Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2018
Gale Warning 90, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Mar 10, 2018, 3:33 AM AKST. It was in force for 3 days. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 10, 2018, 3:33 AM AKST (12:33 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 13, 2018, 3:44 PM AKDT
- In force
- 3 days
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted.
405 FZAK67 PAJK 101233 OFFAJK Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Juneau AK 333 AM AKST Sat Mar 10 2018 Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ398-110645- 333 AM AKST Sat Mar 10 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A front stalled over the southern panhandle will shift back westward today as a gale force low lifts northward into the central Gulf by late tonight. $$ PKZ310-110645- Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees West- 333 AM AKST Sat Mar 10 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 20 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. W swell. .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .SUN...S gale to 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt late. Seas 11 ft. .MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$
7 follow-up statements
426 FZAK67 PAJK 110023 OFFAJK Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Juneau AK 323 PM AKST Sat Mar 10 2018 Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ398-111830- 323 PM AKST Sat Mar 10 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A gale force low and front will lift northward into the central Gulf by late Saturday night then into the northeast Gulf by Sunday. $$ PKZ310-111830- Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees West- 323 PM AKST Sat Mar 10 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt late. Seas 14 ft. W swell early in the evening. Rain showers in the evening. .SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt late. Seas 12 ft. S swell. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. SE swell. Rain. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. SE swell. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$
137 FZAK67 PAJK 111209 OFFAJK Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Juneau AK 409 AM AKDT Sun Mar 11 2018 Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ398-120615- 409 AM AKDT Sun Mar 11 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A gale force low over the central Gulf will lift northwest into Prince William Sound by Sunday afternoon. The associated weather front will affect the panhandle through Sunday night. $$ PKZ310-120615- Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees West- 409 AM AKDT Sun Mar 11 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming E late. Seas 13 ft subsiding to 10 ft late. SE swell. Slight chance of thunderstorms. .MON...NE wind 30 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$
604 FZAK67 PAJK 112315 OFFAJK Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Juneau AK 315 PM AKDT Sun Mar 11 2018 Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ398-121715- 315 PM AKDT Sun Mar 11 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A gale force low over the NW Gulf will continue to push northwest into Prince William Sound by Sunday evening. The associated weather front will affect the panhandle through Sunday night. Another gale force low will move NW out of the E Pacific and be near 53 N 143 W by Tuesday morning. $$ PKZ310-121715- Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees West- 315 PM AKDT Sun Mar 11 2018 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt becoming E 20 kt late. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 11 ft late. Rain. .MON...SE wind increasing to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 12 ft. Rain in the morning. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. S swell. .TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell in the morning. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. S swell. .WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$
394 FZAK67 PAJK 121156 OFFAJK Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Juneau AK 356 AM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018 Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ398-130600- 356 AM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A weather front will lift NE into the eastern Gulf today as a gale force low moves into the central Gulf from the eastern North Pacific tonight. $$ PKZ310-130600- Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees West- 356 AM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the morning, then becoming SE 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. Rain early in the morning. .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft subsiding to 11 ft in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. S swell shifting to the SE late. .WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$
755 FZAK67 PAJK 122339 OFFAJK Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Juneau AK 339 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018 Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ398-131745- 339 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A front over the eastern Gulf will weaken and pull to the west as a gale force low moves into the central Gulf from the eastern North Pacific Monday night. This low will begin to weaken Tuesday while another low moves into the southeast Gulf. $$ PKZ310-131745- Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees West- 339 PM AKDT Mon Mar 12 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 35 kt in the evening. Seas building to 14 ft. .TUE...SE wind 30 diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. S swell. .TUE NIGHT...Wind variable less than 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. S swell in the evening. .WED...E wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. SE swell. .WED NIGHT...Wind variable less than 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SE swell. .THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$
272 FZAK67 PAJK 131146 OFFAJK Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Juneau AK 346 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018 Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ398-140600- 346 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A gale force low over the central Gulf will weaken through the day. It will drift southeast and merge with another low lifting north along Haida Gwaii in the southeast gulf by Wednesday morning. $$ PKZ310-140600- Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees West- 346 AM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 13 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...Wind variable less than 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. S swell. .WED...E wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. SE swell. .WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SE swell. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...Wind variable less than 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$
836 FZAK67 PAJK 132344 OFFAJK Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Juneau AK 344 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018 Offshore waters forecast for Gulf of Alaska east of 144W Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ398-141745- 344 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A complex area of multiple surface lows in the southeast gulf will persist into Wednesday evening. $$ PKZ310-141745- Gulf of Alaska North of 55 Degrees North and East of 144 Degrees West- 344 PM AKDT Tue Mar 13 2018 .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt early becoming variable less than 15 kt. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 8 ft late. S swell in the evening. Rain early. .WED...E wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. SE swell. .WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SE swell. .THU...Winds light increasing to N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. S swell shifting to the W in the afternoon. .THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. W swell. .FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...Wind variable less than 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Mar 9, 3:05 PM AKST, 12 hours 28 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 9, 3:05 PM AKST, 12 hours 28 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 305 PM AKST Fri Mar 9 2018 .SHORT TERM...Satellite and surface imagery depict a gale force low over the Kenai peninsula with a weakening front across the panhandle. Models in good agreement with this low weakening and drifting W-NW as it slowly fills. Widespread to numerous showers will continue across the region along with a SChc TSRA over the N Gulf coast this evening. Modeled instability parameters continue to support the instability with -LIs and CAPE around 200-300. Another gale force low will push N into the SE gulf Sat afternoon/evening pulling the front back to the NW along with another round of precip. Models continue to show WAA with this low with majority of panhandle expected to see more liquid than solid Ptype. Inherited forecast represented this thinking well with some strengthening of the low moving across the gulf Sat night with majority of changes limited to local effects. .LONG TERM.../Sunday through Friday as of 10 pm Thursday/ GFS, NAM and Canadian models are in better agreement for Sunday, Monday and Tuesday. After that, ECMWF becomes the more preferred model. With better confidence in the model trends, adjustments were made to the mid and long range forecast. A low in the north Pacific will track into the southcentral gulf by Sunday, continuing to move up to the northern gulf through the day. This will prolong precipitation across the Panhandle from south to north. Temperatures will be mild reaching daytime highs in the 40s, resulting in rain as the primary precip type. Overnight lows will continue to drop down to near or below freezing Sunday night for much of the Panhandle turning rain back to snow. Then the warmer air moves in for Monday through Wednesday keeping our overnight temperatures in the mid to upper 30s, resulting in mostly rain. Will be watching for downsloping that could raise temperatures even warmer than forecast for early to mid week. With a southerly flow in the upper levels, snow level will rise to around 3500 feet or higher in many locations but be a bit lower (around 1500 feet) near Yakutat Monday. Snow levels will begin to lower again Thursday to bring snow back into the forecast, at least during the overnight and early morning hours. Southeasterly Gale force winds for area 41-43 quickly diminish to SCA intensity Sunday morning, spreading northward along the outer coastal areas stretching up to near Yakutat. As the gradient slackens and the low moves off to the west Monday, the SCA winds retreat back to the south. For Tuesday and beyond, the gradient remains relaxed limiting winds to around 15 kt or less. Wind in the central gulf will back to the west to northwest on Tuesday and spread eastward by Wednesday. && .AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories... PUBLIC...Strong Wind until 6 PM AKST this evening for AKZ018. MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ012-013. Small Craft Advisory for PKZ021-022-031>036-041>043-051-052. Small Craft Advisory due to Seas for PKZ053. && BC/KV Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau
The office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 3:35 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Mar 9, 3:36 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 59 hr | |
| Mar 10, 3:41 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 59 hr | |
| Mar 10, 3:48 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 47 hr | |
| Mar 10, 4:15 AM AKST | Winter Storm Warning | AJK | 32 hr | |
| Mar 10, 4:15 AM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AJK | 59 hr | |
| Mar 10, 7:36 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 11 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.