Alert archive / Wyoming / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2018
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 193, NWS Cheyenne, WY
NWS Cheyenne, WY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 27, 2018, 8:01 PM MDT for Converse County, Wyoming. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 27, 2018, 8:01 PM MDT (02:01 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 27, 2018, 8:30 PM MDT
- In force
- 29 min
- Issued by
- NWS Cheyenne, WY
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Tornado
- Possible
- Hail
- 2.0 in
- Wind
- 70.0 mph
County Converse County, WY
The radar
The Riverton/Lander radar (KRIW), 233 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 1:04 PM MDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Riverton, WY (KRIW), launched 00:00Z, 2.0 hours before the alert went out and 227 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 658 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -86 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2477 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 53 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -9 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 201 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 2.3
The text
As transmitted.
992
WUUS55 KCYS 280201
SVRCYS
WYC009-280230-
/O.NEW.KCYS.SV.W.0193.180728T0201Z-180728T0230Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
801 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2018
The National Weather Service in Cheyenne has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
North central Converse County in east central Wyoming...
* Until 830 PM MDT.
* At 801 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles west of
Pine Tree Junction, or 25 miles southwest of Wright, moving
southeast at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Two inch hail and 70 mph wind gusts.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail
damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect
considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to
mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.
* This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
north central Converse County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
This is a dangerous storm. Prepare immediately for large destructive
hail capable of producing significant damage. People outside should
move to shelter inside a strong building, and stay away from
windows.
&&
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for east central
Wyoming.
LAT...LON 4344 10541 4322 10581 4349 10605 4350 10552
TIME...MOT...LOC 0201Z 321DEG 29KT 4358 10595
TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...70MPH
$$
LyonsWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cheyenne, WY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 27, 5:19 PM MDT, 2 hours 42 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 27, 5:19 PM MDT, 2 hours 42 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cheyenne WY 519 PM MDT Fri Jul 27 2018 .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday) Issued at 317 PM MDT Fri Jul 27 2018 Active weather to continue today into Saturday. Severe thunderstorms likely both days. Currently...Second of three shortwaves seen on water vapor imagery moving through southern Wyoming at this time. Likely the main factor on rapid development of storms to our west across southern Carbon, Albany Counties along the stalled out frontal boundary. Storms are severe as we just got a report of quarter sized hail just west of Cheyenne. Third shortwave seen across northwestern Wyoming, tracking southeast in the northwest flow. This third shortwave is the one thats most concerning as very short term guidance showing more widespread thunderstorm activity developing towards 00Z this afternoon. Latest SPC Mesoanalysis showing pretty unstable conditions late afternoon with surface based CAPE around 3000-3500J/KG. Effective bulk shear increases to 65kts by 00Z with 250mb jet finger of 65-70kts tracking in with the upper shortwave. 0-1km Helicity really ramps up from Douglas down to Sidney, on the order of 150 to 230 m2/s2. So does look like tornadoes are a good bet with the storms that form off to our east. Sig TOR parameter at 21Z at 1 from Douglas down to Cheyenne, indicating any tornado that does develop could be quite strong. Saturday looks like another active day as surface frontal boundary will still be along the Laramie Range and another upper shortwave tracks from northwest to southeast. Shear may be even better Saturday as upper jet increases to 80kts. .LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday) Issued at 425 AM MDT Fri Jul 27 2018 The active thunderstorm pattern will continue through Sunday with more daily afternoon risks for strong to severe storms, due to strong shear and deep moisture for this time of year. Meanwhile, the upper level ridge expected to build over the area during the middle of next week, which will help dry us out a bit. && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening) Issued at 514 PM MDT Fri Jul 27 2018 Weather still active this evening with scattered showers and thunderstorms through mid evening. Favorable southeast winds tonight likely to bring IFR conditions back to KSNY and KAIA after 09Z. Another busy day Saturday afternoon as thunderstorms begin to develop. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 217 PM MDT Fri Jul 27 2018 Minimal fire weather concerns expected through Sunday before drying begins next week. Wetting rains fairly widespread, especially along and east of the Laramie Range. Afternoon humidity well above critical levels with good to excellent humidity recoveries through Sunday. Start to dry Monday with western FWZs experiencing near critical afternoon humidity from Monday on into the week. && .CYS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WY...None. NE...None. && SHORT TERM...GCC LONG TERM...GCC AVIATION...GCC FIRE WEATHER...GCC
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 27, 4:58 AM MDT, 15 hours 3 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Cheyenne WY 458 AM MDT Fri Jul 27 2018 NEZ002-003-019>021-054-055-095-096-WYZ101-102-107-108-117>119- 281100- Dawes-Box Butte-Scotts Bluff-Banner-Morrill-Kimball-Cheyenne- North Sioux-South Sioux-Converse County Lower Elevations- Niobrara County-East Platte County-Goshen County- South Laramie Range Foothills-Central Laramie County- East Laramie County- 458 AM MDT Fri Jul 27 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of western Nebraska...east central Wyoming and southeast Wyoming. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT More strong to severe thunderstorms are expected today with the best chance of severe storms mainly along and east of the I-25 corridor. The main threats will be large hail, damaging winds, and perhaps a couple of tornadoes. These storms will generally move southeast at 30 to 35 mph. The storms should move out of the area by midnight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY The active pattern will continue with more scattered strong to severe thunderstorms anticipated Saturday and Sunday. .Spotter information statement...Skywarn spotter activation can be expected this afternoon and evening. WYZ103>106-109>116-281100- North Laramie Range-Ferris/Seminoe/Shirley Mountains- Shirley Basin-Central Laramie Range and Southwest Platte County- Central Carbon County-North Snowy Range Foothills- Southwest Carbon County-Sierra Madre Range- Upper North Platte River Basin-Snowy Range-Laramie Valley- South Laramie Range- 458 AM MDT Fri Jul 27 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central Wyoming and southeast Wyoming. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A few strong thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and early this evening with the main threats being small hail and gusty winds. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY Scattered thunderstorms will continue Saturday and Sunday with more chances of strong thunderstorms. The main threats will be small hail and gusty winds. .Spotter information statement...Skywarn spotter activation is not anticipated.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 27, 4:26 PM MDT, 3 hours 35 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Cheyenne WY 426 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2018 WYZ106>108-117-118-272315- East Platte County WY- Central Laramie Range and Southwest Platte County WY- Goshen County WY-Central Laramie County WY- South Laramie Range Foothills WY- 426 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2018 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN GOSHEN...NORTH CENTRAL LARAMIE AND SOUTHERN PLATTE COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM MDT... At 426 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7 miles southwest of Bordeaux, or 13 miles south of Wheatland, moving southeast at 35 mph. Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Chugwater, Bordeaux and Slater. This includes Interstate 25 in Wyoming between mile markers 36 and 72. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service. && A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for southeastern Wyoming. LAT...LON 4146 10487 4186 10523 4200 10505 4173 10441 TIME...MOT...LOC 2226Z 307DEG 29KT 4186 10505 Hammer
Special weather statement, Jul 27, 4:30 PM MDT, 3 hours 31 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Cheyenne WY 430 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2018 WYZ101-103-272315- Converse County Lower Elevations WY-North Laramie Range WY- 430 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2018 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL CONVERSE COUNTY UNTIL 515 PM MDT... At 430 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 15 miles north of Rolling Hills, or 31 miles northeast of Casper, moving southeast at 25 mph. Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Glenrock, Rolling Hills, Rolling Hills Estates and Deer Creek. This includes Interstate 25 in Wyoming between mile markers 154 and 165. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service. && A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for east central Wyoming. LAT...LON 4312 10603 4323 10584 4297 10530 4272 10582 TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 309DEG 22KT 4313 10586 Hammer
Special weather statement, Jul 27, 5:29 PM MDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
529 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2018
WYZ101-103-105-280015-
Shirley Basin WY-Converse County Lower Elevations WY-
North Laramie Range WY-
529 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2018
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL ALBANY AND
SOUTHWESTERN CONVERSE COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM MDT...
At 528 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles southeast of Edness K Wilkins State Park, or 15 miles southeast
of Casper, moving southeast at 40 mph.
Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Campbell Creek Campground, Little Medicine School and Boxelder.
This includes Interstate 25 in Wyoming between mile markers 167 and
174.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for southeastern
and east central Wyoming.
LAT...LON 4255 10607 4294 10606 4280 10584 4241 10567
4227 10607
TIME...MOT...LOC 2328Z 317DEG 43KT 4270 10609
TrudelLocal storm report, Jul 27, 5:53 PM MDT, 2 hours 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
553 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0551 PM HAIL 17 S GLENROCK 42.61N 105.86W
07/27/2018 E0.88 INCH CONVERSE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
BCHAPMANLocal storm report, Jul 27, 6:16 PM MDT, 1 hour 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
616 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0557 PM HAIL 17 S GLENROCK 42.61N 105.86W
07/27/2018 E1.00 INCH CONVERSE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
BCHAPMANSpecial weather statement, Jul 27, 7:04 PM MDT, 57 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Cheyenne WY 704 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2018 WYZ103-106-107-117-280145- East Platte County WY- Central Laramie Range and Southwest Platte County WY- North Laramie Range WY-South Laramie Range Foothills WY- 704 PM MDT FRI JUL 27 2018 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN ALBANY... NORTHWESTERN LARAMIE AND SOUTHERN PLATTE COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM MDT... At 703 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9 miles east of Garrett, or 23 miles west of Wheatland, moving southeast at 40 mph. Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Bordeaux, Slater and Westview Circle. This includes Interstate 25 in Wyoming between mile markers 62 and 75. A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for southeastern Wyoming. LAT...LON 4209 10556 4222 10539 4189 10475 4165 10504 TIME...MOT...LOC 0103Z 313DEG 33KT 4210 10541 Lyons
The office that day
Everything else NWS Cheyenne, WY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 6:08 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Albany, Converse, Platte | 52 min |
| Jul 27, 7:04 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | CYS | Platte | 41 min |
| Jul 27, 7:09 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Albany, Platte | 29 min |
| Jul 27, 8:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Converse | 50 min |
| Jul 27, 9:03 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Converse | 42 min |
| Jul 27, 9:25 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | CYS | Converse | 50 min |
| Jul 27, 9:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Converse | 29 min |
| Jul 27, 9:36 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | CYS | Niobrara | 39 min |
| Jul 28, 3:02 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Converse | 43 min |
| Jul 28, 3:12 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | CYS | Converse | 48 min |
| Jul 28, 3:27 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | CYS | Goshen, Platte | 33 min |
| Jul 28, 3:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Converse, Niobrara, Platte | 43 min |
| Jul 28, 3:49 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | CYS | Albany, Converse, Platte | 41 min |
| Jul 28, 3:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Goshen, Laramie | 35 min |
| Jul 28, 4:26 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | CYS | Albany, Converse, Platte | 34 min |
| Jul 28, 4:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Laramie | 46 min |
| Jul 28, 4:53 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | CYS | Goshen, Platte | 52 min |
| Jul 28, 5:30 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | CYS | Converse | 45 min |
| Jul 28, 5:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Goshen, Platte | 47 min |
| Jul 28, 5:56 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Converse | 64 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Wyoming, 2018Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.