Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 280, NWS Des Moines, IA

September 1, 2018Adair County, Madison County, Union County, Iowa

NWS Des Moines, IA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 1, 2018, 6:57 AM CDT for Adair County, Madison County, Union County, Iowa. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Sep 1, 2018, 6:57 AM CDT (11:57 UTC)
Expired: Sep 1, 2018, 7:45 AM CDT
In force: 48 min
Issued by: NWS Des Moines, IA
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Adair County, IA, Madison County, IA, Union County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 12.0 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2615 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -112 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1197 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 186 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 306 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 2.2
Supercell composite: 24.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

261 
WUUS53 KDMX 011157
SVRDMX
IAC001-121-175-011245-
/O.NEW.KDMX.SV.W.0280.180901T1157Z-180901T1245Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
657 AM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

The National Weather Service in Des Moines  has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Madison County in south central Iowa...
  Northern Union County in south central Iowa...
  Eastern Adair County in southwestern Iowa...

* Until 745 AM CDT.

* At 657 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Greenfield,
  moving east at 60 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Winterset, Greenfield, Avenue Of The Saints Event Center, Green
  Valley Lake, St. Charles, Truro, Orient, Patterson, East Peru,
  Macksburg, Bevington, Greenfield Municipal Airport, Nodaway Park,
  Badger Creek State Park, Green Valley Lake State Park and
  Winterset-Madison County Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. People outside
should move immediately to shelter inside a strong building. Stay
away from windows.

&&

LAT...LON 4116 9447 4116 9451 4144 9451 4150 9379
      4118 9379 4116 9398 4116 9401 4115 9402
      4110 9447
TIME...MOT...LOC 1157Z 255DEG 54KT 4121 9447 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

REV

2 follow-up statements

304 
WWUS53 KDMX 011227
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
727 AM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

IAC001-121-175-011245-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0280.000000T0000Z-180901T1245Z/
Madison IA-Union IA-Adair IA-
727 AM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 AM CDT
FOR MADISON...NORTHERN UNION AND EASTERN ADAIR COUNTIES...

At 727 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Avenue Of The
Saints Event Center, or near Winterset, moving east at 60 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Winterset, Greenfield, Avenue Of The Saints Event Center, Green
Valley Lake, St. Charles, Truro, Orient, Patterson, East Peru,
Macksburg, Bevington, Greenfield Municipal Airport, Nodaway Park,
Badger Creek State Park, Green Valley Lake State Park and
Winterset-Madison County Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. People outside
should move to a shelter, inside a strong building and away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 4116 9447 4116 9451 4144 9451 4150 9379
      4118 9379 4116 9398 4116 9401 4115 9402
      4110 9447
TIME...MOT...LOC 1227Z 255DEG 54KT 4133 9389 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

REV

698 
WWUS53 KDMX 011246
SVSDMX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
746 AM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

IAC001-121-175-011254-
/O.EXP.KDMX.SV.W.0280.000000T0000Z-180901T1245Z/
Madison IA-Union IA-Adair IA-
746 AM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MADISON...NORTHERN UNION AND
EASTERN ADAIR COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 745 AM CDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

However, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for 
northern Madison, northern Warren, southern Dallas and northern 
Warren Counties until 830 am this Saturday morning. 

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Des Moines .



LAT...LON 4116 9447 4116 9451 4144 9451 4150 9379
      4118 9379 4116 9398 4116 9401 4115 9402
      4110 9447
TIME...MOT...LOC 1244Z 255DEG 54KT 4139 9361 

$$

REV

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Des Moines, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 1, 6:47 AM CDT, 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 1, 6:47 AM CDT, 10 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
647 AM CDT Sat Sep 1 2018

.DISCUSSION.../Today through Friday/
Issued at 504 AM CDT Sat Sep 1 2018

Active weather can be expected through much of the forecast period
as a fairly stagnant pattern sets up across the region. Current
MCS moving across Iowa very slowly will eventually pass to the
east mid to late morning when a brief lull in rainfall will occur.
However there will be broad southwesterly flow over Iowa through
the holiday weekend and for much of the upcoming week. A frontal
boundary will align itself with the deep southwesterly flow and
as a result, will move little through the period. Additionally,
there will be a parade of shortwaves passing across the state,
each of which will enhance convective activity over the forecast
area. Additionally, at least through Labor Day, a low level jet
will focus itself into Iowa during the late evening and overnight
hours. This will result in multiple rounds of thunderstorms over
southern Iowa today then pivot a little to more of a northeast to
southwest area for the rest of the week. Soundings show PWAT's
around 2 inches which is anomalously high for this time of year.
Heavy rainfall will be likely with storms easily capable of
producing 2+ inches of rainfall with locally much higher amounts.

In time exact locations of where the heaviest rain will occur may
get muddied as outflow boundaries contaminate the area.
Additionally, SPC has outlooked Iowa for marginal severe storms
today and Sunday. While the heavy rain threat will be the major
concern...sufficient deep shear and instability will exist over
Iowa which will warrant at least some risk for hail and damaging
wind. This will likely be enhanced during the evening and
overnight with the development of the aforementioned low level
jet but complicated during the day by left over convective debris
and old outflow/thunderstorm boundaries and just how quickly we
can destabilize.

For today and tonight, a flash flood watch has been issued for
east central into south central Iowa where early morning rainfall
has exceeded 4 inches and caused flash flooding issues already.
Additional storms will develop later today and especially tonight
in roughly the same areas likely causing a flash flood potential
due to already saturated soils and residual ponding of water.
Additional headlines will likely be needed with time.

&&

.AVIATION.../For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning/
Issued at 647 AM CDT Sat Sep 1 2018

IFR/MVFR conditions due to storm complex moving across Iowa should
clear eastern TAF's mid to late morning.  VFR conditions the
afternoon but additional storms late day/tonight will bring a return
to IFR/MVFR conditions.  Sfc flow light and vrb but winds will be
gusty near tsra.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Sunday morning for IAZ039-049-050-061-
062-074-075-083>085-094-095.

&&

DISCUSSION...FAB
AVIATION...Krull

Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 1, 4:25 AM CDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
425 AM CDT Sat Sep 1 2018

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>038-044>048-057>060-070>073-081-
082-086-092-093-096-097-020930-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-Boone-
Story-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Adams-
Union-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Appanoose-Davis-
425 AM CDT Sat Sep 1 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight

Strong to possibly severe thunderstorms are possible this
afternoon through tonight. Damaging wind gusts is the main
threat along with heavy rainfall. Large hail is a secondary
threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

There will be periods of thunderstorms, especially during the
overnight hours, through Thursday. Widespread severe weather is
not likely but a few storms from time to time may be strong to
severe. Damaging winds will likely be the main threats with any
stronger storms.

Heavy rainfall will be possible with any thunderstorm. River
flooding and flash flood threats could increase Sunday into next
week due to the continued heavy rain threat.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected though rainfall reports are
appreciated.

IAZ039-049-050-061-062-074-075-083>085-094-095-020930-
Black Hawk-Marshall-Tama-Jasper-Poweshiek-Marion-Mahaska-Clarke-
Lucas-Monroe-Decatur-Wayne-
425 AM CDT Sat Sep 1 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for the area. Please refer to
the National Weather Service website at weather.gov/desmoines for
further details.

Strong to possibly severe thunderstorms are possible this
afternoon through tonight. Damaging wind gusts is the main
threat along with heavy rainfall. Large hail is a secondary
threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

There will be periods of thunderstorms, especially during the
overnight hours, through Thursday. Widespread severe weather is
not likely but a few storms from time to time may be strong to
severe. Damaging winds will likely be the main threats with any
stronger storms.

Heavy rainfall will be possible with any thunderstorm. River
flooding and flash flood threats could increase Sunday into next
week due to the continued heavy rain threat.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected though rainfall reports are
appreciated.

FAB

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 1, 2:38 AM CDT, 4 hours 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
238 AM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0233 AM     HAIL             KNOXVILLE               41.32N 93.10W
09/01/2018  M0.75 INCH       MARION             IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

REV

Local storm report, Sep 1, 2:56 AM CDT, 4 hours 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
256 AM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0233 AM     HAIL             MALCOM                  41.71N 92.55W
09/01/2018  E1.00 INCH       POWESHIEK          IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RELAYED BY DVN NWS.

&&

REV

Local storm report, Sep 1, 3:06 AM CDT, 3 hours 51 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
306 AM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0250 AM     TSTM WND GST     2 W MURRAY              41.04N 93.98W
09/01/2018  M57 MPH          CLARKE             IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORTS NICKEL HAIL AND 0.83 INCHES RAINFALL
            AS WELL.

&&

REV

Local storm report, Sep 1, 4:28 AM CDT, 2 hours 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
428 AM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 AM     TSTM WND DMG     LEON                    40.74N 93.75W
09/01/2018                   DECATUR            IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            REPORTS OF POWER LINES DOWN AND POWER OUTAGE
            IN LEON. DELAYED REPORT. BASEMENT FLOODING
            ALSO REPORTED AT SOME LOCATIONS.

&&

REV

Local storm report, Sep 1, 6:18 AM CDT, 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
618 AM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 W MURRAY              41.05N 93.98W
09/01/2018  M3.56 INCH       CLARKE             IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BF

Local storm report, Sep 1, 6:50 AM CDT, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
650 AM CDT SAT SEP 1 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 N BEACONSFIELD        40.83N 94.05W
09/01/2018  M4.65 INCH       RINGGOLD           IA   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

BF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Des Moines, IA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 31, 10:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DMX	Cass	59 min
Aug 31, 10:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Audubon, Cass	51 min
Aug 31, 10:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Jasper, Mahaska, Marion, Poweshiek	50 min
Sep 1, 1:01 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Mahaska	22 min
Sep 1, 1:28 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Adair, Adams, Cass, Union	47 min
Sep 1, 3:35 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DMX	Poweshiek, Tama	6 hr
Sep 1, 4:21 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DMX	Clarke, Decatur	5 hr
Sep 1, 4:38 AM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	DMX	Adair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Black Hawk, Boone and 34 more	24 hr
Sep 1, 4:38 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DMX	Tama	6 hr
Sep 1, 5:22 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DMX	Ringgold, Union	4 hr
Sep 1, 5:45 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Clarke, Madison, Union, Warren	29 min
Sep 1, 6:30 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Adair, Adams, Cass	45 min
Sep 1, 7:24 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Adair, Dallas, Guthrie, Madison, Polk, Warren	51 min
Sep 1, 6:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Dallas, Madison, Polk	52 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Iowa, 2018 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.