Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 40, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

September 14, 2018Val Verde County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this river flood warning at Sep 14, 2018, 10:14 AM CDT for Val Verde County, Texas. It took effect at Sep 16, 2018, 4:36 AM CDT. It was in force for 17 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 14, 2018, 10:14 AM CDT (15:14 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 16, 2018, 4:36 AM CDT
Expired
Sep 16, 2018, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
17 hr
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Val Verde County, TX

The radar

The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Devils River at Pafford Crossing near Comstock (CMKT2).

Action stage
4 ft
Minor stage
5 ft
Moderate stage
6 ft
Major stage
12 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08449400, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

246 
WGUS44 KEWX 141514
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1014 AM CDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Devils River 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC465-150913-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0039.180916T1136Z-180917T0900Z/
/BKCT2.1.ER.180916T1136Z.180916T1800Z.180916T2100Z.NO/
1014 AM CDT Fri Sep 14 2018

The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N of Comstock.
* from Sunday morning to late Sunday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:15 AM Friday the stage was 2.8 feet (0.9 meters).
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet (1.8 meters).
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Sunday morning and continue to rise to 
  near 6.9 feet 2.1 meters by Sunday early afternoon. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by Sunday afternoon. This forecast is based on future rainfall 
  extimates and once rainfall is observed these values may increase or decrease.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...(1.8 meters), Minor lowland flooding extends into low 
  areas of the flood plain with no significant impact.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location           STG  STG    STG   Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Bakers Crossing     4    6    2.8   Fri 09 AM   2.5   6.2   3.5   3.1   2.8


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (M)
Location           STG  STG    STG   DAY TIME   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Bakers Crossing     1    2    0.9   Fri 09 AM   0.8   1.9   1.1   0.9   0.9


&&

LAT...LON 2996 10118 2996 10110 2989 10097 2971 10095
      2968 10103 2986 10105       

$$

TXC465-150913-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0040.180916T0936Z-180917T0300Z/
/CMKT2.1.ER.180916T0936Z.180916T1200Z.180916T1500Z.NO/
1014 AM CDT Fri Sep 14 2018

The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock.
* from late Saturday night to Sunday evening...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  9:15 AM Friday the stage was 2.8 feet (0.8 meters).
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet (1.5 meters).
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Sunday morning and continue to rise to 
  near 5.2 feet 1.6 meters by Sunday morning. The river will fall below flood 
  stage by late Sunday morning. This forecast is based on future rainfall 
  extimates and once rainfall is observed these values may increase or decrease.
* Impact...At 5.0 feet...(1.5 meters), Minor lowland flooding one quarter mile 
  wide at Pafford Crossing covers most of the right bank. Turbulent flow above 
  Pafford Crossing to Amistad Reservoir can wash campers, automobiles, and 
  equipment downstream.

&& 



Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location           STG  STG    STG   Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Pafford Crossing    4    5    2.8   Fri 09 AM   2.9   5.2   3.7   3.3   3.2


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (M)
Location           STG  STG    STG   DAY TIME   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Pafford Crossing    1    2    0.8   Fri 09 AM   0.9   1.6   1.1   1.0   1.0


&&

LAT...LON 2968 10103 2971 10095 2966 10089 2956 10092
      2953 10100 2963 10097       

$$
6 follow-up statements
762 
WGUS84 KEWX 141941
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
241 PM CDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
  
  Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC465-151340-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0039.180916T2333Z-180917T1320Z/
/BKCT2.1.ER.180916T2333Z.180917T0000Z.180917T0120Z.NO/
241 PM CDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...Flood warning extended until Monday morning...The flood warning continues for
  the Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock.
* from Sunday evening to Monday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:15 PM Friday the stage was 2.8 feet (0.9 meters).
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet (1.8 meters).
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Sunday evening and continue to rise to 
  near 6.2 feet (1.9 meters) by Sunday evening. The river will fall below flood 
  stage by Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...(1.8 meters), Minor lowland flooding extends into low 
  areas of the flood plain with no significant impact.

&& 



Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location           STG  STG    STG   Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Bakers Crossing     4    6    2.8   Fri  2 PM   2.7   3.2   3.9   3.0   2.6


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (M)
Location           STG  STG    STG   DAY TIME   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Bakers Crossing     1    2    0.9   Fri  2 PM   0.8   1.0   1.2   0.9   0.8


&&

LAT...LON 2996 10118 2996 10110 2989 10097 2971 10095
      2968 10103 2986 10105       

$$

TXC465-151340-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0040.180916T2230Z-180917T1232Z/
/CMKT2.1.ER.180916T2230Z.180917T0000Z.180917T0032Z.NO/
241 PM CDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...Flood warning extended until Monday morning...The flood warning continues for
  the Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock.
* from Sunday afternoon to Monday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:15 PM Friday the stage was 2.7 feet (0.8 meters).
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet (1.5 meters).
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Sunday afternoon and continue to rise to 
  near 5.1 feet (1.6 meters) by Sunday evening. The river will fall below flood 
  stage by Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 5.0 feet...(1.5 meters), Minor lowland flooding one quarter mile 
  wide at Pafford Crossing covers most of the right bank. Turbulent flow above 
  Pafford Crossing to Amistad Reservoir can wash campers, automobiles, and 
  equipment downstream.

&& 



Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location           STG  STG    STG   Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Pafford Crossing    4    5    2.7   Fri  2 PM   2.9   3.9   3.7   3.2   3.1


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (M)
Location           STG  STG    STG   DAY TIME   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Pafford Crossing    1    2    0.8   Fri  2 PM   0.9   1.2   1.1   1.0   0.9


&&

LAT...LON 2968 10103 2971 10095 2966 10089 2956 10092
      2953 10100 2963 10097       

$$
841 
WGUS84 KEWX 150122
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
822 PM CDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
  Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC465-151922-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0039.180916T2332Z-180917T1248Z/
/BKCT2.1.ER.180916T2332Z.180917T0000Z.180917T0048Z.NO/
822 PM CDT Fri Sep 14 2018

The flood warning continues for
  the Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock.
* from Sunday evening to Monday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:15 PM Friday the stage was 2.8 feet (0.9 meters).
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet (1.8 meters).
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Sunday evening and continue to rise to 
  near 6.2 feet 1.9 meters by Sunday evening. The river will fall below flood 
  stage by Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...(1.8 meters), Minor lowland flooding extends into low 
  areas of the flood plain with no significant impact.

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location           STG  STG    STG   Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Bakers Crossing     4    6    2.8   Fri 07 PM   2.8   3.2   3.7   2.9   2.6


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (M)
Location           STG  STG    STG   Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Bakers Crossing     1    2    0.9   Fri 07 PM   0.9   1.0   1.1   0.9   0.8

&&

LAT...LON 2996 10118 2996 10110 2989 10097 2971 10095
      2968 10103 2986 10105       

$$

TXC465-151922-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0040.180916T1724Z-180917T0632Z/
/CMKT2.1.ER.180916T1724Z.180916T1800Z.180916T1832Z.NO/
822 PM CDT Fri Sep 14 2018

The flood warning continues for
  the Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock.
* from Sunday afternoon to late Sunday night...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  7:15 PM Friday the stage was 2.7 feet (0.8 meters).
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet (1.5 meters).
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Sunday early afternoon and continue to 
  rise to near 5.1 feet 1.6 meters by Sunday early afternoon. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Sunday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 5.0 feet...(1.5 meters), Minor lowland flooding one quarter mile 
  wide at Pafford Crossing covers most of the right bank. Turbulent flow above 
  Pafford Crossing to Amistad Reservoir can wash campers, automobiles, and 
  equipment downstream.

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location           STG  STG    STG   Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Pafford Crossing    4    5    2.7   Fri 07 PM   2.8   4.1   3.6   3.2   3.1


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (M)
Location           STG  STG    STG   Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Pafford Crossing    1    2    0.8   Fri 07 PM   0.9   1.2   1.1   1.0   0.9


&&

LAT...LON 2968 10103 2971 10095 2966 10089 2956 10092
      2953 10100 2963 10097       

$$
270 
WGUS84 KEWX 151436
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
936 AM CDT Sat Sep 15 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
  Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock Affecting Val Verde County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC465-160836-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0039.180916T2333Z-180917T1255Z/
/BKCT2.1.ER.180916T2333Z.180917T0000Z.180917T0055Z.NO/
936 AM CDT Sat Sep 15 2018

...Flood warning extended until Monday morning...The flood warning continues for
  the Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock.
* from Sunday evening to Monday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:15 AM Saturday the stage was 2.8 feet (0.9 meters).
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet (1.8 meters).
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Sunday evening and continue to rise to 
  near 6.2 feet 1.9 meters. The river will fall below flood stage by 
  tomorrow evening. This forecast is based on future rainfall extimates 
  and once rainfall is observed these values may increase or decrease.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...(1.8 meters), Minor lowland flooding extends into low 
  areas of the flood plain with no significant impact.

&& 



Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location           STG  STG    STG   Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Bakers Crossing     4    6    2.8   Sat 09 AM   3.2   3.6   3.1   2.8   2.7


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (M)
Location           STG  STG    STG   DAY TIME   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Bakers Crossing     1    2    0.9   Sat 09 AM   1.0   1.1   0.9   0.9   0.8


&&

LAT...LON 2996 10118 2996 10110 2989 10097 2971 10095
      2968 10103 2986 10105       

$$

TXC465-160836-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0040.180916T1730Z-180917T0630Z/
/CMKT2.1.ER.180916T1730Z.180916T1800Z.180916T1830Z.NO/
936 AM CDT Sat Sep 15 2018

The flood warning continues for
  the Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock.
* from Sunday afternoon to late Sunday night...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  9:15 AM Saturday the stage was 2.7 feet (0.8 meters).
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet (1.5 meters).
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early Sunday afternoon and continue to 
  rise to near 5.1 feet 1.6 meters by Sunday afternoon. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Sunday evening. This forecast is based on 
  future rainfall extimates and once rainfall is observed these values
  may increase or decrease.
* Impact...At 5.0 feet...(1.5 meters), Minor lowland flooding one quarter mile 
  wide at Pafford Crossing covers most of the right bank. Turbulent flow above 
  Pafford Crossing to Amistad Reservoir can wash campers, automobiles, and 
  equipment downstream.

&& 



Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location           STG  STG    STG   Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Pafford Crossing    4    5    2.7   Sat 09 AM   3.9   3.3   3.1   3.0   3.0


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (M)
Location           STG  STG    STG   DAY TIME   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Pafford Crossing    1    2    0.8   Sat 09 AM   1.2   1.0   0.9   0.9   0.9


&&

LAT...LON 2968 10103 2971 10095 2966 10089 2956 10092
      2953 10100 2963 10097       

$$
778 
WGUS84 KEWX 151956
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
256 PM CDT Sat Sep 15 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
  
  Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC465-161355-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0039.180916T2335Z-180917T1255Z/
/BKCT2.1.ER.180916T2335Z.180917T0000Z.180917T0055Z.NO/
256 PM CDT Sat Sep 15 2018

The flood warning continues for
  the Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock.
* from Sunday evening to Monday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:15 PM Saturday the stage was 2.8 feet (0.9 meters).
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet (1.8 meters).
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue to rise to 
  near 6.2 feet (1.9 meters) by tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood 
  stage by tomorrow evening. This forecast is based on future rainfall estimates 
  and once rainfall is observed these values may increase or decrease.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...(1.8 meters), Minor lowland flooding extends into low 
  areas of the flood plain with no significant impact.

&& 



Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location           STG  STG    STG   Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Bakers Crossing     4    6    2.8   Sat  2 PM   3.2   3.6   3.3   2.9   2.6


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (M)
Location           STG  STG    STG   DAY TIME   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Bakers Crossing     1    2    0.9   Sat  2 PM   1.0   1.1   1.0   0.9   0.8


&&

LAT...LON 2996 10118 2996 10110 2989 10097 2971 10095
      2968 10103 2986 10105       

$$

TXC465-161355-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0040.180916T1700Z-180917T0720Z/
/CMKT2.1.ER.180916T1700Z.180916T1800Z.180916T1920Z.NO/
256 PM CDT Sat Sep 15 2018

...Flood warning extended until late Sunday night...The flood warning continues 
for
  the Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock.
* from Sunday afternoon to late Sunday night...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  2:15 PM Saturday the stage was 2.7 feet (0.8 meters).
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet (1.5 meters).
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and continue to 
  rise to near 5.2 feet (1.6 meters) by tomorrow early afternoon. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon. This forecast is based on 
  future rainfall estimates and once rainfall is observed these values may 
  increase or decrease.
* Impact...At 5.0 feet...(1.5 meters), Minor lowland flooding one quarter mile 
  wide at Pafford Crossing covers most of the right bank. Turbulent flow above 
  Pafford Crossing to Amistad Reservoir can wash campers, automobiles, and 
  equipment downstream.

&& 



Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location           STG  STG    STG   Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Pafford Crossing    4    5    2.7   Sat  2 PM   4.0   3.3   3.0   3.0   3.0


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (M)
Location           STG  STG    STG   DAY TIME   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Pafford Crossing    1    2    0.8   Sat  2 PM   1.2   1.0   0.9   0.9   0.9


&&

LAT...LON 2968 10103 2971 10095 2966 10089 2956 10092
      2953 10100 2963 10097       

$$
756 
WGUS84 KEWX 160154
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
854 PM CDT Sat Sep 15 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
  Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC465-161953-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0039.180916T2308Z-180917T1400Z/
/BKCT2.1.ER.180916T2308Z.180917T0000Z.180917T0200Z.NO/
854 PM CDT Sat Sep 15 2018

...Flood warning extended until Monday morning...

  The flood warning continues for
  the Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock.
* from Sunday evening to Monday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:15 PM Saturday the stage was 2.8 feet (0.9 meters).
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet (1.8 meters).
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue to rise to 
  near 6.4 feet (2.0 meters) by tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood 
  stage by tomorrow late evening. This forecast is based on future rainfall estimates
  and once rainfall is observed these values may increase or decrease.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...(1.8 meters), Minor lowland flooding extends into low 
  areas of the flood plain with no significant impact.

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location           STG  STG    STG   Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Bakers Crossing     4    6    2.8   Sat  8 PM   3.2   4.0   3.0   2.8   2.6


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (M)
Location           STG  STG    STG   Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Bakers Crossing     1    2    0.9   Sat  8 PM   1.0   1.2   0.9   0.9   0.8


&&

LAT...LON 2996 10118 2996 10110 2989 10097 2971 10095
      2968 10103 2986 10105       

$$

TXC465-161953-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0040.180916T2300Z-180917T1320Z/
/CMKT2.1.ER.180916T2300Z.180917T0000Z.180917T0120Z.NO/
854 PM CDT Sat Sep 15 2018

...Flood warning extended until Monday morning...
  The flood warning continues for
  the Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock.
* from Sunday evening to Monday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:15 PM Saturday the stage was 2.7 feet (0.8 meters).
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet (1.5 meters).
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue to rise to 
  near 5.2 feet (1.6 meters) by tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood 
  stage by tomorrow evening. This forecast is based on future rainfall estimates
  and once rainfall is observed these values may increase or decrease.
* Impact...At 5.0 feet...(1.5 meters), Minor lowland flooding one quarter mile 
  wide at Pafford Crossing covers most of the right bank. Turbulent flow above 
  Pafford Crossing to Amistad Reservoir can wash campers, automobiles, and 
  equipment downstream.

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location           STG  STG    STG   Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Pafford Crossing    4    5    2.7   Sat  8 PM   2.9   3.4   3.0   2.9   2.9


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (M)
Location           STG  STG    STG   Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Pafford Crossing    1    2    0.8   Sat  8 PM   0.9   1.0   0.9   0.9   0.9


&&

LAT...LON 2968 10103 2971 10095 2966 10089 2956 10092
      2953 10100 2963 10097       

$$
605 
WGUS84 KEWX 161350
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
850 AM CDT Sun Sep 16 2018

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...

  San Antonio River Near Elmendorf Affecting Bexar and Wilson Counties
  San Antonio River near Floresville Affecting Karnes and Wilson Counties
  San Antonio River at Hwy 72 nr Runge Affecting Goliad and Karnes Counties
  Medina River near Somerset Affecting 
  Medina River At Hwy 281 Affecting Bexar County
  Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
  Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
  Nueces River Near Asherton Affecting Dimmit County
  Frio River Near Derby Affecting Frio County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC163-170749-
/O.CON.KEWX.FL.W.0045.180918T0000Z-180920T0900Z/
/DBYT2.2.ER.180918T0000Z.180918T1800Z.180919T2100Z.NO/
850 AM CDT Sun Sep 16 2018

The flood warning continues for
  the Frio River Near Derby.
* At  7:30 AM Sunday the stage was 2.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by Monday evening and continue to rise to 
  near 7.5 feet by Tuesday early afternoon. The river will fall below flood 
  stage by Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding closes Farm to Market 1581 
  near Derby.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Derby               6    6    2.3   Sun 07 AM   4.7   7.3   6.5   5.2   4.4


&&

LAT...LON 2873 9920 2876 9912 2864 9902 2864 9910


$$

TXC127-170749-
/O.CON.KEWX.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASRT2.1.ER.180919T0545Z.180920T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
850 AM CDT Sun Sep 16 2018

The flood warning continues for
  the Nueces River Near Asherton.
* At  7:30 AM Sunday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early Wednesday morning and continue to 
  rise to near 23.7 feet by early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding reaches into low lying areas
  of the flood plain. Livestock should be moved from vulnerable areas.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Asherton           18   20   13.9   Sun 07 AM  13.3  14.4  21.8  23.5  21.6


&&

LAT...LON 2848 9975 2853 9967 2847 9939 2839 9939


$$

TXC029-493-161420-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-180918T1615Z/
/ELMT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
850 AM CDT Sun Sep 16 2018

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the San Antonio River Near Elmendorf.
* At  7:30 AM Sunday the stage was 31.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 34.1 feet Monday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding inundates crop and pastureland 
  below San Antonio to below Floresville.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Elmendorf          33   35   31.9   Sun 07 AM  33.5  31.4  22.6  17.4  15.7


&&

LAT...LON 2919 9838 2926 9835 2924 9821 2918 9813
      2911 9820 2918 9826             

$$

TXC255-493-161420-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-180919T1500Z/
/FLVT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
850 AM CDT Sun Sep 16 2018

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the San Antonio River near Floresville.
* At  8:00 AM Sunday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 24.4 feet late Tuesday 
  morning.


&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Floresville        21   27   15.9   Sun 08 AM  22.1  24.3  21.7  17.3  14.4


&&

LAT...LON 2911 9820 2918 9813 2899 9803 2893 9811


$$

TXC175-255-161420-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-180920T2112Z/
/SRRT2.2.ER.180911T2352Z.180913T1300Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
850 AM CDT Sun Sep 16 2018

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the San Antonio River at Hwy 72 nr Runge.
* At  8:15 AM Sunday the stage was 21.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 23.9 feet Wednesday early
  afternoon.


&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Hwy 72 nr Runge    22   27   21.5   Sun 08 AM  22.3  22.5  23.8  22.1  19.0


&&

LAT...LON 2883 9779 2890 9772 2876 9764 2874 9770


$$

161420-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-180917T0100Z/
/SMMT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
850 AM CDT Sun Sep 16 2018

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Medina River near Somerset.
* At  7:45 AM Sunday the stage was 10.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 15.4 feet early Monday morning.


&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri


&&

LAT...LON 2922 9858 2925 9866 2932 9860 2929 9858


$$

TXC029-161420-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-180918T0712Z/
/SAAT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
850 AM CDT Sun Sep 16 2018

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Medina River At Hwy 281.
* At  8:15 AM Sunday the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 19.3 feet late 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches the Farm to Market 1937
  bridge floor.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Hwy 281            16   20   12.9   Sun 08 AM  18.4  10.4   6.5   5.4   5.0


&&

LAT...LON 2922 9857 2929 9857 2926 9835 2919 9838


$$

TXC465-161420-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-180917T1400Z/
/BKCT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
850 AM CDT Sun Sep 16 2018

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Devils River At Bakers Crossing 19N Of Comstock.
* At  8:15 AM Sunday the stage was 2.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 2.9 feet this afternoon.


&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Bakers Crossing     4    6    2.8   Sun 08 AM   2.9   2.9   2.9   2.9   2.9


&&

LAT...LON 2996 10118 2996 10110 2989 10097 2971 10095
      2968 10103 2986 10105       

$$

TXC465-161420-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-180917T1320Z/
/CMKT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
850 AM CDT Sun Sep 16 2018

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock.
* At  8:15 AM Sunday the stage was 2.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 2.8 feet. The river will 
  fall to 2.7 feet by Monday morning.


&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Pafford Crossing    4    5    2.7   Sun 08 AM   2.7   2.7   2.7   2.7   2.7


&&

LAT...LON 2968 10103 2971 10095 2966 10089 2956 10092
      2953 10100 2963 10097       

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 14, 7:01 AM CDT, 3 hours 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 14, 7:01 AM CDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
701 AM CDT Fri Sep 14 2018

.AVIATION...
IFR to MVFR ceilings have filled in across the terminals this morning
and are expected to persist through 14-16Z this morning. Regional
radar mosaic shows rain bands associated with a disturbance/surface
low in the northwest Gulf moving inland from VCT to IAH and simple
extrapolation of these bands places them into the Interstate 35
terminals around 18Z. Based on radar trends and consensus of high
resolution guidance have prevailed SHRA after 18Z for AUS, SAT, SSF.
Expecting to see isolated to scattered SHRA develop ahead of these
bands with heating later today. Periods of SHRA will continue through
the end of the TAF period as the surface low lifts towards LRD with
visibilities dropping into the MVFR (and possibly IFR) range in
heavier cells. Expect northeast winds less than 10 knots veer towards
the east by late in the TAF period as the surface low moves towards
Mexico.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 421 AM CDT Fri Sep 14 2018/

SHORT TERM (Today through Saturday night)...
A slight tightening of the surface pressure gradient is noted
roughly 50 NM NE of BRO this morning by SPC mesoanalysis/LAPS data.
Rapid refresh depictions of the low show the surface low moving
onshore over S Padre Island early this afternoon; timing is quickly
running out for a possible formation of a depression and the
overnight updates from NHC reduces the possible formation of a
depression to 30 percent.

Given this scenario taking shape, the 00z deterministic models
separate themselves with non-Canadian consensus of the NAM/GFS/ECM
looking reasonable for precipitation forecasts across the area. This
means our area-wide storm total rain possibilities lower to mainly
1-3 inches with isolated totals around 5 inches. The 06Z NAM
generates a nocturnal core rainfall max closer to 6 inches over the
Frio/Atascosa county border for Saturday morning and another possible
core rain event on the eastern slopes of the Burro Mountains
Sunday morning. This is perhaps where our emphasis should be in
terms of river responses that could get into moderate flooding.
This means the Rio Grande, the Frio, and the Atascosa. Other
rivers south and west of US Hwy 71 could see some brief minor
river flooding from areas that get mainly daytime training
patterns to set up, and the soils remain damp enough for a spotty
flash flood event as well. Keep in mind that the 00Z NAM is still
preferred over the 06Z run as the 06Z run winds up with a more
compact low than the unfavored 00Z CMC model run for 12Z Saturday.
Nevertheless we might consider the 06Z NAM a reasonable worst
case scenario.

Will leave it to the day shift to make westward expansions of the
watch into say Val Verde County, as they will be able to confirm the
landfall of the tropical feature an how the models are performing up
to that point.

LONG TERM (Sunday through Thursday)...
By daytime Sunday, the better rain chances will have shifted well to
the west of Hwy 281 and mainly west of US Hwy 83. The pwat values
remain close to 2 inches across the area, so will continue to
show daily diurnal rain chances into Wednesday with relative
stability expected at night. However, blended guidances for
Wednesday night may signal the arrival of a new potential heavy
rainfall pattern that would carry out beyond the periods of the
extended forecast. The NHC morning Tropical weather outlook shows
a 50 percent chance of an eastern pacific cyclone forming south of
Mexico with enhanced upper troughing and monsoonal flow
developing over New Mexico. This is a recent trend of the models,
so some of the blended guidances still carry the artifacts of more
stable model runs in the past. The blended guidance thus makes
for a happy medium as future runs could still revert back to a
stronger upper ridge holding in place over West TX. This is just a
feature to keep an eye on for now.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              83  73  86  73  90 /  70  60  70  30  30
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  83  73  86  72  90 /  70  60  70  30  30
New Braunfels Muni Airport     84  73  86  72  89 /  80  60  70  40  30
Burnet Muni Airport            82  71  83  71  87 /  60  60  60  40  30
Del Rio Intl Airport           86  73  83  72  85 /  50  60  80  70  60
Georgetown Muni Airport        83  72  86  72  89 /  60  60  60  30  30
Hondo Muni Airport             84  73  84  72  87 /  70  60  80  50  40
San Marcos Muni Airport        83  73  85  72  89 /  80  60  70  30  30
La Grange - Fayette Regional   83  74  88  73  91 /  80  40  70  30  30
San Antonio Intl Airport       84  73  83  73  88 /  80  60  80  40  30
Stinson Muni Airport           85  74  85  74  89 /  80  60  80  40  30

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Saturday evening for Atascosa-Bandera-
Bexar-Comal-De Witt-Dimmit-Frio-Gonzales-Guadalupe-Karnes-Kendall-
Kerr-Kinney-Lavaca-Maverick-Medina-Real-Uvalde-Wilson-Zavala.

&&

Mesoscale/Aviation...Huffman
Synoptic/Grids...Oaks
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 14, 4:20 AM CDT, 5 hours 54 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
420 AM CDT Fri Sep 14 2018

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-150930-
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-
Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde-
Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala-
Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit-
420 AM CDT Fri Sep 14 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect today and tonight for parts of
the Edwards Plateau, San Antonio Metro area, Rio Grande Plains,
and Coastal Plains. Locally heavy rain today will result in an
increasing flash and river flood threat in the watch area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect through Saturday for parts
of the Edwards Plateau, San Antonio Metro area, Rio Grande Plains,
and Coastal Plains. Heavy rains are expected to continue Saturday
and may linger into Sunday. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches
will be possible with isolated totals up to 5 inches Friday
through Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

While spotter activation is not anticipated, any reports of heavy
rainfall or flooding are appreciated.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 14, 10:14 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXVal Verde66 hr
Sep 14, 10:26 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar, Wilson3 days
Sep 14, 10:26 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXKarnes, Wilson4 days
Sep 14, 10:28 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar3 days
Sep 14, 10:46 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXDimmit7 days
Sep 14, 2:32 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXFrio7 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.