Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2018

Gale Warning 90, NWS Juneau, AK

March 10, 2018

NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Mar 10, 2018, 3:33 AM AKST. It was in force for 3 days. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 10, 2018, 3:33 AM AKST (12:33 UTC)
Expired
Mar 13, 2018, 3:44 PM AKDT
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted.

405 
FZAK67 PAJK 101233
OFFAJK

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Juneau AK
333 AM AKST Sat Mar 10 2018

Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ398-110645-
333 AM AKST Sat Mar 10 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A front stalled over the southern panhandle will shift back 
westward today as a gale force low lifts northward into the 
central Gulf by late tonight. 

$$

PKZ310-110645-
Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees
West-
333 AM AKST Sat Mar 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. W
swell. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S gale to 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt late. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$
7 follow-up statements
426 
FZAK67 PAJK 110023
OFFAJK

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Juneau AK
323 PM AKST Sat Mar 10 2018

Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ398-111830-
323 PM AKST Sat Mar 10 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A gale force low and front will lift northward into the central
Gulf by late Saturday night then into the northeast Gulf by
Sunday.  

$$

PKZ310-111830-
Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees
West-
323 PM AKST Sat Mar 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt late. Seas 14 ft. W 
swell early in the evening. Rain showers in the evening. 
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Slight chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt late. Seas 12 ft. S
swell. Slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. SE swell. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. SE swell. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$
137 
FZAK67 PAJK 111209
OFFAJK

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Juneau AK
409 AM AKDT Sun Mar 11 2018

Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ398-120615-
409 AM AKDT Sun Mar 11 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A gale force low over the central Gulf will lift northwest into
Prince William Sound by Sunday afternoon. The associated weather 
front will affect the panhandle through Sunday night. 

$$

PKZ310-120615-
Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees
West-
409 AM AKDT Sun Mar 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms
in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming E late. Seas 13 ft subsiding to
10 ft late. SE swell. Slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.MON...NE wind 30 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft.
Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. 
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$
604 
FZAK67 PAJK 112315
OFFAJK

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Juneau AK
315 PM AKDT Sun Mar 11 2018

Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ398-121715-
315 PM AKDT Sun Mar 11 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A gale force low over the NW Gulf will continue to push northwest
into Prince William Sound by Sunday evening. The associated 
weather front will affect the panhandle through Sunday night. 
Another gale force low will move NW out of the E Pacific and be 
near 53 N 143 W by Tuesday morning. 

$$

PKZ310-121715-
Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees
West-
315 PM AKDT Sun Mar 11 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming E 20 kt late. Seas 18 ft 
subsiding to 11 ft late. Rain.
.MON...SE wind increasing to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 12 ft. 
Rain in the morning. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell in the morning. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. S swell. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$
394 
FZAK67 PAJK 121156
OFFAJK

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Juneau AK
356 AM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ398-130600-
356 AM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A weather front will lift NE into the eastern Gulf today as a
gale force low moves into the central Gulf from the eastern
North Pacific tonight. 

$$

PKZ310-130600-
Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees
West-
356 AM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the morning, then 
becoming SE 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. Rain early in the
morning. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 14 ft subsiding to 11 ft in the afternoon. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable
less than 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. S swell shifting to the SE late. 
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$
755 
FZAK67 PAJK 122339
OFFAJK

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Juneau AK
339 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ398-131745-
339 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A front over the eastern Gulf will weaken and pull to the west
as a gale force low moves into the central Gulf from the eastern
North Pacific Monday night. This low will begin to weaken
Tuesday while another low moves into the southeast Gulf. 

$$

PKZ310-131745-
Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees
West-
339 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 35 kt in the evening. Seas
building to 14 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 
ft. S swell.
.TUE NIGHT...Wind variable less than 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. S
swell in the evening. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
SE swell. 
.WED NIGHT...Wind variable less than 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SE
swell. 
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$
272 
FZAK67 PAJK 131146
OFFAJK

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Juneau AK
346 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ398-140600-
346 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A gale force low over the central Gulf will weaken through the
day. It will drift southeast and merge with another low lifting 
north along Haida Gwaii in the southeast gulf by Wednesday 
morning. 

$$

PKZ310-140600-
Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees
West-
346 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 20 ft subsiding to 13 ft in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...Wind variable less than 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. S swell. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
SE swell. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable
less than 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SE swell. 
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...Wind variable less than 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$
836 
FZAK67 PAJK 132344
OFFAJK

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Juneau AK
344 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ398-141745-
344 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A complex area of multiple surface lows in the  southeast gulf
will persist into Wednesday evening.  

$$

PKZ310-141745-
Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees
West-
344 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt early becoming variable less than 15 kt.
Seas 11 ft subsiding to 8 ft late. S swell in the evening. Rain
early. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
SE swell. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable
less than 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SE swell. 
.THU...Winds light increasing to N 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 6 ft. S swell shifting to the W in the afternoon. 
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. W swell. 
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...Wind variable less than 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Mar 9, 3:05 PM AKST, 12 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 9, 3:05 PM AKST, 12 hours 28 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
305 PM AKST Fri Mar 9 2018

.SHORT TERM...Satellite and surface imagery depict a gale force
low over the Kenai peninsula with a weakening front across the
panhandle. Models in good agreement with this low weakening and
drifting W-NW as it slowly fills. Widespread to numerous showers
will continue across the region along with a SChc TSRA over the N
Gulf coast this evening. Modeled instability parameters continue
to support the instability with -LIs and CAPE around 200-300.
Another gale force low will push N into the SE gulf Sat
afternoon/evening pulling the front back to the NW along with
another round of precip. Models continue to show WAA with this low
with majority of panhandle expected to see more liquid than solid
Ptype. Inherited forecast represented this thinking well with
some strengthening of the low moving across the gulf Sat night
with majority of changes limited to local effects.

.LONG TERM.../Sunday through Friday as of 10 pm Thursday/ GFS, NAM
and Canadian models are in better agreement for Sunday, Monday
and Tuesday. After that, ECMWF becomes the more preferred model. With
better confidence in the model trends, adjustments were made to
the mid and long range forecast.

A low in the north Pacific will track into the southcentral gulf
by Sunday, continuing to move up to the northern gulf through the
day. This will prolong precipitation across the Panhandle from
south to north.

Temperatures will be mild reaching daytime highs in the 40s,
resulting in rain as the primary precip type. Overnight lows will
continue to drop down to near or below freezing Sunday night for
much of the Panhandle turning rain back to snow. Then the warmer
air moves in for Monday through Wednesday keeping our overnight
temperatures in the mid to upper 30s, resulting in mostly rain.
Will be watching for downsloping that could raise temperatures
even warmer than forecast for early to mid week. With a southerly
flow in the upper levels, snow level will rise to around 3500
feet or higher in many locations but be a bit lower (around 1500
feet) near Yakutat Monday. Snow levels will begin to lower again
Thursday to bring snow back into the forecast, at least during the
overnight and early morning hours.

Southeasterly Gale force winds for area 41-43 quickly diminish
to SCA intensity Sunday morning, spreading northward along the
outer coastal areas stretching up to near Yakutat. As the gradient
slackens and the low moves off to the west Monday, the SCA winds
retreat back to the south. For Tuesday and beyond, the gradient
remains relaxed limiting winds to around 15 kt or less. Wind in
the central gulf will back to the west to northwest on Tuesday and
spread eastward by Wednesday.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind until 6 PM AKST this evening for AKZ018.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ012-013.
	 Small Craft Advisory for PKZ021-022-031>036-041>043-051-052.
	 Small Craft Advisory due to Seas for PKZ053.

&&

BC/KV

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 9, 3:35 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Mar 9, 3:36 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK59 hr
Mar 10, 3:41 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK59 hr
Mar 10, 3:48 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK47 hr
Mar 10, 4:15 AM AKSTWinter Storm WarningAJK32 hr
Mar 10, 4:15 AM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAJK59 hr
Mar 10, 7:36 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK11 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2018Every gale warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.