Alert archive / Rhode Island / Coastal Flood Statements in 2018

Coastal Flood Statement 3, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

March 4, 20185 counties in Rhode Island

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this coastal flood statement at Mar 4, 2018, 8:35 PM EST for 5 counties in Rhode Island. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 4, 2018, 8:35 PM EST (01:35 UTC)
Expired
Mar 5, 2018, 12:00 AM EST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA

Counties Bristol County, RI, Kent County, RI, Newport County, RI, Providence County, RI, Washington County, RI

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 1.6 hours before the alert went out and 144 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2018-03-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2018-03-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 49 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1065 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
88 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

997 
WHUS41 KBOX 050135
CFWBOX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Taunton MA
835 PM EST Sun Mar 4 2018

MAZ007-016-019-022-024-050800-
/O.CON.KBOX.CF.Y.0006.180305T0400Z-180305T0800Z/
Eastern Essex MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-
Barnstable MA-Nantucket MA-
835 PM EST Sun Mar 4 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
MONDAY...

* LOCATION...Coastal Plymouth county as well as Barnstable 
  county.

* TIDAL DEPARTURE...Storm surge of 1 to 2 feet.

* TIMING...The overnight high tide cycle.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Minor coastal flooding and splash over 
  are expected during the overnight high tide cycle. The typical 
  low lying areas will most likely see inundation as well as 
  locations that have received breaches in dunes and seawalls. 
  While this high tide will not have as large of an impact as 
  the last couple days...some locations are more vulnerable 
  given the impacts from this long duration event.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Coastal Flood Advisory is issued for minor coastal flooding of
the most vulnerable shore roads and/or basements due to the
height of storm tide or wave splashover. The majority of roads
remain passable with only isolated closures. There is no
significant threat to life...and impact on property is minimal.

&&

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Category thresholds are based on still water levels. Impacts 
may be greater, depending upon wave action.

Newburyport
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.0 FT, Moderate 12.5 FT, Major 14.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.5 FT, Moderate 3.0 FT, Major 4.5 FT

             Total      Total    Departure
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 05/02 AM   9.6/10.1   0.1/ 0.6   0.6/ 1.1   11-12     None
 05/02 PM   9.4/ 9.9  -0.2/ 0.3   0.6/ 1.1   12-13     None
 06/02 AM   9.5/10.0   0.0/ 0.5   0.6/ 1.1   11-12     None
 06/03 PM   8.7/ 9.2  -0.9/-0.4   0.4/ 0.9    9-10     None
 07/03 AM   8.8/ 9.3  -0.8/-0.2   0.2/ 0.7     6       None
 07/04 PM   8.0/ 8.5  -1.6/-1.1   0.2/ 0.7     5       None

Gloucester Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.0 FT, Moderate 14.5 FT, Major 15.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.5 FT, Moderate 5.0 FT, Major 6.0 FT

             Total      Total    Departure
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 05/01 AM  11.5/12.0   2.0/ 2.5   1.3/ 1.8   12-13    Minor
 05/02 PM  11.2/11.7   1.7/ 2.2   1.3/ 1.8     15     Minor
 06/02 AM  11.1/11.6   1.6/ 2.0   1.2/ 1.7   13-14    Minor
 06/02 PM  10.4/10.9   0.9/ 1.4   1.0/ 1.5     11      None
 07/03 AM  10.2/10.7   0.7/ 1.1   0.7/ 1.1     8       None
 07/03 PM   9.4/ 9.9  -0.2/ 0.3   0.6/ 1.1    7-8      None

Boston Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.5 FT, Moderate 15.0 FT, Major 16.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.4 FT, Moderate 4.9 FT, Major 5.9 FT

             Total      Total    Departure
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 05/01 AM  11.8/12.3   1.7/ 2.2   1.1/ 1.6     2       None
 05/02 PM  11.6/12.1   1.5/ 2.0   1.1/ 1.6     2       None
 06/02 AM  11.3/11.8   1.2/ 1.7   0.9/ 1.4     2       None
 06/03 PM  10.6/11.1   0.5/ 1.0   0.8/ 1.3     1       None
 07/03 AM  10.5/11.0   0.4/ 0.9   0.5/ 1.0     1       None
 07/03 PM   9.6/10.1  -0.6/-0.1   0.4/ 0.9     2       None

Scituate
MLLW Categories - Minor 11.5 FT, Moderate 14.0 FT, Major 16.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 FT, Moderate 4.3 FT, Major 6.3 FT

             Total      Total    Departure
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 05/01 AM  11.5/12.0   1.8/ 2.2   1.2/ 1.7   11-12    Minor
 05/02 PM  11.1/11.6   1.4/ 1.9   1.1/ 1.6     14     Minor
 06/02 AM  11.1/11.6   1.4/ 1.9   1.0/ 1.5   12-13    Minor
 06/03 PM  10.3/10.8   0.6/ 1.1   0.8/ 1.3   10-11     None
 07/03 AM  10.2/10.7   0.5/ 1.0   0.5/ 1.0     7       None
 07/03 PM   9.3/ 9.8  -0.5/ 0.0   0.4/ 0.9    6-7      None

Sandwich / Dennis
MLLW Categories - Minor 13.0 FT, Moderate 14.0 FT, Major 15.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.7 FT, Moderate 3.7 FT, Major 5.2 FT

             Total      Total    Departure
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 05/01 AM  12.1/12.6   1.8/ 2.2   1.5/ 2.0    6-7     Minor
 05/02 PM  11.9/12.4   1.6/ 2.0   1.6/ 2.0    9-10     None
 06/02 AM  11.6/12.1   1.3/ 1.8   1.3/ 1.8    7-8      None
 06/03 PM  10.7/11.2   0.4/ 0.9   1.1/ 1.6    4-5      None
 07/03 AM  10.5/11.0   0.2/ 0.7   0.7/ 1.1     2       None
 07/03 PM   9.6/10.1  -0.8/-0.2   0.6/ 1.1    2-3      None

Provincetown Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 12.5 FT, Moderate 13.5 FT, Major 15.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.4 FT, Moderate 3.4 FT, Major 4.9 FT

             Total      Total    Departure
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 05/01 AM  12.2/12.7   2.1/ 2.6   1.3/ 1.8    3-6      None
 05/02 PM  12.0/12.5   1.9/ 2.3   1.3/ 1.8     6       None
 06/02 AM  11.9/12.4   1.8/ 2.2   1.2/ 1.7    3-5      None
 06/03 PM  11.1/11.6   1.0/ 1.5   1.0/ 1.5    1-2      None
 07/03 AM  11.0/11.5   0.9/ 1.4   0.7/ 1.1     6       None
 07/04 PM  10.2/10.7   0.1/ 0.6   0.7/ 1.1     6       None

Chatham - East Coast
MLLW Categories - Minor 9.5 FT, Moderate 12.0 FT, Major 13.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 FT, Moderate 4.3 FT, Major 5.3 FT

             Total      Total    Departure
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 05/02 AM   7.4/ 7.9  -0.3/ 0.2   1.4/ 1.9   12-13     None
 05/03 PM   7.2/ 7.7  -0.6/-0.1   1.4/ 1.9   16-17     None
 06/03 AM   7.2/ 7.7  -0.6/-0.1   1.3/ 1.8   13-14     None
 06/03 PM   6.5/ 7.0  -1.3/-0.8   1.0/ 1.5   10-11     None
 07/04 AM   6.5/ 7.0  -1.3/-0.8   0.7/ 1.1     8       None
 07/04 PM   5.9/ 6.4  -1.9/-1.4   0.7/ 1.1    7-8      None

Chatham - South Coast
MLLW Categories - Minor 9.0 FT, Moderate 10.5 FT, Major 11.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 4.5 FT, Moderate 6.0 FT, Major 7.0 FT

             Total      Total    Departure
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 05/02 AM   5.0/ 5.5   0.5/ 1.0   1.1/ 1.6     3       None
 05/03 PM   5.0/ 5.5   0.5/ 1.0   1.2/ 1.7     3       None
 06/03 AM   5.0/ 5.5   0.5/ 1.0   1.1/ 1.6     3       None
 06/04 PM   4.4/ 4.9  -0.2/ 0.3   0.9/ 1.4     2       None
 07/04 AM   4.5/ 5.0   0.0/ 0.5   0.7/ 1.1     5       None
 07/05 PM   4.0/ 4.5  -0.6/-0.1   0.7/ 1.1    5-6      None

Buzzards Bay - Woods Hole
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 FT, Moderate 7.0 FT, Major 8.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 3.5 FT, Moderate 5.0 FT, Major 6.5 FT

             Total      Total    Departure
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 04/10 PM   3.6/ 4.1   1.6/ 2.0   0.9/ 1.4    2-3      None
 05/11 AM   3.2/ 3.7   1.2/ 1.7   0.9/ 1.4     3       None
 05/11 PM   3.5/ 4.0   1.5/ 2.0   1.0/ 1.5     3       None
 06/11 AM   2.7/ 3.2   0.8/ 1.3   0.7/ 1.1    1-2      None
 07/12 AM   2.7/ 3.2   0.7/ 1.1   0.4/ 0.9     2       None
 07/12 PM   2.2/ 2.7   0.2/ 0.7   0.2/ 0.8    2-3      None

Wings Neck
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.5 FT, Moderate 9.0 FT, Major 11.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.2 FT, Moderate 4.7 FT, Major 7.2 FT

             Total      Total    Departure
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 04/10 PM   5.2/ 5.7   1.0/ 1.5   0.7/ 1.1    2-3      None
 05/10 AM   4.7/ 5.2   0.5/ 1.0   0.7/ 1.1     3       None
 05/11 PM   5.2/ 5.7   0.9/ 1.4   0.9/ 1.4     3       None
 06/11 AM   4.4/ 4.9   0.1/ 0.6   0.6/ 1.1    1-2      None
 07/12 AM   4.4/ 4.9   0.1/ 0.6   0.4/ 0.9     1       None
 07/12 PM   3.6/ 4.1  -0.8/-0.2   0.2/ 0.7     1       None

Nantucket Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 FT, Moderate 6.5 FT, Major 8.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.4 FT, Moderate 2.9 FT, Major 4.4 FT

             Total      Total    Departure
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 05/02 AM   4.5/ 5.0   0.9/ 1.4   1.2/ 1.7     5      Minor
 05/03 PM   4.5/ 5.0   0.9/ 1.4   1.4/ 1.9     7      Minor
 06/03 AM   4.5/ 5.0   0.9/ 1.4   1.2/ 1.7    5-6     Minor
 06/04 PM   3.9/ 4.4   0.2/ 0.8   1.0/ 1.5     4       None
 07/04 AM   3.7/ 4.2   0.2/ 0.7   0.6/ 1.1     6       None
 07/05 PM   3.4/ 3.9  -0.2/ 0.2   0.7/ 1.1    5-7      None

Nantucket East Coast - Erosion Impacts

             Total      Total    Departure
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 05/02 AM   5.2/ 5.7   1.1/ 1.6   1.4/ 1.9     10     Minor
 05/03 PM   5.2/ 5.7   1.1/ 1.6   1.6/ 2.0   10-11    Minor
 06/03 AM   5.0/ 5.5   0.9/ 1.4   1.3/ 1.8     10      None
 06/03 PM   4.5/ 5.0   0.4/ 0.9   1.1/ 1.6     9       None
 07/04 AM   4.2/ 4.7   0.2/ 0.7   0.7/ 1.1    8-9      None
 07/04 PM   4.0/ 4.5  -0.2/ 0.3   0.8/ 1.3    7-9      None

Nantucket - Madaket Area Erosion Impacts

             Total      Total    Departure
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 05/02 AM   3.7/ 4.2   2.2/ 2.7   1.2/ 1.7    5-6      None
 05/02 PM   4.0/ 4.5   2.6/ 3.1   1.5/ 2.0     6       None
 06/03 AM   3.7/ 4.2   2.2/ 2.7   1.2/ 1.7    5-6      None
 06/03 PM   3.2/ 3.7   1.9/ 2.3   1.0/ 1.5     5       None
 07/04 AM   3.1/ 3.6   1.7/ 2.2   0.7/ 1.1     6       None
 07/04 PM   2.8/ 3.4   1.5/ 2.0   0.7/ 1.1    5-7      None

$$

RIZ002-004>007-050500-
/O.NEW.KBOX.CF.S.0003.180305T0135Z-180305T0500Z/
Southeast Providence RI-Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI-Washington RI-
Newport RI-
835 PM EST Sun Mar 4 2018

...Minor Coastal flooding and Splashover for the Rhode Island
coastline...

* LOCATION...Rhode Island south coast and Narragansett Bay
  communities.

* TIDAL DEPARTURE...Storm Surge of 1.5 feet.

* TIMING...Through this evening's high tide. 

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...Minor coastal flooding is possible
  within low lying regions of Narragansett Bay. Splashover is also
  possible especially along southeast facing shorelines. 

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Category thresholds are based on still water levels. Impacts 
may be greater, depending upon wave action.

Narragansett Bay - Fox Point
MLLW Categories - Minor 7.0 FT, Moderate 9.0 FT, Major 10.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.3 FT, Moderate 4.3 FT, Major 5.8 FT

             Total      Total    Departure
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 04/10 PM   6.2/ 6.8   1.6/ 2.0   1.2/ 1.7     2       None
 05/10 AM   5.2/ 5.7   0.6/ 1.1   0.8/ 1.3     3       None
 05/11 PM   5.7/ 6.2   1.0/ 1.5   1.0/ 1.5     2       None
 06/11 AM   4.7/ 5.2   0.0/ 0.5   0.6/ 1.1     1       None
 07/12 AM   4.7/ 5.2   0.0/ 0.5   0.4/ 0.9     1       None
 07/12 PM   3.9/ 4.4  -0.9/-0.4   0.2/ 0.7     1       None

Narragansett Bay - Conimicut Point
MLLW Categories - Minor 7.0 FT, Moderate 8.5 FT, Major 10.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.4 FT, Moderate 3.9 FT, Major 5.4 FT

             Total      Total    Departure
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 04/10 PM   6.1/ 6.6   1.5/ 2.0   1.2/ 1.7     2       None
 05/10 AM   5.1/ 5.6   0.5/ 1.0   0.8/ 1.3     3       None
 05/11 PM   5.6/ 6.1   1.0/ 1.5   1.0/ 1.5     2       None
 06/11 AM   4.5/ 5.0  -0.2/ 0.3   0.6/ 1.1     1       None
 07/12 AM   4.6/ 5.1   0.0/ 0.5   0.4/ 0.9     1       None
 07/12 PM   3.7/ 4.2  -0.9/-0.4   0.2/ 0.7     1       None

Narragansett Bay - Quonset Point
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 FT, Moderate 6.0 FT, Major 7.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 0.9 FT, Moderate 1.9 FT, Major 3.4 FT

             Total      Total    Departure
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 04/10 PM   5.5/ 6.0   1.4/ 1.9   1.1/ 1.6    2-3      None
 05/10 AM   4.6/ 5.1   0.5/ 1.0   0.7/ 1.1     3       None
 05/11 PM   4.9/ 5.4   0.8/ 1.3   0.8/ 1.3    2-3      None
 06/11 AM   4.0/ 4.5   0.0/ 0.5   0.5/ 1.0     1       None
 07/12 AM   4.0/ 4.5   0.0/ 0.5   0.2/ 0.8     1       None
 07/12 PM   3.6/ 4.1  -0.6/-0.1   0.2/ 0.8     1       None

Point Judith
MLLW Categories - Minor 8.0 FT, Moderate 9.5 FT, Major 11.0 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 4.5 FT, Moderate 6.0 FT, Major 7.5 FT

             Total      Total    Departure
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 04/10 PM   4.9/ 5.4   1.4/ 1.9   1.3/ 1.8     6       None
 05/10 AM   4.0/ 4.5   0.5/ 1.0   0.9/ 1.4    6-7      None
 05/11 PM   4.2/ 4.7   0.8/ 1.3   1.0/ 1.5    6-7      None
 06/11 AM   3.4/ 3.9  -0.2/ 0.3   0.6/ 1.1     5       None
 06/11 PM   3.4/ 3.9  -0.2/ 0.3   0.4/ 0.9     4       None
 07/12 PM   2.7/ 3.2  -0.8/-0.2   0.2/ 0.8     4       None

Westerly
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 FT, Moderate 8.0 FT, Major 9.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.9 FT, Moderate 4.9 FT, Major 6.4 FT

             Total      Total    Departure
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 04/11 PM   4.4/ 4.9   1.3/ 1.8   1.3/ 1.8     4       None
 05/11 AM   3.7/ 4.2   0.6/ 1.1   1.0/ 1.5    4-5      None
 06/12 AM   3.7/ 4.2   0.7/ 1.1   1.0/ 1.5     4       None
 06/12 PM   3.1/ 3.6   0.0/ 0.5   0.6/ 1.1     3       None
 07/01 AM   3.0/ 3.5  -0.2/ 0.3   0.4/ 0.9     2       None
 07/01 PM   2.6/ 3.1  -0.6/-0.1   0.4/ 0.9    2-3      None

Newport Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.6 FT, Moderate 9.0 FT, Major 10.5 FT
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.5 FT, Moderate 5.9 FT, Major 6.4 FT

             Total      Total    Departure
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 04/10 PM   5.6/ 6.1   1.5/ 2.0   1.2/ 1.7    2-3      None
 05/10 AM   4.7/ 5.2   0.7/ 1.1   0.9/ 1.4     3       None
 05/11 PM   5.1/ 5.6   1.0/ 1.5   1.0/ 1.5    2-3      None
 06/11 AM   4.0/ 4.5   0.0/ 0.5   0.6/ 1.1     1       None
 07/12 AM   4.0/ 4.5   0.0/ 0.5   0.4/ 0.9     1       None
 07/12 PM   3.5/ 4.0  -0.7/-0.2   0.2/ 0.8     1       None

$$

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this coastal flood statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood statement went out at Mar 4, 7:00 PM EST, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 4, 7:00 PM EST, 1 hour 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Taunton MA
700 PM EST Sun Mar 4 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A fast moving disturbance will bring a period of snow to much
of the region late tonight into early Monday morning with minor
accumulations possible. Drier weather then moves in for late
Monday into Tuesday. A winter storm is looking more likely
Wednesday into early Thursday with significant snow and wind,
then a trend toward drier but colder weather follows later
Thursday into Saturday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
* Minor snow accumulations overnight especially across southeast MA

7PM update...
The ole meteorological squeeze-play already in effect this
evening. Upper lvl shortwave is combining with lingering energy
from the powerful offshore storm to yield a modest sfc- low lvl
trof and attendant lift across the region. This lift is working
on the available moisture to yield very light SN across much of
the region. The rates should preclude much if any accumulations
except for on cars/grassy sfcs through the evening.

Mesoscale guidance continues to support a slight shift toward a
more acute sfc trof with help from ocean instability mainly late
this evening into the early AM hours focused on E MA/RI. During
this period, SN rates may increase somewhat, with accumulations
1-2 inches possible across the area. Once again, this should
mostly be on grassy surfaces as roads sfcs are generally warm.
Still some light SN could still be falling by the early hours of
the commute which may require extension of the special
statement currently out.

Previous discussion follows...

Impressive shortwave/closed 500 mb low will be diving southeast
across western New England this evening.  The result will be
scattered snow showers this evening...which may be in the form of
rain showers at the onset.  This will setup a brief inverted trough
and pull in deeper moisture/forcing from the distant ocean storm.
Appears areas east of the CT River Valley will see a period of
steady snow roughly between midnight and 6 am.  The best forcing
will be located across eastern MA and there appears to be some
land/sea interface and ocean enhancement...particularly across
southeast MA. Thermal profiles overnight support ptype to be mainly
snow...except perhaps across portions of the outer-Cape and
Nantucket.

Given what we discussed above expect many areas to receive a coating
to 2 inches of snow east of the CT River Valley.  Localized 3 inch
amounts are possible across portions of southeast MA and perhaps
onto the upper Cape. While temperatures will be cold enough for snow
given profiles aloft...surface temperatures will generally range
from between 32 and 34 in the lower elevations. This should result
in a most paved surfaces remaining wet or perhaps slushy with most
snow accumulations on grassy surfaces. It is possible though that if
we can get enough intensity...roads may become briefly snow covered
and slippery in the lower elevations. This may also happen in the
higher terrain...where snow intensity will be less but temperatures
colder We did go ahead and issue a special weather statement to
highlight this potential east of the CT River Valley. The bulk of
snow will be coming to an end between 5 and 7 am.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
* Wind headlines posted Monday for the Cape/Islands

Monday...

Any lingering snow showers should come to an end across the
southeast New England coast by mid to late Monday morning.
Otherwise...main story will be another round of strong winds across
the Cape/Islands as the ocean storm temporarily retrogrades
increasing the pressure gradient.  Northerly wind gusts of 40 to 50
mph are expected for the Cape and Islands where a wind advisory has
been posted.  Further inland across the coastal plain it will not be
quite as windy...but still expect some gusts around 35 mph.

Otherwise, after any lingering snow showers end by late Monday
morning along the southeast New England coast mainly dry weather is
on tap for Monday.  We will once again see an abundance of
clouds...but a few peeks of sunshine are also expected.  High
temperatures will mainly be in the upper 30s to the lower 40s.

Monday night...

The ocean storm will once again begin to move slowly east allowing
the strong winds to gradually diminish along the southeast New
England coast.  A bit more colder air will filter into the region
from northern New England than we have seen in recent days...so
expect overnight low temps to drop into the 20s to the lower 30s.
NNE low level flow and 850T between -8C and -10C may allow for
scattered flurries/light snow showers along the eastern MA
coast...but not expecting anything more than a dusting at this
time.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Highlights...

* Temperatures at or cooler than normal this period
* Tuesday - pick of the week with light winds and sunshine
* Significant Snow and Wind Possible Wednesday into early Thursday
* Cool but with improvement toward the weekend

Overview and model preferences...
Examining both teleconnections and H5 GPH anomalies continues
to favor a gradual breakdown in the amplification and blocking
pattern through the late week. AO/NAO/PNA all continue to trend
toward neutral from their strongly negative magnitude this
weekend. This results and gradually diminishing positive height
anomalies within the block as it retrogrades into QC from
Labrador. However, as this gradual transition occurs, it also
allows Pacific energy to get caught up with arctic influenced PV
anomaly diving S along the W periphery of the weakening block,
shifting from Hudsons Bay S toward the Great Lakes. How
efficiently these phase, if at all, will help to determine the
track of a secondary coastal low pres, which will develop as the
energy from the parent Great Lakes mid week. This is the
potential storm that has been advertised over the last 48 hours,
and will be the feature to watch this coming week. There
remains enough spread in final track of the coastal low between
both operational and ensemble guidance to continue leaning on an
overall mean between ensembles (most weight) and operational
guidance (less weight). Will continue with this blend throughout
the remainder of the long term forecast.

Details...

Tuesday...
Overall a pleasant March day. H92 temps hover in the -2C to
-3C range with mixing likely reaching just beyond, which should
yield high temps in the low-mid 40s. Agree with previous
forecaster that there is likely to be some clouds around to
spoil the sunshine at times given we are wedged between the
strong offshore storm from this weekend and a parent low pres
over the Great lakes. However, dry wx will prevail.

Wed into Thu...
Some of the necessary players continue to fall in line for a
typical S New England coastal storm with accumulating snowfall,
some strong winds and potential for p-type issues across SE
portions of the forecast area. Given the overall pattern becomes
more progressive, PWAT plume is unable to tap Gulf of Mexico
moisture like this previous system did, and as such PWATs only
rise to 1 standard deviation above normal, or around 0.75in.
Even though this moisture plume is not overly impressive, as the
coastal low deepens toward 980hPa and makes its closest pass
overnight Wed night, there will be strong dynamic forcing to
make up the difference. Noting that within a well defined trowal
resides an strong Ely LLJ, 50-60 kt (3 std deviations above
climatology) which will shift toward S New England as the low
passes. Also, noting that as the low deepens, low-mid lvl
heights cutoff, suggesting a good setup for banding. While these
all suggest the possibility of a high QPF event, (and indeed
ensemble probabilities still support final liquid totals over
1.00), the actual track will define the SLRs, where the banding
sets up, and whether a change to rain is imminent across the E
third of S New England. 12Z Operational GFS remains a W outlier,
bringing the low pres well inside the 40/70 benchmark and even
over Cape Cod. Of the operational models, CMC is now well S of
the benchmark, with a miss. ECMWF and several ensemble members
are in between, but this will have to be watched.

All in all, taking a mean approach still supports a good setup
for interior MA/RI/CT, especially in the higher terrain where
some upslope under E flow is enhanced. With QPF still ranging
between 0.75-1.50in (similar to last couple of runs), the risk
for warning level snow is rising as even if lower 10 to 1 SLRs
are observed and this could include the I-95 corridor if the
clustering toward the 40/70 benchmark continues. The key is the
introduction of temps of +2C or higher along this area, which
could force a change to rain. Expect totals to become more
refined with time.

Strong winds are also a risk especially across the E/SE
assuming the core of the LLJ does not push too far SE given
50-60kt at H92. The better news, is that given this is a more
progressive system, and astro-tides will be much lower, coastal
flooding looks to be a low risk at this point. Only caveat may
be areas that are left vulnerable and/or of the low pres slows.
Something to watch, but a much lower risk.

Fri...
Although improvement from late Thu into early Fri is expected,
the coastal low pres is likely to Fujiwhara somewhat as it
encounters the remnants of the storm from the last 48 hours
offshore. This may actually force a slight retrograde as the
upper lvls show signs of cutting off. Dry slot will be wrapping
into the system with time however, which could help prevent it
from being too significant in the long run, but will have to
watch this process and help trap some of the milder air aloft
initially. Again, will need to watch this as it could yield more
snow even well after the initial impacts have passed. Temps mid
30s to low 40s.

Next weekend...
Cutoff should begin a slow slide into the Maritimes which will
finally allow the core of a modified arctic airmass to move into
New England. H92 temps dip as low as -6C as a mean, so expect
highs to be limited in the 30s most likely. However, noting
enough subsidence and influence of high pres to suggest mainly
dry conditions.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Short Term /through Monday Night/...

Overnight...Moderate confidence.
Areas of light -SN/RA continue through early AM hours, but trend
toward -SN everywhere. Overall, vsbys in the -SN should remain
generally VFR to higher end MVFR. Between the hours of 03Z and
10Z and especially E MA/RI, -SN could yield predominantly MVFR
vsbys, along with MVFR CIGS all sites. Coating to about 2 inches
mainly on the grass with mostly just wet runways. The -SN tapers
off between 09Z-12Z. Otherwise N-NW winds increase overnight
with sustained winds 10-15 kt most terminals (20-25 kt outer
Cape/Islands) and gusts 20-30 kt most terminals (35-45 outer
Cape/Islands) peaking during the early morning.

Monday...Moderate to high confidence. No significant changes
for Mon with 00Z TAF update. MVFR conditions in the morning
should improve to mainly VFR by afternoon. Some lingering light
snow showers across the Cape/Islands should end by mid to late
morning. NNE wind gusts around 30 knots along the coastal
plain...but 35 to 45 knots across the Cape/Islands.

Monday night...Moderate to high confidence. Mainly VFR conditions
but some marginal MVFR cigs may develop along the coast with NNE
flow. Strong NNE wind gusts along the southeast New England coast
should gradually diminish after as the night wears along.

KBOS Terminal...High confidence in overall TAF trends. Timing
may be off a bit. Mainly VFR in -SN through about 03Z with
occasional MVFR vsbys and dominant MVFR CIGS through 10Z with
slightly heavier SN. Accumulations mainly on grass rather than
runways, which should remain mostly wet. SN/CIGS taper through
the morning.

KBDL Terminal...Moderate confidence. SHSN linger through about
04Z before ending for the most part. However, MVFR conditions
linger as lower CIGS remain in place through early AM.

Outlook /Tuesday through Friday/...

Tuesday: Mainly VFR.

Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR.

Wednesday: IFR with LIFR conditions possible. Windy with local
gusts to 30 kt. SN with some rain possible mainly southeast.

Wednesday Night: Mainly IFR, with local LIFR possible. Windy
with gusts to 30 kt. SN, RA.

Thursday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Windy with local gusts
to 30 kt. Lingering SN changing to RA.

Thursday Night: Mainly VFR. Breezy. Slight chance SHSN.

Friday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Breezy. Slight
chance SHRA, slight chance SHSN.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Short Term /through Monday Night/...

Tonight and Monday...High confidence.  Retrograding ocean storm will
once again increase the pressure gradient late tonight and Monday.
The result will be NNE wind gusts increasing to between 35 to 45
knots over most waters and Gale Headlines are in effect.  Seas also
will not be able to subside and remain at 10 to 15+ feet across our
eastern waters.

Monday night...High confidence.  Gale force wind gusts will slowly
subside from west to east Monday night as the ocean storm begins to
move east of the region again.  Nonetheless...still expect northerly
wind gusts of 25 to 30 knots by daybreak Tuesday across most
waters.

Outlook /Tuesday through Friday/...

Tuesday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up
to 25 kt. Rough seas up to 16 ft.

Tuesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Rough seas up to 14 ft.
Small craft advisories continue.

Wednesday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with local
gusts up to 30 kt. Rough seas up to 12 ft. Rain. Visibility 1
to 3 nm.

Wednesday Night: Gale force winds with gusts up to 35 kt. Rough
seas up to 17 ft. Rain, snow. Local visibility 1 to 3 nm.

Thursday: Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 30 kt.
Rough seas up to 17 ft. Chance of rain. Local visibility 1 to 3
nm.

Thursday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Rough seas up to 12 ft.
Small craft advisories remain in place for seas.

Friday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Slight
chance of rain showers.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Minor flooding continues along the Pawcatuck, Taunton
and Pawtuxet Rivers. Please see our latest Flood Warnings for
more information on these rivers.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
* Coastal Flood Advisory Overnight Across Eastern MA

Although astronomical tides continue to lower persistent strong NNE
winds gusts and 10 to 15+ foot seas offshore will likely result in
pockets of minor coastal flooding during the overnight high tide
cycle across the eastern MA coast.  Impacts certainly much less than
Friday or Saturday...but some shoreline roads will be impacted and
areas that have experienced damage may see things exacerbated.  The
Monday afternoon and the late Monday night high tide may also
experience some minor impacts.

For the work week...Seas and surge will slowly subside through
Tuesday. The astronomical high tide continues to slowly decline.
In fact, the tide will be low enough to mitigate impacts from
another, albeit probably more progressive, nor'easter which
looks affect our region during mid week.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...Coastal Flood Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 3 AM EST
     Monday for MAZ007-016-019-022-024.
     Wind Advisory from 5 AM to 6 PM EST Monday for MAZ022>024.
RI...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning from 11 PM this evening to 9 PM EST Monday for
     ANZ232.
     Gale Warning from 1 AM to 9 PM EST Monday for ANZ231-233>235-
     237-251-256.
     Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM EST Monday for ANZ230-236.
     Gale Warning from 1 AM Monday to 1 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ250.
     Gale Warning from 11 PM this evening to 4 AM EST Tuesday for
     ANZ254-255.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Frank/Doody
NEAR TERM...Frank/Doody
SHORT TERM...Frank
LONG TERM...Doody
AVIATION...Frank/Doody
MARINE...Frank
HYDROLOGY...
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 4, 4:07 PM EST, 4 hours 28 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Taunton MA
407 PM EST Sun Mar 4 2018

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>006-008>015-017-018-020-021-026-RIZ001>008-052115-
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-
Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-
Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-Suffolk MA-
Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA-
Southern Plymouth MA-Northern Middlesex MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI-
Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
407 PM EST Sun Mar 4 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Connecticut, central
Massachusetts, eastern Massachusetts, northeastern Massachusetts,
southeastern Massachusetts, western Massachusetts, and Rhode Island.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Potential for significant snow and wind early Wednesday into early
Thursday. Uncertainty remains on where the rain-snow line will
setup, thus too early to say where (inland vs the coast) exactly the
greatest risk for significant snow will occur.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MAZ007-016-019-052115-
Eastern Essex MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-
407 PM EST Sun Mar 4 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM
EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Massachusetts,
northeastern Massachusetts and southeastern Massachusetts.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Potential for significant snow and wind early Wednesday into early
Thursday. Uncertainty remains on where the rain-snow line will
setup, thus too early to say where (inland vs the coast) exactly the
greatest risk for significant snow will occur.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MAZ022-024-052115-
Barnstable MA-Nantucket MA-
407 PM EST Sun Mar 4 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM
EST MONDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 6 PM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Massachusetts.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

Potential for significant snow and wind early Wednesday into early
Thursday. Uncertainty remains on where the rain-snow line will
setup, thus too early to say where (inland vs the coast) exactly the
greatest risk for significant snow will occur.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MAZ023-052115-
Dukes MA-
407 PM EST Sun Mar 4 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 6 PM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Massachusetts.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

Potential for significant snow and wind early Wednesday into early
Thursday. Uncertainty remains on where the rain-snow line will
setup, thus too early to say where (inland vs the coast) exactly the
greatest risk for significant snow will occur.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ234-052115-
Buzzards Bay-
407 PM EST Sun Mar 4 2018

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 PM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

Potential for significant wind early Wednesday into early Thursday
with a second coastal storm.  Northeasterly Gales are likely.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ231-233-235-237-251-256-052115-
Cape Cod Bay-Vineyard Sound-Rhode Island Sound-Block Island Sound-
Massachusetts Bay and Ipswich Bay-
Coastal Waters from Montauk NY to Marthas Vineyard extending out to
20 nm South of Block Island-
407 PM EST Sun Mar 4 2018

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 PM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters
and Rhode Island coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

Potential for significant wind early Wednesday into early Thursday
with a second coastal storm.  Northeasterly Gales are likely.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ254-255-052115-
Coastal waters from Provincetown MA to Chatham MA to Nantucket MA
out 20 nm-
Coastal Waters extending out to 25 nm South of Marthas Vineyard and
Nantucket-
407 PM EST Sun Mar 4 2018

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST
TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.
Potential for significant wind early Wednesday into early Thursday
with a second coastal storm.  Northeasterly Gales are likely.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ250-052115-
Coastal waters east of Ipswich Bay and the Stellwagen Bank National
Marine Sanctuary-
407 PM EST Sun Mar 4 2018

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

Potential for significant wind early Wednesday into early Thursday
with a second coastal storm.  Northeasterly Gales are likely.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ230-236-052115-
Boston Harbor-Narragansett Bay-
407 PM EST Sun Mar 4 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters
and Rhode Island coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Potential for significant wind early Wednesday into early Thursday
with a second coastal storm. Northeasterly Gales are possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ232-052115-
Nantucket Sound-
407 PM EST Sun Mar 4 2018

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 PM EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

Potential for significant wind early Wednesday into early Thursday
with a second coastal storm.  Northeasterly Gales are likely.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

For the latest updates, please visit our webpage at:
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/NWSBoston

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 4, 3:46 PM EST, 4 hours 49 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Taunton MA
346 PM EST Sun Mar 4 2018

CTZ004-MAZ004>007-012>023-026-RIZ001>007-050345-
Windham CT-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Southern Worcester MA-
Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-Suffolk MA-
Eastern Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-
Eastern Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-
Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Northwest Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-
Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-
Including the cities of Putnam, Willimantic, Barre, Fitchburg,
Framingham, Lowell, Lawrence, Gloucester, Milford, Worcester,
Foxborough, Norwood, Cambridge, Boston, Quincy, Taunton,
Brockton, Plymouth, Fall River, New Bedford, Mattapoisett,
Chatham, Falmouth, Provincetown, Vineyard Haven, Ayer, Foster,
Smithfield, Providence, Coventry, West Greenwich, East Greenwich,
Warwick, West Warwick, Bristol, Narragansett, Westerly,
and Newport
346 PM EST Sun Mar 4 2018

...A coating to 2 inches of snow expected overnight with localized
3 inch amounts possible across southeast MA mainly on grassy
surfaces...

Scattered snow showers are expected this evening which may be in
the form of rain at the onset. The steady snow is generally
expected to fall between midnight and 6 am and over by 7 or 8 am
Monday. Snow accumulations of a coating to 2 inches are
possible...but localized 3 inch amounts are possible across
southeast Massachusetts onto the upper Cape.

Given temperatures near freezing many roadways will be wet or
perhaps a bit slushy with the bulk of the accumulations on grassy
surfaces. Nonetheless...if the snow comes down hard enough roadways
could become briefly snow covered and slippery impacting the
first part of the morning commute. Any snow that is able to
accumulate on the roadways will melt by mid morning.

Frank
Local storm report, Mar 4, 6:01 PM EST, 2 hours 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
601 PM EST SUN MAR 04 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1208 AM     COASTAL FLOOD    SWAMPSCOTT              42.47N  70.89W
03/04/2018                   ESSEX              MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            BLODGETT AVENUE AT OCEAN AVENUE CLOSED DUE TO COASTAL
            FLOODING

1220 AM     COASTAL FLOOD    REVERE                  42.42N  70.99W
03/04/2018                   SUFFOLK            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            540 TO 600 BLOCK OF THE BOULEVARD TO PORT OF PINES
            CLOSED DUE TO COASTAL FLOODING

1226 AM     COASTAL FLOOD    REVERE                  42.42N  70.99W
03/04/2018                   SUFFOLK            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            BOTTOM OF WINTHROP AVENUE AND PEARL AVENUE CLOSED DUE
            TO COASTAL FLOODING

1227 AM     COASTAL FLOOD    PLYMOUTH                41.96N  70.68W
03/04/2018                   PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WARREN AVENUE CLOSED DUE TO COASTAL FLOODING

0122 AM     COASTAL FLOOD    EAST BOSTON             42.37N  71.03W
03/04/2018                   SUFFOLK            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            LEWIS STREET ALNONG THE COAST BY THE PORTSIDE
            APARTMENTS FLOODED FROM COASTAL FLOODING

1212 PM     COASTAL FLOOD    HULL                    42.30N  70.90W
03/04/2018                   PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            HULL SHORE DRIVE HAS STREET FLOODING IN THE AREA OF THE
            RED PARROT RESTAURANT DUE TO COASTAL FLOODING

1212 PM     COASTAL FLOOD    COHASSET                42.23N  70.80W
03/04/2018                   NORFOLK            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            ATLANTIC AVENUE NEAR MARGIN STREET AND STOCKBRIDGE
            CLOSED DUE TO COASTAL FLOODING

1220 PM     COASTAL FLOOD    SCITUATE                42.19N  70.73W
03/04/2018                   PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            EDWARD FOSTER ROAD BY THE BRIDGE CLOSED DUE TO COASTAL
            FLOODING AND SECTION OF CENTRAL AVENUE CLOSED FOR
            COASTAL FLOODING UNTIL TIDE HAS PASSED.

1220 PM     COASTAL FLOOD    BOSTON                  42.32N  71.07W
03/04/2018                   SUFFOLK            MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            MORRISEEY BOULEVARD CLOSED DUE TO COASTAL FLOODING

1220 PM     COASTAL FLOOD    PLYMOUTH                41.96N  70.68W
03/04/2018                   PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            WARREN AVENUE BY PLYMOUTH BEACH CLOSED DUE TO COASTAL
            FLOODING

1225 PM     COASTAL FLOOD    HULL                    42.30N  70.90W
03/04/2018                   PLYMOUTH           MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            SECTION OF ATLANTIC AVENUE CLOSED DUE TO COASTAL
            FLOODING

1225 PM     COASTAL FLOOD    SALISBURY               42.83N  70.84W
03/04/2018                   ESSEX              MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            LOWER BROADWAY COMPLETELY FLOODED DUE TO COASTAL
            FLOODING AND WATER IS FLOWING DOWN TO NORTHERN BLVD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BOX1801630
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801631
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801632
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801633
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801634
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801635
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801636
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801637
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801638
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801639
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801640
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801641

KAB
Local storm report, Mar 4, 6:06 PM EST, 2 hours 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
606 PM EST SUN MAR 04 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     HIGH SUST WINDS  8 SE PROVIDENCE         41.72N  71.34W
03/02/2018  M40 MPH          ANZ236             RI   MARINE MESONET

            NOS CPTR1

0224 PM     HIGH SUST WINDS  8 NW NEWPORT            41.59N  71.41W
03/02/2018  M53 MPH          ANZ236             RI   MARINE MESONET

            NOS QPTR1

0306 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 8 NW NEWPORT            41.59N  71.41W
03/02/2018  M67 MPH          ANZ236             RI   MARINE MESONET

            NOS QPTR1

0532 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NW PROVINCETOWN       42.07N  70.22W
03/02/2018  M76 MPH          BARNSTABLE         MA   AWOS

0542 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST MILTON                  42.24N  71.08W
03/02/2018  M73 MPH          NORFOLK            MA   CO-OP OBSERVER

0549 PM     HIGH SUST WINDS  21 E BOSTON             42.35N  70.65W
03/02/2018  M54 MPH          ANZ251             MA   BUOY

            BUOY 44013

0550 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 12 NW NANTUCKET         41.44N  70.19W
03/02/2018  M64 MPH          ANZ232             MA   BUOY

            BUOY 44020

0613 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST BOS LOGAN AIRPORT       42.36N  71.01W
03/02/2018  M68 MPH          SUFFOLK            MA   ASOS

0620 PM     HIGH SUST WINDS  12 NW NANTUCKET         41.44N  70.19W
03/02/2018  M53 MPH          ANZ232             MA   BUOY

            BUOY 44020

0620 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST UUU NEWPORT ARPT        41.53N  71.28W
03/02/2018  M58 MPH          NEWPORT            RI   ASOS

0700 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 16 SE NEWPORT           41.40N  71.03W
03/02/2018  M81 MPH          ANZ235             MA   MARINE MESONET

            BUOY BUZM3

0703 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST PYM PLYMOUTH ARPT       41.91N  70.73W
03/02/2018  M64 MPH          PLYMOUTH           MA   ASOS

0750 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 21 E BOSTON             42.35N  70.65W
03/02/2018  M67 MPH          ANZ251             MA   BUOY

            BUOY 44013

0758 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST BOS LOGAN AIRPORT       42.36N  71.01W
03/02/2018  M64 MPH          SUFFOLK            MA   ASOS

0800 PM     HIGH SUST WINDS  16 SE NEWPORT           41.40N  71.03W
03/02/2018  M63 MPH          ANZ235             MA   MARINE MESONET

            BUOY BUZM3

0920 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST HYA HYANNIS ARPT        41.67N  70.28W
03/02/2018  M60 MPH          BARNSTABLE         MA   ASOS

1059 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST BOS LOGAN AIRPORT       42.36N  71.01W
03/02/2018  M61 MPH          SUFFOLK            MA   ASOS

1147 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST PYM PLYMOUTH ARPT       41.91N  70.73W
03/02/2018  M58 MPH          PLYMOUTH           MA   ASOS

1257 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST NEWPORT                 41.49N  71.32W
03/03/2018  M59 MPH          NEWPORT            RI   AMATEUR RADIO

            HAM RADIO REPORT

0128 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST BARNSTABLE              41.70N  70.30W
03/03/2018  M73 MPH          BARNSTABLE         MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            HAM RADIO REPORT

0130 AM     HIGH SUST WINDS  SANDWICH                41.75N  70.48W
03/03/2018  M40 MPH          BARNSTABLE         MA   HADS

0130 AM     HIGH SUST WINDS  BOURNE                  41.74N  70.60W
03/03/2018  M44 MPH          BARNSTABLE         MA   HADS

0144 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST UUU NEWPORT ARPT        41.53N  71.28W
03/03/2018  M58 MPH          NEWPORT            RI   ASOS

0330 PM     HIGH SUST WINDS  SANDWICH                41.75N  70.48W
03/03/2018  M40 MPH          BARNSTABLE         MA   HADS

&&

EVENT NUMBER BOX1801642
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801643
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801644
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801645
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801646
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801647
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801648
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801649
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801650
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801651
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801652
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801653
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801654
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801655
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801656
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801657
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801658
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801659
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801660
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801661
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801662
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801663
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801664
EVENT NUMBER BOX1801665

KAB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 5, 3:39 AM ESTWinter Storm WatchBOXKent, Providence, Washington35 hr
Mar 5, 3:42 AM ESTCoastal Flood StatementBOXBristol, Kent, Newport, Washington8 hr
Mar 5, 3:58 PM ESTCoastal Flood StatementBOXKent, Newport, Washington8 hr

Nearby

Coastal Flood Statements in Rhode Island, 2018Every coastal flood statement in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.