Alert archive / Virginia / Tornado Warnings in 2018

Tornado Warning 40, NWS Wakefield, VA

October 11, 20184 counties in Virginia

NWS Wakefield, VA issued this tornado warning at Oct 11, 2018, 5:09 PM EDT for 4 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 36 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Oct 11, 2018, 5:09 PM EDT (21:09 UTC)
Expired
Oct 11, 2018, 5:45 PM EDT
In force
36 min
Issued by
NWS Wakefield, VA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated
Hail
0.0 in

Counties Amelia County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Nottoway County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Oct 11, 5:26 PM EDTTORNADOMannboro, VAMULTIPLE TREES DOWN IN ADDITION TO SOME OBSERVED STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this tornado warning; the first came 17 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Oct 11, 9:58 AM EDTTornado WatchSPC13 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2018-10-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 147 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2018-10-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 82 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
147 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
596 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
82 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
141 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

794 
WFUS51 KAKQ 112109
TORAKQ
VAC007-041-053-135-112145-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.TO.W.0040.181011T2109Z-181011T2145Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
509 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Southwestern Chesterfield County in central Virginia...
  East central Nottoway County in south central Virginia...
  Northwestern Dinwiddie County in south central Virginia...
  Southeastern Amelia County in central Virginia...

* Until 545 PM EDT.
    
* At 509 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located near Wilsons, or 7 miles north of McKenney, moving
  north at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Wilsons around 515 PM EDT.
  Mannboro around 525 PM EDT.
  Scotts Fork around 535 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Ford,
Hebron, Darvills, Earls and Ammon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Please report severe weather by calling 757-899-2415, posting to the
NWS Wakefield Facebook page, or using Twitter @NWSWAKEFIELDVA.

&&

LAT...LON 3704 7770 3703 7782 3733 7796 3736 7773
TIME...MOT...LOC 2109Z 163DEG 35KT 3709 7777 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...0.00IN

$$

Zimmerman
3 follow-up statements
715 
WWUS51 KAKQ 112121
SVSAKQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
521 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

VAC007-041-053-135-112145-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TO.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181011T2145Z/
Chesterfield VA-Nottoway VA-Dinwiddie VA-Amelia VA-
521 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN CHESTERFIELD...EAST CENTRAL NOTTOWAY...NORTHWESTERN
DINWIDDIE AND SOUTHEASTERN AMELIA COUNTIES...
    
At 521 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Mannboro, moving north at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Mannboro around 530 PM EDT.
  Scotts Fork around 535 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Earls
and Ammon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3716 7775 3714 7785 3733 7796 3736 7773
TIME...MOT...LOC 2121Z 161DEG 33KT 3719 7782 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...0.00IN

$$

Zimmerman
387 
WWUS51 KAKQ 112126
SVSAKQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
526 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

VAC053-112135-
/O.CAN.KAKQ.TO.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181011T2145Z/
Dinwiddie VA-
526 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN DINWIDDIE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for central and
south central Virginia.

LAT...LON 3733 7796 3736 7773 3719 7775 3720 7779
      3717 7782 3717 7784 3716 7785 3716 7786
TIME...MOT...LOC 2125Z 161DEG 33KT 3723 7783 

$$

VAC007-041-135-112145-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TO.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181011T2145Z/
Chesterfield VA-Nottoway VA-Amelia VA-
526 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN CHESTERFIELD...EAST CENTRAL NOTTOWAY AND SOUTHEASTERN
AMELIA COUNTIES...
    
At 525 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Mannboro, moving north at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Scotts Fork around 535 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Earls
and Ammon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3733 7796 3736 7773 3719 7775 3720 7779
      3717 7782 3717 7784 3716 7785 3716 7786
TIME...MOT...LOC 2125Z 161DEG 33KT 3723 7783 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...0.00IN

$$

Zimmerman
007 
WWUS51 KAKQ 112132
SVSAKQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
532 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

VAC041-135-112142-
/O.CAN.KAKQ.TO.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181011T2145Z/
Chesterfield VA-Nottoway VA-
532 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN CHESTERFIELD AND EAST CENTRAL
NOTTOWAY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for central and
south central Virginia.

LAT...LON 3733 7796 3734 7785 3734 7780 3732 7780
      3731 7781 3731 7780 3729 7777 3727 7776
      3727 7774 3719 7775 3720 7779 3719 7780
      3722 7789
TIME...MOT...LOC 2132Z 151DEG 33KT 3727 7790 

$$

VAC007-112145-
/O.CON.KAKQ.TO.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181011T2145Z/
Amelia VA-
532 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN AMELIA COUNTY...
        
At 532 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Scotts Fork, or
near Mannboro, moving northwest at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornado will be near...
  Scotts Fork around 535 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Earls
and Ammon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3733 7796 3734 7785 3734 7780 3732 7780
      3731 7781 3731 7780 3729 7777 3727 7776
      3727 7774 3719 7775 3720 7779 3719 7780
      3722 7789
TIME...MOT...LOC 2132Z 151DEG 33KT 3727 7790 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
HAIL...0.00IN

$$

Zimmerman

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Oct 11, 3:18 PM EDT, 1 hour 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 11, 3:18 PM EDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
318 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Tropical cyclone Michael will track across southeastern Virginia
this evening, then get pushed offshore after midnight as a strong
cold front crosses the area. High pressure builds into the region
from the west Friday. A trof of low pressure crosses the area early
Saturday. Please refer to forecasts from the National Hurricane
Center regarding Michael.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
As of 200 PM EDT Thursday...

Latest MSAS has Michael moving ne across central NC with the cold
front approaching the mts. Models agree in tracking the center of
Michael ne across sern VA this eve, across the Delmarva around
midnight then out into the Vacapes after 06Z. This just ahead of the
cold front that will sweep east across the area tonight.

Tornado watch continues thru 01Z although it appears the threat
will shift east of I95 over the next few hrs where the best instab
will be. The other concern over the next few hrs will be the band
of hvy rainfall now approaching the NC/VA border. This will likely
be the main player this evening for the heaviest rainfall amounts.
The heaviest rainfall then shifts east and continues through the
evening and into the early morning hours before tapering off late,
especially across the west. Adjusted grids a bit but the overall
jist of the forecast has not changed since this morning. Widespread
rain of 3-6 inches will likely result in areas of flash flooding.
Locally higher amounts possible ivof the I85 corridor and interior
srn VA. Gusty NNW winds behind both the departing system and cold
front between 35-50 mph inland with 50-60+ mph along the coast. Lows
mid 50s nw to mid 60s se.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 200 PM EDT Thursday...

Michael continues to accelerate to the ne Fri with any pcpn quickly
ending by 12Z along the coast. High pressure builds in from the west
resulting in mstly sunny skies along with diminishing winds. Highs
mid 60s nw to lwr 70s se.

The next quick moving system (trof) moves north of the area Friday
night and Sat morning. Models show just enough moisture to carry
slght chc pops with this feature across northern most zones. High
pressure builds in behind the trof re-inforcing the cooler air in
for the weekend. Lows Fri night in the mid 40s nw to mid 50s se.
Highs Sat in the 60s to near 70 se. Lows Sat night in the 40s exept
50s along the coast. Highs Sun mid 60s nw to mid 70s se.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 12 PM EDT Thursday...

Cool and quiet conditions are expected to start the medium/long
range forecast as high pressure at the surface will move east of the
area on seasonally strong zonal winds aloft. As the surface high moves
away, winds will become increasingly southerly Sunday night
into Monday morning which will allow moisture to return to the
region with dewpoints increasing through the day Monday into the
mid 60s. An approaching trough of low pressure and an
associated cold front will serve to increase the chance for
showers and maybe a few rumbles of thunder for Monday afternoon
into the evening hours. Some timing differences remain among the
models as to the timing of the actual cold frontal passage with
the GFS and GEM bringing the front through shortly after sunset
on Monday while the ECMWF is a bit slower - closer to sunrise
Tuesday morning. Went with a blend but leaned toward the faster
timing of the GFS/GEM for frontal passage. The chance for
thunder will come to an end after the front clears any one spot,
but it appears that post-frontal showers will continue across
the area for Tuesday into early Wednesday before high pressure
builds into the region once again to close out the week.

High temperatures on Monday will feel quite warm after a cool
weekend with low 70s in the northwest ranging into the lower 80s
across the southeast. Overnight lows Monday into Tuesday will depend
on the eventual placement of the cold front but will generally range
from the low 50s NW to low 60s SE. Daytime highs on Tuesday will be
held in check with clouds and showers around, lower 60s across the
north and some low 70s to the south. Thereafter, highs in the 60s to
low 70s with lows dropping back into the 40s inland to upper 50s
near the water.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 200 PM EDT Thursday...

This forecast based on the effects of Michael, which is
currently moving ne across central NC with the cold front
approaching the mts. Models agree in tracking the center of
Michael ne across sern VA this eve, across the Delmarva around
midnight then out into the Vacapes after 06Z. This just ahead of
the cold front that will sweep east across the area tonight.

Forecast will start off with MVFR-VFR CIGS and VCSH per current
radar trends. Conditions quickly go downhill toward sunset as
widespread mdt to hvy rainfall associated with the pcpn banding
overspread the area. Kept thunder mostly out of the forecast for
now given low confidence of where any storms will form over the
next several hrs. Expect VSBYS to go low in the hvy rain with
CIGS bordering on IFR.

The next concern tonight will be the gusty NW winds as the
system exits off the Delmarva around midnight followed by strong
CAA behind the cold front. Gusts 30-40 kts psbl this eve and
erly morning hrs across the Piedmont and 30-50 kts through most
of the night along the coast.

Conditions rapidly improve after 12Z Fri as the system accelerates
off to the ne resulting in clrg skies and diminishing winds.

OUTLOOK...
A trof of low pressure to the north may produce a few shwrs at
RIC/SBY Sat morning. Otw, dry weather/VFR conditions are expected
through Sun.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 315 PM EDT Thursday...

Winds will continue to increase through this evening and into
tonight due to a combination of Michael and the approaching strong
cold front from the northwest. Models still remain in good agreement
on the mesoscale details. On this track, winds are expected to pick
up out of the S/SE this evening across the southern waters with
gusts as high as 45 to 50 knots possible. Winds then turn to the NNW
late tonight into early Friday morning, behind the frontal passage
and as the remnant low moves offshore. Winds may gust in excess of
45 knots over a majority of the waters and persist through the
morning hours before diminishing from SE to NW. The strongest winds
over the coastal waters will be roughly between 03Z and 12Z. Winds
may gust as high as 50 to 60 knots during this time frame.  The
current forecast has the strongest winds roughly between 06 and 12Z
Friday morning. The strongest winds diminish through Friday morning,
but breezy NW winds will linger through the day Friday as high
pressure builds over the Ohio Valley. Thus, expect a round of SCA
will be needed for a period after current slate of marine headlines
can be lowered.

With respect to headlines, a Storm Warning is now in effect for all
coastal waters, Ches Bay, and Lower James River through Friday
morning. Gale Warnings remain in effect for the upper rivers. For
land areas, the High Wind Warning was modified slightly to include
Somerset MD, coastal MD, the Northern Neck, and portions of NE NC. A
wind advisory remains in effect for a majority of the region besides
the far NW. Even across the far NW, winds may still briefly gust to
40 mph later this evening.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Based on the projected QPF forecast and latest radar trends,
went ahead and issued several river flood warnings. See FLWAKQ
for details.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 550 AM EDT Thursday...

Have continued the coastal flood advisory from thu aftn through
Fri morning for NC locations adjacent to the Currituck and
Albemarle sound (including nearby rivers). Southerly to
southeasterly winds are already pushing water levels higher
along the northern shore of the Albemarle Sound based upon
several tide gages at Edenton and Elizabeth City. As Tropical
Storm Michael approaches this afternoon and evening, expect the
winds to increase and water levels should continue to rise an
additional foot to 2 feet.

Elsewhere, tidal departures currently avg around +1.0 ft in the
the Chesapeake Bay with gage locations in the Mid Bay having
reach near minor flood stage in the last high tide cycle. With
increasing southerly to southeasterly flow the next high tide
cycle should continue to build upon those anomalies and
continue to push higher water levels with minor flooding
possible along tidal portions of the Potomac River and also for
portions of the Lower Maryland Eastern Shore on the Bay side.
The subsequent high tide cycle tonight a few hours either side
of midnight might be the highest tide for the mid and upper bay
as the wind flow increases ahead of the arrival of the center of
Michael. How quickly the low moves past and the winds switch
could impact that tide cycle as a quick switch could actually
have a big impact for places like Cambridge where a quick switch
to the NW could push water straight into town. That switch to
the NW could also be a big impact in the southern Chesapeake Bay
where some coastal flooding could linger into Friday morning
with the next high tide cycle at locations like Sewells Point.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for MDZ021>025.
     Wind Advisory until noon EDT Friday for MDZ021-022-024.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for
     MDZ021>023.
     High Wind Warning until noon EDT Friday for MDZ023-025.
     High Surf Advisory from 9 PM this evening to noon EDT Friday
     for MDZ025.
NC...Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for NCZ012>017-
     030>032-102.
     Wind Advisory until noon EDT Friday for NCZ012>014-030-031.
     High Wind Warning until noon EDT Friday for NCZ015>017-032-102.
     High Surf Advisory until noon EDT Friday for NCZ102.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 AM EDT Friday for NCZ015>017-
     031-032-102.
VA...Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for VAZ048-060>062-
     064>069-075>090-092-093-095>100-509>525.
     Wind Advisory until noon EDT Friday for VAZ060-061-065>069-075-
     076-079>085-087>090-092-093-096-512>524.
     High Wind Warning until noon EDT Friday for VAZ077-078-086-095-
     097>100-525.
     High Surf Advisory until noon EDT Friday for VAZ098.
     High Surf Advisory from 9 PM this evening to noon EDT Friday
     for VAZ099-100.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for VAZ075-
     077.
MARINE...Storm Warning until noon EDT Friday for ANZ630>634-638-654-656-
     658.
     Storm Warning from 9 PM this evening to noon EDT Friday for
     ANZ650-652.
     Gale Warning until noon EDT Friday for ANZ635>637.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MPR
NEAR TERM...MPR
SHORT TERM...MPR
LONG TERM...RHR
AVIATION...MPR
MARINE...AJB
HYDROLOGY...AKQ
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...AKQ
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 11, 4:25 PM EDT, 44 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

VAZ048-062-064-509>511-122030-
Fluvanna-Goochland-Caroline-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-
Western Hanover-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia and north
central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ015>017-032-122030-
Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Perquimans-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ012>014-030-VAZ060-061-065>069-076-079>083-087>090-092-093-096-
512>524-122030-
Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Bertie-Prince Edward-Cumberland-
Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan-Richmond-Brunswick-
Dinwiddie-Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Greensville-Sussex-
Surry-James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Suffolk-Eastern Hanover-
Western Chesterfield-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-
Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-
Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen-
Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-York-Newport News-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina,
central Virginia, east central Virginia, south central Virginia and
southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ098-122030-
Virginia Beach-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ099-100-122030-
Accomack-Northampton-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT
FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM
EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Virginia and
southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ021-022-122030-
Dorchester-Wicomico-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ095-097-525-122030-
Norfolk/Portsmouth-Chesapeake-Hampton/Poquoson-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ024-122030-
Inland Worcester-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ023-122030-
Somerset-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ025-122030-
Maryland Beaches-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT
FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ084-085-122030-
Gloucester-Middlesex-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM
EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ078-086-122030-
Lancaster-Mathews-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM
EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ031-122030-
Chowan-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ077-122030-
Northumberland-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ075-122030-
Westmoreland-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ102-122030-
Eastern Currituck-
425 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wakefield, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 11, 5:26 AM EDTCoastal Flood StatementAKQAccomack, Gloucester, Lancaster, Mathews, Middlesex, Northampton11 hr
Oct 11, 10:12 AM EDTHigh Surf AdvisoryAKQAccomack, Northampton, City of Virginia Beach21 hr
Oct 11, 11:31 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningAKQBrunswick4 days
Oct 11, 11:31 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningAKQBrunswick, Dinwiddie68 hr
Oct 11, 11:31 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningAKQSussex5 days
Oct 11, 11:31 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningAKQAmelia, Cumberland, Prince Edward51 hr
Oct 11, 11:31 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningAKQAmelia, Chesterfield, Powhatan7 days
Oct 11, 11:31 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningAKQChesterfield, Dinwiddie, City of Petersburg7 days
Oct 11, 3:26 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQIsle of Wight, City of Suffolk34 min
Oct 11, 4:13 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAKQFluvanna, Louisa6 hr
Oct 11, 4:21 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQLunenburg, Prince Edward24 min
Oct 11, 4:41 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAKQAmelia, Cumberland, Lunenburg, Mecklenburg, Nottoway, Powhatan and 1 more6 hr
Oct 11, 5:32 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQAmelia, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie28 min
Oct 11, 5:36 PM EDTTornado Warning Tornado observedAKQAmelia, Cumberland, Powhatan13 min
Oct 11, 5:38 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAKQGoochland, Hanover, Louisa6 hr
Oct 11, 5:45 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQIsle of Wight, City of Suffolk15 min
Oct 11, 6:01 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyAKQAmelia, Cumberland, Lunenburg, Nottoway, Prince Edward6 hr
Oct 11, 6:32 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAKQCaroline, Hanover6 hr
Oct 11, 6:47 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyAKQAmelia, Lunenburg, Nottoway, Powhatan5 hr
Oct 11, 7:04 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAKQChesterfield, Dinwiddie, Henrico5 hr
Oct 11, 7:17 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQHanover, King William, New Kent28 min
Oct 11, 7:20 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQGloucester, Mathews, York25 min
Oct 11, 7:21 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAKQ24 min
Oct 11, 7:22 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQGloucester, James City, King and Queen, King William, New Kent, York23 min
Oct 11, 7:33 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningAKQCharles City, Hanover, Henrico, King and Queen, King William, New Kent and 1 more6 hr
Oct 11, 7:43 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQGloucester, King and Queen, Middlesex32 min
Oct 11, 7:47 PM EDTTornado WarningAKQCaroline, Hanover, King William, New Kent17 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Virginia, 2018Every tornado warning in 2018Tornadoes in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.