Severe Thunderstorm Warning 286, NWS Des Moines, IA

081 
WWUS53 KDMX 020102 RRA
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
802 PM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

IAC049-153-169-020130-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0286.000000T0000Z-180902T0130Z/
Polk IA-Story IA-Dallas IA-
802 PM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT
FOR POLK...SOUTH CENTRAL STORY AND EAST CENTRAL DALLAS COUNTIES...

At 802 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Grimes, moving
east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

Locations impacted include...
Des Moines, West Des Moines, Ankeny, Urbandale, Johnston, Clive,
Altoona, Waukee, Grimes, Windsor Heights, Bondurant, Polk City,
Saylorville, Mitchellville, Granger, Saylorville Lake, Adventureland
Amusement Park, Merle Hay Mall, Prairie Meadows and Big Creek Lake.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 35 between mile markers 87 and 102.
 Interstate 80 between mile markers 125 and 149.
 Interstate 235 between mile markers 13 and 14.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4187 9335 4174 9335 4165 9336 4158 9389
      4176 9392 4193 9338
TIME...MOT...LOC 0102Z 255DEG 20KT 4171 9378 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

Johnson

525 
WWUS53 KDMX 020126
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
826 PM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

IAC049-153-169-020136-
/O.EXP.KDMX.SV.W.0286.000000T0000Z-180902T0130Z/
Polk IA-Story IA-Dallas IA-
826 PM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR POLK...SOUTH CENTRAL STORY AND
EAST CENTRAL DALLAS COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 830 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However small hail
is still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
central Iowa.

LAT...LON 4187 9335 4174 9335 4165 9336 4158 9389
      4176 9392 4193 9338
TIME...MOT...LOC 0126Z 254DEG 26KT 4176 9357 

$$

Johnson

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
654 PM CDT Sat Sep 1 2018

...Updated 00z Aviation...

.DISCUSSION.../Tonight through Saturday/
Issued at 323 PM CDT Sat Sep 1 2018

Very active weather pattern to persist through much of the forecast
period. Large sub-tropical high over the east central CONUS will
move slightly east and north over the next 24 hrs and will allow the
surface boundary to lift slightly north and focus over central Iowa.
This boundary will be the area of focus for thunderstorms tonight
through Monday. Very heavy rainfall remains the primary concern
during this period as repeated rounds of thunderstorms capable of
producing heavy rainfall.

Currently there is a lull in the thunderstorm activity. Weak surface
boundary was located from near Omaha to Des Moines then northeast
towards Waterloo. This boundary may settle a bit south tonight
before the aforementioned push back to the north. Another wave of
theta-e advection will lift into central Iowa late this afternoon
and into the early evening. This will moving into an area of nearly
uncapped instability near the surface boundary. This forcing may be
enough to trigger a few thunderstorms during this time period and
could have the potential for some large hail and possibly a damaging
wind gusts. Additional storms are expected to develop over Kansas
late this afternoon then the system may become linear and lift
northeast along the boundary and into central Iowa overnight. PWAT
values will remain near to above 2 inches along the boundary as deep
layer moisture advection continues with Gulf flow in the low levels
thanks to the high to the east and monsoonal flow in the mid-levels.
Based on heavy rain potential overnight and recent heavy rains along
with expected focus overnight, will be reorienting the Flash Flood
watch farther north tonight.

Likely will need additional headlines the next few days over central
Iowa for heavy rainfall. The rainfall potential by Tuesday will
shift further northwest on Tuesday with heavy rain remaining
possible. The upper flow will flatted on Wednesday with westerly
flow prevailing through the rest of the period. This will allow the
boundary to drop south but should hangup over southern Iowa/northern
Missouri as it becomes parallel to the upper flow. This should bring
lower threat for thunderstorms north while the south remains active.
Temperature by the end of the week will drop into the 70s.

&&

.AVIATION.../For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening/
Issued at 640 PM CDT Sat Sep 1 2018

Rain showers and thunderstorms will continue to be the main
concern overnight and into the morning. Thunderstorms will be
isolated in nature, and showers will become more widespread
throughout the period. For the most part, conditions will prevail
in the lower range of MVFR. There may be brief periods of IFR if
a downpour occurs directly over a terminal. Confidence in
thunderstorm is occurrence is high across central Iowa is high,
direct impacts to specific terminals is medium.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Sunday morning for IAZ025>028-034>039-
045>050-057>062-070>075.

&&

DISCUSSION...Donavon
AVIATION...Krull

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
354 PM CDT Sat Sep 1 2018

IAZ004>007-015>017-023-024-033-044-081>086-092>097-022100-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Sac-Crawford-Adams-Union-Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-
Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-Appanoose-Davis-
354 PM CDT Sat Sep 1 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight

Periods of strong to severe storms will be possible this evening
and overnight, especially over the southern half to two thirds of
the state. Main threats will be for damaging winds and heavy
rainfall, though severe hail is not out of the question. Heavy
rainfall may cause localized water issues.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

There will be periods of thunderstorms, especially during the
overnight hours throughout this period. Widespread severe weather
is not likely but a few storms from time to time may be strong to
severe. Damaging winds will likely be the main threats with any
stronger storms.

Heavy rainfall will be possible with any thunderstorm. River
flooding and flash flood threats could increase Sunday into next
week due to the continued heavy rain threat.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected though severe weather and
rainfall reports are appreciated.

IAZ025>028-034>039-045>050-057>062-070>075-022100-
Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Calhoun-Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-
Grundy-Black Hawk-Carroll-Greene-Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-
Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-
Warren-Marion-Mahaska-
354 PM CDT Sat Sep 1 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight

Strong to possibly severe thunderstorms and heavy rainfall are
possible this evening and overnight. The main threats will be for
heavy rainfall and damaging winds, though large hail is not out
of the question. Areas that see heavy rainfall may experience
exacerbated water issues since many have received recent moderate
to heavy rainfall.

A flash flood watch is in effect for the area, please visit
www.weather.gov/desmoines for more details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

There will be periods of thunderstorms, especially during the
overnight hours throughout this period. Widespread severe weather
is not likely but a few storms from time to time may be strong to
severe. Damaging winds will likely be the main threats with any
stronger storms.

Heavy rainfall will be possible with any thunderstorm. River
flooding and flash flood threats could increase Sunday into next
week due to the continued heavy rain threat.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected though severe weather and rainfall
reports are appreciated.

CURTIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
708 PM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     HAIL             GRIMES                  41.69N 93.79W
09/01/2018  E1.00 INCH       POLK               IA   PUBLIC

            VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

BSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
711 PM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0710 PM     HAIL             2 ENE URBANDALE         41.65N 93.71W
09/01/2018  E2.00 INCH       POLK               IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
718 PM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0711 PM     HAIL             1 WNW JOHNSTON          41.69N 93.72W
09/01/2018  E1.00 INCH       POLK               IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

AK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
738 PM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     HAIL             2 SSE SAYLORVILLE       41.66N 93.61W
09/01/2018  E1.50 INCH       POLK               IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORTED AT SAYDEL HIGH SCHOOL.

&&

BSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
743 PM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     HAIL             3 W ALTOONA             41.64N 93.54W
09/01/2018  E1.75 INCH       POLK               IA   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            REPORTED AT DELAWARE TOWNSHIP FD.

&&

BSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
745 PM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0738 PM     HAIL             3 WSW ALTOONA           41.64N 93.53W
09/01/2018  E1.00 INCH       POLK               IA   PUBLIC

&&

AK