Special Weather Statement, NWS Cleveland, OH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
315 PM EDT Tue May 22 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front across NW OH will push SE of the forecast area this
evening.   High pressure will build south across the Central Great
Lakes Wednesday then drift east and move off the Mid Atlantic Coast
Friday.  Expect dry conditions with a gradual warming trend into the
weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Severe thunderstorm watch 115 is in
effect until 9PM.   Cold front near a Port Clinton to Findlay line.
Capes ahead of the front between 1500-200 j/kg with 30 knots of
shear.  Convection will push SE of the forecast area toward 00z and
the front will push south of the forecast area by midnight local.
Overnight high pressure will gradually build into the Central Great
lakes ushering in dry conditions.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure will dominate the region Thursday into early Friday.
The high will shift east of the are on Friday with an increase in
low level moisture into Saturday. An upper level trough will be
approaching on Saturday so chances of thunderstorms will be on the
increase.

Temperatures will be above seasonal averages through the short term
period.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
The upper level trough will cross the region Saturday night with a
weak front sagging into the area. This frontal boundary will likely
be the focus for thunderstorms on Sunday. Another weakening cold
front will move toward the region Monday night into Tuesday with
chances of thunder remaining in the forecast.

Temperatures will remain near to slightly above seasonal
averages.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Tuesday THROUGH Sunday/...
Cold front just SE of Tol area with broken line of showers
developing ahead of it, from Lake Erie SW into Central IN. It will
become the focus of convection later this afternoon. Convection
should push SE of forecast area by 00z. Stratus deck MVFR with
areas of IFR will develop behind the front overnight. Skies
gradually scatter out from the NW late tonight as high pressure
builds over the Great Lakes. High pressure will remain over the
forecast area into the weekend.

OUTLOOK...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Cold front currently crossing the lake and will be south of it by
early evening. High pressure will then build into the region and
persist into early Friday. Southwesterly winds on Wednesday may
build waves to 2 to 4 feet for a brief period from Conneaut to
Ripley. Winds will become light and variable Wednesday night into
early Friday. Southwesterly winds increase on on Friday and continue
into Saturday. At this time it does not appear waves will build
enough to warrant a small craft advisory.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DJB
NEAR TERM...DJB
SHORT TERM...Mullen
LONG TERM...Kosarik/Mullen
AVIATION...DJB
MARINE...Mullen

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
912 AM EDT Tue May 22 2018

OHZ020>023-029>033-037-038-047-231315-
Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-
Morrow-Holmes-Knox-
912 AM EDT Tue May 22 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio and
northeast Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms will develop this afternoon and evening ahead
of an approaching cold front. Some of the thunderstorms may be
strong to severe. The greatest threat will be from damaging winds.
The thunderstorms may also produce brief heavy rain which may cause
ponding of water and minor flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>019-027-028-036-089-
PAZ001>003-231315-
Lake Erie open waters from Ripley to Buffalo NY-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-Lucas-Wood-
Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-
Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Wyandot-Crawford-Marion-Ashtabula Lakeshore-
Northern Erie-Southern Erie-
912 AM EDT Tue May 22 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie, north central
Ohio, northeast Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
400 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2018

OHZ033-222030-
Mahoning-
400 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN MAHONING COUNTY...

At 359 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Boardman, or
near Youngstown, moving southeast at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Youngstown, Boardman, Campbell, Canfield, Maplewood Park, Austintown,
Struthers, Girard, Poland, New Middletown and Lowellville.

LAT...LON 4100 8084 4113 8073 4114 8064 4113 8052
      4090 8052 4090 8064
TIME...MOT...LOC 1959Z 295DEG 28KT 4103 8068

Oudeman

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
412 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     TSTM WND DMG     RAVENNA                 41.16N 81.24W
05/22/2018                   PORTAGE            OH   PUBLIC

            APPROXIMATELY A 9 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMB DOWN. REPORTED
            ON TWITTER WITH A PICTURE.

&&

RILEY

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
415 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2018

OHZ029-030-222100-
Richland-Ashland-
415 PM EDT TUE MAY 22 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL RICHLAND AND CENTRAL
ASHLAND COUNTIES...

At 414 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Mansfield,
moving east at 40 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with this storm along with
pea size hail.

Locations impacted include...
Mansfield, Ashland, Shelby, Ontario, Lexington, Crestline,
Loudonville, Hayesville, Perrysville, Lucas, Jeromesville, Mifflin,
Rowsburg, Mohicanville and Olivesburg.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4070 8263 4071 8263 4071 8268 4072 8273
      4094 8272 4086 8212 4067 8213 4067 8222
      4061 8222
TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 286DEG 33KT 4082 8251

Oudeman

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