Severe Thunderstorm Warning 48, NWS Cleveland, OH

015 
WWUS51 KCLE 262311
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
711 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2018

OHC143-147-262321-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-180726T2345Z/
Seneca OH-Sandusky OH-
711 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN SENECA AND
SOUTHEASTERN SANDUSKY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 4135 8197 4135 8188 4128 8188 4128 8197
      4120 8197 4120 8208 4114 8208 4116 8282
      4140 8272 4141 8248 4149 8219 4152 8197
TIME...MOT...LOC 2311Z 264DEG 36KT 4121 8268 

$$

OHC043-077-093-262345-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-180726T2345Z/
Huron OH-Erie OH-Lorain OH-
711 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM EDT
FOR NORTHERN HURON...ERIE AND LORAIN COUNTIES...

At 711 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Norwalk, moving
east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to vehicles is possible. Expect damage to 
         trees and power lines.

Locations impacted include...
Lorain, Elyria, Sandusky, Norwalk, Western Vermilion, Vermilion,
North Ridgeville, Avon Lake, Amherst, Grafton, Wellington, Northern
Milan, Milan, Wakeman, Avon, Sheffield Lake, Eaton, Oberlin,
Sheffield and Lagrange.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Prepare immediately for large hail and deadly cloud to ground
lightning. Seek shelter inside a well-built structure. Stay away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 4135 8197 4135 8188 4128 8188 4128 8197
      4120 8197 4120 8208 4114 8208 4116 8282
      4140 8272 4141 8248 4149 8219 4152 8197
TIME...MOT...LOC 2311Z 264DEG 36KT 4121 8268 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

LaPlante

951 
WWUS51 KCLE 262329
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
729 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2018

OHC043-077-093-262345-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-180726T2345Z/
Huron OH-Erie OH-Lorain OH-
729 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN HURON...ERIE AND LORAIN COUNTIES...

At 728 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Wakeman, or
near Norwalk, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to vehicles is possible. Expect damage to 
         trees and power lines.

Locations impacted include...
Lorain, Elyria, Norwalk, Western Vermilion, Vermilion, North
Ridgeville, Avon Lake, Amherst, Grafton, Wellington, Milan, Wakeman,
Avon, Sheffield Lake, Eaton, Oberlin, Sheffield, Lagrange, Penfield
and South Amherst.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Prepare immediately for large hail and deadly cloud to ground
lightning. Seek shelter inside a well-built structure. Stay away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 4135 8197 4135 8188 4128 8188 4128 8197
      4120 8197 4120 8208 4114 8208 4117 8263
      4140 8253 4149 8219 4152 8197
TIME...MOT...LOC 2328Z 264DEG 31KT 4122 8250 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

LaPlante

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
617 PM EDT Thu Jul 26 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front over lower Michigan will move southeast across the
local area tonight. High pressure will build over the region
from the north Friday through the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
No change to forecat. Cold front just through the Toledo area.

Original discussion...
Things have been slow to get going and have actually noted a
decrease in intensity of the storms approaching the west end of
the area. Still expecting a broken line of storms to develop and
move across the local area this evening. The line should reach
the I-71 corridor between 6 and 7 pm. Most areas can expect a 2
to 4 hour period of possible showers and storms. Things will dry
out quickly behind the front with TOL area dry by 00z. Dynamics
are pretty marginal today with very weak mid level lapse rates.
Surface winds have picked up today so low level mixing has
occurred which has lowered dewpoints slightly and held
instability back. The radar will need monitoring this evening
but probably will see no more than a couple severe storms if
that. There could be a few residual showers downwind of the lake
overnight. Coverage should be limited. Better chances for
showers occur Friday afternoon and evening at the east end of
the area as 850 mb temps dip to around 10 degrees. Local schemes
and the cu rule show skies becoming SCT-BKN tomorrow afternoon
most areas. By early Saturday most of the clouds will be gone
as high pressure wins out for good.

Temps kind of tricky with a distinct airmass change expected
during the period. Because of that have not strayed too far from
guidance.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
A great weekend is in store for the area as zonal flow remains
dominant over the region. Daytime high temperatures are expected
to remain in the mid to upper 70s...around 5 to 8 degrees below
normal.

A warm front will slowly move north toward southern Ohio Sunday into
Monday. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible ahead of the warm
front...especially during the day on Monday. Temperatures are
expected to warm a few degrees between Sunday afternoon and Monday
afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Deep upper level troughiness and low pressure will move northeast
out of the Mississippi Valley region.  As this transition occurs,
the low pressure will weaken and the trough will begin to weaken as
well by the time it reaches the forecast area Thursday.  Eventually,
high pressure over the western Atlantic Ocean will build back west
into the forecast area by Friday.

Surface low pressure in association with the upper level low
pressure will track northeast toward the western Great Lakes.  This
will keep warm air advection over the eastern half of the United
States through much of the forecast period.  The surface low
pressure system will move northeast through the Great Lakes region
forcing a cold front east across the area Wednesday night.

Models are all suggesting copious amounts of moisture associated
with the surface low pressure will stream north into the local area
out of the Gulf of Mexico.  This will set-up a potential for some
fairly good rainfall amounts Tuesday night into Wednesday. Soundings
will be nearly saturated during the day Wednesday with precipitable
water values approaching 2 inches.

As the warm air advection takes place ahead of the low pressure
system, expecting temperatures to climb back into the lower 80s
Wednesday and Thursday with lows in the lower to middle 60s.
Dewpoint temperatures will peak out in the middle to upper 60s
Wednesday afternoon and evening.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Thursday THROUGH Tuesday/...
Cold front just through the Toledo area. Storms strengthened
over the lake now pushing inland and moving SE around 25 knots.
Cold see wind gusts to 40kts with storms.

OUTLOOK...VFR conditions expected Friday and into the weekend
with high pressure building over the area.

&&

.MARINE...
A cold front is expected to move east across the lake tonight
resulting in thunderstorms...a few possibly severe late this
afternoon into this evening. These thunderstorms may generate waves
up to 3 feet and gusty winds for a short time. Over the
weekend...winds are expected to remain below 15 knots and waves 1 to
3 feet at most through Monday.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Kubina
NEAR TERM...DJB/Kubina
SHORT TERM...Riley
LONG TERM...Lombardy
AVIATION...DJB
MARINE...Riley

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
315 PM EDT Thu Jul 26 2018

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001>003-271915-
Lake Erie open waters from Ripley to Buffalo NY-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-Lucas-Wood-
Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-
Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-
Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-
Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-
315 PM EDT Thu Jul 26 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie, north central
Ohio, northeast Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

There is a slight chance for severe thunderstorms late this afternoon
and evening as a cold front crosses the area. The main severe weather
threats are damaging straight line winds and large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
405 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2018

OHZ003-007-262030-
Ottawa-Lucas-
405 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT OTTAWA AND NORTHEASTERN LUCAS
COUNTIES...

At 405 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 10 miles east of
Oregon, or 17 miles southeast of Monroe, moving east at 65 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Kelleys Island, Put-In-Bay, Catawba Island, Marblehead, Reno Beach,
Bono and Williston.

LAT...LON 4170 8332 4165 8318 4176 8311 4176 8308
      4172 8309 4165 8317 4155 8293 4174 8280
      4170 8275 4158 8280 4164 8273 4163 8267
      4157 8267 4158 8279 4150 8269 4160 8334
TIME...MOT...LOC 2005Z 276DEG 55KT 4169 8322

LaPlante

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
413 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2018

OHZ003-006-262115-
Wood-Lucas-
413 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL WOOD AND SOUTHWESTERN
LUCAS COUNTIES...

At 413 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Waterville, or
8 miles northwest of Bowling Green, moving east at 30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Bowling Green, Perrysburg, Rossford, Waterville, Whitehouse, Weston,
Maumee, Walbridge, Pemberville, Millbury, Haskins, Luckey, Bradner,
Grand Rapids, Tontogany and Stony Ridge.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4157 8342 4132 8342 4136 8387 4154 8387
TIME...MOT...LOC 2013Z 269DEG 26KT 4146 8378

Lombardy

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
506 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2018

OHZ010>012-262130-
Lake-Lorain-Cuyahoga-
506 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2018

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CENTRAL CUYAHOGA...
CENTRAL LAKE AND NORTHWESTERN LORAIN COUNTIES...

At 503 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from 13 miles north of Timberlake to 9 miles
northeast of Avon Lake to 7 miles northwest of Western Vermilion.
Movement was southeast at 25 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible with these storms. As the
strong winds approach the shore of Lake Erie, there is the
possibility for a rapid increase in water level that could iundate
the shoreline. Any one on the shore should move inland away from the
shore as the strong gusty winds approach the shoreline.

Locations impacted include...
Cleveland, Lorain, Painesville, Willowick, Western Vermilion,
Vermilion, Fairport Harbor, Lakewood, Euclid, Mentor, Cleveland
Heights, Westlake, Avon Lake, Willoughby, Eastlake, Amherst, Perry,
Timberlake, Lakeline and North Olmsted.

LAT...LON 4184 8100 4146 8169 4140 8230 4144 8238
      4154 8201 4153 8172 4175 8136 4185 8104
TIME...MOT...LOC 2103Z 302DEG 23KT 4185 8152 4160 8191 4151 8240

Lombardy