Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit- 505 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas.. .DAY ONE...Today And Tonight. Showers and thunderstorms are expected today into tonight. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected with isolated amounts up to 5 inches possible. There is also a possibility of severe thunderstorms. Large hail and damaging winds are the main threats, however isolated tornadoes cannot be ruled out. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated, however, all reports are welcome especially severe and flash flooding.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Oct 9, 4:34 AM CDT, 3 hours 42 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
434 AM CDT TUE OCT 9 2018
TXZ183-091015-
Val Verde TX-
434 AM CDT TUE OCT 9 2018
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN VAL VERDE COUNTY
UNTIL 515 AM CDT...
At 434 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 9 miles south of Pandale to 7 miles south of
Langtry. Movement was north at 30 mph.
Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.
Locations impacted include...
Langtry, Shumla, Pandale and Amistad Recreation Area - Pecos River
Boat Ramp.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3029 10155 3029 10137 2977 10126 2969 10137
2975 10142 2977 10140 2975 10144 2978 10145
2979 10147 2976 10151 2976 10154 2981 10154
2980 10157 2978 10158 3006 10164
TIME...MOT...LOC 0934Z 202DEG 25KT 3006 10160 2970 10152
BFSpecial weather statement, Oct 9, 5:16 AM CDT, 3 hours before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
516 AM CDT TUE OCT 9 2018
TXZ183-091100-
Val Verde TX-
516 AM CDT TUE OCT 9 2018
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN VAL VERDE COUNTY
UNTIL 600 AM CDT...
At 516 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles north of Juno to 8 miles southwest of
Seminole Canyon State Park. Movement was northeast at 35 mph.
Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.
Locations impacted include...
Comstock, Juno, Shumla, Seminole Canyon State Park, Bakers Crossing,
Devils River SNA - Del Norte, and Amistad Recreation Area - Pecos
River Boat Ramp.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Austin San Antonio.
&&
LAT...LON 3029 10112 3029 10070 3026 10070 2976 10098
2964 10130 2966 10132 2966 10135 2965 10136
2970 10137 2975 10142
TIME...MOT...LOC 1016Z 241DEG 30KT 3027 10109 2965 10144
BFLocal storm report, Oct 9, 5:25 AM CDT, 2 hours 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
525 AM CDT TUE OCT 9 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0426 AM TSTM WND GST 1 N LAUGHLIN AFB 29.37N 100.78W
10/09/2018 M72 MPH VAL VERDE TX ASOS
ASOS AT LAUGHLIN AFB REPORTED 72 MPH WIND
GUST AND 3/4 INCH HAIL.
&&Special weather statement, Oct 9, 5:47 AM CDT, 2 hours 29 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
547 AM CDT TUE OCT 9 2018
TXZ202-203-091130-
Uvalde TX-Kinney TX-
547 AM CDT TUE OCT 9 2018
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN KINNEY AND WEST
CENTRAL UVALDE COUNTIES UNTIL 630 AM CDT...
At 547 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles east of Brackettville, moving east at 30 mph.
Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Cline, Laguna, and Turkey Mountain.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 2919 10038 2941 10036 2942 10011 2943 9998
2920 9997
TIME...MOT...LOC 1047Z 252DEG 26KT 2930 10029
BFSpecial weather statement, Oct 9, 6:01 AM CDT, 2 hours 15 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
601 AM CDT TUE OCT 9 2018
TXZ185-202-203-091145-
Uvalde TX-Kinney TX-Real TX-
601 AM CDT TUE OCT 9 2018
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN KINNEY...
NORTHWESTERN UVALDE AND SOUTH CENTRAL REAL COUNTIES UNTIL 645 AM
CDT...
At 601 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Montell, or 22 miles northeast of Brackettville, moving east at 30
mph.
Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Reagan Wells and Montell.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Austin San Antonio.
&&
LAT...LON 2959 10022 2963 10006 2962 10002 2964 10001
2968 9981 2943 9977 2942 10019
TIME...MOT...LOC 1101Z 262DEG 26KT 2952 10012
BFThe office that day
Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 8:52 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Bexar | 3 hr |
| Oct 8, 9:14 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Frio | 46 min |
| Oct 8, 9:25 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Terrell | 50 min |
| Oct 9, 12:34 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Val Verde | 8 hr |
| Oct 9, 1:11 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Edwards, Kinney, Real, Uvalde | 109 min |
| Oct 9, 2:02 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Val Verde | 3 hr |
| Oct 9, 2:11 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Edwards | 3 hr |
| Oct 9, 3:10 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Kinney, Val Verde | 65 min |
| Oct 9, 3:16 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Edwards, Kerr | 34 min |
| Oct 9, 3:41 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Kinney, Val Verde | 34 min |
| Oct 9, 4:12 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Kinney, Val Verde | 63 min |
| Oct 9, 4:24 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Kinney | 36 min |
| Oct 9, 4:34 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Val Verde | 41 min |
| Oct 9, 4:50 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Kinney | 55 min |
| Oct 9, 5:02 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Kinney | 118 min |
| Oct 9, 5:13 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Kinney | 47 min |
| Oct 9, 5:16 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Val Verde | 44 min |
| Oct 9, 5:47 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Kinney | 43 min |
| Oct 9, 5:50 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Val Verde | 9 hr |
| Oct 9, 5:53 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Edwards, Real | 2 hr |
| Oct 9, 6:01 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Uvalde | 44 min |
| Oct 9, 6:28 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Real, Uvalde | 62 min |
| Oct 9, 7:28 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Medina, Real, Uvalde | 62 min |
| Oct 9, 8:00 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Edwards, Real | 3 hr |
| Oct 9, 8:16 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Dimmit | 19 days |
| Oct 9, 8:23 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Edwards, Kerr, Real | 3 hr |
| Oct 9, 8:37 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Kerr | 38 min |
| Oct 9, 9:17 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Kinney, Uvalde | 6 hr |
| Oct 9, 9:44 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 31 min |
| Oct 9, 9:58 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Kerr | 20 min |
| Oct 9, 10:17 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Bandera, Kerr, Real, Uvalde | 6 hr |
| Oct 9, 10:42 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Bandera, Gillespie, Kerr | 3 hr |
| Oct 9, 11:45 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Burnet, Llano | 2 hr |
| Oct 9, 11:56 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Medina | 2 hr |
| Oct 9, 12:16 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 27 hr |
| Oct 9, 12:16 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 34 hr |
| Oct 9, 1:52 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Bexar | 113 min |
| Oct 9, 1:54 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Lee | 51 min |
| Oct 9, 3:47 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Fayette, Lee | 43 min |
| Oct 9, 4:06 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 18 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.