Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2018
Gale Warning 7, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 1, 2018, 3:48 AM AKST. It was in force for 49 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 1, 2018, 3:48 AM AKST (12:48 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 3, 2018, 4:21 AM AKST
- In force
- 49 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted.
499 FZAK52 PAJK 011248 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA National Weather Service Juneau AK 348 AM AKST Mon Jan 1 2018 Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to Cape Suckling out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ099-020300- 348 AM AKST Mon Jan 1 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A gale force front over the eastern gulf will move over the panhandle Monday morning. Another gale force front will move into the central gulf Monday afternoon then track over the eastern gulf by early Tuesday. $$ PKZ041-020300- Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision- 348 AM AKST Mon Jan 1 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. W swell. Rain in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. W swell. Rain. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ042-020300- Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe- 348 AM AKST Mon Jan 1 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TODAY...S wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas 16 ft. Rain in the evening. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain. .WED...S wind 25 kt becoming NW. Seas 15 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ043-020300- Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather- 348 AM AKST Mon Jan 1 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas 18 ft. Rain in the evening. .TUE...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19 ft. Rain in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain. .WED...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 16 ft subsiding to 11 ft. .THU...W wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...N wind 10 kt becoming E. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ051-020300- Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape- 348 AM AKST Mon Jan 1 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt late. Seas 19 ft. Rain in the evening. .TUE...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft subsiding to 11 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ052-020300- Icy Cape to Cape Suckling- 348 AM AKST Mon Jan 1 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain in the evening. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. SW swell. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. SW swell. Rain. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft subsiding to 10 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt becoming NW. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...NW wind 15 kt becoming E. Seas 6 ft. $$
4 follow-up statements
798 FZAK52 PAJK 012354 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA National Weather Service Juneau AK 254 PM AKST Mon Jan 1 2018 Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to Cape Suckling out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ099-021800- 254 PM AKST Mon Jan 1 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A gale force front will move into the central Gulf of Alaska Monday afternoon then track over the eastern gulf by early Tuesday. A trailing low will move north through the eastern Gulf of Alaska Tuesday night. $$ PKZ041-021800- Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision- 254 PM AKST Mon Jan 1 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. W swell. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. W swell. Rain. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. W swell. Rain. .WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. W swell. Rain. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ042-021800- Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe- 254 PM AKST Mon Jan 1 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain in the evening. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas 17 ft. Rain. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. Rain. .WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ043-021800- Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather- 254 PM AKST Mon Jan 1 2018 ...GALE WARNING EARLY THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...SE wind to 35 kt tapering off to S wind 25 kt in evening. Seas 17 ft. Rain in the evening. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt late. Seas 18 ft. Rain in the evening. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. SW swell. Rain. .WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...W wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...N wind 10 kt becoming E. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft. $$ PKZ051-021800- Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape- 254 PM AKST Mon Jan 1 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING AND TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in evening. Seas 18 ft. Rain in the evening. .TUE...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain in the evening. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. SW swell. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 12 ft. $$ PKZ052-021800- Icy Cape to Cape Suckling- 254 PM AKST Mon Jan 1 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain in the evening. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. SW swell. Rain in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft. SW swell. .WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt becoming NW. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...NW wind 15 kt becoming E. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$
559 FZAK52 PAJK 021252 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA National Weather Service Juneau AK 352 AM AKST Tue Jan 2 2018 Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to Cape Suckling out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ099-030300- 352 AM AKST Tue Jan 2 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A weather front will remain over the eastern gulf through Tue night as a low pressure wave moves N along it. The front will then move into SE AK Wed morning, then stall over central SE AK by Wed afternoon. $$ PKZ041-030300- Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision- 352 AM AKST Tue Jan 2 2018 ...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING... .TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas building to 18 ft. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 30 kt late. Seas 18 ft. Rain. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. SW swell. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. W swell. Rain. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ042-030300- Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe- 352 AM AKST Tue Jan 2 2018 ...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas building to 19 ft. Rain in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. SW swell. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. Rain. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ043-030300- Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather- 352 AM AKST Tue Jan 2 2018 ...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt by afternoon. Seas building to 20 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. SW swell. .WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...NW wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ051-030300- Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape- 352 AM AKST Tue Jan 2 2018 ...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 21 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain. .WED...S wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft. SW swell. .WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ052-030300- Icy Cape to Cape Suckling- 352 AM AKST Tue Jan 2 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 25 kt by afternoon. Seas building to 22 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain. .WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...NW wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 11 ft. .SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$
317 FZAK52 PAJK 030012 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA National Weather Service Juneau AK 312 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2018 Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to Cape Suckling out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ099-031815- 312 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A weather front will remain over the eastern gulf through tonight as a low pressure wave moves N along it. The front will then move into SE AK Wed morning, then stall over central SE AK by Wed afternoon. $$ PKZ041-031815- Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision- 312 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 30 in the evening. Seas 18 ft. Rain. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. W swell. Rain. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. W swell. Rain. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ042-031815- Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe- 312 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 overnight. Seas 19 ft. Rain. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. Rain. .WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell. Rain. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ043-031815- Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather- 312 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas 20 ft. Rain in the evening. .WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. .WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .FRI...NW wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ051-031815- Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape- 312 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of interior bays and passes. Seas 20 ft. Rain in the evening. .WED...S wind 15 kt shifting to W wind 10 kt. Seas 14 ft. SW swell. .WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. .THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. .THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ052-031815- Icy Cape to Cape Suckling- 312 PM AKST Tue Jan 2 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain in the evening. .WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell. .WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. .THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. .FRI...N wind 10 kt becoming SE 25 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 11 ft. .SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$
324 FZAK52 PAJK 031321 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA National Weather Service Juneau AK 421 AM AKST Wed Jan 3 2018 Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to Cape Suckling out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ099-040730- 421 AM AKST Wed Jan 3 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A weather front will move E into the northern panhandle Wed morning, then stall over the N central panhandle by Wed afternoon. A low pressure area will move NE to the far SE gulf by Thu morning. $$ PKZ041-040730- Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision- 421 AM AKST Wed Jan 3 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft subsiding to 11 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. W swell. Rain. .THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...SE wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 10 ft. .SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ042-040730- Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe- 421 AM AKST Wed Jan 3 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft subsiding to 11 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. Rain. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. W swell. Rain. .THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. W swell. Rain. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ043-040730- Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather- 421 AM AKST Wed Jan 3 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. Rain in the morning. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. Rain. .THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. Rain. .THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ051-040730- Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape- 421 AM AKST Wed Jan 3 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 30 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft subsiding to 11 ft in the afternoon. Rain early in the morning. .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. .THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. .THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ052-040730- Icy Cape to Cape Suckling- 421 AM AKST Wed Jan 3 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell. Rain early in the morning. .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. .THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. SW swell. .FRI...N wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 31, 2:42 PM AKST, 13 hours 6 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 31, 2:42 PM AKST, 13 hours 6 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
242 PM AKST Sun Dec 31 2017
.SHORT TERM...Clouds have been streaming into the panhandle today
as the precursor to a weather front currently making its way
across the eastern gulf. As of 230pm this afternoon, none of our
observation sites have reported any precipitation, but current
radar, coupled with IR satellite, continues to show precipitation
bands beginning to form along the front near the Baranof Island
coastline. We've also seen many locations warm up this afternoon
due to the strong surface high weakening over Canada and continued
warm air advection preceding the front; in approximately 10
hours, the Juneau, Ketchikan, and Sitka Airports have risen more
than 10, 5, and 15 degrees Fahrenheit, respectively.
At the synoptic level, WV satellite imagery shows an upper level
ridge extending over the eastern gulf and panhandle and a deep
trough over the western gulf with embedded shortwaves. Our weather
front feature is associated with one of these shortwaves. In
addition, we can see a weak developing surface low west of Haida
Gwaii, which should continue to lift north-northeast and interact
with the front creating a potential overrunning situation for
precipitation.
For precipitation amounts, a lot of uncertainty still remains with
this forecast. We're confident it will snow for most locations,
but we're still unsure as to the exact amounts areas will receive.
We are seeing some indications that moisture might initially be
lacking due to the dry air that is still in place over mainly
northern locations. However, a strong jet streak of 70 kt aloft is
assisting with advecting some additional moisture along the
front, so timing the transition of snow to rain remains one of the
more complicated factors for this forecast. The Winter Storm
Warnings and Advisories still remain in effect for their
respective locations.
For the most part, the weather pattern will remain fairly active
through the early part of the work week. The broad trough over the
western gulf should remain a somewhat constant feature that will
continue to advect shortwaves that progress east towards the
panhandle. Subsequent associated weather fronts will take their
turns providing the panhandle with a much warmer and wetter week.
Precipitable water analysis continues to show anomalously high PW
values with each passing front, and it's possible a weak
atmospheric river may set up with each subsequent wave through the
week.
We opted not to make many changes to the current forecast, but any
changes we did make, we mainly used the NAM and GEM. Our forecast
for snow has also remained relatively unchanged, as our
confidence for this event still remains below average to average
in order to reflect our uncertainty.
.LONG TERM.../Tuesday morning through Saturday night/...The second
in a series of fronts will be winding down at the start of this
long range forecast period and by Tuesday night, the third front
will be upon us with little to no break in the precipitation. Yet
another front will impact the panhandle on Wednesday night.
Throughout this time, daytime highs, and in many cases, even
overnight lows will be warm enough for this precipitation to fall
as rain rather than snow. Likely PoPs remain in the forecast
through the end of the upcoming weekend and model guidance is
suggesting that temperatures may begin to cool back down by the
end of the week. Still too early if the precip type will change
back to snow.
Winds during the coming week are not overly remarkable considering
that this is Winter and especially after the strong winds, high
winds, and gales associated with the recent outflow event. Look
for small craft winds over the gulf associated with each front.
Most extensive small craft winds over the inner channels will
probably be Wednesday evening. Currently no gales anywhere in the
extended range forecast period.
Updated pressure and wind for Tuesday and Tuesday night with
ECMWF. No other changes there. Blended ECMWF and GFS with some
help from SREF for PoP and QPF. Adjusted Max temps for Thursday
through Saturday down slightly. Adjusted Min Temps for Wednesday
and Thursday slightly up and for Friday and Saturday slightly
down. Overall forecast confidence is average.
&&
.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 9 AM AKST
Monday for AKZ026.
Strong Wind from 9 PM AKST this evening through late tonight for
AKZ027.
Winter Weather Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 5 AM AKST
Monday for AKZ024.
Winter Storm Warning from 6 PM this evening to 9 AM AKST Monday
for AKZ020-025.
Winter Storm Warning from 6 PM this evening to 5 AM AKST Monday
for AKZ021-022.
Winter Weather Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 5 AM AKST
Monday for AKZ028.
Winter Weather Advisory from 9 PM this evening to midnight AKST
Monday night for AKZ029.
Winter Storm Warning from 9 PM this evening to noon AKST Monday
for AKZ018-019.
Winter Storm Warning until 5 AM AKST Monday for AKZ017.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ022-041>043-051-052.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ021-031>036.
Small Craft Advisory due to Seas for PKZ053.
&&
Voveris/Fritsch
Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/JuneauIn the hours before
Local storm report, Dec 31, 10:33 PM AKST, 5 hours 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1033 PM AKST SUN DEC 31 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0735 PM HEAVY SNOW HAINES 59.24N 135.44W
12/31/2017 M0.0 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
SNOW BEGAN AT 735PM AND WAS ALREADY FALLING HEAVILY BY
745PM AND BEGINNING TO ACCUMULATE.
1027 PM SNOW GUSTAVUS 58.41N 135.80W
12/31/2017 M2.5 INCH AK PUBLIC
SNOW BEGAN AT 830PM. BY 1020PM 2.5 INCHES HAD FALLEN AND
IT IS STILL SNOWING.
&&
FCFLocal storm report, Dec 31, 10:53 PM AKST, 4 hours 55 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1053 PM AKST SUN DEC 31 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0735 PM HEAVY SNOW HAINES 59.24N 135.44W
12/31/2017 M0.0 INCH AK CO-OP OBSERVER
SNOW BEGAN AT 735PM AND WAS ALREADY FALLING HEAVILY BY
745PM AND BEGINNING TO ACCUMULATE.
0915 PM NON-TSTM WND GST CRAIG 55.47N 133.13W
12/31/2017 M81.00 MPH AK TRAINED SPOTTER
HIGH WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONT MAKING LANDFALL.
SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS
TO 60 MPH AND AT LEAST ONE MEASURED GUST TO 81 MPH HAVE
BEEN RECORDED.
1027 PM SNOW GUSTAVUS 58.41N 135.80W
12/31/2017 M2.5 INCH AK PUBLIC
SNOW BEGAN AT 830PM. BY 1020PM 2.5 INCHES HAD FALLEN AND
IT IS STILL SNOWING.
&&
FCFThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 9:30 PM AKST | High Wind Warning | AJK | 6 hr | |
| Jan 1, 3:40 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 3 days | |
| Jan 1, 3:44 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 1, 3:48 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 1, 4:03 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 1, 4:03 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 59 hr | |
| Jan 1, 2:54 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 49 hr | |
| Jan 1, 2:54 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 13 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.